Adam Kolarek
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 37
LHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119128vR 137
ERA5.09
FIP5.24
K%17.5%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%4.7%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.4
Whiff%
p1011.7%
K%
p1011.4%
xwOBA vs
p310.334
FB+1.6
SL+1.2
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 51 | 1 | 67 | 288 | 61 | 27 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 4.43 | 3.74 | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 51 | 1 | 67 | 288 | 61 | 27 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 1.4% | 4.43 | 3.26 | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 60 | 261 | 63 | 35 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.8% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 0.3% | 3.13 | 3.33 | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 60 | 261 | 63 | 35 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 0.4% | 3.13 | 2.97 | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 52 | 224 | 50 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 2.42 | 2.33 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 52 | 224 | 50 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 0.9% | 2.42 | 2.66 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 1 | 79 | 319 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 2% | 1.3 | 20.3% | 4.9% | 15.4% | 0.4% | 2.62 | 2.20 | +2.5 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 1 | 79 | 319 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.3% | 4.7% | 17.6% | 0.3% | 2.62 | 2.04 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 80 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 45 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 0.7 | 19.7% | 5.2% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 3.27 | 3.88 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 80 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 45 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 0.7 | 19.7% | 5.2% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 3.27 | 3.77 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 0 | 19 | 72 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.1% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 1.5% | 0.95 | 3.09 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 0 | 19 | 72 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.1% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 1.4% | 0.95 | 3.05 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 48 | 240 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.6% | 10.4% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 6.99 | 5.34 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 48 | 240 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.99 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 59 | 258 | 48 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 5.64 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 59 | 258 | 48 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 5.64 | 3.79 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 48 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 16.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.33 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 48 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 3.33 | 3.78 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 31 | 0 | 31 | 150 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 6.97 | 5.15 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 31 | 0 | 31 | 150 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 6.97 | 4.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 37 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 30 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.44 | 5.68 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.4% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.44 | 5.68 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 175 | 0 | 149 | 634 | 101 | 36 | 13 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 3.62 | 3.60 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 234 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 135 | 48 | 17 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 3.62 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 496 | 2 | 519 | 2249 | 416 | 220 | 37 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 3.97 | 3.69 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 1 | 200 | 867 | 160 | 85 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 3.97 | 3.69 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adam Kolarek (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.24 | 17.5% | 12.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.68 | 16.4% | 2.8% | 43 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.02 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 159 | 77 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 40 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 39 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 38 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 38 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 36 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 36 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 34 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2024 · 6.00 FIP | 35 | SU | 6.00 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 150 | 33 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 32 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 31 |
| Oscar Villarreal R 2024 · 5.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.28 | 8.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.54 | 135 | 31 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2025 · 5.07 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.07 | 17.5% | 12.7% | 3.3% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 132 | 31 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.30 | 18.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.81 | 226 | 30 |
| Joe Blanton R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.94 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 240 | 29 |
| Edinson Volquez R 2025 · 6.14 FIP | 36 | SW | 6.14 | 13.3% | 16.0% | 3.9% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 498 | 26 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.02 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 394 | 20 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 46 | 17.0% | 13.2% | 1.22 | 5.25 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |