Wander Suero

P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 35 RHP 6'4" / 216 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	32	MIX2 levels	68	0	68	2.66	3.96	24.7%	11.1%	0.5	K 21.3% · BB 10.1% · FIP 4.44
2025	33	MIX2 levels	50	0	55	2.45	2.63	31.0%	7.4%	1.3	K 27.9% · BB 5.9% · FIP 2.02
2026	34	AAAOAK	51	0	54	7.04	5.15	18.0%	11.1%	—	K 15.5% · BB 10.0% · FIP 5.14
2027PROJ	35	MLBOAK	58	0	61	4.70	4.66	20.3%	9.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ1% MLB	36	MLBOAK	1	0	1	4.88	5.00	19.6%	10.0%	-0.0
2029PROJ0% MLB	37	MLBOAK	—	—	0	5.17	5.37	18.9%	10.7%	—

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.7 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control41Command47FB velo55

CompsKeiichi Yabu (age 36) · Spencer Patton (age 35) · Mark Serrano (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.70

FIP4.66

K%20.3%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%10.9%

Proj IP61

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5050

CU (1%)

CT-1.3 (76%)

CH-2.9 (23%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	5	90	388	68	31	5	15%	2.7	13.8%	9.0%	4.8%	1.6%	3.90	3.96	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	5	90	388	68	31	5	15%	2.7	17.5%	8.0%	9.5%	1.3%	3.90	3.34	—
2016	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	39	0	55	236	48	19	3	0%	1.4	16.5%	8.9%	7.6%	1.1%	2.44	3.41	—
2016	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	39	0	55	236	48	19	3	0%	1.4	20.3%	8.1%	12.3%	1.3%	2.44	3.10	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	65	267	65	17	3	0%	1.2	20.8%	6.8%	14.0%	1.3%	1.79	2.94	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	65	267	65	17	3	0%	1.2	24.3%	6.4%	18.0%	1.1%	1.79	2.49	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	65	271	63	16	5	0%	1.2	22.5%	6.0%	16.6%	1.8%	3.62	2.95	+1.2
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	65	271	63	16	5	0%	1.2	23.2%	5.9%	17.3%	1.8%	3.62	2.90	+1.3
2019	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	78	0	71	296	81	23	5	0%	0.9	27.4%	7.8%	19.6%	1.7%	4.54	2.70	+1.6
2019	27	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	78	0	71	296	81	23	5	0%	0.9	27.4%	7.8%	19.6%	1.7%	4.54	2.71	+1.6
2020	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	22	0	24	102	28	8	1	0%	1.1	27.5%	7.8%	19.6%	1.0%	3.80	2.31	+0.6
2020	28	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	22	0	24	102	28	8	1	0%	1.1	27.5%	7.8%	19.6%	1.0%	3.80	2.30	+0.6
2021	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	1	55	242	60	16	11	2%	1.0	24.0%	6.7%	17.3%	4.5%	6.34	4.41	+0.1
2021	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	1	55	242	60	16	11	2%	1.0	24.8%	6.6%	18.2%	4.5%	6.34	4.38	+0.1
2022	30	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	20	0	24	112	15	9	2	0%	1.2	11.8%	8.4%	3.3%	2.0%	6.08	4.28	—
2022	30	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	20	0	24	112	15	9	2	0%	1.2	13.4%	8.0%	5.4%	1.8%	6.08	4.07	—
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	58	240	62	27	8	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.7%	12.6%	3.2%	3.90	4.20	+0.2
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	58	240	62	27	8	0%	1.1	25.8%	11.2%	14.6%	3.3%	3.90	4.16	+0.3
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	0	68	287	71	32	8	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.1%	11.3%	3.4%	2.66	4.44	+0.1
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	0	68	287	71	32	8	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.1%	11.3%	3.4%	2.66	4.44	+0.1
2024	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	68	0	68	287	71	32	8	0%	1.0	24.7%	11.1%	13.6%	2.8%	2.66	3.96	+0.5
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	55	229	71	17	5	0%	1.1	27.9%	5.9%	22.0%	1.0%	2.45	2.02	+1.7
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	55	229	71	17	5	0%	1.1	27.9%	5.9%	22.0%	1.0%	2.45	2.02	+1.7
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	55	229	71	17	5	0%	1.1	31.0%	7.4%	23.6%	2.2%	2.45	2.63	+1.3
2026	34	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	51	0	54	261	47	29	9	0%	1.1	15.5%	10.0%	5.5%	3.8%	7.04	5.14	—
2026	34	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	51	0	54	261	47	29	9	0%	1.1	15.5%	10.0%	5.5%	3.8%	7.04	5.14	—
2026	34	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	51	0	54	261	47	29	9	0%	1.1	18.0%	11.1%	6.9%	3.4%	7.04	5.15	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			196	0	200	856	216	67	26	0%	1.0	25.2%	7.8%	17.4%	3.0%	4.96	3.64	+2.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	35	MLB	OAK	58	0	61	258	52	24	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.4%	10.9%	3.1%	4.70	4.66	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	OAK	51	0	54	228	45	23	8	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.0%	9.6%	3.5%	4.88	5.00	-0.3
2029	37	MLB MLE	OAK	45	0	47	198	37	21	8	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.7%	8.2%	3.9%	5.17	5.37	-0.4
2030	38	MLB MLE	OAK	38	0	40	171	31	19	7	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.3%	6.7%	4.3%	5.53	5.78	-0.5
2028	36	MLB CTX	OAK	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	19.6%	10.0%	9.6%	3.5%	4.88	5.00	-0.0
2029	37	MLB CTX	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.9%	10.7%	8.2%	3.9%	5.17	5.37	—
2030	38	MLB CTX	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.1%	11.3%	6.7%	4.3%	5.53	5.78	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		197	0	200	858	216	67	26	0%	1.0	25.2%	7.8%	17.4%	3.0%	4.96	3.63	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	0	200	857	216	67	26	0%	1.0	25.2%	7.8%	17.4%	3.0%	4.96	3.63	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		578	6	683	2931	608	238	66	1%	1.2	20.8%	8.1%	12.6%	2.3%	3.90	3.61	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		169	2	200	858	178	70	19	1%	1.2	20.8%	8.1%	12.6%	2.3%	3.90	3.61	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wander Suero (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	20.3%	9.4%	3.1%	—	5.35	18.9%	8.3%	141	+0.69	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	72
Spencer Patton R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	35	SU	4.33	18.9%	9.7%	2.9%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	239	71
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	69
Brendan Donnelly R 2006 · 4.21 FIP	35	SU	4.21	19.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.260	3.19	18.6%	10.1%	60	-1.02	2.23	385	69
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.16	306	69
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	68
Brian Schlitter R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	35	SU	4.70	14.9%	9.1%	3.1%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	300	68
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	66
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	64
Toby Borland R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	35	SU	4.28	20.9%	8.1%	3.5%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	248	64
Joe Nelson R 2009 · 5.35 FIP	34	SU	5.35	19.8%	14.3%	3.9%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	139	63
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	62
Matt Miller R 2006 · 4.98 FIP	34	SU	4.98	18.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.214	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	101	62
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	35	SU	5.13	13.1%	7.8%	3.9%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	173	62
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	59
Jim Miller R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	34	SU	5.43	20.4%	14.1%	4.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	140	58
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	3.93	194	58
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	58
Daniel Guerrero R 2019 · 5.59 FIP	34	SW	5.59	14.7%	11.1%	4.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	269	57
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2019 · 5.11 FIP	35	SW	5.11	25.0%	11.2%	4.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	335	56

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	50	22.3%	9.5%	1.29	4.99
Scott Service ('04)	2.1	46	22.2%	9.9%	1.23	5.04
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Tom Dukes ('67-'72, -2 WAR*)	1.1	43	22.7%*	8.7%*	1.16*	5.37*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*