Willy García
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | INTLTiburones de … | 33 | .143/.273/.250 | 1 | 0 | 56 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | INTLYaquis de Obr… | 136 | .234/.279/.352 | 3 | 0 | 78 | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTLPanama | 19 | .125/.263/.125 | 0 | 0 | 25 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates | — | 198 | 168 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 250 | 340 | 333 | 674 | 83 | 289 | 15 | 7 | 302 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 201 | 177 | 47 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 49 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 266 | 330 | 446 | 776 | 181 | 331 | 24 | 5 | 332 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 497 | 459 | 110 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 32 | 131 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 240 | 289 | 403 | 692 | 163 | 292 | 26 | 6 | 304 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 480 | 449 | 115 | 21 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 154 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 256 | 295 | 437 | 732 | 180 | 351 | 32 | 5 | 318 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 474 | 439 | 119 | 27 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 145 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 271 | 313 | 478 | 792 | 207 | 361 | 31 | 5 | 341 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | INTL | Dominican Republic | — | 156 | 145 | 40 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 276 | 323 | 476 | 798 | 200 | 337 | 24 | 6 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 291 | 276 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 76 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 246 | 285 | 424 | 709 | 178 | 305 | 26 | 4 | 312 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 224 | 204 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 314 | 358 | 441 | 799 | 127 | 381 | 21 | 5 | 347 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 53 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 180 | 372 | 20 | 222 | 28 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 499 | 462 | 113 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 245 | 295 | 366 | 661 | 121 | 326 | 26 | 6 | 294 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 65 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 270 | 196 | 466 | 18 | 263 | 29 | 11 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 119 | 105 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 162 | 311 | 26 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 134 | 112 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 398 | 473 | 872 | 188 | 386 | 28 | 13 | 387 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 92 | 87 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 287 | 326 | 345 | 671 | 57 | 353 | 20 | 5 | 305 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 33 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 273 | 250 | 523 | 107 | 231 | 42 | 15 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 136 | 128 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 279 | 352 | 631 | 117 | 307 | 27 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL | Panama | — | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 263 | 125 | 388 | 200 | 32 | 16 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 119 | 105 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 162 | 311 | 26 | 9 | 308 | 95 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +3 | -0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 198 | 172 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 169 | 251 | 209 | 461 | 41 | 191 | 18 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 201 | 181 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 71 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 193 | 247 | 326 | 573 | 133 | 260 | 35 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 497 | 468 | 93 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 23 | 169 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 199 | 236 | 331 | 567 | 132 | 265 | 34 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 480 | 456 | 83 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 220 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 182 | 213 | 300 | 514 | 118 | 311 | 46 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 474 | 448 | 110 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 179 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 246 | 275 | 429 | 703 | 183 | 351 | 38 | 3 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 291 | 280 | 62 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 93 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 221 | 251 | 389 | 640 | 168 | 295 | 32 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 224 | 209 | 65 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 311 | 339 | 421 | 761 | 110 | 385 | 25 | 3 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 499 | 473 | 108 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 155 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 228 | 263 | 336 | 599 | 108 | 322 | 31 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 119 | 105 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 162 | 311 | 26 | 9 | 307 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 134 | 117 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 331 | 385 | 715 | 145 | 356 | 36 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 198 | 172 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 169 | 251 | 209 | 461 | 41 | 206 | 18 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates | — | 198 | 168 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 250 | 340 | 333 | 674 | 83 | 289 | 15 | 7 | 302 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 201 | 181 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 71 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 193 | 247 | 326 | 573 | 133 | 282 | 35 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Pirates | — | 201 | 177 | 47 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 49 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 266 | 330 | 446 | 776 | 181 | 331 | 24 | 5 | 332 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 497 | 468 | 93 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 23 | 169 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 199 | 236 | 331 | 567 | 132 | 270 | 34 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 497 | 459 | 110 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 32 | 131 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 240 | 289 | 403 | 692 | 163 | 292 | 26 | 6 | 304 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 480 | 456 | 83 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 220 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 182 | 213 | 300 | 514 | 118 | 319 | 46 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 480 | 449 | 115 | 21 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 154 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 256 | 295 | 437 | 732 | 180 | 351 | 32 | 5 | 318 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 598 | 145 | 30 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 238 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 242 | 271 | 420 | 690 | 177 | 359 | 38 | 3 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 630 | 584 | 159 | 41 | 5 | 23 | 34 | 182 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 272 | 316 | 478 | 793 | 205 | 354 | 29 | 5 | 343 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 568 | 539 | 140 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 166 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 260 | 289 | 403 | 691 | 143 | 343 | 29 | 3 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 568 | 530 | 140 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 138 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 264 | 305 | 408 | 712 | 143 | 328 | 24 | 4 | 313 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 564 | 533 | 122 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 175 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 229 | 263 | 338 | 601 | 109 | 326 | 31 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 564 | 518 | 123 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 150 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 237 | 292 | 347 | 640 | 110 | 320 | 27 | 7 | 285 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 345 | 306 | 72 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 108 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 314 | 386 | 699 | 150 | 332 | 31 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 345 | 304 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 87 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 349 | 411 | 760 | 141 | 349 | 25 | 10 | 338 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 33 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 273 | 250 | 523 | 107 | 231 | 42 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 33 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 273 | 250 | 523 | 107 | 231 | 42 | 15 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | INTL MLE | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 136 | 128 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 279 | 352 | 631 | 117 | 307 | 27 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | INTL RAW | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 136 | 128 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 279 | 352 | 631 | 117 | 307 | 27 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL MLE | Panama | — | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 263 | 125 | 388 | 200 | 32 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL RAW | Panama | — | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 263 | 125 | 388 | 200 | 32 | 16 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 198 | 177 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 164 | 251 | 203 | 455 | 40 | 191 | 18 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 201 | 186 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 71 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 188 | 247 | 317 | 565 | 129 | 260 | 35 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 497 | 471 | 93 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 23 | 169 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 197 | 236 | 329 | 565 | 132 | 265 | 34 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 480 | 459 | 83 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 220 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 181 | 213 | 298 | 512 | 118 | 311 | 46 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 602 | 145 | 30 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 238 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 241 | 271 | 417 | 687 | 176 | 351 | 38 | 3 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 568 | 541 | 140 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 166 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 259 | 289 | 401 | 690 | 142 | 334 | 29 | 3 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 564 | 534 | 122 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 175 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 228 | 263 | 337 | 601 | 109 | 322 | 31 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 345 | 307 | 72 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 108 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 314 | 384 | 698 | 150 | 335 | 31 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 119 | 105 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 162 | 311 | 26 | 9 | 308 | 57 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +3 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 136 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 60 | 169 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 309 | 397 | 706 | 160 | 309 | 26 | 9 | 308 | 57 | -4 | +0 | -4 | -20 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3671 | 3425 | 755 | 135 | 31 | 85 | 161 | 1239 | 33 | 61 | 45 | 220 | 262 | 352 | 615 | 132 | 314 | 34 | 4 | 252 | 57 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +3 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 133 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 219 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 219 | 263 | 350 | 612 | 130 | 312 | 34 | 4 | 252 | 57 | -4 | +0 | -4 | -20 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAACharlotte Knights · 134 PAwOBA .380 → .310 (−70)K% 28.4% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.36% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.43% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.38% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 27.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 7.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 5.10% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 115, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .380 → .310; ISO .188 → .142; BABIP .386 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 499 PAwOBA .287 → .262 (−25)K% 26.3% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.25% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.01% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.05% | ÷0.998 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 22.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.06% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 8.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.81% | ÷0.933 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .287 → .262; ISO .121 → .112; BABIP .326 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 291 PAwOBA .303 → .272 (−32)K% 26.1% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.12% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.12% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.50% | ÷1.044 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 21.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.50% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.847 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 5.21% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 108, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .303 → .272; ISO .178 → .166; BABIP .305 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAltoona Curve · 224 PAwOBA .339 → .328 (−11)K% 21.0% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.98% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.02% | ÷1.004 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.85% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 32.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 4.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.18% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.80% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .339 → .328; ISO .127 → .115; BABIP .381 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAltoona Curve · 474 PAwOBA .332 → .295 (−37)K% 30.6% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.59% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.64% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.47% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.042 | 23.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.18% | ÷1.020 | ×0.860 | ×1.020 | ×1.042 | 8.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.020 | ×1.042 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.12% | ÷0.833 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 5.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .332 → .295; ISO .207 → .184; BABIP .361 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Bradenton Marauders · 480 PAwOBA .310 → .221 (−89)K% 32.1% → 45.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.08% | ÷0.994 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.58% | ÷1.068 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 3.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.41% | ÷1.056 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.027 | 21.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.12% | ÷1.079 | ×0.960 | ×1.001 | ×1.027 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.03% | ÷0.946 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×1.027 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.42% | ÷1.187 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 4.13% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 89, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .310 → .221; ISO .180 → .121; BABIP .351 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AWest Virginia Power · 497 PAwOBA .298 → .245 (−53)K% 26.4% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.36% | ÷1.040 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.44% | ÷0.933 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.26% | ÷1.035 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.030 | 20.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷1.031 | ×0.820 | ×1.020 | ×1.030 | 4.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.040 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×1.030 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.49% | ÷0.960 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 4.83% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 108, K 108, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .298 → .245; ISO .163 → .133; BABIP .292 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKGCL Pirates · 201 PAwOBA .330 → .237 (−93)K% 24.4% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.000 | ×1.008 | 18.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.000 | ×1.008 | 5.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.000 | ×1.008 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.07% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .330 → .237; ISO .181 → .127; BABIP .331 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .