Bryan Holaday

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1987-11-19

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	31	AAANew Orleans B…	118	.247/.391/.387	2	1	72	—	.198/.296/.287
2019	31	MLBMIA	129	.278/.346/.435	4	0	119	0.7
2020	32	MLBBAL	33	.161/.212/.194	0	0	15	-0.1
2021	33	AAAARI	108	.263/.327/.579	7	1	74	—	.194/.240/.408
2021	33	MLBARI	34	.194/.265/.258	0	0	46	0.0
2022	34	No MLB games played
2023	35	No MLB games played
2024	36	No MLB games played
2025	37	No MLB games played
2026	38	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

Avg EV34

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	188	159	35	8	0	3	21	43	7	0	0	220	337	327	664	107	281	23	11	309	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	371	330	80	18	0	7	27	76	4	6	1	242	307	361	668	118	291	20	7	294	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	282	250	60	12	1	2	22	43	5	2	0	240	314	320	634	80	280	15	8	287	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	33	27	8	1	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	296	367	444	811	148	304	9	6	331	114	+1	+0	-3	+7	+1	0.5
2013	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	320	288	75	18	1	4	18	57	5	0	1	260	315	372	687	111	309	18	6	301	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	32	28	5	2	0	2	1	7	1	0	0	179	233	464	698	286	158	22	3	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	171	156	36	5	1	0	8	37	1	1	1	231	273	276	548	45	293	22	5	243	52	-10	-0	-6	+3	+4	-1.0
2015	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	65	64	18	5	0	2	1	13	0	0	0	281	292	453	745	172	327	20	2	327	112	+1	+0	-2	+4	+1	0.5
2015	27	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	179	161	36	8	0	2	10	35	4	1	1	224	286	311	596	87	270	20	6	267	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	129	117	27	7	1	2	7	28	2	0	1	231	286	359	645	128	281	22	5	283	73	-4	-0	-3	+3	+3	-0.1
2016	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	38	34	11	1	1	2	3	9	1	0	0	324	395	588	983	265	391	24	8	427	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	29	29	7	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	241	241	310	552	69	250	3	0	245	54	-2	+0	-0	+7	+1	0.5
2017	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	347	309	83	20	0	12	22	54	6	0	3	269	329	450	779	181	286	16	6	336	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	166	151	31	5	0	1	10	29	2	0	0	205	264	258	522	53	244	17	6	238	46	-11	+0	+11	+3	+4	0.7
2019	31	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	129	115	32	6	0	4	11	21	1	0	1	278	346	435	781	157	308	16	9	344	119	+3	-0	-3	+4	+3	0.7
2019	31	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	118	93	23	7	0	2	17	12	5	1	1	247	391	387	778	140	259	10	14	350	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	33	31	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	161	212	194	406	32	227	27	6	191	15	-3	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.1
2021	33	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	34	31	6	2	0	0	1	15	2	0	0	194	265	258	523	65	375	44	3	246	46	-2	+0	-1	+3	+1	0.0
2021	33	AAA	Reno Aces	—	108	95	25	9	0	7	9	19	0	1	0	263	327	579	906	316	247	18	8	375	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	789	721	170	34	2	10	42	156	9	1	3	236	286	330	616	94	284	20	5	274	71	-27	-1	-7	+34	+17	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	188	166	28	6	0	3	14	63	7	0	0	169	262	259	521	90	245	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	371	339	73	16	0	4	18	94	4	6	1	215	263	298	561	83	271	25	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	282	256	55	10	1	2	16	54	5	2	0	215	274	285	560	70	258	19	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	33	27	8	1	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	296	367	444	811	148	304	9	6	337	114	+1	+0	-3	+7	+1	0.5
2013	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	320	294	68	15	1	4	12	68	5	0	1	231	273	330	603	99	274	21	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	171	156	36	5	1	0	8	37	1	1	1	231	273	276	548	45	293	22	5	246	52	-10	-0	-6	+3	+4	-1.0
2015	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	65	64	18	5	0	2	1	13	0	0	0	281	292	453	745	172	327	20	2	334	112	+1	+0	-2	+4	+1	0.5
2015	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	179	165	32	6	0	2	6	42	4	1	1	194	240	267	507	73	232	23	3	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	129	117	26	6	1	2	7	28	2	0	1	222	278	342	620	120	281	22	5	276	73	-4	-0	-3	+3	+3	-0.1
2016	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	38	35	10	1	1	2	2	12	1	0	0	286	342	543	885	257	348	32	5	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	29	29	7	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	241	241	310	552	69	250	3	0	249	54	-2	+0	-0	+7	+1	0.5
2017	29	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	347	316	72	18	0	10	15	65	6	0	3	228	276	380	656	152	239	19	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	166	153	31	5	0	1	8	29	2	0	0	203	252	255	506	52	244	17	5	236	46	-11	+0	+11	+3	+4	0.7
2019	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	129	117	33	7	0	4	9	21	1	0	1	282	339	444	783	162	308	16	7	344	119	+3	-0	-3	+4	+3	0.7
2019	31	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	118	101	20	6	0	1	9	16	5	1	1	198	296	287	583	89	210	14	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	33	31	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	161	212	194	406	32	227	27	6	191	15	-3	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.1
2021	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	34	31	6	2	0	0	1	15	2	0	0	194	265	258	523	65	375	44	3	237	46	-2	+0	-1	+3	+1	0.0
2021	33	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	108	98	19	6	0	5	6	23	0	1	0	194	240	408	649	214	179	21	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	188	166	28	6	0	3	14	63	7	0	0	169	262	259	521	90	248	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	188	159	35	8	0	3	21	43	7	0	0	220	337	327	664	107	281	23	11	309	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	371	339	73	16	0	4	18	94	4	6	1	215	263	298	561	83	282	25	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	371	330	80	18	0	7	27	76	4	6	1	242	307	361	668	118	291	20	7	294	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	282	256	55	10	1	2	16	54	5	2	0	215	274	285	560	70	262	19	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	282	250	60	12	1	2	22	43	5	2	0	240	314	320	634	80	280	15	8	287	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	385	349	83	18	1	5	15	77	7	0	1	238	283	338	621	100	289	20	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	385	343	88	21	1	7	21	67	7	0	1	257	313	385	698	128	298	17	5	302	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	171	156	36	5	1	0	8	37	1	1	1	231	273	276	548	45	293	22	5	246	52	-10	-0	-6	+3	+4	-1.0
2014	26	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	171	156	36	5	1	0	8	37	1	1	1	231	273	276	548	45	293	22	5	243	52	-10	-0	-6	+3	+4	-1.0
2015	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	244	229	50	11	0	4	7	55	4	1	1	218	254	319	573	100	267	23	3	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	244	225	54	13	0	4	11	48	4	1	1	240	287	351	639	111	286	20	5	283	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	167	152	36	7	2	4	9	40	3	0	1	237	293	388	681	151	291	24	5	290	83	-3	-0	-3	+3	+4	0.0
2016	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	167	151	38	8	2	4	10	37	3	0	1	252	311	411	722	159	304	22	6	316	83	-3	-0	-3	+3	+4	0.0
2017	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	376	345	79	20	0	10	15	66	6	0	3	229	273	374	647	145	252	18	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	376	338	90	22	0	12	22	55	6	0	3	266	322	438	760	172	283	15	6	329	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	166	153	31	5	0	1	8	29	2	0	0	203	252	255	506	52	240	17	5	236	46	-11	+0	+11	+3	+4	0.7
2018	30	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	166	151	31	5	0	1	10	29	2	0	0	205	264	258	522	53	244	17	6	238	46	-11	+0	+11	+3	+4	0.7
2019	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	247	218	53	12	0	6	18	37	6	1	2	243	318	381	699	138	264	15	7	311	96	-1	-1	-3	+4	+5	0.5
2019	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	247	208	55	13	0	6	28	33	6	1	2	264	368	413	781	149	285	13	11	347	96	-1	-1	-3	+4	+5	0.5
2020	32	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	33	31	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	161	212	194	406	32	227	27	6	191	15	-3	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.1
2020	32	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	33	31	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	161	212	194	406	32	227	27	6	191	15	-3	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.1
2021	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	142	129	24	8	0	5	7	38	2	1	0	186	239	364	603	178	211	27	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	142	126	31	11	0	7	10	34	2	1	0	246	312	500	812	254	270	24	7	344	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	188	165	28	6	0	3	14	63	7	0	0	170	262	261	523	91	245	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	371	346	73	16	0	4	18	94	4	6	1	211	263	292	555	81	271	25	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	282	259	55	10	1	2	16	54	5	2	0	212	274	282	556	69	258	19	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	385	360	83	18	1	5	15	77	7	0	1	231	283	328	611	97	277	20	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	171	160	36	5	1	0	8	37	1	1	1	225	273	269	541	44	293	22	5	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	244	231	50	11	0	4	7	55	4	1	1	216	254	316	570	100	257	23	3	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	167	153	36	7	2	4	9	40	3	0	1	235	293	386	678	150	296	24	5	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	376	352	79	20	0	10	15	66	6	0	3	224	273	366	640	142	240	18	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	166	155	31	5	0	1	8	29	2	0	0	200	252	252	503	52	244	17	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	247	221	53	12	0	6	18	37	6	1	2	240	318	376	694	136	261	15	7	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	33	31	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	161	212	194	406	32	227	27	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	142	132	24	8	0	5	7	38	2	1	0	182	239	356	595	174	226	27	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	789	721	170	34	2	10	42	156	9	1	3	236	286	330	616	94	284	20	5	274	63	-27	-1	-7	+34	+17	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	140	28	2	8	35	129	7	1	2	236	286	330	616	94	284	20	5	274	63	-22	-1	-6	+28	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2772	2523	553	119	5	44	137	599	47	12	10	219	272	323	595	103	266	22	5	262	63	-27	-1	-7	+34	+17	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	129	28	1	10	32	140	11	3	2	218	271	319	591	101	264	22	5	262	63	-22	-1	-6	+28	+14	1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAAReno Aces · 108 PAwOBA .378 → .277 (−102)K% 17.6% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.59%	÷0.991	×1.200	—	—	21.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷0.963	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.61%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.84%	÷1.047	×0.930	×0.963	×0.940	9.52%
Doubles /BIP	11.84%	÷1.096	×0.830	×0.963	×0.940	8.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.113	×0.920	×0.963	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.21%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×0.940	6.33%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 123, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .378 → .277; ISO .316 → .225; BABIP .247 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 118 PAwOBA .342 → .274 (−69)K% 10.2% → 13.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.17%	÷0.950	×1.290	—	—	13.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.71%	÷1.085	×0.710	—	×0.952	7.92%
HBP% /PA	4.24%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	3.95%
Singles /BIP	17.28%	÷0.971	×0.900	×0.950	×0.952	14.49%
Doubles /BIP	8.64%	÷0.952	×0.810	×0.950	×0.952	6.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.950	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.47%	÷1.100	×0.780	—	×0.952	1.67%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .342 → .274; ISO .140 → .110; BABIP .259 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 347 PAwOBA .331 → .275 (−56)K% 15.6% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.56%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	18.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.34%	÷0.996	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.27%
HBP% /PA	1.73%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.58%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.054	×0.930	×0.977	×0.972	16.77%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷0.916	×0.830	×0.977	×0.972	6.75%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.977	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.71%	÷1.049	×0.840	—	×0.972	3.66%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 111, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .331 → .275; ISO .181 → .151; BABIP .286 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARound Rock Express · 38 PAwOBA .415 → .341 (−74)K% 23.7% → 30.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.68%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	30.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.89%	÷1.039	×0.710	—	×0.982	5.30%
HBP% /PA	2.63%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	2.53%
Singles /BIP	28.00%	÷0.949	×0.900	—	×0.982	26.07%
Doubles /BIP	4.00%	÷1.079	×0.810	—	×0.982	2.95%
Triples /BIP	4.00%	÷0.977	×0.810	—	×0.982	3.26%
Home runs /BIP	8.00%	÷0.839	×0.780	—	×0.982	7.30%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 90, 2B 116, 3B 95, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .415 → .341; ISO .265 → .216; BABIP .391 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 179 PAwOBA .263 → .220 (−44)K% 19.6% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.55%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	23.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.59%	÷1.085	×0.690	—	×0.992	3.52%
HBP% /PA	2.23%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	2.08%
Singles /BIP	20.63%	÷0.988	×0.930	×0.966	×0.992	18.61%
Doubles /BIP	6.35%	÷1.083	×0.830	×0.966	×0.992	4.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.966	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.59%	÷0.911	×0.840	—	×0.992	1.45%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 100, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .263 → .220; ISO .087 → .071; BABIP .270 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 320 PAwOBA .296 → .260 (−36)K% 17.8% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.81%	÷1.011	×1.200	—	—	21.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.62%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×1.018	3.80%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.50%
Singles /BIP	22.51%	÷1.016	×0.930	×0.976	×1.018	20.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.79%	÷0.994	×0.830	×0.976	×1.018	6.47%
Triples /BIP	0.43%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.976	×1.018	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	1.73%	÷0.883	×0.840	—	×1.018	1.68%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .296 → .260; ISO .111 → .100; BABIP .309 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 282 PAwOBA .282 → .250 (−32)K% 15.2% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.25%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	19.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.80%	÷0.988	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.63%
HBP% /PA	1.77%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.72%
Singles /BIP	21.74%	÷1.045	×0.930	×1.016	×1.033	20.31%
Doubles /BIP	5.80%	÷1.015	×0.830	×1.016	×1.033	4.98%
Triples /BIP	0.48%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.016	×1.033	0.55%
Home runs /BIP	0.97%	÷0.913	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.92%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 109, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .282 → .250; ISO .080 → .073; BABIP .280 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAErie SeaWolves · 371 PAwOBA .289 → .247 (−42)K% 20.5% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.49%	÷0.983	×1.220	—	—	25.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.01%	÷1.019	×0.700	—	×1.012	4.87%
HBP% /PA	1.08%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.93%
Singles /BIP	21.65%	÷1.011	×0.970	×0.997	×1.012	20.97%
Doubles /BIP	7.09%	÷1.005	×0.860	×0.997	×1.012	6.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.952	×0.950	×0.997	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.76%	÷1.245	×0.780	—	×1.012	1.75%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 102, 2B 101, 3B 90, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .289 → .247; ISO .118 → .088; BABIP .291 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .