Devon Travis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/A+TOR | 38 | .306/.324/.417 | 0 | 0 | 84 | — | .308/.326/.421 | |
| 2016 | 25 | MLBTOR | 432 | .300/.333/.454 | 11 | 4 | 120 | 2.5 | ||
| 2017 | 26 | MLBTOR | 197 | .259/.294/.438 | 5 | 4 | 101 | 0.5 | ||
| 2018 | 27 | AAATOR | 64 | .210/.234/.274 | 1 | 1 | 16 | — | .190/.203/.254 | |
| 2018 | 27 | MLBTOR | 378 | .232/.275/.381 | 11 | 3 | 82 | -1.1 | ||
| 2019 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 237 | 214 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 350 | 406 | 561 | 967 | 210 | 371 | 14 | 8 | 419 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 339 | 290 | 102 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 352 | 435 | 486 | 922 | 134 | 375 | 9 | 10 | 406 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 80 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 236 | 304 | 361 | 665 | 125 | 263 | 18 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 441 | 396 | 118 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 60 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 298 | 361 | 460 | 821 | 162 | 327 | 14 | 8 | 359 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 239 | 217 | 66 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 304 | 361 | 498 | 859 | 194 | 347 | 18 | 8 | 377 | 141 | +12 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 2.0 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 38 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 342 | 250 | 592 | 31 | 304 | 24 | 16 | 287 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 432 | 410 | 123 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 87 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 300 | 333 | 454 | 786 | 154 | 358 | 20 | 5 | 346 | 120 | +10 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +9 | 2.5 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 22 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 273 | 364 | 636 | 91 | 300 | 9 | 0 | 281 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 16 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 400 | 500 | 900 | 143 | 357 | 6 | 6 | 374 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 197 | 185 | 48 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 294 | 438 | 732 | 178 | 299 | 19 | 4 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 378 | 357 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 64 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 275 | 381 | 656 | 148 | 255 | 17 | 4 | 292 | 82 | -8 | -0 | -12 | +2 | +8 | -1.1 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 64 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 234 | 274 | 509 | 65 | 222 | 11 | 3 | 230 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1246 | 1169 | 320 | 78 | 4 | 35 | 61 | 232 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 274 | 315 | 437 | 752 | 163 | 315 | 19 | 5 | 331 | 110 | +15 | +0 | -8 | +5 | +27 | 4.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 237 | 219 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 297 | 342 | 466 | 808 | 169 | 334 | 19 | 5 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 339 | 302 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 44 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 315 | 378 | 430 | 809 | 116 | 340 | 13 | 7 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 441 | 407 | 112 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 72 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 275 | 322 | 410 | 732 | 135 | 309 | 16 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 239 | 218 | 66 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 303 | 361 | 495 | 857 | 193 | 347 | 18 | 8 | 376 | 141 | +12 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 2.0 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 38 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 235 | 525 | 29 | 299 | 29 | 11 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 432 | 410 | 123 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 87 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 300 | 333 | 454 | 786 | 154 | 358 | 20 | 5 | 345 | 120 | +10 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +9 | 2.5 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 22 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 273 | 364 | 636 | 91 | 284 | 14 | 0 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 16 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 400 | 500 | 900 | 143 | 312 | 6 | 6 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 197 | 185 | 48 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 294 | 438 | 732 | 178 | 299 | 19 | 4 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 378 | 358 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 64 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 272 | 380 | 652 | 148 | 255 | 17 | 4 | 289 | 82 | -8 | -0 | -12 | +2 | +8 | -1.1 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 64 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 203 | 254 | 457 | 63 | 202 | 12 | 2 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 656 | 595 | 182 | 30 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 101 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 306 | 361 | 445 | 806 | 139 | 343 | 15 | 6 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 656 | 576 | 194 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 60 | 78 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 337 | 409 | 498 | 907 | 161 | 361 | 12 | 9 | 397 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 441 | 407 | 112 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 72 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 275 | 322 | 410 | 732 | 135 | 314 | 16 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 441 | 396 | 118 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 60 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 298 | 361 | 460 | 821 | 162 | 327 | 14 | 8 | 359 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 277 | 252 | 73 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 290 | 351 | 460 | 812 | 171 | 340 | 19 | 8 | 358 | 129 | +9 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 1.9 |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 277 | 249 | 73 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 293 | 359 | 466 | 825 | 173 | 342 | 19 | 9 | 364 | 129 | +9 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 1.9 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 470 | 446 | 133 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 91 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 298 | 330 | 448 | 778 | 150 | 353 | 19 | 4 | 341 | 117 | +10 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 2.5 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 470 | 446 | 134 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 90 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 300 | 332 | 451 | 783 | 150 | 354 | 19 | 4 | 344 | 117 | +10 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 2.5 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 197 | 185 | 48 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 294 | 438 | 732 | 178 | 299 | 19 | 4 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 197 | 185 | 48 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 294 | 438 | 732 | 178 | 299 | 19 | 4 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 421 | 95 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 72 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 262 | 361 | 623 | 135 | 246 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 72 | -15 | +0 | -12 | +2 | +10 | -1.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 442 | 419 | 96 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 71 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 269 | 365 | 634 | 136 | 250 | 16 | 4 | 283 | 72 | -15 | +0 | -12 | +2 | +10 | -1.6 |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 656 | 600 | 182 | 30 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 101 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 303 | 361 | 442 | 802 | 138 | 338 | 15 | 6 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 441 | 410 | 112 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 72 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 273 | 322 | 407 | 729 | 134 | 309 | 16 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 277 | 251 | 73 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 291 | 351 | 462 | 814 | 171 | 341 | 19 | 8 | 358 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 470 | 446 | 133 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 91 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 298 | 330 | 448 | 778 | 150 | 353 | 19 | 4 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 197 | 186 | 48 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 258 | 294 | 435 | 729 | 177 | 299 | 19 | 4 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 418 | 95 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 72 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 227 | 262 | 364 | 626 | 136 | 248 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1246 | 1169 | 320 | 78 | 4 | 35 | 61 | 232 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 274 | 315 | 437 | 752 | 163 | 315 | 19 | 5 | 331 | 108 | +15 | +0 | -8 | +5 | +27 | 4.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 610 | 167 | 41 | 2 | 18 | 32 | 121 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 274 | 315 | 436 | 751 | 162 | 315 | 19 | 5 | 331 | 108 | +8 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +14 | 2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2483 | 2306 | 643 | 133 | 14 | 59 | 133 | 428 | 21 | 57 | 15 | 279 | 324 | 425 | 749 | 147 | 318 | 17 | 5 | 328 | 108 | +15 | +0 | -8 | +5 | +27 | 4.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 168 | 35 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 112 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 278 | 323 | 424 | 747 | 146 | 318 | 17 | 5 | 328 | 108 | +8 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +14 | 2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAABuffalo Bisons · 64 PAwOBA .224 → .192 (−32)K% 10.9% → 13.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.94% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.12% | ÷0.954 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.957 | ×1.003 | 18.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×1.003 | 1.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.957 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.080 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.42% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .224 → .192; ISO .065 → .050; BABIP .222 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAABuffalo Bisons · 22 PAwOBA .273 → .251 (−22)K% 9.1% → 11.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.937 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 19.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 9.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.164 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .273 → .251; ISO .091 → .083; BABIP .300 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 16 PAwOBA .388 → .349 (−39)K% 6.2% → 9.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.955 | ×1.420 | — | — | 9.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.038 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 4.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 19.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.064 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.978 | 13.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .388 → .349; ISO .143 → .134; BABIP .357 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 38 PAwOBA .281 → .245 (−36)K% 23.7% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 25.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.944 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 4.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .281 → .245; ISO .031 → .029; BABIP .304 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAErie SeaWolves · 441 PAwOBA .352 → .318 (−34)K% 13.6% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.61% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.11% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 23.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷0.945 | ×0.860 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.98% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .352 → .318; ISO .162 → .142; BABIP .327 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 339 PAwOBA .398 → .353 (−45)K% 9.4% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.44% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 12.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.73% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.36% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.84% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | — | 26.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷0.936 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | — | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | — | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.931 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 110, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .398 → .353; ISO .134 → .125; BABIP .375 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 237 PAwOBA .412 → .351 (−61)K% 13.5% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.50% | ÷1.018 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.045 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 25.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.944 | ×0.960 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.067 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 4.59% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .412 → .351; ISO .210 → .177; BABIP .371 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .