Kyle Wren
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 561 | .279/.360/.393 | 5 | 28 | 74 | — | .244/.307/.328 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAAPawtucket Red… | 301 | .263/.341/.363 | 3 | 10 | 68 | — | .241/.290/.318 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAACIN | 58 | .220/.316/.300 | 0 | 1 | 32 | — | .189/.246/.264 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A | Rome Braves | — | 215 | 195 | 64 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 328 | 382 | 456 | 838 | 128 | 360 | 10 | 7 | 368 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 25 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 409 | 458 | 636 | 1.095 | 227 | 474 | 12 | 8 | 455 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 227 | 205 | 58 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 40 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 283 | 338 | 376 | 713 | 93 | 352 | 18 | 7 | 315 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 336 | 291 | 86 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 39 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 296 | 365 | 357 | 723 | 62 | 333 | 12 | 9 | 318 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 44 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 238 | 273 | 286 | 558 | 48 | 323 | 25 | 5 | 255 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 314 | 291 | 73 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 251 | 299 | 320 | 619 | 69 | 293 | 14 | 6 | 279 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 258 | 227 | 68 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 300 | 372 | 326 | 698 | 26 | 342 | 11 | 9 | 318 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 320 | 271 | 92 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 52 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 339 | 428 | 432 | 860 | 92 | 414 | 16 | 13 | 381 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 151 | 127 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 283 | 385 | 370 | 755 | 87 | 327 | 13 | 14 | 340 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 540 | 476 | 136 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 54 | 77 | 5 | 26 | 5 | 286 | 364 | 401 | 766 | 116 | 332 | 14 | 10 | 343 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 111 | 238 | 167 | 405 | 56 | 182 | 33 | 14 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 301 | 262 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 67 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 263 | 341 | 363 | 704 | 99 | 332 | 22 | 10 | 312 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 58 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 316 | 300 | 616 | 80 | 314 | 26 | 12 | 281 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 215 | 201 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 299 | 335 | 403 | 738 | 104 | 342 | 13 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 25 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 304 | 333 | 478 | 812 | 174 | 367 | 16 | 4 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 227 | 210 | 54 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 257 | 297 | 343 | 640 | 86 | 329 | 22 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 336 | 301 | 86 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 56 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 286 | 334 | 342 | 677 | 56 | 324 | 17 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 314 | 296 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 59 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 220 | 257 | 270 | 528 | 51 | 266 | 19 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 258 | 235 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 36 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 285 | 336 | 311 | 647 | 26 | 327 | 14 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 320 | 284 | 84 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 69 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 296 | 361 | 366 | 727 | 70 | 372 | 22 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 151 | 136 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 279 | 338 | 360 | 698 | 81 | 324 | 16 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 540 | 491 | 120 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 104 | 5 | 26 | 5 | 244 | 307 | 328 | 634 | 84 | 299 | 19 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 301 | 274 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 81 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 241 | 290 | 318 | 608 | 77 | 309 | 27 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 58 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 189 | 246 | 264 | 510 | 75 | 275 | 33 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 240 | 224 | 69 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 308 | 343 | 424 | 767 | 116 | 354 | 14 | 5 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 240 | 217 | 73 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 336 | 390 | 475 | 864 | 138 | 372 | 10 | 8 | 377 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 607 | 553 | 150 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 33 | 115 | 3 | 50 | 14 | 271 | 316 | 336 | 652 | 65 | 338 | 19 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 607 | 538 | 154 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 48 | 90 | 3 | 50 | 14 | 286 | 348 | 359 | 707 | 72 | 339 | 15 | 8 | 312 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 572 | 531 | 131 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 96 | 3 | 36 | 13 | 247 | 291 | 286 | 577 | 40 | 298 | 17 | 5 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 572 | 518 | 141 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 43 | 74 | 3 | 36 | 13 | 272 | 332 | 322 | 654 | 50 | 315 | 13 | 8 | 296 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 419 | 122 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 42 | 94 | 0 | 29 | 12 | 291 | 356 | 368 | 723 | 76 | 368 | 20 | 9 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 471 | 398 | 128 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 63 | 72 | 0 | 29 | 12 | 322 | 414 | 412 | 826 | 90 | 385 | 15 | 13 | 368 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 561 | 510 | 124 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 108 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 243 | 306 | 327 | 633 | 84 | 302 | 19 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 561 | 494 | 138 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 84 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 279 | 360 | 393 | 752 | 113 | 328 | 15 | 10 | 337 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 301 | 274 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 81 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 241 | 290 | 318 | 608 | 77 | 323 | 27 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 301 | 262 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 67 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 263 | 341 | 363 | 704 | 99 | 332 | 22 | 10 | 312 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 58 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 189 | 246 | 264 | 510 | 75 | 294 | 33 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 58 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 316 | 300 | 616 | 80 | 314 | 26 | 12 | 281 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 240 | 226 | 69 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 305 | 343 | 420 | 764 | 115 | 345 | 14 | 5 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 607 | 566 | 150 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 33 | 115 | 3 | 50 | 14 | 265 | 316 | 329 | 644 | 64 | 326 | 19 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 572 | 534 | 131 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 96 | 3 | 36 | 13 | 245 | 291 | 285 | 575 | 39 | 294 | 17 | 5 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 426 | 122 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 42 | 94 | 0 | 29 | 12 | 286 | 356 | 362 | 717 | 75 | 357 | 20 | 9 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 561 | 510 | 124 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 108 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 243 | 306 | 327 | 633 | 84 | 299 | 19 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 301 | 279 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 81 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 237 | 290 | 312 | 602 | 75 | 309 | 27 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 58 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 185 | 246 | 259 | 505 | 74 | 275 | 33 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2810 | 2564 | 672 | 86 | 32 | 11 | 180 | 546 | 12 | 189 | 57 | 262 | 313 | 333 | 647 | 71 | 326 | 19 | 6 | 283 | 77 | -75 | +15 | +0 | +10 | +61 | 1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 156 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 42 | 126 | 3 | 44 | 13 | 263 | 315 | 336 | 651 | 73 | 327 | 19 | 6 | 283 | 77 | -17 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAALouisville Bats · 58 PAwOBA .275 → .215 (−59)K% 25.9% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.86% | ÷0.960 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.07% | ÷1.151 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 2.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 92, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .275 → .215; ISO .080 → .064; BABIP .314 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 301 PAwOBA .310 → .269 (−42)K% 22.3% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.26% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.97% | ÷1.082 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.003 | 25.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.067 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.003 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.003 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.342 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.97% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 168, 1B 100, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .310 → .269; ISO .099 → .081; BABIP .332 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 540 PAwOBA .334 → .280 (−54)K% 14.3% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.26% | ÷0.953 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.31% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 23.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.01% | ÷1.163 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷0.933 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .334 → .280; ISO .116 → .088; BABIP .332 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 320 PAwOBA .374 → .316 (−58)K% 16.2% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.25% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.12% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 9.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.25% | ÷1.046 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 31.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.57% | ÷1.196 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 3.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 2.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.38% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 109, 2B 139, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .374 → .316; ISO .092 → .071; BABIP .414 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABiloxi Shuckers · 151 PAwOBA .334 → .304 (−30)K% 13.2% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.25% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.91% | ÷1.152 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.10% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 26.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.74% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.922 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.243 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 95, 2B 91, 3B 84, K 100, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .334 → .304; ISO .087 → .083; BABIP .327 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 314 PAwOBA .272 → .232 (−40)K% 14.3% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.33% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.05% | ÷1.015 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 4.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.58% | ÷1.044 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 22.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.47% | ÷1.214 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 3.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.886 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.38% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 109, 2B 143, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .272 → .232; ISO .069 → .052; BABIP .293 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABiloxi Shuckers · 258 PAwOBA .311 → .286 (−25)K% 11.2% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.24% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.018 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.31% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 29.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.943 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.084 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .311 → .286; ISO .026 → .028; BABIP .342 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 336 PAwOBA .316 → .290 (−25)K% 11.6% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.61% | ÷0.979 | ×1.420 | — | — | 16.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷0.948 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.990 | ×0.940 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 28.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.139 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .316 → .290; ISO .062 → .055; BABIP .333 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .