Adam Kolarek
P
Salt Lake Bees
+0.0
WAR
Age 37
LHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
ERA4.62
FIP4.62
xFIP2.75
SIERA2.28
K%22.1%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.3%
IP24
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†4545
FB Velo
p1089.4
Whiff%
p1011.7%
K%
p1011.4%
xwOBA vs
p310.334
FB+1.6
SL+1.2
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 51 | 1 | 67 | 288 | 61 | 27 | 4 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 4.43 | 3.81 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 47 | 0 | 60 | 261 | 63 | 35 | 1 | 20.8% | 14.3% | 0.4% | 3.13 | 3.36 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 53 | 0 | 52 | 224 | 50 | 17 | 2 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 2.42 | 2.33 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 62 | 1 | 79 | 319 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 20.3% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 2.62 | 2.20 | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 80 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 45 | 12 | 7 | 19.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.27 | 3.65 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 0 | 19 | 72 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 18.1% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.95 | 2.99 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 49 | 0 | 48 | 240 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 11.6% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 6.99 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 52 | 0 | 59 | 258 | 48 | 24 | 5 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 5.64 | 3.99 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | New York Mets | 51 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 48 | 30 | 3 | 19.4% | 16.4% | 1.8% | 3.33 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 31 | 0 | 31 | 150 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 19.4% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 6.97 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 24 | — | 24 | 102 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 22 | — | 22 | 94 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 496 | 2 | 519 | 2249 | 416 | 220 | 36 | 18.5% | 9.8% | 1.6% | 3.97 | 3.66 | +9.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 1 | 200 | 867 | 160 | 85 | 14 | 18.5% | 9.8% | 1.6% | 3.97 | 3.66 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adam Kolarek (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.91 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | — | 5.10 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 22 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.12 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 405 | 82 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.15 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 3.0% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 159 | 75 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.42 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 138 | 69 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.57 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 395 | 69 |
| J.A. Happ L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.92 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | .221 | 5.14 | 18.2% | 11.0% | 152 | +1.22 | 3.20 | 1,053 | 64 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.57 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 237 | 61 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.06 | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.64 | 5.7% | -0.3% | 35 | +0.58 | 3.35 | 199 | 56 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 46 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 43 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 43 |
| Chris Narveson L 2024 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 249 | 43 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 39 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 38 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.45 | 12.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 445 | 38 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 38 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.24 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 113 | 37 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.87 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.16 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.29 | 3.50 | 219 | 37 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 37 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 2.2% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 144 | 37 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.94 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 408 | 36 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.