Alen Hanson

Pos2B

B/TS/R

Born1992-10-22

Age (2027)34

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	SB	wRC+	WAR
2022	29	INTLToros del Este	70	.226/.314/.258	4	70	—
2023	30	INTLTigres del Li…	50	.186/.271/.279	2	52	—
2024	31	INTLToros del Este	21	.059/.158/.118	1	-27	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2019

Speed36

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	17	ROK	DSL Pirates	—	276	244	79	10	7	2	22	37	2	20	8	324	384	447	831	123	374	13	8	360	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	234	198	52	13	7	2	21	34	7	24	6	263	354	429	783	167	307	15	9	338	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	558	489	151	33	13	16	55	105	4	35	19	309	383	528	911	219	364	19	10	392	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	AA	Altoona Curve	—	150	137	35	4	5	1	8	26	1	6	2	255	301	380	681	124	306	17	5	295	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	409	367	103	23	8	7	33	70	2	24	14	281	343	444	787	163	325	17	8	343	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	INTL	Toros del Este	—	104	96	24	1	1	1	5	22	1	8	4	250	294	312	607	62	311	21	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA	Altoona Curve	—	527	482	135	21	12	11	31	88	3	25	11	280	328	442	769	162	321	17	6	333	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	INTL	Toros del Este	—	22	18	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	0	0	278	409	444	854	167	250	5	14	388	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	529	475	125	17	12	6	37	91	0	35	12	263	316	387	704	124	311	17	7	304	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	INTL	Toros del Este	—	98	93	24	1	0	1	3	15	0	3	2	258	281	301	582	43	299	15	3	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	33	31	7	1	0	0	2	5	0	2	1	226	273	258	531	32	269	15	6	246	38	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.1
2016	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	478	432	115	15	7	8	32	78	2	36	15	266	320	389	709	123	307	16	7	309	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	INTL	Toros del Este	—	45	44	10	1	1	0	1	7	0	1	0	227	244	295	540	68	270	16	2	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	234	217	48	9	3	4	12	52	1	11	3	221	265	346	611	124	268	22	5	268	67	-9	+1	-2	+1	+5	-0.5
2017	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	51	43	10	2	1	1	6	10	0	2	0	233	327	395	722	163	281	20	12	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	310	294	74	17	5	8	9	71	1	7	3	252	276	425	701	173	303	23	3	301	94	-2	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.4
2018	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	71	62	25	5	1	3	8	7	1	6	1	403	479	661	1.140	258	423	10	11	494	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	48	43	7	0	0	0	3	17	1	1	0	163	234	163	397		259	35	6	191	5	-5	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.5
2019	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	180	166	31	3	1	3	9	39	1	7	2	187	233	271	504	84	224	22	5	225	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	139	126	26	5	0	0	10	22	1	5	2	206	270	246	516	40	250	16	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	46	35	4	0	0	1	10	9	0	1	2	114	311	200	511	86	115	20	22	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	156	138	38	6	6	2	14	27	1	5	1	275	346	449	796	174	327	17	9	345	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	INTL	Toros del Este	—	58	51	9	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	1	176	236	216	452	39	231	22	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	INTL	Toros del Este	—	70	62	14	0	1	0	7	14	1	4	0	226	314	258	572	32	292	20	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	50	43	8	4	0	0	4	8	1	2	2	186	271	279	550	93	216	16	8	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	INTL	Toros del Este	—	21	17	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	59	158	118	276	59	77	19	10	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	625	585	136	27	8	12	26	145	3	21	7	232	269	368	636	135	285	23	4	278	74	-19	+1	-7	+6	+14	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	—	276	251	53	6	4	1	15	45	2	20	8	211	261	279	540	68	248	16	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	234	206	43	10	5	2	13	49	7	24	6	209	279	335	614	126	251	21	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	558	504	134	27	12	14	40	135	4	35	19	266	325	450	775	185	325	24	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	150	139	34	4	5	1	6	35	1	6	2	245	281	367	648	122	302	23	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	409	377	90	21	7	5	23	100	2	24	14	239	286	371	657	133	298	24	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	527	492	129	18	10	11	21	109	3	25	11	262	297	407	703	144	306	21	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	529	488	124	15	13	6	24	112	0	35	12	254	289	375	664	121	300	21	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	33	32	7	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	1	219	242	250	492	31	269	15	3	224	38	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.1
2016	23	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	478	443	117	14	8	8	21	92	2	36	15	264	300	386	686	122	306	19	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	234	217	48	9	3	4	12	52	1	11	3	221	265	346	611	124	268	22	5	267	67	-9	+1	-2	+1	+5	-0.5
2018	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	310	294	76	17	5	9	9	71	1	7	3	259	283	442	725	184	303	23	3	308	94	-2	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.4
2018	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	71	64	24	5	1	2	6	8	1	6	1	375	437	578	1.015	203	400	11	8	430	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	48	44	7	0	0	0	2	17	1	1	0	159	213	159	372		259	35	4	176	5	-5	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.5
2019	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	180	169	26	2	1	2	6	48	1	7	2	154	188	213	401	59	195	27	3	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	156	143	36	5	6	1	9	33	1	5	1	252	301	392	692	140	310	21	6	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	—	276	251	53	6	4	1	15	45	2	20	8	211	261	279	540	68	252	16	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates	—	276	244	79	10	7	2	22	37	2	20	8	324	384	447	831	123	374	13	8	360	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	234	206	43	10	5	2	13	49	7	24	6	209	279	335	614	126	263	21	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	—	234	198	52	13	7	2	21	34	7	24	6	263	354	429	783	167	307	15	9	338	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	558	504	134	27	12	14	40	135	4	35	19	266	325	450	775	185	335	24	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	558	489	151	33	13	16	55	105	4	35	19	309	383	528	911	219	364	19	10	392	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	663	612	147	29	14	7	34	160	4	38	20	240	285	368	652	127	310	24	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	663	600	162	28	14	9	46	118	4	38	20	270	326	408	734	138	319	18	7	321	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	549	512	135	19	11	11	22	114	4	25	11	264	299	408	707	145	318	21	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	549	500	140	21	12	12	34	89	4	25	11	280	331	442	773	162	318	16	6	335	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	627	579	148	18	15	8	29	132	0	38	14	256	291	380	671	124	315	21	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	627	568	149	18	12	7	40	106	0	38	14	262	311	373	684	111	309	17	6	297	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	556	518	135	16	9	8	24	106	2	39	16	261	296	373	669	112	313	19	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	556	507	132	17	8	8	35	90	2	39	16	260	311	373	683	112	302	16	6	300	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	285	263	59	11	4	5	15	63	1	13	3	224	269	354	622	129	273	22	5	267	67	-11	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.5
2017	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	285	260	58	11	4	5	18	62	1	13	3	223	276	354	630	131	270	22	6	276	67	-11	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.5
2018	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	381	358	100	22	6	11	15	79	2	13	4	279	312	466	778	187	328	21	4	330	110	+4	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.3
2018	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	381	356	99	22	6	11	17	78	2	13	4	278	315	466	781	188	326	20	4	337	110	+4	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.3
2019	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	367	343	54	4	2	4	14	105	3	13	4	157	197	216	413	58	212	29	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	367	335	64	8	1	3	22	78	3	13	4	191	247	248	495	57	238	21	6	225	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	46	35	4	0	0	1	10	9	0	1	2	114	311	200	511	86	115	20	22	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	46	35	4	0	0	1	10	9	0	1	2	114	311	200	511	86	115	20	22	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	214	195	50	7	8	2	12	45	1	5	2	256	303	405	708	149	320	21	6	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	214	189	47	8	6	2	18	40	1	5	2	249	317	386	704	138	302	19	8	306	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	70	62	14	0	1	0	7	14	1	4	0	226	314	258	572	32	292	20	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	70	62	14	0	1	0	7	14	1	4	0	226	314	258	572	32	292	20	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	INTL MLE	Tigres del Licey	—	50	43	8	4	0	0	4	8	1	2	2	186	271	279	550	93	216	16	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	INTL RAW	Tigres del Licey	—	50	43	8	4	0	0	4	8	1	2	2	186	271	279	550	93	216	16	8	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	21	17	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	59	158	118	276	59	77	19	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	21	17	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	59	158	118	276	59	77	19	10	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	—	276	257	53	6	4	1	15	45	2	20	8	206	261	272	534	66	248	16	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	234	212	43	10	5	2	13	49	7	24	6	203	279	325	604	123	251	21	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	558	509	134	27	12	14	40	135	4	35	19	263	325	446	771	183	325	24	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	663	620	147	29	14	7	34	160	4	38	20	237	285	363	648	126	299	24	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	549	518	135	19	11	11	22	114	4	25	11	261	299	403	703	143	306	21	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	627	593	148	18	15	8	29	132	0	38	14	250	291	371	662	121	300	21	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	556	525	135	16	9	8	24	106	2	39	16	257	296	368	664	110	304	19	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	285	267	59	11	4	5	15	63	1	13	3	221	269	348	617	127	268	22	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	381	361	100	22	6	11	15	79	2	13	4	277	312	463	775	186	321	21	4	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	367	347	54	4	2	4	14	105	3	13	4	156	197	213	410	58	209	29	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	214	199	50	7	8	2	12	45	1	5	2	251	303	397	700	146	310	21	6	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	625	585	136	27	8	12	26	145	3	21	7	232	269	368	636	135	285	23	4	278	69	-19	+1	-7	+6	+14	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	141	28	8	12	27	151	3	22	7	232	268	363	631	132	285	23	4	278	69	-20	+1	-8	+6	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4897	4498	1085	174	91	74	256	1068	32	271	111	241	287	370	657	129	298	22	5	271	69	-19	+1	-7	+6	+14	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	144	23	12	10	34	142	4	36	15	241	287	370	657	129	298	22	5	271	69	-20	+1	-8	+6	+14	-0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAATacoma Rainiers · 156 PAwOBA .338 → .300 (−38)K% 17.3% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.31%	÷0.994	×1.200	—	—	20.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.97%	÷1.045	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.82%
HBP% /PA	0.64%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.59%
Singles /BIP	21.62%	÷0.952	×0.930	×1.022	×0.982	21.21%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷0.989	×0.830	×1.022	×0.982	4.55%
Triples /BIP	5.41%	÷0.977	×0.920	×1.022	×0.982	5.11%
Home runs /BIP	1.80%	÷0.970	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.28%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 90, 2B 98, 3B 95, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .338 → .300; ISO .174 → .153; BABIP .327 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAABuffalo Bisons · 180 PAwOBA .220 → .183 (−37)K% 21.7% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.67%	÷0.968	×1.200	—	—	26.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷0.953	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.63%
HBP% /PA	0.56%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.52%
Singles /BIP	18.90%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.950	×1.003	16.56%
Doubles /BIP	2.36%	÷0.954	×0.830	×0.950	×1.003	1.96%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷0.909	×0.970	×0.950	×1.003	0.80%
Home runs /BIP	2.36%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.99%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .220 → .183; ISO .084 → .071; BABIP .224 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 71 PAwOBA .481 → .430 (−51)K% 9.9% → 11.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.86%	÷1.071	×1.290	—	—	11.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.27%	÷1.043	×0.710	—	×1.018	7.81%
HBP% /PA	1.41%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	1.41%
Singles /BIP	29.09%	÷0.963	×0.900	×1.028	×1.018	28.45%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.910	×0.810	×1.028	×1.018	8.47%
Triples /BIP	1.82%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.028	×1.018	1.34%
Home runs /BIP	5.45%	÷0.998	×0.780	—	×1.018	4.34%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .481 → .430; ISO .258 → .218; BABIP .423 → .400. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 478 PAwOBA .302 → .291 (−10)K% 16.3% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.32%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	19.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.49%	÷1.054	×0.690	—	×1.048	4.45%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.41%
Singles /BIP	24.01%	÷0.998	×0.930	×1.026	×1.048	24.08%
Doubles /BIP	4.24%	÷1.010	×0.830	×1.026	×1.048	3.75%
Triples /BIP	1.98%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.026	×1.048	2.29%
Home runs /BIP	2.26%	÷0.933	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.13%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .302 → .291; ISO .123 → .124; BABIP .307 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 529 PAwOBA .298 → .281 (−17)K% 17.2% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.20%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	21.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.81%	÷1.077	×0.690	—	×1.050	4.58%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.44%	÷1.044	×0.930	×1.044	×1.050	22.88%
Doubles /BIP	4.43%	÷1.050	×0.830	×1.044	×1.050	3.84%
Triples /BIP	3.12%	÷1.041	×0.970	×1.044	×1.050	3.19%
Home runs /BIP	1.56%	÷0.847	×0.840	—	×1.050	1.63%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 108, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .298 → .281; ISO .124 → .125; BABIP .311 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAltoona Curve · 527 PAwOBA .326 → .297 (−28)K% 16.7% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.70%	÷0.986	×1.220	—	—	20.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.078	×0.700	—	×1.042	3.98%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	0.50%
Singles /BIP	23.10%	÷1.017	×0.970	×0.992	×1.042	22.77%
Doubles /BIP	5.33%	÷1.020	×0.860	×0.992	×1.042	4.65%
Triples /BIP	3.05%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.992	×1.042	2.60%
Home runs /BIP	2.79%	÷0.833	×0.780	—	×1.042	2.72%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .326 → .297; ISO .162 → .147; BABIP .321 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Bradenton Marauders · 409 PAwOBA .337 → .283 (−54)K% 17.1% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.11%	÷0.994	×1.420	—	—	24.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.82%	÷1.068	×0.750	—	×1.027	5.64%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	0.47%
Singles /BIP	21.89%	÷1.056	×0.920	×1.026	×1.027	20.08%
Doubles /BIP	7.74%	÷1.079	×0.960	×1.026	×1.027	7.26%
Triples /BIP	2.69%	÷0.946	×0.810	×1.026	×1.027	2.43%
Home runs /BIP	2.36%	÷1.187	×0.880	—	×1.027	1.80%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 89, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .337 → .283; ISO .163 → .136; BABIP .325 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAltoona Curve · 150 PAwOBA .289 → .267 (−22)K% 17.3% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.33%	÷0.905	×1.220	—	—	23.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.33%	÷1.073	×0.700	—	×1.050	3.65%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.850	—	×1.050	0.60%
Singles /BIP	22.52%	÷0.997	×0.970	×0.974	×1.050	22.42%
Doubles /BIP	3.60%	÷0.933	×0.860	×0.974	×1.050	3.40%
Triples /BIP	4.50%	÷1.006	×0.950	×0.974	×1.050	4.35%
Home runs /BIP	0.90%	÷0.836	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.88%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 81, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .289 → .267; ISO .124 → .117; BABIP .306 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .