Todd Cunningham
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AAALAA | 417 | .278/.381/.387 | 6 | 23 | 74 | — | .230/.310/.312 | |
| 2016 | 27 | MLBLAA | 29 | .148/.179/.259 | 0 | 0 | 17 | -0.7 | ||
| 2017 | 28 | AAAOklahoma City… | 358 | .284/.408/.414 | 4 | 7 | 95 | — | .242/.343/.337 | |
| 2018 | 29 | AAACWS | 60 | .163/.255/.204 | 0 | 2 | 8 | — | .157/.218/.196 | |
| 2019 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | — | 263 | 231 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 260 | 342 | 338 | 680 | 78 | 294 | 11 | 5 | 311 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 386 | 334 | 86 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 47 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 257 | 349 | 353 | 702 | 96 | 289 | 12 | 9 | 319 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 73 | 64 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 324 | 344 | 668 | 94 | 308 | 18 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 519 | 466 | 144 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 51 | 4 | 24 | 8 | 309 | 366 | 403 | 770 | 94 | 340 | 10 | 7 | 340 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 115 | 95 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 274 | 367 | 421 | 788 | 147 | 324 | 18 | 7 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 487 | 427 | 113 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 62 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 265 | 343 | 333 | 676 | 68 | 305 | 13 | 8 | 306 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 531 | 470 | 135 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 79 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 287 | 350 | 406 | 756 | 119 | 329 | 15 | 7 | 330 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 78 | 70 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 270 | 257 | 527 | 29 | 250 | 9 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 93 | 86 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 280 | 267 | 547 | 47 | 275 | 18 | 5 | 255 | 51 | -5 | +0 | +2 | -5 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 375 | 329 | 86 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 261 | 329 | 337 | 666 | 76 | 283 | 9 | 6 | 295 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 29 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 179 | 259 | 438 | 111 | 190 | 21 | 3 | 188 | 17 | -3 | -0 | +1 | -5 | +1 | -0.7 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 417 | 349 | 97 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 56 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 278 | 381 | 387 | 768 | 109 | 314 | 13 | 12 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 358 | 292 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 50 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 284 | 408 | 414 | 822 | 130 | 328 | 14 | 12 | 371 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 60 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 163 | 255 | 204 | 459 | 41 | 190 | 15 | 8 | 204 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 122 | 113 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 204 | 256 | 265 | 522 | 62 | 256 | 19 | 5 | 239 | 48 | -8 | -0 | +3 | -10 | +3 | -1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 263 | 236 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 242 | 312 | 314 | 625 | 72 | 283 | 16 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 386 | 346 | 84 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 66 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 243 | 312 | 321 | 633 | 78 | 283 | 17 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 519 | 482 | 135 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 64 | 4 | 24 | 8 | 280 | 317 | 369 | 686 | 89 | 310 | 12 | 4 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 487 | 438 | 109 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 76 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 249 | 312 | 313 | 625 | 64 | 289 | 16 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 531 | 481 | 127 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 97 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 264 | 313 | 362 | 674 | 98 | 304 | 18 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 93 | 87 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 269 | 264 | 533 | 46 | 275 | 18 | 4 | 244 | 51 | -5 | +0 | +2 | -5 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 375 | 338 | 86 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 254 | 304 | 325 | 629 | 71 | 270 | 12 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 29 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 179 | 259 | 438 | 111 | 190 | 21 | 3 | 194 | 17 | -3 | -0 | +1 | -5 | +1 | -0.7 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 417 | 365 | 84 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 75 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 230 | 310 | 312 | 622 | 82 | 267 | 18 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 358 | 306 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 64 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 242 | 343 | 337 | 679 | 95 | 289 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 60 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 157 | 218 | 196 | 414 | 39 | 166 | 18 | 5 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 263 | 236 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 242 | 312 | 314 | 625 | 72 | 289 | 16 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 263 | 231 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 260 | 342 | 338 | 680 | 78 | 294 | 11 | 5 | 311 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 411 | 99 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 78 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 241 | 310 | 319 | 628 | 78 | 287 | 17 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 459 | 398 | 102 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 60 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 256 | 345 | 352 | 697 | 95 | 292 | 13 | 8 | 316 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 634 | 580 | 166 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 79 | 10 | 27 | 10 | 286 | 329 | 381 | 710 | 95 | 324 | 12 | 4 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 634 | 561 | 170 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 72 | 10 | 27 | 10 | 303 | 366 | 406 | 773 | 103 | 337 | 11 | 7 | 339 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 487 | 438 | 109 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 76 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 249 | 312 | 313 | 625 | 64 | 296 | 16 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 487 | 427 | 113 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 62 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 265 | 343 | 333 | 676 | 68 | 305 | 13 | 8 | 306 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 551 | 145 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 111 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 263 | 311 | 359 | 670 | 96 | 316 | 18 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 609 | 540 | 151 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 86 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 280 | 340 | 387 | 727 | 107 | 318 | 14 | 6 | 318 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 425 | 105 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 61 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 247 | 297 | 313 | 610 | 66 | 281 | 13 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 468 | 415 | 105 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 51 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 253 | 319 | 323 | 642 | 70 | 281 | 11 | 6 | 287 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 392 | 88 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 81 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 224 | 301 | 309 | 610 | 84 | 269 | 18 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 446 | 376 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 62 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 269 | 368 | 378 | 745 | 109 | 305 | 14 | 12 | 333 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 358 | 306 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 64 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 242 | 343 | 337 | 679 | 95 | 293 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 358 | 292 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 50 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 284 | 408 | 414 | 822 | 130 | 328 | 14 | 12 | 371 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 60 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 157 | 218 | 196 | 414 | 39 | 190 | 18 | 5 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 60 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 163 | 255 | 204 | 459 | 41 | 190 | 15 | 8 | 204 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 263 | 237 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 312 | 312 | 624 | 72 | 283 | 16 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 415 | 99 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 78 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 239 | 310 | 316 | 625 | 77 | 283 | 17 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 634 | 592 | 166 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 79 | 10 | 27 | 10 | 280 | 329 | 373 | 702 | 93 | 310 | 12 | 4 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 487 | 444 | 109 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 76 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 245 | 312 | 309 | 620 | 63 | 289 | 16 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 566 | 145 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 111 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 256 | 311 | 350 | 661 | 94 | 304 | 18 | 4 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 435 | 105 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 61 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 241 | 297 | 306 | 602 | 64 | 271 | 13 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 400 | 88 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 81 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 220 | 301 | 302 | 604 | 82 | 262 | 18 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 358 | 308 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 64 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 240 | 343 | 334 | 677 | 94 | 289 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 60 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 143 | 218 | 179 | 397 | 36 | 166 | 18 | 5 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 122 | 113 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 204 | 256 | 265 | 522 | 62 | 256 | 19 | 5 | 239 | 77 | -8 | -0 | +3 | -10 | +3 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 122 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 123 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 203 | 256 | 264 | 520 | 61 | 255 | 19 | 5 | 239 | 77 | -40 | -2 | +16 | -52 | +14 | -6.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3784 | 3390 | 851 | 137 | 28 | 28 | 204 | 603 | 100 | 135 | 52 | 251 | 313 | 333 | 645 | 82 | 296 | 16 | 5 | 281 | 77 | -8 | -0 | +3 | -10 | +3 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 147 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 104 | 17 | 23 | 9 | 253 | 314 | 337 | 651 | 84 | 298 | 16 | 5 | 281 | 77 | -40 | -2 | +16 | -52 | +14 | -6.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAACharlotte Knights · 60 PAwOBA .206 → .180 (−26)K% 15.0% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×0.982 | 13.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×0.982 | 3.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.319 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .206 → .180; ISO .041 → .035; BABIP .190 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 358 PAwOBA .364 → .309 (−55)K% 14.0% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.97% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.73% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 8.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.03% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 4.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.14% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×1.018 | ×0.992 | 21.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.26% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×0.992 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×0.992 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.29% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .364 → .309; ISO .130 → .103; BABIP .328 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASalt Lake Bees · 417 PAwOBA .337 → .277 (−60)K% 13.4% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.43% | ÷0.969 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.23% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.68% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.91% | ÷1.033 | ×0.900 | ×0.997 | ×1.003 | 21.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.46% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×1.003 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.137 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×1.003 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.035 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.55% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 127, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .337 → .277; ISO .109 → .086; BABIP .314 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAGwinnett Braves · 375 PAwOBA .290 → .271 (−18)K% 9.1% → 11.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.07% | ÷0.940 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.87% | ÷1.103 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.05% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.019 | ×1.018 | 22.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.018 | 3.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.988 | ×0.970 | ×1.019 | ×1.018 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.014 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.57% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 88, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .290 → .271; ISO .076 → .071; BABIP .283 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAGwinnett Braves · 531 PAwOBA .322 → .290 (−32)K% 14.9% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.88% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.21% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.81% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 23.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.16% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.120 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.59% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .322 → .290; ISO .119 → .101; BABIP .329 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAGwinnett Braves · 487 PAwOBA .299 → .274 (−25)K% 12.7% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.42% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.48% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 24.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.56% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 3.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.047 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.55% | ÷0.949 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 109, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .299 → .274; ISO .068 → .065; BABIP .305 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAMississippi Braves · 519 PAwOBA .331 → .298 (−33)K% 9.8% → 12.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.83% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.94% | ÷1.114 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.99% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 24.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.54% | ÷0.987 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.852 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.70% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 93, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .331 → .298; ISO .094 → .094; BABIP .340 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 386 PAwOBA .312 → .277 (−35)K% 12.2% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.009 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.55% | ÷0.988 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.63% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 3.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.940 | ×1.044 | ×1.012 | 23.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.18% | ÷1.052 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.012 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.044 | ×1.012 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.166 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 1.09% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .312 → .277; ISO .096 → .080; BABIP .289 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .