David Vidal
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 30 | INTLIndios de May… | 117 | .178/.284/.257 | 2 | 0 | 59 | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTLPuerto Rico | 134 | .171/.303/.306 | 5 | 1 | 77 | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 111 | .157/.306/.180 | 0 | 0 | 49 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 20 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 312 | 231 | 543 | 77 | 222 | 25 | 12 | 270 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK | AZL Reds | — | 197 | 174 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 344 | 477 | 821 | 201 | 307 | 17 | 8 | 353 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 514 | 454 | 127 | 37 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 111 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 280 | 354 | 498 | 852 | 218 | 325 | 22 | 9 | 369 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 377 | 335 | 77 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 90 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 230 | 297 | 397 | 694 | 167 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 302 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 137 | 121 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 281 | 360 | 512 | 873 | 231 | 303 | 19 | 9 | 381 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 34 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 265 | 281 | 546 | 62 | 389 | 41 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 150 | 131 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 288 | 244 | 532 | 38 | 286 | 27 | 10 | 246 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 237 | 213 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 295 | 343 | 638 | 117 | 300 | 26 | 8 | 286 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 197 | 177 | 46 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 335 | 407 | 742 | 147 | 318 | 21 | 10 | 333 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 135 | 114 | 27 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 341 | 360 | 701 | 123 | 257 | 10 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 51 | 46 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 326 | 380 | 717 | 1.097 | 391 | 333 | 22 | 6 | 459 | 197 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 92 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 261 | 282 | 543 | 82 | 234 | 21 | 7 | 250 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 432 | 376 | 107 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 45 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 285 | 367 | 439 | 806 | 154 | 326 | 16 | 10 | 355 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 311 | 258 | 78 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 302 | 410 | 496 | 906 | 194 | 314 | 14 | 14 | 395 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 166 | 142 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 352 | 394 | 746 | 148 | 256 | 13 | 13 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 501 | 425 | 133 | 27 | 1 | 20 | 65 | 78 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 313 | 407 | 522 | 929 | 209 | 336 | 16 | 13 | 402 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 145 | 122 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 238 | 326 | 311 | 638 | 74 | 283 | 19 | 11 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 117 | 101 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 284 | 257 | 542 | 79 | 198 | 16 | 12 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 134 | 111 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 303 | 306 | 609 | 135 | 167 | 18 | 14 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 111 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 306 | 180 | 485 | 22 | 212 | 22 | 16 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 214 | 464 | 71 | 192 | 31 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 197 | 180 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 250 | 344 | 594 | 144 | 231 | 24 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 514 | 469 | 103 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 152 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 220 | 277 | 367 | 643 | 147 | 280 | 30 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 377 | 344 | 72 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 107 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 209 | 259 | 328 | 587 | 119 | 268 | 28 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 137 | 125 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 232 | 294 | 400 | 694 | 168 | 278 | 26 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 150 | 136 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 253 | 235 | 489 | 37 | 273 | 31 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 237 | 220 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 84 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 226 | 259 | 486 | 82 | 264 | 35 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 197 | 182 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 249 | 275 | 523 | 88 | 264 | 29 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 92 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 217 | 253 | 470 | 80 | 206 | 27 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 432 | 396 | 95 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 87 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 292 | 359 | 650 | 119 | 281 | 20 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 501 | 448 | 104 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 107 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 232 | 301 | 357 | 658 | 125 | 263 | 21 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 213 | 194 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 196 | 250 | 335 | 585 | 139 | 239 | 25 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 213 | 187 | 50 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 341 | 460 | 801 | 193 | 301 | 17 | 8 | 346 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 514 | 469 | 103 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 152 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 220 | 277 | 367 | 643 | 147 | 290 | 30 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 514 | 454 | 127 | 37 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 111 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 280 | 354 | 498 | 852 | 218 | 325 | 22 | 9 | 369 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 501 | 108 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 151 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 268 | 349 | 617 | 134 | 280 | 28 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 548 | 488 | 118 | 30 | 1 | 18 | 43 | 130 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 242 | 311 | 418 | 729 | 176 | 290 | 24 | 8 | 318 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 356 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 130 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 234 | 247 | 481 | 65 | 276 | 34 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 387 | 344 | 75 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 101 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 292 | 305 | 597 | 87 | 295 | 26 | 9 | 270 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 197 | 182 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 249 | 275 | 523 | 88 | 260 | 29 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 197 | 177 | 46 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 335 | 407 | 742 | 147 | 318 | 21 | 10 | 333 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | INTL MLE | Criollos de Caguas | — | 135 | 114 | 27 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 341 | 360 | 701 | 123 | 257 | 10 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | INTL RAW | Criollos de Caguas | — | 135 | 114 | 27 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 341 | 360 | 701 | 123 | 257 | 10 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | INTL MLE | Puerto Rico | — | 51 | 46 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 326 | 380 | 717 | 1.097 | 391 | 333 | 22 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | INTL RAW | Puerto Rico | — | 51 | 46 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 326 | 380 | 717 | 1.097 | 391 | 333 | 22 | 6 | 459 | 197 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 835 | 765 | 172 | 40 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 179 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 279 | 331 | 609 | 106 | 274 | 21 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 835 | 719 | 202 | 36 | 2 | 25 | 93 | 132 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 281 | 371 | 441 | 812 | 160 | 311 | 16 | 11 | 359 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL MLE | Puerto Rico | — | 166 | 142 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 352 | 394 | 746 | 148 | 256 