D.K. Carey
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AHagerstown Su… | 507 | .234/.346/.345 | 8 | 10 | 50 | — | .193/.270/.283 |
| 2016 | 24 | A+Potomac Natio… | 401 | .209/.344/.331 | 7 | 5 | 45 | — | .173/.257/.266 |
| 2017 | 25 | A+Potomac Natio… | 249 | .229/.358/.341 | 3 | 1 | 37 | — | .164/.252/.232 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 23 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 507 | 415 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 66 | 91 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 234 | 346 | 345 | 691 | 111 | 273 | 18 | 13 | 307 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 401 | 326 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 63 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 209 | 344 | 331 | 675 | 123 | 256 | 21 | 16 | 308 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 249 | 205 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 229 | 358 | 341 | 699 | 112 | 308 | 24 | 16 | 321 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 507 | 441 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 126 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 193 | 270 | 283 | 554 | 91 | 229 | 25 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 401 | 353 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 122 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 173 | 257 | 266 | 523 | 93 | 232 | 30 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 249 | 220 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 164 | 252 | 232 | 484 | 68 | 257 | 35 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 507 | 441 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 126 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 193 | 270 | 283 | 554 | 91 | 245 | 25 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 507 | 415 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 66 | 91 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 234 | 346 | 345 | 691 | 111 | 273 | 18 | 13 | 307 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 401 | 353 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 122 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 173 | 257 | 266 | 523 | 93 | 241 | 30 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 401 | 326 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 63 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 209 | 344 | 331 | 675 | 123 | 256 | 21 | 16 | 308 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 249 | 220 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 164 | 252 | 232 | 484 | 68 | 260 | 35 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 249 | 205 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 229 | 358 | 341 | 699 | 112 | 308 | 24 | 16 | 321 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 507 | 455 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 126 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 187 | 270 | 275 | 545 | 88 | 229 | 25 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 401 | 358 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 122 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 170 | 257 | 263 | 520 | 92 | 232 | 30 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 249 | 221 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 163 | 252 | 231 | 483 | 68 | 257 | 35 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1157 | 1014 | 182 | 31 | 6 | 15 | 102 | 336 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 179 | 262 | 266 | 528 | 87 | 247 | 29 | 9 | 235 | 45 | -75 | -5 | +0 | +4 | +25 | -5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 570 | 101 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 57 | 189 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 177 | 259 | 260 | 519 | 82 | 244 | 29 | 9 | 235 | 45 | -42 | -3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 A+Potomac Nationals · 249 PAwOBA .315 → .223 (−92)K% 24.1% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.10% | ÷0.963 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.06% | ÷0.982 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 9.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.07% | ÷1.050 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×0.968 | 19.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×0.968 | 5.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.001 | ×0.968 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.07% | ÷1.368 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 1.32% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .315 → .223; ISO .112 → .074; BABIP .308 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Potomac Nationals · 401 PAwOBA .303 → .234 (−69)K% 20.9% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.95% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.46% | ÷1.061 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 8.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.01% | ÷0.966 | ×0.940 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 17.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 3.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.89% | ÷1.025 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 93, 2B 102, 3B 95, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .303 → .234; ISO .123 → .101; BABIP .256 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AHagerstown Suns · 507 PAwOBA .306 → .242 (−65)K% 17.9% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.95% | ÷0.971 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.02% | ÷1.054 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.30% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.980 | 18.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.992 | ×0.820 | ×0.993 | ×0.980 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.993 | ×0.980 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 2.03% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .306 → .242; ISO .111 → .093; BABIP .273 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).