Erick Salcedo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 350 | .204/.246/.290 | 3 | 4 | 11 | — | .162/.191/.228 |
| 2020 | 27 | INTLBravos de Mar… | 134 | .296/.372/.391 | 0 | 1 | 112 | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | INTLBravos de Mar… | 57 | .151/.182/.170 | 0 | 0 | -7 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 73 | 62 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 314 | 339 | 653 | 113 | 304 | 23 | 11 | 285 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 142 | 108 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 241 | 401 | 315 | 716 | 74 | 271 | 10 | 18 | 330 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 226 | 175 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 240 | 367 | 269 | 635 | 29 | 275 | 11 | 15 | 285 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK | AZL Angels | — | 209 | 189 | 51 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 32 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 270 | 327 | 365 | 692 | 95 | 323 | 15 | 8 | 306 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 468 | 422 | 101 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 57 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 239 | 296 | 265 | 561 | 26 | 275 | 12 | 7 | 255 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 18 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 312 | 646 | 62 | 308 | 17 | 11 | 300 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 84 | 75 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 213 | 263 | 227 | 489 | 13 | 246 | 13 | 6 | 218 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 201 | 183 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 230 | 281 | 246 | 527 | 16 | 275 | 15 | 6 | 240 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 142 | 130 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 246 | 295 | 262 | 557 | 15 | 291 | 15 | 6 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 535 | 488 | 132 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 60 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 270 | 322 | 369 | 691 | 98 | 301 | 11 | 7 | 305 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 460 | 408 | 106 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 260 | 323 | 341 | 664 | 81 | 283 | 11 | 8 | 294 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 99 | 88 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 295 | 361 | 318 | 679 | 23 | 333 | 11 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 471 | 432 | 97 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 225 | 278 | 292 | 570 | 67 | 253 | 11 | 6 | 257 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 115 | 99 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 253 | 321 | 263 | 584 | 10 | 301 | 16 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 88 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 233 | 268 | 501 | 73 | 205 | 10 | 5 | 223 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 262 | 246 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 207 | 250 | 297 | 547 | 89 | 236 | 15 | 5 | 245 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 134 | 115 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 296 | 372 | 391 | 763 | 96 | 337 | 13 | 9 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 57 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 151 | 182 | 170 | 352 | 19 | 157 | 7 | 4 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 73 | 64 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 141 | 214 | 203 | 417 | 62 | 201 | 29 | 8 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 142 | 115 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 165 | 299 | 209 | 508 | 43 | 180 | 12 | 13 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 226 | 185 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 184 | 281 | 205 | 486 | 22 | 193 | 14 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 209 | 196 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 209 | 244 | 281 | 525 | 71 | 259 | 22 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 468 | 432 | 99 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 75 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 229 | 270 | 252 | 522 | 23 | 268 | 16 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 294 | 572 | 59 | 281 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 84 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 224 | 263 | 237 | 499 | 13 | 246 | 15 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 201 | 186 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 188 | 230 | 204 | 434 | 16 | 230 | 20 | 5 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 535 | 500 | 120 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 85 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 240 | 276 | 320 | 596 | 80 | 275 | 16 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 460 | 420 | 107 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 63 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 255 | 298 | 321 | 620 | 67 | 278 | 14 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 471 | 441 | 95 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 69 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 215 | 254 | 277 | 531 | 61 | 248 | 15 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 88 | 83 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 157 | 186 | 217 | 403 | 60 | 172 | 14 | 3 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 262 | 251 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 163 | 192 | 231 | 423 | 68 | 191 | 18 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 73 | 64 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 141 | 214 | 203 | 417 | 62 | 205 | 29 | 8 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 73 | 62 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 314 | 339 | 653 | 113 | 304 | 23 | 11 | 285 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 142 | 115 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 165 | 299 | 209 | 508 | 43 | 190 | 12 | 13 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 142 | 108 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 241 | 401 | 315 | 716 | 74 | 271 | 10 | 18 | 330 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 226 | 185 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 184 | 281 | 205 | 486 | 22 | 217 | 14 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 226 | 175 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 240 | 367 | 269 | 635 | 29 | 275 | 11 | 15 | 285 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 209 | 196 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 209 | 244 | 281 | 525 | 71 | 272 | 22 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Angels | — | 209 | 189 | 51 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 32 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 270 | 327 | 365 | 692 | 95 | 323 | 15 | 8 | 306 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 468 | 432 | 99 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 75 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 229 | 270 | 252 | 522 | 23 | 276 | 16 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 468 | 422 | 101 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 57 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 239 | 296 | 265 | 561 | 26 | 275 | 12 | 7 | 255 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 445 | 411 | 81 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 85 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 197 | 238 | 212 | 450 | 15 | 246 | 19 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | 4 teams | — | 445 | 404 | 94 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 66 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 233 | 284 | 250 | 534 | 17 | 276 | 15 | 7 | 243 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 535 | 500 | 120 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 85 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 240 | 276 | 320 | 596 | 80 | 283 | 16 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | Frederick Keys | — | 535 | 488 | 132 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 60 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 270 | 322 | 369 | 691 | 98 | 301 | 11 | 7 | 305 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 559 | 511 | 130 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 77 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 254 | 298 | 321 | 619 | 67 | 288 | 14 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 559 | 496 | 132 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 61 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 266 | 330 | 337 | 666 | 71 | 292 | 11 | 8 | 297 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 586 | 544 | 119 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 25 | 86 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 219 | 258 | 283 | 541 | 64 | 256 | 15 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 586 | 531 | 122 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 72 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 230 | 286 | 286 | 572 | 56 | 262 | 12 | 6 | 258 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 334 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 60 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 162 | 191 | 228 | 418 | 66 | 189 | 17 | 3 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 350 | 328 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 47 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 246 | 290 | 535 | 85 | 228 | 13 | 5 | 240 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 134 | 115 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 296 | 372 | 391 | 763 | 96 | 337 | 13 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 134 | 115 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 296 | 372 | 391 | 763 | 96 | 337 | 13 | 9 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 57 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 151 | 182 | 170 | 352 | 19 | 157 | 7 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 57 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 151 | 182 | 170 | 352 | 19 | 157 | 7 | 4 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 73 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 134 | 214 | 194 | 408 | 60 | 201 | 29 | 8 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 142 | 119 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 160 | 299 | 202 | 501 | 42 | 180 | 12 | 13 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 226 | 199 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 171 | 281 | 191 | 472 | 20 | 193 | 14 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 209 | 198 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 207 | 244 | 278 | 522 | 71 | 259 | 22 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 468 | 441 | 99 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 75 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 224 | 270 | 247 | 517 | 23 | 268 | 16 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 445 | 420 | 81 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 85 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 193 | 238 | 207 | 445 | 14 | 237 | 19 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 535 | 505 | 120 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 85 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 238 | 276 | 317 | 593 | 79 | 275 | 16 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 559 | 522 | 130 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 77 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 249 | 298 | 314 | 613 | 65 | 278 | 14 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 586 | 552 | 119 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 25 | 86 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 216 | 258 | 279 | 537 | 63 | 248 | 15 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 335 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 60 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 161 | 191 | 227 | 418 | 66 | 186 | 17 | 3 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3784 | 3460 | 748 | 103 | 28 | 9 | 204 | 604 | 18 | 79 | 52 | 216 | 263 | 270 | 533 | 54 | 256 | 16 | 5 | 220 | 35 | -294 | -5 | +0 | +41 | +82 | -18.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 129 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 35 | 104 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 217 | 264 | 274 | 538 | 57 | 257 | 16 | 5 | 220 | 35 | -50 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -3.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAMobile BayBears · 262 PAwOBA .241 → .187 (−54)K% 14.5% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.50% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.34% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.83% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 13.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.054 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.902 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.050 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 113, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 91, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .241 → .187; ISO .089 → .071; BABIP .236 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASalt Lake Bees · 88 PAwOBA .219 → .178 (−41)K% 10.2% → 13.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.23% | ÷1.009 | ×1.290 | — | — | 13.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.44% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 14.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.11% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 3.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .219 → .178; ISO .073 → .055; BABIP .205 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABowie Baysox · 471 PAwOBA .252 → .236 (−16)K% 11.5% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.46% | ÷0.960 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.94% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.31% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 19.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.03% | ÷0.971 | ×0.860 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .252 → .236; ISO .067 → .065; BABIP .253 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABowie Baysox · 460 PAwOBA .289 → .270 (−19)K% 10.9% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.87% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.61% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.47% | ÷1.043 | ×0.860 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.016 | ×0.950 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.40% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.10% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 103, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .289 → .270; ISO .081 → .070; BABIP .283 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Frederick Keys · 535 PAwOBA .299 → .257 (−42)K% 11.2% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.21% | ÷1.003 | ×1.420 | — | — | 15.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.73% | ÷0.972 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 4.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.90% | ÷1.035 | ×0.940 | ×1.033 | ×0.998 | 21.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.37% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.998 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | ×1.033 | ×0.998 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.214 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.52% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 95, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .299 → .257; ISO .098 → .081; BABIP .301 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ABurlington Bees · 201 PAwOBA .235 → .191 (−44)K% 15.4% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.42% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.47% | ÷0.936 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.66% | ÷1.107 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | — | 21.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.97% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | — | 1.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 121, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 106, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .235 → .191; ISO .016 → .014; BABIP .275 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAArkansas Travelers · 84 PAwOBA .216 → .213 (−2)K% 13.1% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.10% | ÷1.047 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.95% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.44% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 23.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.033 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 1.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .216 → .213; ISO .013 → .013; BABIP .246 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASalt Lake Bees · 18 PAwOBA .292 → .244 (−49)K% 16.7% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.952 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 8.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.012 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.050 | 21.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.001 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .292 → .244; ISO .062 → .051; BABIP .308 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .