Jonathan Jones
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | AAAVaqueros Unio… | 271 | .245/.343/.412 | 8 | 7 | 72 | — | .211/.287/.343 |
| 2018 | 28 | INTLCaneros de lo… | 174 | .192/.295/.298 | 3 | 9 | 73 | — | |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 574 | .343/.410/.485 | 11 | 33 | 114 | — | .300/.361/.437 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 143 | 124 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 298 | 387 | 371 | 758 | 73 | 356 | 16 | 10 | 347 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 372 | 320 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 54 | 11 | 25 | 4 | 266 | 356 | 322 | 678 | 56 | 320 | 15 | 9 | 310 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 32 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 258 | 281 | 355 | 636 | 97 | 280 | 16 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 16 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 312 | 154 | 466 | 154 | 0 | 12 | 246 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 107 | 97 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 227 | 299 | 299 | 598 | 72 | 268 | 14 | 9 | 276 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 196 | 172 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 233 | 302 | 314 | 616 | 81 | 269 | 13 | 8 | 272 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 81 | 67 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 284 | 400 | 493 | 893 | 209 | 263 | 7 | 15 | 392 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 271 | 233 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 48 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 245 | 343 | 412 | 755 | 167 | 275 | 18 | 10 | 337 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 174 | 151 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 192 | 295 | 298 | 593 | 106 | 220 | 18 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 450 | 391 | 138 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 73 | 14 | 31 | 9 | 353 | 426 | 519 | 945 | 166 | 414 | 16 | 8 | 411 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 124 | 114 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 307 | 352 | 368 | 721 | 61 | 347 | 12 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 143 | 129 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 256 | 324 | 318 | 642 | 62 | 324 | 22 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 372 | 330 | 77 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 77 | 11 | 25 | 4 | 233 | 307 | 282 | 589 | 48 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 143 | 393 | 153 | 0 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 107 | 101 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 198 | 243 | 267 | 510 | 69 | 245 | 20 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 196 | 177 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 226 | 275 | 305 | 580 | 79 | 256 | 17 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 81 | 71 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 338 | 408 | 746 | 155 | 237 | 9 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 271 | 242 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 58 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 211 | 287 | 343 | 630 | 132 | 240 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 450 | 403 | 121 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 86 | 14 | 31 | 9 | 300 | 361 | 437 | 797 | 136 | 353 | 19 | 5 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 143 | 129 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 256 | 324 | 318 | 642 | 62 | 330 | 22 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 143 | 124 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 298 | 387 | 371 | 758 | 73 | 356 | 16 | 10 | 347 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 360 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 83 | 11 | 27 | 7 | 233 | 305 | 281 | 585 | 47 | 303 | 21 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 404 | 351 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 59 | 11 | 27 | 7 | 265 | 350 | 325 | 675 | 60 | 316 | 15 | 9 | 308 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 123 | 114 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 193 | 252 | 254 | 506 | 61 | 237 | 17 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 123 | 110 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 218 | 301 | 282 | 583 | 64 | 253 | 12 | 10 | 272 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 196 | 177 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 226 | 275 | 305 | 580 | 79 | 273 | 17 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 196 | 172 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 233 | 302 | 314 | 616 | 81 | 269 | 13 | 8 | 272 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 81 | 71 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 254 | 338 | 408 | 746 | 155 | 246 | 9 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 81 | 67 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 284 | 400 | 493 | 893 | 209 | 263 | 7 | 15 | 392 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 271 | 242 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 58 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 211 | 287 | 343 | 630 | 132 | 251 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 271 | 233 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 48 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 245 | 343 | 412 | 755 | 167 | 275 | 18 | 10 | 337 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 174 | 151 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 192 | 295 | 298 | 593 | 106 | 220 | 18 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 174 | 151 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 192 | 295 | 298 | 593 | 106 | 220 | 18 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 518 | 155 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 110 | 15 | 33 | 10 | 299 | 355 | 434 | 790 | 135 | 362 | 19 | 5 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 574 | 505 | 173 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 88 | 15 | 33 | 10 | 343 | 410 | 485 | 895 | 143 | 398 | 15 | 7 | 392 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 143 | 129 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 256 | 324 | 318 | 642 | 62 | 324 | 22 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 364 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 83 | 11 | 27 | 7 | 231 | 305 | 277 | 582 | 47 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 123 | 113 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 195 | 252 | 257 | 509 | 62 | 233 | 17 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 196 | 182 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 220 | 275 | 297 | 572 | 77 | 256 | 17 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 81 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 250 | 338 | 403 | 740 | 153 | 237 | 9 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Union Laguna | — | 271 | 243 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 58 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 210 | 287 | 342 | 629 | 132 | 240 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 524 | 155 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 110 | 15 | 33 | 10 | 296 | 355 | 429 | 785 | 134 | 353 | 19 | 5 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1966 | 1762 | 432 | 70 | 15 | 25 | 126 | 375 | 47 | 103 | 37 | 245 | 313 | 344 | 657 | 99 | 298 | 19 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -83 | +6 | +0 | +7 | +43 | -2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 142 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 124 | 16 | 34 | 12 | 244 | 312 | 341 | 654 | 98 | 296 | 19 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -27 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAALeones de Yucatan · 450 PAwOBA .401 → .341 (−59)K% 16.2% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.22% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.78% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.11% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.45% | ÷0.992 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 27.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.60% | ÷0.910 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 5.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.14% | ÷0.792 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.70% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 58, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .401 → .341; ISO .166 → .142; BABIP .414 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAVaqueros Union Laguna · 271 PAwOBA .328 → .274 (−54)K% 17.7% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.71% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.46% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×0.992 | 17.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.992 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.992 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.32% | ÷0.879 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.42% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .328 → .274; ISO .167 → .138; BABIP .275 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 81 PAwOBA .382 → .322 (−60)K% 7.4% → 9.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.31% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 2.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.95% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 93, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .382 → .322; ISO .209 → .169; BABIP .263 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 196 PAwOBA .265 → .242 (−24)K% 13.3% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.27% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.55% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 19.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.79% | ÷0.952 | ×0.860 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.921 | ×0.950 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .265 → .242; ISO .081 → .077; BABIP .269 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 107 PAwOBA .265 → .225 (−40)K% 14.0% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.02% | ÷1.007 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.41% | ÷1.032 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷1.025 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 17.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.023 | ×0.960 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.160 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .265 → .225; ISO .072 → .065; BABIP .268 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 16 PAwOBA .241 → .215 (−26)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 5.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 15.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 114, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .241 → .215; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .154 → .153. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 372 PAwOBA .302 → .264 (−38)K% 14.5% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.52% | ÷1.001 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.87% | ÷1.020 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.96% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 2.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.56% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 23.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.111 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.944 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 103, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .302 → .264; ISO .056 → .050; BABIP .320 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ALansing Lugnuts · 143 PAwOBA .340 → .282 (−58)K% 16.1% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.08% | ÷0.963 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.49% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.10% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.69% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | — | 28.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.96% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | — | 3.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | — | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.86% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 121, 3B 96, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .340 → .282; ISO .073 → .059; BABIP .356 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .