Luis Mendez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | AATEX | 262 | .212/.295/.251 | 1 | 6 | 40 | — | .206/.267/.239 |
| 2017 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 65 | .170/.312/.321 | 1 | 3 | 32 | — | .139/.250/.276 |
| 2018 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 367 | .248/.327/.347 | 6 | 8 | 63 | — | .209/.265/.298 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers | — | 110 | 90 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 256 | 380 | 311 | 691 | 56 | 295 | 12 | 13 | 322 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 161 | 126 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 254 | 394 | 333 | 727 | 79 | 283 | 12 | 14 | 331 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 83 | 66 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 258 | 395 | 379 | 774 | 121 | 304 | 13 | 12 | 348 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 55 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 204 | 264 | 245 | 509 | 41 | 256 | 20 | 5 | 230 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 223 | 196 | 55 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 281 | 356 | 378 | 734 | 97 | 333 | 15 | 9 | 327 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 264 | 224 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 48 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 228 | 335 | 268 | 602 | 40 | 290 | 18 | 9 | 285 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 335 | 80 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 72 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 239 | 307 | 310 | 618 | 72 | 294 | 19 | 8 | 277 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 262 | 231 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 52 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 212 | 295 | 251 | 546 | 39 | 268 | 20 | 10 | 255 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 29 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100 | 379 | 150 | 529 | 50 | 154 | 24 | 31 | 292 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 36 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 257 | 424 | 681 | 212 | 286 | 33 | 3 | 289 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 257 | 227 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 242 | 320 | 357 | 677 | 115 | 291 | 20 | 9 | 304 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 110 | 96 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 260 | 343 | 323 | 666 | 62 | 358 | 25 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 110 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 191 | 296 | 234 | 530 | 43 | 211 | 15 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 161 | 134 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 224 | 329 | 299 | 628 | 75 | 245 | 18 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 83 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 321 | 300 | 621 | 86 | 254 | 19 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 55 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 180 | 226 | 220 | 446 | 40 | 234 | 27 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 223 | 204 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 221 | 274 | 294 | 568 | 74 | 277 | 21 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 264 | 232 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 71 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 211 | 296 | 246 | 542 | 34 | 291 | 27 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 342 | 78 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 85 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 228 | 283 | 295 | 578 | 67 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 262 | 238 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 61 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 206 | 267 | 239 | 507 | 34 | 265 | 23 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 29 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 87 | 276 | 130 | 406 | 43 | 132 | 31 | 21 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 36 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 229 | 394 | 623 | 212 | 253 | 44 | 3 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 257 | 235 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 69 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 209 | 265 | 298 | 563 | 89 | 265 | 27 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 110 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 191 | 296 | 234 | 530 | 43 | 228 | 15 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers | — | 110 | 90 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 256 | 380 | 311 | 691 | 56 | 295 | 12 | 13 | 322 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 161 | 134 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 224 | 329 | 299 | 628 | 75 | 267 | 18 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 161 | 126 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 254 | 394 | 333 | 727 | 79 | 283 | 12 | 14 | 331 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 83 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 321 | 300 | 621 | 86 | 273 | 19 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 83 | 66 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 258 | 395 | 379 | 774 | 121 | 304 | 13 | 12 | 348 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 278 | 254 | 54 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 62 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 213 | 265 | 280 | 544 | 67 | 276 | 22 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 278 | 245 | 65 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 44 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 265 | 338 | 351 | 689 | 86 | 318 | 16 | 8 | 308 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 264 | 232 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 71 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 211 | 296 | 246 | 542 | 34 | 304 | 27 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 264 | 224 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 48 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 228 | 335 | 268 | 602 | 40 | 290 | 18 | 9 | 285 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 342 | 78 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 85 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 228 | 283 | 295 | 578 | 67 | 293 | 22 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 335 | 80 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 72 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 239 | 307 | 310 | 618 | 72 | 294 | 19 | 8 | 277 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 262 | 238 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 61 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 206 | 267 | 239 | 507 | 34 | 271 | 23 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 262 | 231 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 52 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 212 | 295 | 251 | 546 | 39 | 268 | 20 | 10 | 255 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 65 | 57 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 123 | 219 | 246 | 464 | 123 | 188 | 38 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 65 | 53 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 170 | 312 | 321 | 633 | 151 | 235 | 29 | 15 | 290 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 333 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 98 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 207 | 269 | 291 | 560 | 84 | 276 | 27 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 367 | 323 | 80 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 80 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 248 | 327 | 347 | 674 | 99 | 310 | 22 | 9 | 304 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 110 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 189 | 296 | 232 | 528 | 42 | 211 | 15 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 161 | 139 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 216 | 329 | 288 | 617 | 72 | 245 | 18 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 83 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 208 | 321 | 292 | 613 | 83 | 254 | 19 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 278 | 258 | 54 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 62 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 209 | 265 | 275 | 540 | 66 | 268 | 22 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 264 | 234 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 71 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 209 | 296 | 244 | 540 | 34 | 291 | 27 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 349 | 78 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 85 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 223 | 283 | 289 | 572 | 66 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 262 | 240 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 61 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 204 | 267 | 237 | 505 | 33 | 265 | 23 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 65 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 121 | 219 | 241 | 460 | 121 | 199 | 38 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 336 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 98 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 205 | 269 | 289 | 557 | 83 | 265 | 27 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1968 | 1754 | 369 | 49 | 13 | 12 | 130 | 463 | 43 | 73 | 34 | 210 | 281 | 274 | 555 | 63 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 243 | 51 | -115 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +43 | -6.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 121 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 153 | 14 | 24 | 11 | 209 | 279 | 271 | 551 | 62 | 275 | 24 | 7 | 243 | 51 | -38 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 257 PAwOBA .298 → .244 (−54)K% 20.2% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.23% | ÷0.922 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.34% | ÷1.021 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.29% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.998 | 20.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.29% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×1.009 | ×0.998 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.10% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .298 → .244; ISO .115 → .087; BABIP .291 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 36 PAwOBA .289 → .223 (−66)K% 33.3% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.045 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.78% | ÷0.989 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 1.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.034 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 12.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷0.905 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 8.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.995 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 4.26% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .289 → .223; ISO .212 → .164; BABIP .286 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 29 PAwOBA .287 → .207 (−80)K% 24.1% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.14% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 31.03% | ÷1.095 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 20.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 7.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.051 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 6.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.089 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 104, 2B 110, 3B 103, K 92, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .287 → .207; ISO .050 → .044; BABIP .154 → .132. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 262 PAwOBA .250 → .228 (−21)K% 19.8% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.85% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.54% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 23.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.35% | ÷1.062 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.065 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.43% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .250 → .228; ISO .039 → .032; BABIP .268 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 378 PAwOBA .273 → .250 (−23)K% 19.0% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.033 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.67% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.33% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.80% | ÷1.026 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.946 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.67% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .273 → .250; ISO .072 → .065; BABIP .294 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 264 PAwOBA .278 → .243 (−35)K% 18.2% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.957 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.954 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 4.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 24.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.11% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .278 → .243; ISO .040 → .034; BABIP .290 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Rangers · 223 PAwOBA .319 → .246 (−73)K% 14.8% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.80% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.045 | ×0.995 | 22.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.045 | ×0.995 | 2.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.045 | ×0.995 | 2.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.48% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .319 → .246; ISO .097 → .072; BABIP .333 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AHickory Crawdads · 55 PAwOBA .228 → .194 (−34)K% 20.0% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.993 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷1.065 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 19.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.947 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 119, 2B 89, 3B 94, K 99, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .228 → .194; ISO .041 → .038; BABIP .256 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .