Luigi Rodriguez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 275 | .262/.309/.397 | 6 | 12 | 52 | — | .211/.249/.309 |
| 2017 | 24 | AACLE | 309 | .276/.321/.497 | 13 | 8 | 74 | — | .232/.262/.389 |
| 2018 | 25 | AASF | 425 | .271/.344/.442 | 14 | 15 | 83 | — | .240/.294/.380 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 249 | 206 | 62 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 36 | 35 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 301 | 410 | 461 | 871 | 160 | 347 | 14 | 14 | 381 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 148 | 132 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 36 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 250 | 322 | 311 | 633 | 61 | 340 | 24 | 9 | 288 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 103 | 95 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 379 | 416 | 579 | 995 | 200 | 440 | 18 | 5 | 427 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 521 | 463 | 124 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 50 | 133 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 268 | 340 | 406 | 747 | 138 | 350 | 26 | 10 | 331 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 134 | 113 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 283 | 386 | 398 | 785 | 115 | 410 | 27 | 13 | 352 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 88 | 76 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 263 | 349 | 329 | 678 | 66 | 373 | 28 | 11 | 307 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 393 | 336 | 84 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 88 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 250 | 349 | 366 | 715 | 116 | 320 | 22 | 13 | 322 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 399 | 372 | 109 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 82 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 293 | 336 | 492 | 828 | 199 | 348 | 21 | 6 | 360 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 23 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 130 | 304 | 435 | 174 | 167 | 43 | 0 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 170 | 158 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 222 | 268 | 335 | 603 | 114 | 317 | 32 | 5 | 268 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 105 | 94 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 330 | 376 | 500 | 876 | 170 | 444 | 30 | 6 | 372 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 309 | 286 | 79 | 22 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 94 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 276 | 321 | 497 | 818 | 220 | 365 | 30 | 6 | 353 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 425 | 380 | 103 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 119 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 271 | 344 | 442 | 786 | 171 | 357 | 28 | 9 | 347 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 249 | 219 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 43 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 205 | 287 | 306 | 593 | 100 | 233 | 17 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 148 | 136 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 228 | 281 | 279 | 560 | 51 | 351 | 34 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 103 | 97 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 278 | 307 | 402 | 709 | 124 | 357 | 26 | 3 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 521 | 480 | 106 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 180 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 221 | 272 | 321 | 593 | 100 | 325 | 35 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 134 | 119 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 244 | 318 | 336 | 654 | 92 | 404 | 38 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 88 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 203 | 267 | 266 | 533 | 63 | 320 | 39 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 393 | 353 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 130 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 207 | 276 | 303 | 580 | 96 | 299 | 33 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 399 | 382 | 91 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 113 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 238 | 265 | 390 | 655 | 152 | 309 | 28 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 170 | 160 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 67 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 188 | 226 | 275 | 501 | 88 | 296 | 39 | 4 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 105 | 96 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 250 | 287 | 365 | 652 | 115 | 403 | 46 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 309 | 293 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 116 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 232 | 262 | 389 | 651 | 157 | 335 | 38 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 425 | 392 | 94 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 149 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 240 | 294 | 380 | 674 | 140 | 346 | 35 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 249 | 219 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 43 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 205 | 287 | 306 | 593 | 100 | 246 | 17 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 249 | 206 | 62 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 36 | 35 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 301 | 410 | 461 | 871 | 160 | 347 | 14 | 14 | 381 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 251 | 233 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 77 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 253 | 296 | 339 | 635 | 86 | 363 | 31 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 251 | 227 | 69 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 55 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 304 | 360 | 423 | 783 | 119 | 384 | 22 | 8 | 345 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 521 | 480 | 106 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 180 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 221 | 272 | 321 | 593 | 100 | 333 | 35 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 521 | 463 | 124 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 50 | 133 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 268 | 340 | 406 | 747 | 138 | 350 | 26 | 10 | 331 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 222 | 198 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 85 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 227 | 298 | 308 | 606 | 81 | 386 | 38 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 222 | 189 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 61 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 275 | 372 | 370 | 742 | 95 | 395 | 27 | 13 | 334 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 393 | 353 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 130 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 207 | 276 | 303 | 580 | 96 | 306 | 33 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 393 | 336 | 84 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 88 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 250 | 349 | 366 | 715 | 116 | 320 | 22 | 13 | 322 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 422 | 404 | 95 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 119 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 235 | 263 | 381 | 644 | 146 | 310 | 28 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 422 | 395 | 112 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 92 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 284 | 325 | 481 | 806 | 197 | 340 | 22 | 6 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 256 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 115 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 211 | 249 | 312 | 562 | 102 | 348 | 42 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 275 | 252 | 66 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 87 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 262 | 309 | 397 | 705 | 135 | 366 | 32 | 5 | 308 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 309 | 293 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 116 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 232 | 262 | 389 | 651 | 157 | 347 | 38 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 309 | 286 | 79 | 22 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 94 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 276 | 321 | 497 | 818 | 220 | 365 | 30 | 6 | 353 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 425 | 392 | 94 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 149 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 240 | 294 | 380 | 674 | 140 | 352 | 35 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 425 | 380 | 103 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 119 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 271 | 344 | 442 | 786 | 171 | 357 | 28 | 9 | 347 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 249 | 222 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 43 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 203 | 287 | 302 | 589 | 99 | 233 | 17 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 251 | 235 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 77 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 251 | 296 | 336 | 632 | 85 | 353 | 31 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 521 | 482 | 106 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 180 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 220 | 272 | 320 | 592 | 100 | 325 | 35 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 222 | 200 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 85 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 225 | 298 | 305 | 603 | 80 | 371 | 38 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 393 | 356 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 130 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 205 | 276 | 301 | 577 | 96 | 299 | 33 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 422 | 404 | 95 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 119 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 235 | 263 | 381 | 644 | 146 | 309 | 28 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 260 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 115 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 208 | 249 | 308 | 557 | 100 | 337 | 42 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 309 | 294 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 116 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 231 | 262 | 388 | 650 | 156 | 335 | 38 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 425 | 392 | 94 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 149 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 240 | 294 | 380 | 674 | 140 | 346 | 35 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3067 | 2828 | 639 | 104 | 33 | 52 | 184 | 1014 | 13 | 155 | 72 | 226 | 276 | 341 | 618 | 115 | 328 | 33 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -117 | +2 | +0 | +11 | +66 | -3.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 135 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 215 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 225 | 276 | 341 | 617 | 115 | 328 | 33 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -25 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 425 PAwOBA .339 → .291 (−48)K% 28.0% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.00% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.71% | ÷0.983 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.20% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 27.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.98% | ÷0.949 | ×0.860 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.36% | ÷0.869 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.76% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .339 → .291; ISO .171 → .143; BABIP .357 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAkron RubberDucks · 309 PAwOBA .344 → .278 (−66)K% 30.4% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.42% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.83% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 22.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.46% | ÷1.072 | ×0.860 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 9.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.77% | ÷1.008 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 5.23% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .344 → .278; ISO .220 → .164; BABIP .365 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 170 PAwOBA .262 → .218 (−44)K% 32.4% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.35% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.71% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.27% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 1.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .262 → .218; ISO .114 → .088; BABIP .317 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 105 PAwOBA .377 → .288 (−88)K% 30.5% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.48% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.015 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 3.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.48% | ÷0.969 | ×0.940 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 33.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 6.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.932 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 4.61% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .377 → .288; ISO .170 → .129; BABIP .444 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 399 PAwOBA .350 → .277 (−72)K% 20.6% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷1.031 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.76% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 3.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.10% | ÷1.026 | ×0.940 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 21.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.76% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 2.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.14% | ÷1.129 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 3.29% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 84, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .350 → .277; ISO .199 → .154; BABIP .348 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Carolina Mudcats · 393 PAwOBA .316 → .256 (−60)K% 22.4% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.39% | ÷0.961 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.72% | ÷0.966 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.60% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 23.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.24% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.869 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 2.53% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .316 → .256; ISO .116 → .099; BABIP .320 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Carolina Mudcats · 134 PAwOBA .346 → .284 (−62)K% 26.9% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.87% | ÷0.994 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.43% | ÷1.013 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 8.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.97% | ÷0.979 | ×0.940 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 26.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 13.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .346 → .284; ISO .115 → .095; BABIP .410 → .404. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ALake County Captains · 88 PAwOBA .303 → .235 (−68)K% 28.4% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.41% | ÷1.001 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.36% | ÷0.936 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×1.015 | 28.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.92% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×1.015 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.956 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.67% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 100, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .303 → .235; ISO .066 → .051; BABIP .373 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .