Luis González

P Norfolk Tides

Age 35 LHP 6'2" / 170 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	32	AAABAL	44	0	60	4.50	3.07	28.9%	4.9%	—	K 24.8% · BB 4.4% · FIP 3.53
2025	33	AAABAL	4	0	5	5.79	9.53	17.4%	17.4%	—	K 17.4% · BB 17.4% · FIP 8.61
2027PROJ	35	MLBBAL	34	0	36	3.99	3.99	24.2%	7.0%	0.2
2028PROJ1% MLB	36	MLBBAL	—	—	0	4.23	4.36	23.4%	7.8%	—

Next 2 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRaul Valdes (age 35) · Juan Pablo Perez (age 34) · Heriberto Ruelas (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 93101vR 109

ERA3.99

FIP3.99

K%24.2%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%17.2%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	26	24	118	566	91	58	13	92%	4.5	12.4%	11.8%	0.6%	2.4%	6.88	4.88	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	26	24	118	566	91	58	13	92%	4.5	16.1%	10.2%	5.8%	2.3%	6.88	4.47	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	13	0	32	119	43	8	4	0%	2.4	27.8%	7.7%	20.1%	3.5%	3.13	3.63	—
2016	24	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	13	0	32	119	43	8	4	0%	2.4	36.1%	6.7%	29.4%	3.4%	3.13	2.78	—
2017	25	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	36	0	62	250	75	23	3	0%	1.7	23.1%	10.6%	12.5%	1.2%	2.47	3.15	—
2017	25	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	36	0	62	250	75	23	3	0%	1.7	30.0%	9.2%	20.8%	1.2%	2.47	2.42	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	71	302	85	26	5	0%	1.7	23.4%	9.3%	14.2%	1.9%	3.18	3.33	—
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	71	302	85	26	5	0%	1.7	28.1%	8.6%	19.5%	1.7%	3.18	2.72	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	48	224	66	16	10	3%	1.3	25.1%	7.6%	17.5%	5.5%	6.89	4.97	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	1	48	224	66	16	10	3%	1.3	29.5%	7.1%	22.3%	4.5%	6.89	4.05	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	20	0	26	123	33	10	6	0%	1.3	23.6%	8.5%	15.1%	5.4%	7.36	5.15	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	20	0	26	123	33	10	6	0%	1.3	26.8%	8.1%	18.7%	4.9%	7.36	4.74	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	44	0	60	246	71	12	8	0%	1.4	24.8%	4.4%	20.4%	3.6%	4.50	3.53	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	44	0	60	246	71	12	8	0%	1.4	24.8%	4.4%	20.4%	3.6%	4.50	3.53	—
2024	32	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	44	0	60	246	71	12	8	0%	1.4	28.9%	4.9%	24.0%	3.3%	4.50	3.07	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	4	0	5	23	4	4	2	0%	1.2	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	8.7%	5.79	8.61	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	4	0	5	23	4	4	2	0%	1.2	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	8.7%	5.79	8.61	—
2025	33	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	4	0	5	23	4	4	2	0%	1.2	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	8.7%	5.79	9.53	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	35	MLB	BAL	34	0	36	152	37	11	5	0%	1.1	24.2%	7.0%	17.2%	3.0%	3.99	3.99	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	BAL	31	0	32	136	32	11	5	0%	1.0	23.4%	7.8%	15.6%	3.4%	4.23	4.36	+0.1
2028	36	MLB CTX	BAL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.4%	7.8%	15.6%	3.4%	4.23	4.36	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		0	0	0	1	0	0	0	—	—	23.4%	7.8%	15.6%	3.4%	4.23	3.98	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	0	0	0	0%	1.1	23.4%	7.8%	15.6%	3.4%	4.23	3.98	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		223	25	421	1853	382	173	56	11%	1.9	20.6%	9.3%	11.3%	3.0%	5.01	4.21	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	12	200	881	182	82	27	11%	1.9	20.6%	9.3%	11.3%	3.0%	5.01	4.21	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis González (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.99	24.2%	7.0%	3.0%	—	4.36	23.4%	15.6%	32	+0.37	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2013 · 4.07 FIP	35	SU	4.07	24.3%	5.3%	4.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	160	80
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	73
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	71
Hisanori Takahashi L 2010 · 3.50 FIP	35	SW	3.50	22.1%	7.0%	2.5%	.292	3.81	21.1%	15.0%	118	+0.31	3.50	240	69
Brian Shouse L 2004 · 3.47 FIP	35	SU	3.47	18.5%	8.2%	1.6%	.250	3.57	14.8%	8.9%	139	+0.10	2.32	339	67
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	59
Hideki Okajima L 2010 · 4.27 FIP	34	SU	4.27	15.5%	7.0%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	238	59
John Bale L 2009 · 4.31 FIP	35	SU	4.31	17.6%	11.8%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	168	59
Clay Rapada L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	34	SU	3.84	14.3%	8.0%	1.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	120	59
Mike Zagurski L 2018 · 3.12 FIP	35	SU	3.12	30.4%	9.3%	2.6%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	59
Brooks Raley L 2023 · 3.03 FIP	35	SU	3.03	25.8%	9.3%	1.7%	.268	3.00	23.6%	15.9%	78	-0.03	1.74	294	58
Tim Byrdak L 2009 · 5.07 FIP	35	SU	5.07	22.2%	13.8%	3.8%	.185	3.48	23.8%	13.5%	107	-1.59	2.85	320	55
Scott Rice L 2015 · 3.67 FIP	33	SU	3.67	22.9%	17.2%	0.6%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	47
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.16	306	38
Neil Wagner R 2017 · 3.11 FIP	33	SU	3.11	20.7%	8.6%	1.2%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	135	38
Tony Pena Jr. R 2016 · 2.87 FIP	35	SU	2.87	21.5%	4.3%	1.9%	.249	3.43	10.9%	6.6%	22	+0.56	2.80	128	37
Jumbo Diaz R 2019 · 2.98 FIP	35	SU	2.98	25.0%	7.7%	1.8%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	319	37
Toby Borland R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	35	SU	4.28	20.9%	8.1%	3.5%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	248	36
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	36
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	36

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	23.8%	7.4%	1.25	4.10
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Matt Bush ('23)	1.1	53	25.2%	8.0%	1.41	3.75
Charlie Furbush ('15)	1.3	52	24.5%	8.1%	1.04	3.97
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Buddy Schultz ('75-'79, 2 WAR*)	1.2	60	27.4%*	8.5%*	1.21*	4.14*
Julio Navarro ('62-'70, 1 WAR*)	1.1	53	21.7%*	7.8%*	1.55*	4.13*