Chan Jong Moon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 23 | A+/A/INTL3 orgs | 742 | .274/.355/.399 | 11 | 55 | 82 | — | .247/.300/.345 |
| 2015 | 24 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 414 | .254/.352/.340 | 4 | 23 | 68 | — | .247/.313/.322 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 181 | .267/.341/.329 | 2 | 6 | 65 | — | .248/.307/.302 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 112 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 215 | 348 | 237 | 585 | 22 | 351 | 32 | 17 | 287 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 160 | 140 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 302 | 293 | 595 | 86 | 318 | 32 | 10 | 275 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 33 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 188 | 188 | 375 | 353 | 45 | 0 | 165 | -41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 252 | 214 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 57 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 257 | 343 | 369 | 712 | 112 | 331 | 23 | 11 | 311 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 269 | 241 | 69 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 59 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 286 | 346 | 398 | 744 | 112 | 357 | 22 | 8 | 327 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 275 | 233 | 65 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 41 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 279 | 364 | 403 | 767 | 124 | 330 | 15 | 11 | 332 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Adelaide Bite | — | 198 | 165 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 45 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 248 | 354 | 394 | 748 | 145 | 305 | 23 | 13 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 289 | 248 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 48 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 266 | 357 | 347 | 704 | 81 | 318 | 17 | 12 | 318 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 71 | 59 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 322 | 412 | 475 | 886 | 153 | 400 | 20 | 11 | 379 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 54 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 250 | 116 | 366 | 23 | 105 | 13 | 17 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 73 | 68 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 309 | 356 | 397 | 753 | 88 | 385 | 21 | 7 | 340 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 108 | 93 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 237 | 330 | 280 | 610 | 43 | 309 | 22 | 10 | 283 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 112 | 100 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 140 | 232 | 150 | 382 | 10 | 301 | 46 | 11 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 160 | 146 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 72 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 144 | 214 | 205 | 419 | 62 | 271 | 45 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 33 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 125 | 125 | 125 | 250 | 323 | 64 | 0 | 107 | -41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 252 | 224 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 73 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 237 | 293 | 326 | 619 | 89 | 318 | 29 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 269 | 247 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 83 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 235 | 281 | 316 | 597 | 81 | 325 | 31 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 275 | 243 | 63 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 56 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 259 | 318 | 374 | 693 | 115 | 309 | 20 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 289 | 258 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 61 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 240 | 307 | 302 | 610 | 62 | 298 | 21 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 71 | 62 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 338 | 403 | 741 | 129 | 349 | 28 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 73 | 69 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 275 | 315 | 348 | 663 | 72 | 365 | 26 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 108 | 96 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 229 | 302 | 271 | 573 | 42 | 305 | 26 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 112 | 100 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 140 | 232 | 150 | 382 | 10 | 292 | 46 | 11 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Astros | — | 112 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 215 | 348 | 237 | 585 | 22 | 351 | 32 | 17 | 287 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 160 | 146 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 72 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 144 | 214 | 205 | 419 | 62 | 274 | 45 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 160 | 140 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 302 | 293 | 595 | 86 | 318 | 32 | 10 | 275 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 256 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 94 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 223 | 274 | 301 | 575 | 78 | 337 | 33 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 285 | 246 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 72 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 248 | 325 | 346 | 670 | 98 | 333 | 25 | 10 | 294 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 742 | 668 | 165 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 49 | 190 | 2 | 55 | 19 | 247 | 300 | 341 | 642 | 94 | 331 | 26 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 742 | 639 | 175 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 78 | 145 | 2 | 55 | 19 | 274 | 355 | 399 | 754 | 125 | 334 | 20 | 11 | 330 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 414 | 367 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 93 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 248 | 315 | 327 | 642 | 79 | 318 | 22 | 8 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 414 | 350 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 52 | 69 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 254 | 352 | 340 | 692 | 86 | 302 | 17 | 13 | 312 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 181 | 165 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 242 | 302 | 279 | 580 | 36 | 333 | 26 | 7 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 181 | 161 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 267 | 341 | 329 | 670 | 62 | 342 | 22 | 9 | 306 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 112 | 99 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 141 | 232 | 152 | 384 | 10 | 301 | 46 | 11 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 160 | 146 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 72 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 144 | 214 | 205 | 419 | 62 | 271 | 45 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 265 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 94 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 215 | 274 | 291 | 564 | 75 | 319 | 33 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 742 | 685 | 165 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 49 | 190 | 2 | 55 | 19 | 241 | 300 | 333 | 633 | 92 | 317 | 26 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 414 | 375 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 93 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 243 | 315 | 320 | 635 | 77 | 308 | 22 | 8 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 181 | 165 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 242 | 302 | 279 | 580 | 36 | 329 | 26 | 7 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1894 | 1702 | 388 | 52 | 17 | 14 | 136 | 548 | 8 | 106 | 45 | 228 | 288 | 303 | 591 | 75 | 324 | 29 | 7 | 260 | 62 | -86 | +3 | +0 | +20 | +41 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 134 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 188 | 3 | 36 | 15 | 229 | 290 | 307 | 597 | 77 | 326 | 29 | 7 | 260 | 62 | -30 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 108 PAwOBA .277 → .253 (−24)K% 22.2% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.055 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.19% | ÷0.932 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.99% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 28.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.017 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.196 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.97% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 111, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .277 → .253; ISO .043 → .031; BABIP .309 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 73 PAwOBA .331 → .283 (−48)K% 20.5% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷0.996 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷1.008 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 4.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 31.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.061 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.46% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 100, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .331 → .283; ISO .088 → .067; BABIP .385 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 289 PAwOBA .311 → .273 (−38)K% 16.6% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.61% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.11% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.50% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×1.012 | 24.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.50% | ÷0.963 | ×0.840 | ×1.033 | ×1.012 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.033 | ×1.012 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.50% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.15% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .311 → .273; ISO .081 → .071; BABIP .318 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 71 PAwOBA .375 → .307 (−68)K% 19.7% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.924 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.031 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.89% | ÷0.985 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 26.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 7.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.988 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 2.10% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 85, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .375 → .307; ISO .153 → .123; BABIP .400 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 275 PAwOBA .325 → .288 (−37)K% 14.9% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.91% | ÷1.004 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.48% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 23.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.013 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 3.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.084 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.76% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 103, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .325 → .288; ISO .124 → .112; BABIP .330 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 269 PAwOBA .324 → .263 (−60)K% 21.9% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.93% | ÷0.948 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷0.987 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.12% | ÷0.999 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 27.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.915 | ×0.760 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.234 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 100, 2B 93, 3B 83, K 90, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .324 → .263; ISO .112 → .084; BABIP .357 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ALexington Legends · 252 PAwOBA .307 → .272 (−36)K% 22.6% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.62% | ÷1.046 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.016 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.20% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 23.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.28% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.91% | ÷1.064 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 109, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .307 → .272; ISO .112 → .099; BABIP .331 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 33 PAwOBA .160 → .107 (−53)K% 45.5% → 62.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 45.45% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 62.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 32.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.138 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 95, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .160 → .107; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .353 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .