Webster Rivas

Pos1B

B/TR/R

Born1990-08-08

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR
2023	32	INTLDominican Rep…	174	.252/.343/.305	1	89	—
2024	33	INTLToros del Este	79	.232/.312/.290	0	71	—
2025	34	INTLAguilas Cibae…	81	.254/.338/.352	0	97	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	19	ROK	DSL Dodgers	—	239	211	52	16	2	1	12	12	9	3	2	246	315	355	670	109	250	5	5	296	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	ROK	DSL Dodgers	—	198	172	48	10	1	2	22	24	2	0	4	279	367	384	751	105	315	12	11	339	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	27	24	5	0	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	208	296	208	505		294	26	7	246	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	98	89	19	4	0	1	6	18	1	1	1	213	271	292	563	79	250	18	6	253	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	69	61	16	2	0	0	4	6	1	0	1	262	318	295	613	33	286	9	6	272	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	346	319	81	18	2	5	23	56	0	2	1	254	304	370	674	116	293	16	7	299	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	21	20	7	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	350	381	350	731		389	10	5	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	36	33	9	0	0	0	3	6	0	0	2	273	333	273	606		333	17	8	284	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	193	178	46	11	1	1	9	27	2	0	2	258	302	348	650	90	294	14	5	287	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	23	21	8	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	381	409	429	838	48	444	13	4	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		222	33	7	167	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	A	Burlington Bees	—	98	86	19	7	0	0	7	13	1	0	0	221	287	302	590	81	253	13	7	260	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	200	250	267	517	67	300	31	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	149	136	39	9	1	1	12	35	0	0	0	287	345	390	734	103	376	23	8	329	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	78	69	16	3	0	1	9	13	0	0	0	232	321	319	639	87	273	17	12	296	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	16	14	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	71	133	71	205		83	12	6	100	-46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	233	217	60	7	1	4	13	47	1	1	1	276	320	373	694	97	335	20	6	310	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	27	25	2	0	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	80	115	80	195		111	26	0	94	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	149	125	37	9	0	5	22	23	1	0	0	296	405	488	893	192	330	15	15	395	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	119	106	28	3	1	1	8	23	3	1	0	264	333	340	673	75	321	19	7	304	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	53	49	10	1	0	0	2	10	2	0	1	204	264	224	489	20	256	19	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	77	68	15	2	0	2	8	16	0	0	0	221	303	338	641	118	260	21	10	289	83	-2	+0	+3	+6	+2	0.9
2021	30	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	186	163	41	8	0	5	22	39	0	0	0	252	341	393	733	141	300	21	12	330	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	72	60	12	4	0	0	9	14	0	0	0	200	304	267	571	67	255	19	12	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	55	46	13	2	0	0	8	12	0	0	0	283	389	326	715	43	371	22	15	329	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	246	202	50	14	1	1	40	49	2	1	2	248	377	342	719	94	318	20	16	333	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	125	118	30	7	1	2	6	24	1	0	0	254	296	381	677	127	304	19	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	174	151	38	5	0	1	17	37	4	0	0	252	343	305	648	53	327	21	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL	Toros del Este	—	79	69	16	4	0	0	8	18	0	0	0	232	312	290	602	58	314	23	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	81	71	18	7	0	0	9	19	0	0	0	254	338	352	690	99	346	23	11	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	77	68	15	2	0	2	8	16	0	0	0	221	303	338	641	118	260	21	10	289	82	-2	+0	+3	+6	+2	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers	—	239	215	32	9	1	0	8	15	9	3	2	149	211	200	411	51	152	6	3	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers	—	198	180	31	6	1	1	14	29	2	0	4	172	240	233	473	61	191	15	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	27	25	4	0	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	160	222	160	382		235	37	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	98	91	17	3	0	1	4	24	1	1	1	187	229	253	482	66	223	24	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	69	62	15	2	0	0	3	8	1	0	1	242	288	274	562	32	247	12	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	346	327	70	14	2	4	15	70	0	2	1	214	249	306	554	92	255	20	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	36	34	9	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	2	265	306	265	570		326	19	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	193	180	38	8	1	1	7	37	2	0	2	211	249	283	532	72	248	19	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		202	47	7	123	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	98	88	17	6	0	0	5	19	1	0	0	193	245	261	506	68	221	19	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	149	140	36	8	1	1	8	43	0	0	0	257	297	350	647	93	350	29	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	78	73	13	2	0	1	5	18	0	0	0	178	231	247	477	68	239	23	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	233	221	49	5	1	4	9	57	1	1	1	222	255	308	563	86	276	24	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	149	134	30	7	0	4	13	31	1	0	0	224	297	366	663	142	257	21	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	119	109	23	2	1	1	5	29	3	1	0	211	265	275	540	64	259	24	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	77	68	15	2	0	2	8	16	0	0	0	221	303	338	641	118	260	21	10	291	83	-2	+0	+3	+6	+2	0.9
