Chris Curley
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26 | AACWS | 546 | .286/.331/.393 | 5 | 8 | 78 | — | .262/.294/.359 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/AA/A2 orgs | 241 | .238/.283/.430 | 9 | 1 | 53 | — | .202/.236/.343 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAJacksonville … | 319 | .245/.328/.369 | 7 | 1 | 53 | — | .208/.268/.294 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 211 | 449 | 53 | 200 | 19 | 10 | 214 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 15 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 357 | 400 | 571 | 971 | 214 | 455 | 20 | 7 | 421 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Rome Braves | — | 222 | 206 | 44 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 320 | 581 | 107 | 247 | 17 | 4 | 258 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 209 | 192 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 271 | 324 | 500 | 824 | 229 | 304 | 23 | 5 | 358 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 604 | 533 | 149 | 24 | 3 | 24 | 51 | 110 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 280 | 355 | 471 | 826 | 191 | 307 | 18 | 8 | 361 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 59 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 228 | 208 | 436 | 38 | 214 | 20 | 7 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 546 | 504 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 73 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 286 | 331 | 393 | 724 | 107 | 323 | 13 | 5 | 320 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 54 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 327 | 480 | 807 | 180 | 333 | 17 | 4 | 341 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 83 | 76 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 198 | 263 | 461 | 118 | 155 | 20 | 5 | 204 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 104 | 97 | 27 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 327 | 536 | 863 | 258 | 301 | 18 | 5 | 376 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 319 | 282 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 81 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 328 | 369 | 697 | 124 | 316 | 25 | 9 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 200 | 390 | 50 | 157 | 29 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 15 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 357 | 400 | 571 | 971 | 214 | 413 | 27 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 222 | 209 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 53 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 228 | 292 | 520 | 100 | 234 | 24 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 209 | 196 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 219 | 261 | 403 | 664 | 184 | 267 | 31 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 604 | 554 | 126 | 18 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 158 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 227 | 281 | 370 | 651 | 143 | 269 | 26 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 546 | 515 | 135 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 93 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 262 | 294 | 359 | 653 | 97 | 306 | 17 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 54 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 288 | 392 | 681 | 118 | 305 | 20 | 2 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 83 | 77 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 173 | 208 | 381 | 78 | 149 | 25 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 104 | 99 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 260 | 424 | 684 | 202 | 257 | 25 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 319 | 293 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 100 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 268 | 294 | 562 | 85 | 291 | 31 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 200 | 390 | 50 | 214 | 29 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 211 | 449 | 53 | 200 | 19 | 10 | 214 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 224 | 45 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 57 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 201 | 235 | 308 | 543 | 107 | 255 | 24 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 237 | 220 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 223 | 269 | 336 | 606 | 114 | 260 | 17 | 4 | 268 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 209 | 196 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 219 | 261 | 403 | 664 | 184 | 272 | 31 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A RAW | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 209 | 192 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 271 | 324 | 500 | 824 | 229 | 304 | 23 | 5 | 358 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 663 | 609 | 137 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 174 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 225 | 276 | 363 | 639 | 138 | 276 | 26 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 663 | 586 | 158 | 26 | 3 | 24 | 55 | 122 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 270 | 344 | 447 | 791 | 177 | 298 | 18 | 8 | 346 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 546 | 515 | 135 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 93 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 262 | 294 | 359 | 653 | 97 | 310 | 17 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 546 | 504 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 73 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 286 | 331 | 393 | 724 | 107 | 323 | 13 | 5 | 320 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 241 | 227 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 203 | 236 | 357 | 593 | 154 | 241 | 24 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 241 | 223 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 283 | 430 | 713 | 193 | 259 | 19 | 5 | 309 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 319 | 293 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 100 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 268 | 294 | 562 | 85 | 298 | 31 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 319 | 282 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 81 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 328 | 369 | 697 | 124 | 316 | 25 | 9 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 200 | 390 | 50 | 157 | 29 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 225 | 45 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 57 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 200 | 235 | 307 | 542 | 107 | 245 | 24 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 209 | 196 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 219 | 261 | 403 | 664 | 184 | 267 | 31 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 663 | 615 | 137 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 174 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 223 | 276 | 359 | 635 | 137 | 269 | 26 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 546 | 518 | 135 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 93 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 261 | 294 | 357 | 651 | 97 | 306 | 17 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 241 | 229 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 201 | 236 | 354 | 590 | 153 | 231 | 24 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 319 | 292 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 100 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 268 | 295 | 563 | 86 | 291 | 31 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2236 | 2084 | 470 | 88 | 13 | 47 | 86 | 553 | 36 | 32 | 15 | 226 | 268 | 348 | 616 | 122 | 281 | 25 | 4 | 265 | 66 | -91 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +48 | -3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 138 | 26 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 161 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 228 | 270 | 353 | 623 | 125 | 284 | 25 | 4 | 265 | 66 | -27 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAJacksonville Suns · 319 PAwOBA .308 → .246 (−62)K% 25.4% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.39% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.46% | ÷1.029 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.19% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.38% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.958 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.958 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.958 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.48% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 1.88% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 103, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .308 → .246; ISO .124 → .085; BABIP .316 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AKannapolis Intimidators · 104 PAwOBA .365 → .290 (−75)K% 18.3% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.27% | ÷0.963 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.81% | ÷1.029 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.940 | 2.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.940 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.940 | 13.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.82% | ÷0.940 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×0.940 | 10.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.41% | ÷0.848 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 5.82% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 83, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .365 → .290; ISO .258 → .213; BABIP .301 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 83 PAwOBA .201 → .170 (−31)K% 20.5% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.48% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.82% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 3.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.17% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 9.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .201 → .170; ISO .118 → .096; BABIP .155 → .149. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 54 PAwOBA .331 → .281 (−50)K% 16.7% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.83% | ÷0.973 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 25.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.993 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 2.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.306 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 3.11% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .331 → .281; ISO .180 → .128; BABIP .333 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABirmingham Barons · 546 PAwOBA .314 → .283 (−31)K% 13.4% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.37% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷1.057 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 3.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.13% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 22.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.903 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.967 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 104, 2B 81, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .314 → .283; ISO .107 → .101; BABIP .323 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 604 PAwOBA .355 → .280 (−75)K% 18.2% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.21% | ÷0.985 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.001 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.17% | ÷1.040 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.083 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 4.56% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 108, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .355 → .280; ISO .191 → .146; BABIP .307 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AKannapolis Intimidators · 209 PAwOBA .351 → .280 (−70)K% 23.0% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.97% | ÷1.002 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.78% | ÷1.060 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 2.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.53% | ÷1.039 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.970 | 19.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.970 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.970 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.64% | ÷0.917 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 6.63% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .351 → .280; ISO .229 → .185; BABIP .304 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ARome Braves · 222 PAwOBA .252 → .219 (−34)K% 17.1% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.12% | ÷0.968 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.05% | ÷1.057 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 2.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 17.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.98% | ÷0.966 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 2.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 2.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.924 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 1.57% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .252 → .219; ISO .107 → .098; BABIP .247 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .