Kellin Deglan

PosC

B/TL/R

Born1992-05-03

Age (2027)35

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	27	AAA/AA2 orgs	277	.257/.330/.426	9	1	58	—	.204/.265/.329
2021	29	AAATOR	128	.211/.323/.358	4	1	39	—	.149/.236/.228
2022	30	AAATOR	88	.111/.182/.148	0	2	-29	—	.096/.148/.120

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	18	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	31	28	8	0	1	0	2	7	1	0	0	286	355	357	712	71	381	23	6	325	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	339	291	66	15	1	6	34	91	8	2	0	227	324	347	671	120	303	27	10	303	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	362	320	75	25	2	12	32	96	5	4	4	234	314	438	751	203	292	27	9	328	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	39	35	6	0	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	171	256	257	514	86	227	31	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	359	308	71	10	2	12	33	94	14	0	0	231	332	393	725	162	289	26	9	326	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	49	46	10	3	0	1	1	16	0	0	0	217	234	348	582	130	290	33	2	246	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	371	327	82	21	2	15	34	87	4	2	0	251	329	465	794	214	294	23	9	345	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	173	157	45	6	0	16	11	31	4	1	1	287	349	631	979	344	261	18	6	419	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	73	70	15	3	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	214	247	300	547	86	298	30	4	246	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+	High Desert Mavericks	—	259	237	56	7	1	12	17	76	3	1	0	236	296	426	722	190	293	29	7	317	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	294	268	52	8	1	9	18	108	5	1	3	194	258	332	590	138	281	37	6	264	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	111	98	18	6	0	2	9	32	3	0	0	184	273	306	579	122	250	29	8	265	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	22	19	3	0	0	1	2	6	1	0	0	158	273	316	589	158	167	27	9	274	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	255	230	61	13	1	8	17	73	7	1	0	265	335	435	769	170	353	29	7	342	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	128	109	23	4	0	4	14	40	4	1	0	211	323	358	681	147	288	31	11	310	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	88	81	9	3	0	0	7	26	0	2	1	111	182	148	330	37	164	30	8	161	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	31	29	6	0	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	207	258	276	534	69	315	32	3	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	339	302	55	13	1	4	23	125	8	2	0	182	258	272	530	89	274	37	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	362	331	55	17	2	8	21	135	5	4	4	166	227	302	529	136	240	37	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	359	319	58	7	1	12	22	130	14	0	0	182	265	323	588	141	252	36	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	49	46	8	2	0	1	1	24	0	0	0	174	191	283	474	109	264	49	2	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	371	337	66	16	2	10	24	116	4	2	0	196	258	344	602	148	252	31	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	73	71	12	2	0	1	2	26	0	0	0	169	192	239	431	70	259	36	3	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	High Desert Mavericks	—	259	242	42	5	1	9	12	105	3	1	0	174	222	314	536	140	248	41	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	294	273	43	6	1	6	13	128	5	1	3	158	210	253	462	95	257	44	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	A+ MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	111	101	15	6	0	1	6	45	3	0	0	149	218	238	456	89	241	41	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	22	20	3	0	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	150	227	300	527	150	150	32	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	255	235	49	9	1	6	12	93	7	1	0	209	268	332	600	123	308	36	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	128	114	17	3	0	2	9	50	4	1	0	149	236	228	464	79	243	39	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	88	83	8	2	0	0	5	31	0	2	1	96	148	120	268	24	152	35	6	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	31	29	6	0	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	207	258	276	534	69	316	32	3	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	31	28	8	0	1	0	2	7	1	0	0	286	355	357	712	71	381	23	6	325	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	339	302	55	13	1	4	23	125	8	2	0	182	258	272	530	89	288	37	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	339	291	66	15	1	6	34	91	8	2	0	227	324	347	671	120	303	27	10	303	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	401	367	61	19	2	9	23	149	6	4	4	166	227	302	530	136	244	37	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	401	355	81	25	2	13	35	108	6	4	4	228	308	420	728	192	286	27	9	320	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	359	319	58	7	1	12	22	130	14	0	0	182	265	323	588	141	257	36	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+ RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	359	308	71	10	2	12	33	94	14	0	0	231	332	393	725	162	289	26	9	326	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	593	542	104	25	3	15	34	197	8	3	1	192	250	332	582	140	265	33	6	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	593	530	137	30	2	32	46	134	8	3	1	258	327	504	831	245	284	23	8	358	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	332	313	54	7	1	10	14	131	3	1	0	173	215	297	512	125	254	39	4	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	332	307	71	10	1	13	20	98	3	1	0	231	285	397	682	166	294	30	6	302	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	294	273	43	6	1	6	13	128	5	1	3	158	210	253	462	95	262	44	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	294	268	52	8	1	9	18	108	5	1	3	194	258	332	590	138	281	37	6	264	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	A+ MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	111	101	15	6	0	1	6	45	3	0	0	149	218	238	456	89	255	41	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	A+ RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	111	98	18	6	0	2	9	32	3	0	0	184	273	306	579	122	250	29	8	265	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	277	255	52	9	1	7	13	100	8	1	0	204	264	329	594	125	302	36	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	277	249	64	13	1	9	19	79	8	1	0	257	330	426	755	169	340	29	7	337	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	128	114	17	3	0	2	9	50	4	1	0	149	236	228	464	79	238	39	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	128	109	23	4	0	4	14	40	4	1	0	211	323	358	681	147	288	31	11	310	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	88	83	8	2	0	0	5	31	0	2	1	96	148	120	268	24	154	35	6	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	88	81	9	3	0	0	7	26	0	2	1	111	182	148	330	37	164	30	8	161	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	31	29	6	0	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	207	258	276	534	69	315	32	3	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	339	305	55	13	1	4	23	125	8	2	0	180	258	269	527	89	274	37	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	401	369	61	19	2	9	23	149	6	4	4	165	227	301	528	136	240	37	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	359	320	58	7	1	12	22	130	14	0	0	181	265	322	587	141	252	36	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	593	546	104	25	3	15	34	197	8	3	1	190	250	330	580	139	253	33	6	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	332	312	54	7	1	10	14	131	3	1	0	173	215	298	513	125	250	39	4	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	294	274	43	6	1	6	13	128	5	1	3	157	210	252	461	95	257	44	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	A+ MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	111	101	15	6	0	1	6	45	3	0	0	149	218	238	456	89	241	41	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	277	254	52	9	1	7	13	100	8	1	0	205	264	331	595	126	295	36	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	128	114	17	3	0	2	9	50	4	1	0	149	236	228	464	79	243	39	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	88	83	8	2	0	0	5	31	0	2	1	96	148	120	268	24	152	35	6	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2953	2698	473	97	11	66	163	1096	60	15	9	175	238	293	531	117	261	37	6	233	44	-198	-1	+0	+53	+64	-8.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	104	21	2	15	36	241	13	3	2	175	238	293	531	118	259	37	6	233	44	-44	-0	+0	+12	+14	-1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AAABuffalo Bisons · 88 PAwOBA .157 → .126 (−32)K% 29.5% → 34.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.55%	÷1.018	×1.200	—	—	34.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.95%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.17%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	10.91%	÷0.960	×0.930	×1.028	×0.972	10.56%
Doubles /BIP	5.45%	÷0.984	×0.830	×1.028	×0.972	4.60%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.149	×0.970	×1.028	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.951	×0.700	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .157 → .126; ISO .037 → .030; BABIP .164 → .152. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAABuffalo Bisons · 128 PAwOBA .305 → .226 (−79)K% 31.2% → 38.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.25%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	38.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.94%	÷1.024	×0.690	—	×0.982	7.24%
HBP% /PA	3.12%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	2.88%
Singles /BIP	21.74%	÷1.071	×0.930	×1.013	×0.982	18.78%
Doubles /BIP	5.80%	÷0.962	×0.830	×1.013	×0.982	4.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.013	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.80%	÷1.081	×0.700	—	×0.982	3.69%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .305 → .226; ISO .147 → .096; BABIP .288 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AATrenton Thunder · 255 PAwOBA .334 → .258 (−76)K% 28.6% → 36.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.63%	÷0.956	×1.220	—	—	36.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷0.999	×0.700	—	×0.978	4.57%
HBP% /PA	2.75%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	2.28%
Singles /BIP	24.84%	÷0.984	×0.970	×0.950	×0.978	22.76%
Doubles /BIP	8.28%	÷1.040	×0.860	×0.950	×0.978	6.36%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷0.937	×0.950	×0.950	×0.978	0.60%
Home runs /BIP	5.10%	÷0.960	×0.780	—	×0.978	4.05%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 87, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .334 → .258; ISO .170 → .124; BABIP .353 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 22 PAwOBA .267 → .211 (−56)K% 27.3% → 32.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.27%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	32.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.90%
HBP% /PA	4.55%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	4.29%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷1.019	×0.930	—	×1.003	14.08%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.009	×0.830	—	×1.003	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.938	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.087	×0.840	—	×1.003	5.96%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 88, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .267 → .211; ISO .158 → .119; BABIP .167 → .150. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Tampa Tarpons · 111 PAwOBA .258 → .204 (−54)K% 28.8% → 40.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.83%	÷1.004	×1.420	—	—	40.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.11%	÷1.015	×0.750	—	×0.968	5.80%
HBP% /PA	2.70%	—	×0.930	—	×0.968	2.43%
Singles /BIP	15.15%	÷1.003	×0.920	×1.030	×0.968	13.86%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.891	×0.960	×1.030	×0.968	9.77%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.983	×0.810	×1.030	×0.968	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.03%	÷1.205	×0.880	—	×0.968	2.14%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 101, 2B 78, 3B 97, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .258 → .204; ISO .122 → .094; BABIP .250 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 294 PAwOBA .259 → .207 (−52)K% 36.7% → 43.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.73%	÷1.034	×1.220	—	—	43.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.12%	÷0.978	×0.700	—	×1.012	4.43%
HBP% /PA	1.70%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	1.50%
Singles /BIP	21.25%	÷0.982	×0.920	×1.012	×1.012	20.39%
Doubles /BIP	5.00%	÷1.062	×0.840	×1.012	×1.012	4.05%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷1.150	×0.940	×1.012	×1.012	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	5.62%	÷1.065	×0.800	—	×1.012	4.28%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .259 → .207; ISO .138 → .100; BABIP .281 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+High Desert Mavericks · 259 PAwOBA .310 → .231 (−78)K% 29.3% → 40.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.34%	÷0.973	×1.340	—	—	40.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.56%	÷1.021	×0.710	—	×0.998	4.55%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.91%
Singles /BIP	22.36%	÷1.041	×0.910	×0.993	×0.998	19.37%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷1.046	×0.820	×0.993	×0.998	3.38%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷0.900	×0.760	×0.993	×0.998	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	7.45%	÷1.015	×0.920	—	×0.998	6.74%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 108, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .310 → .231; ISO .190 → .146; BABIP .293 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 73 PAwOBA .240 → .192 (−47)K% 30.1% → 35.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.14%	÷1.033	×1.220	—	—	35.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.11%	÷0.976	×0.700	—	×1.027	3.03%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.92%	÷1.047	×0.920	×0.982	×1.027	20.31%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.026	×0.840	×0.982	×1.027	5.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.982	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷0.946	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.81%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .240 → .192; ISO .086 → .068; BABIP .298 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).