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL RAW | Puerto Rico | — | 166 | 142 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 352 | 394 | 746 | 148 | 256 | 13 | 13 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 646 | 574 | 134 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 54 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 233 | 302 | 361 | 662 | 127 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 646 | 547 | 162 | 33 | 1 | 21 | 81 | 105 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 296 | 389 | 475 | 864 | 179 | 324 | 16 | 13 | 375 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL MLE | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 117 | 101 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 284 | 257 | 542 | 79 | 198 | 16 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL RAW | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 117 | 101 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 284 | 257 | 542 | 79 | 198 | 16 | 12 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL MLE | Puerto Rico | — | 134 | 111 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 303 | 306 | 609 | 135 | 167 | 18 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL RAW | Puerto Rico | — | 134 | 111 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 303 | 306 | 609 | 135 | 167 | 18 | 14 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 111 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 306 | 180 | 485 | 22 | 212 | 22 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 111 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 306 | 180 | 485 | 22 | 212 | 22 | 16 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 213 | 197 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 193 | 250 | 330 | 580 | 137 | 228 | 25 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 514 | 472 | 103 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 152 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 277 | 364 | 641 | 146 | 280 | 30 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 507 | 108 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 151 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 213 | 268 | 345 | 613 | 132 | 271 | 28 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 360 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 130 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 234 | 244 | 479 | 64 | 267 | 34 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 197 | 180 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 249 | 278 | 527 | 89 | 264 | 29 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 835 | 771 | 172 | 40 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 179 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 223 | 279 | 328 | 607 | 105 | 268 | 21 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 646 | 585 | 134 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 54 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 229 | 302 | 354 | 655 | 125 | 263 | 21 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4054 | 3644 | 782 | 176 | 6 | 82 | 299 | 973 | 40 | 12 | 13 | 215 | 281 | 334 | 615 | 119 | 266 | 24 | 7 | 217 | 33 | -324 | -3 | +0 | +14 | +88 | -22.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 125 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 156 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 280 | 332 | 612 | 118 | 265 | 24 | 7 | 217 | 33 | -52 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 501 PAwOBA .399 → .289 (−110)K% 15.6% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.57% | ÷0.871 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.50% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.185 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.76% | ÷1.116 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 3.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 74, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .399 → .289; ISO .209 → .132; BABIP .336 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 432 PAwOBA .344 → .282 (−62)K% 16.2% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.20% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷1.042 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.968 | 19.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.50% | ÷0.985 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×0.968 | 7.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.070 | ×0.880 | ×1.002 | ×0.968 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.27% | ÷1.185 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.14% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 114, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .344 → .282; ISO .154 → .122; BABIP .326 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 92 PAwOBA .244 → .194 (−49)K% 20.7% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.65% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.52% | ÷1.005 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.015 | ×0.900 | ×1.004 | ×0.992 | 18.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.52% | ÷0.918 | ×0.810 | ×1.004 | ×0.992 | 1.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×1.004 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.928 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.53% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 95, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .244 → .194; ISO .082 → .065; BABIP .234 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 197 PAwOBA .324 → .239 (−85)K% 20.8% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.81% | ÷0.961 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.15% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 7.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷1.031 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 17.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.29% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 8.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.421 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 1.86% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 92, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .324 → .239; ISO .147 → .097; BABIP .318 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 237 PAwOBA .280 → .214 (−66)K% 25.7% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.74% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.101 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.74% | ÷0.991 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 18.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.21% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.964 | ×0.760 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.107 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 1.62% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 93, K 95, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .280 → .214; ISO .117 → .087; BABIP .300 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 150 PAwOBA .238 → .215 (−24)K% 26.7% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.050 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.33% | ÷0.966 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.37% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 25.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 2.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 104, 2B 104, 3B 122, K 110, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .238 → .215; ISO .038 → .033; BABIP .286 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 377 PAwOBA .297 → .251 (−45)K% 23.9% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.87% | ÷1.029 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.43% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.96% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 17.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.940 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 8.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.026 | ×0.880 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.569 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.35% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 214, 1B 92, 2B 88, 3B 105, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .297 → .251; ISO .167 → .121; BABIP .277 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 137 PAwOBA .371 → .303 (−68)K% 19.0% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.98% | ÷0.999 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.76% | ÷0.977 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 20.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷0.970 | ×0.820 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 6.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.37% | ÷1.216 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 5.56% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .371 → .303; ISO .231 → .175; BABIP .303 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .