Alex Claudio
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 34
LHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 123
ERA4.33
FIP4.60
K%18.7%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP53
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1085.4
Whiff%
p5325.8%
K%
p3720.3%
xwOBA vs
p320.333
CH-0.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 56 | 229 | 48 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.1% | 5.0% | 14.2% | 2.4% | 2.91 | 3.43 | +0.7 |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 56 | 229 | 48 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.0% | 4.8% | 16.2% | 2.6% | 2.91 | 3.37 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 68 | 274 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 0.7% | 2.25 | 2.83 | +1.5 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 68 | 274 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.3% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 0.7% | 2.25 | 2.82 | +1.5 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 70 | 1 | 83 | 323 | 56 | 11 | 5 | 1% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 3.4% | 13.9% | 1.5% | 2.50 | 2.90 | +2.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 70 | 1 | 83 | 323 | 56 | 11 | 5 | 1% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 3.4% | 13.9% | 1.5% | 2.50 | 2.93 | +2.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 66 | 1 | 68 | 299 | 41 | 10 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 3.3% | 10.4% | 1.3% | 4.48 | 3.08 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 66 | 1 | 68 | 299 | 41 | 10 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 3.3% | 10.4% | 1.3% | 4.48 | 3.10 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 83 | 0 | 62 | 267 | 44 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 0.7 | 16.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.06 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 83 | 0 | 62 | 267 | 44 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 0.7 | 16.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.06 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 20 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.26 | 3.89 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 20 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 2 | 44 | 200 | 43 | 17 | 6 | 4% | 0.9 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 5.68 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 2 | 44 | 200 | 43 | 17 | 6 | 4% | 0.9 | 21.5% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 5.68 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 44 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 3.66 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 44 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 3.66 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 1 | 43 | 191 | 26 | 13 | 1 | 2% | 0.8 | 12.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 4.15 | 3.39 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 1 | 43 | 191 | 26 | 13 | 1 | 2% | 0.8 | 13.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.5% | 4.15 | 3.10 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 42 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | MIL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 5.06 | 5.31 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.94 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 5.06 | 5.31 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 343 | 2 | 338 | 1428 | 237 | 80 | 31 | 1% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 3.63 | 3.61 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 203 | 1 | 200 | 844 | 140 | 47 | 18 | 1% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 3.63 | 3.61 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 469 | 5 | 495 | 2085 | 345 | 121 | 42 | 1% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 3.60 | 3.54 | +10.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 2 | 200 | 842 | 139 | 49 | 17 | 1% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 3.60 | 3.54 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alex Claudio (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 2.8% | — | 5.11 | 17.3% | 7.3% | 89 | +0.51 | — | — | — |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.43 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.09 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.34 | 2.72 | 166 | 80 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 73 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.65 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.32 | 182 | 71 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 71 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.69 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .269 | 2.57 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.12 | 2.18 | 195 | 67 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 181 | 67 |
| Zach Duke L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.65 | 16.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | .182 | 3.44 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 75 | -1.21 | 2.44 | 215 | 66 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 64 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.07 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 63 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.56 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 3.05 | 117 | 60 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.04 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.39 | 259 | 59 |
| Dana Eveland L 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 59 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | .276 | 3.68 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -0.85 | 2.22 | 405 | 57 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 127 | 57 |
| Adam Loewen L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 57 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.47 | 18.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | .283 | 4.33 | 25.7% | 18.0% | 79 | +0.86 | 3.47 | 512 | 56 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 549 | 56 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 55 |
| Andrew Miller L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.56 | 29.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% | .264 | 3.33 | 25.6% | 16.5% | 49 | -1.23 | 1.34 | 336 | 55 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 54 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 47 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 1.22 | 4.67 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |