Adam Kolarek — OGILVIE

Adam Kolarek P Salt Lake Bees

Age 37 LHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA4.96

FIP5.10

K%16.7%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.4

Whiff%

p1011.7%

p1011.4%

xwOBA vs

p310.334

FB+1.6

SL+1.2

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	51	1	67	288	61	27	4	2%	1.3	17.2%	10.3%	6.8%	1.5%	4.43	3.80	—
2015	26	AA RAW	Binghamton Mets	51	1	67	288	61	27	4	2%	1.3	21.2%	9.4%	11.8%	1.4%	4.43	3.26	—
2016	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	60	261	63	35	1	0%	1.3	20.8%	14.3%	6.5%	0.4%	3.13	3.36	—
2016	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	60	261	63	35	1	0%	1.3	24.1%	13.4%	10.7%	0.4%	3.13	2.97	—
2017	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	52	224	50	17	2	0%	1.0	22.0%	8.6%	13.4%	0.0%	2.42	2.33	+1.4
2017	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	52	224	50	17	2	0%	1.0	22.3%	7.6%	14.7%	0.9%	2.42	2.66	+1.2
2018	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	1	79	319	71	15	1	2%	1.3	20.3%	4.9%	15.4%	0.4%	2.62	2.20	+2.2
2018	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	1	79	319	71	15	1	2%	1.3	22.3%	4.7%	17.6%	0.3%	2.62	2.04	+2.4
2019	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	80	0	55	229	45	12	7	0%	0.7	19.7%	5.2%	14.4%	2.9%	3.27	3.71	+0.5
2019	30	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	80	0	55	229	45	12	7	0%	0.7	19.7%	5.2%	14.4%	3.1%	3.27	3.77	+0.5
2020	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	20	0	19	72	13	4	1	0%	0.9	18.1%	5.6%	12.5%	1.3%	0.95	3.01	+0.3
2020	31	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	20	0	19	72	13	4	1	0%	0.9	18.1%	5.6%	12.5%	1.4%	0.95	3.05	+0.3
2021	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	48	240	31	24	7	0%	1.0	11.6%	10.4%	1.2%	3.4%	6.99	5.28	-0.4
2021	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	48	240	31	24	7	0%	1.0	12.9%	10.0%	2.9%	2.9%	6.99	5.22	-0.4
2022	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	59	258	48	24	5	0%	1.1	16.8%	9.6%	7.2%	2.0%	5.64	4.00	+0.4
2022	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	59	258	48	24	5	0%	1.1	18.6%	9.3%	9.3%	1.9%	5.64	3.79	+0.5
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	49	208	48	30	3	0%	1.0	18.3%	14.0%	4.3%	1.8%	3.33	4.32	+0.1
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	49	208	48	30	3	0%	1.0	18.3%	14.0%	4.3%	1.8%	3.33	4.32	+0.1
2023	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	49	208	48	30	3	0%	1.0	23.1%	14.4%	8.7%	1.4%	3.33	3.78	+0.4
2024	35	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	31	0	31	150	33	18	4	0%	1.0	18.3%	10.8%	7.5%	3.3%	6.97	4.74	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	31	0	31	150	33	18	4	0%	1.0	18.3%	10.8%	7.5%	3.3%	6.97	4.74	—
2024	35	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	31	0	31	150	33	18	4	0%	1.0	22.0%	12.0%	10.0%	2.7%	6.97	4.39	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			175	0	149	634	101	36	13	0%	0.9	15.9%	5.7%	10.3%	2.1%	3.62	3.60	+1.7
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	37	MLB	LAA	4	0	4	17	3	2	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	11.5%	5.3%	2.9%	4.96	5.10	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	LAA	41	0	43	182	28	22	6	0%	1.0	15.6%	12.2%	3.4%	3.3%	5.31	5.54	-0.5
2027	38	MLB CTX	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	15.6%	12.2%	3.4%	3.3%	5.31	5.54	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		175	0	149	634	101	36	13	0%	0.9	15.9%	5.7%	10.3%	2.1%	3.62	3.60	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		234	0	200	849	135	48	17	0%	0.9	15.9%	5.7%	10.3%	2.1%	3.62	3.60	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		496	2	519	2249	412	213	36	0%	1.0	18.3%	9.5%	8.9%	1.6%	3.97	3.63	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		191	1	200	867	159	82	14	0%	1.0	18.3%	9.5%	8.9%	1.6%	3.97	3.63	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Kolarek (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	16.7%	11.5%	2.9%	—	5.54	15.6%	3.4%	43	+0.44	—	—	—
Craig Breslow L 2018 · 5.13 FIP	37	SU	5.13	17.8%	15.1%	2.9%	.400	—	—	—	—	—	4.22	159	72
Jorge De La Rosa L 2018 · 4.07 FIP	37	SU	4.07	19.3%	9.5%	2.6%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.86	405	63
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	41
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	39
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	39
Jason Motte R 2017 · 5.16 FIP	35	SU	5.16	16.3%	11.4%	3.6%	.193	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	113	38
Chien-Ming Wang R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	36	SU	4.53	13.0%	7.8%	2.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	183	37
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	37
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	37
Santiago Casilla R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	37	SU	4.13	22.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.289	4.14	16.8%	1.6%	44	+0.01	3.50	219	36
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	35
Ronald Belisario R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	36	SU	4.16	12.7%	3.9%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.10	126	34
Felipe Paulino R 2019 · 5.82 FIP	35	SU	5.82	19.2%	9.4%	5.7%	.385	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	150	34
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	33
Oscar Villarreal R 2017 · 5.36 FIP	35	SU	5.36	8.7%	8.6%	3.5%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.53	135	33
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	30
Joe Blanton R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	36	SU	4.94	20.0%	5.6%	5.1%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	240	28
Seunghwan Oh R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	37	SU	5.75	18.2%	6.8%	6.0%	.383	—	—	—	—	—	1.87	226	26
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	21
Edinson Volquez R 2019 · 6.11 FIP	36	SW	6.11	13.3%	16.0%	3.9%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	498	20

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	16.2%	11.8%	1.20	5.12
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74