2021	30	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	186	171	35	6	0	3	14	49	0	0	0	205	265	292	557	88	264	26	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	55	49	10	1	0	0	5	15	0	0	0	204	278	224	502	20	306	27	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	246	215	44	11	1	1	27	59	2	1	2	205	299	279	578	74	271	24	11	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers	—	239	215	32	9	1	0	8	15	9	3	2	149	211	200	411	51	155	6	3	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers	—	239	211	52	16	2	1	12	12	9	3	2	246	315	355	670	109	250	5	5	296	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers	—	198	180	31	6	1	1	14	29	2	0	4	172	240	233	473	61	200	15	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers	—	198	172	48	10	1	2	22	24	2	0	4	279	367	384	751	105	315	12	11	339	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	27	25	4	0	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	160	222	160	382		267	37	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	—	27	24	5	0	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	208	296	208	505		294	26	7	246	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	167	153	31	5	0	1	7	32	2	1	2	203	247	255	502	52	244	19	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	167	150	35	6	0	1	10	24	2	1	2	233	290	293	583	60	266	14	6	261	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	347	74	15	2	4	16	75	0	2	1	213	248	303	551	89	260	20	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	367	339	88	18	2	5	24	58	0	2	1	260	309	369	677	109	300	16	7	301	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	252	235	52	9	1	1	10	49	2	0	4	221	259	281	540	60	271	19	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	252	232	63	12	1	1	13	36	2	0	4	272	316	345	661	73	313	14	5	294	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	A MLE	3 teams	—	129	118	21	7	0	0	6	29	1	0	0	178	224	237	461	59	231	22	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	A RAW	3 teams	—	129	115	24	8	0	0	9	23	1	0	0	209	272	278	550	70	255	18	7	246	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	243	227	53	11	1	2	14	65	0	0	0	233	278	317	595	84	317	27	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AA RAW	3 teams	—	243	219	56	12	1	2	22	50	0	0	0	256	324	347	671	91	321	21	9	303	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	260	245	55	6	1	4	10	64	2	1	1	224	261	306	567	82	287	25	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	260	242	62	7	1	4	13	54	2	1	1	256	300	343	643	87	314	21	5	287	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	321	291	62	10	1	6	21	72	6	1	1	213	280	316	596	103	260	22	7	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	321	280	75	13	1	6	32	56	6	1	1	268	355	386	741	118	314	17	10	334	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	335	302	63	10	0	6	28	82	0	0	0	209	276	301	577	93	264	24	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	335	291	68	14	0	7	39	69	0	0	0	234	324	354	678	120	281	21	12	305	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AA MLE	3 teams	—	426	374	77	18	1	1	46	105	3	1	2	206	298	267	565	61	280	25	11	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AA RAW	3 teams	—	426	366	93	23	2	3	54	85	3	1	2	254	355	352	707	98	320	20	13	323	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	174	151	38	5	0	1	17	37	4	0	0	252	343	305	648	53	327	21	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	174	151	38	5	0	1	17	37	4	0	0	252	343	305	648	53	327	21	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	79	69	16	4	0	0	8	18	0	0	0	232	312	290	602	58	314	23	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	79	69	16	4	0	0	8	18	0	0	0	232	312	290	602	58	314	23	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL MLE	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	81	71	18	7	0	0	9	19	0	0	0	254	338	352	690	99	346	23	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL RAW	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	81	71	18	7	0	0	9	19	0	0	0	254	338	352	690	99	346	23	11	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers	—	239	220	32	9	1	0	8	15	9	3	2	145	211	195	407	50	152	6	3	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers	—	198	180	31	6	1	1	14	29	2	0	4	172	240	233	473	61	191	15	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	27	25	4	0	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	160	222	160	382		235	37	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	167	156	31	5	0	1	7	32	2	1	2	199	247	250	497	51	233	19	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	348	74	15	2	4	16	75	0	2	1	213	248	302	550	89	255	20	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	252	238	52	9	1	1	10	49	2	0	4	218	259	277	536	59	260	19	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	A MLE	3 teams	—	129	121	21	7	0	0	6	29	1	0	0	174	224	231	455	58	218	22	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	243	227	53	11	1	2	14	65	0	0	0	233	278	317	595	84	312	27	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	260	246	55	6	1	4	10	64	2	1	1	224	261	305	566	81	276	25	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	321	291	62	10	1	6	21	72	6	1	1	213	280	316	596	103	258	22	7	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	335	304	63	10	0	6	28	82	0	0	0	207	276	299	575	92	263	24	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	AA MLE	3 teams	—	426	374	77	18	1	1	46	105	3	1	2	206	298	267	565	61	277	25	11	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	77	68	15	2	0	2	8	16	0	0	0	221	303	338	641	118	260	21	10	289	32	-2	+0	+3	+6	+2	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	127	17	0	17	68	135	0	0	0	221	304	340	643	118	261	21	10	289	32	-14	+0	+25	+50	+14	7.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3298	3003	627	122	9	27	215	701	32	9	17	209	269	282	551	74	261	21	7	215	32	-2	+0	+3	+6	+2	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	123	24	2	5	42	138	6	2	3	208	267	280	548	73	260	21	6	215	32	-14	+0	+25	+50	+14	7.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AASan Antonio Missions · 246 PAwOBA .328 → .264 (−64)K% 19.9% → 24.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.92%	÷1.008	×1.220	—	—	24.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.26%	÷0.965	×0.700	—	×0.940	11.09%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.870	—	×0.940	0.66%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷0.979	×0.920	×1.004	×0.940	19.70%
Doubles /BIP	9.15%	÷1.035	×0.840	×1.004	×0.940	7.01%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷1.035	×0.940	×1.004	×0.940	0.56%
Home runs /BIP	0.65%	÷0.870	×0.800	—	×0.940	0.56%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .328 → .264; ISO .094 → .077; BABIP .318 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 55 PAwOBA .328 → .255 (−72)K% 21.8% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.82%	÷0.959	×1.200	—	—	27.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.55%	÷0.990	×0.690	—	×0.952	9.65%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	32.35%	÷1.047	×0.930	—	×0.952	27.37%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.133	×0.830	—	×0.952	4.10%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.002	×0.970	—	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.138	×0.700	—	×0.952	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 109, 2B 127, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .328 → .255; ISO .043 → .031; BABIP .371 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 186 PAwOBA .321 → .250 (−72)K% 21.0% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.97%	÷0.960	×1.200	—	—	26.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.29%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.65%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.58%	÷1.003	×0.930	×1.050	×0.962	21.15%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.116	×0.830	×1.050	×0.962	4.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.099	×0.920	×1.050	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.03%	÷1.154	×0.700	—	×0.962	2.35%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 101, 2B 123, 3B 120, K 92, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .321 → .250; ISO .141 → .090; BABIP .300 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 149 PAwOBA .379 → .294 (−85)K% 15.4% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.44%	÷0.965	×1.290	—	—	20.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.75%	÷1.050	×0.710	—	×0.982	8.47%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.65%
Singles /BIP	22.55%	÷1.033	×0.900	×0.950	×0.982	18.32%
Doubles /BIP	8.82%	÷1.044	×0.810	×0.950	×0.982	6.39%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.950	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.90%	÷0.950	×0.780	—	×0.982	3.95%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .379 → .294; ISO .192 → .153; BABIP .330 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 119 PAwOBA .301 → .229 (−72)K% 19.3% → 24.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.33%	÷0.955	×1.220	—	—	24.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.72%	÷1.037	×0.700	—	×0.958	4.35%
HBP% /PA	2.52%	—	×0.870	—	×0.958	2.10%
Singles /BIP	27.71%	÷1.014	×0.920	×0.950	×0.958	22.89%
Doubles /BIP	3.61%	÷1.097	×0.840	×0.950	×0.958	2.52%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷1.079	×0.940	×0.950	×0.958	0.96%
Home runs /BIP	1.20%	÷1.337	×0.800	—	×0.958	0.69%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 103, 2B 119, 3B 116, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .301 → .229; ISO .075 → .050; BABIP .321 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AASan Antonio Missions · 233 PAwOBA .303 → .242 (−61)K% 20.2% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.17%	÷1.002	×1.220	—	—	24.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.58%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×0.968	3.68%
HBP% /PA	0.43%	—	×0.870	—	×0.968	0.36%
Singles /BIP	28.24%	÷1.072	×0.920	×1.002	×0.968	23.49%
Doubles /BIP	4.12%	÷1.081	×0.840	×1.002	×0.968	3.10%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷1.031	×0.940	×1.002	×0.968	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	2.35%	÷0.824	×0.800	—	×0.968	2.21%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .303 → .242; ISO .097 → .083; BABIP .335 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AASan Antonio Missions · 149 PAwOBA .322 → .278 (−45)K% 23.5% → 28.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.49%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	28.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.05%	÷0.994	×0.700	—	×0.978	5.55%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.72%	÷0.996	×0.920	×1.050	×0.978	26.29%
Doubles /BIP	8.91%	÷0.992	×0.840	×1.050	×0.978	7.75%
Triples /BIP	0.99%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.050	×0.978	1.06%
Home runs /BIP	0.99%	÷0.940	×0.800	—	×0.978	0.82%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .322 → .278; ISO .103 → .089; BABIP .376 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 78 PAwOBA .289 → .221 (−68)K% 16.7% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.968	×1.360	—	—	23.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.54%	÷1.107	×0.690	—	×0.950	6.83%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.950	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷0.985	×0.920	×1.015	×0.950	19.29%
Doubles /BIP	5.36%	÷1.002	×0.830	×1.015	×0.950	4.28%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.910	×1.015	×0.950	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.79%	÷1.048	×0.800	—	×0.950	1.29%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 94, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .289 → .221; ISO .087 → .064; BABIP .273 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .