Starlin Rodriguez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 23 | AA/A+STL | 425 | .268/.331/.388 | 7 | 11 | 61 | — | .224/.276/.314 |
| 2014 | 24 | AA/A+STL | 311 | .265/.342/.418 | 7 | 4 | 77 | — | .226/.287/.361 |
| 2015 | 25 | AASTL | 32 | .067/.125/.133 | 0 | 0 | -47 | — | .065/.094/.129 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays | — | 30 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 433 | 227 | 661 | 333 | 23 | 17 | 341 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 174 | 156 | 45 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 288 | 362 | 378 | 740 | 90 | 363 | 18 | 6 | 337 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 185 | 165 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 315 | 362 | 455 | 816 | 139 | 366 | 18 | 3 | 349 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 158 | 137 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 263 | 340 | 380 | 719 | 117 | 347 | 23 | 7 | 316 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 489 | 430 | 129 | 25 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 90 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 300 | 374 | 442 | 816 | 142 | 363 | 18 | 8 | 360 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 275 | 248 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 62 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 254 | 312 | 391 | 703 | 137 | 311 | 23 | 5 | 309 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 150 | 133 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 293 | 365 | 383 | 748 | 90 | 336 | 14 | 9 | 336 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 112 | 100 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 260 | 333 | 380 | 713 | 120 | 308 | 19 | 8 | 321 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 199 | 175 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 269 | 347 | 440 | 787 | 171 | 309 | 19 | 9 | 346 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 32 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 133 | 258 | 67 | 80 | 16 | 6 | 122 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 30 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 223 | 30 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 174 | 160 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 219 | 282 | 281 | 563 | 62 | 297 | 26 | 3 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 185 | 166 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 283 | 328 | 416 | 743 | 133 | 341 | 26 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 158 | 141 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 288 | 333 | 621 | 106 | 305 | 30 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 489 | 443 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 131 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 257 | 316 | 386 | 702 | 129 | 338 | 27 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 275 | 252 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 73 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 264 | 310 | 573 | 95 | 270 | 27 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 150 | 137 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 297 | 321 | 618 | 80 | 292 | 21 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 112 | 103 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 223 | 279 | 301 | 580 | 78 | 279 | 23 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 199 | 180 | 41 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 228 | 291 | 394 | 685 | 167 | 277 | 27 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 32 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 94 | 129 | 223 | 65 | 74 | 19 | 3 | 99 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 30 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 267 | 30 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Rays | — | 30 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 433 | 227 | 661 | 333 | 23 | 17 | 341 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 174 | 160 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 219 | 282 | 281 | 563 | 62 | 304 | 26 | 3 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 174 | 156 | 45 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 288 | 362 | 378 | 740 | 90 | 363 | 18 | 6 | 337 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 307 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 96 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 254 | 306 | 368 | 674 | 114 | 344 | 28 | 3 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 343 | 302 | 88 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 71 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 291 | 352 | 421 | 772 | 129 | 358 | 21 | 5 | 333 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 489 | 443 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 131 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 257 | 316 | 386 | 702 | 129 | 348 | 27 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 489 | 430 | 129 | 25 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 90 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 300 | 374 | 442 | 816 | 142 | 363 | 18 | 8 | 360 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 390 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 104 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 223 | 273 | 313 | 586 | 90 | 287 | 24 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 425 | 381 | 102 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 83 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 268 | 331 | 388 | 719 | 121 | 321 | 20 | 6 | 319 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 283 | 64 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 79 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 226 | 287 | 360 | 647 | 134 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 311 | 275 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 58 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 265 | 342 | 418 | 760 | 153 | 308 | 19 | 9 | 337 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 32 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 94 | 129 | 223 | 65 | 80 | 19 | 3 | 99 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | Springfield Cardinals | — | 32 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 133 | 258 | 67 | 80 | 16 | 6 | 122 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 30 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 223 | 30 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 174 | 158 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 222 | 282 | 285 | 566 | 63 | 297 | 26 | 3 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 317 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 96 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 246 | 306 | 356 | 663 | 110 | 324 | 28 | 3 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 489 | 448 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 131 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 254 | 316 | 382 | 698 | 127 | 338 | 27 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 395 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 104 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 220 | 273 | 309 | 582 | 89 | 278 | 24 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 284 | 64 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 79 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 225 | 287 | 359 | 646 | 134 | 278 | 25 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 32 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 94 | 129 | 223 | 65 | 74 | 19 | 3 | 99 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1804 | 1638 | 384 | 73 | 16 | 24 | 83 | 470 | 50 | 56 | 32 | 234 | 292 | 342 | 634 | 108 | 310 | 26 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -59 | -2 | +0 | +6 | +39 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 139 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 169 | 18 | 20 | 12 | 236 | 293 | 346 | 639 | 110 | 311 | 26 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -21 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AASpringfield Cardinals · 32 PAwOBA .120 → .099 (−21)K% 15.6% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.62% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 3.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 3.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.140 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .120 → .099; ISO .067 → .060; BABIP .080 → .074. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 199 PAwOBA .340 → .294 (−46)K% 18.6% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.59% | ÷0.998 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.54% | ÷0.971 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 6.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.51% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.01% | ÷1.073 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 17.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.97% | ÷0.933 | ×0.960 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 8.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.62% | ÷0.809 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 115, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .340 → .294; ISO .171 → .166; BABIP .309 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AASpringfield Cardinals · 112 PAwOBA .315 → .260 (−55)K% 18.8% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.04% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.78% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 21.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷0.982 | ×0.840 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.221 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.66% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 98, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .315 → .260; ISO .120 → .089; BABIP .308 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AASpringfield Cardinals · 275 PAwOBA .304 → .249 (−55)K% 22.5% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.55% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.09% | ÷1.030 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.55% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.12% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 21.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.184 | ×0.840 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.143 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.28% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 98, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 106, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .304 → .249; ISO .137 → .099; BABIP .311 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 150 PAwOBA .330 → .273 (−56)K% 14.0% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.00% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.89% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 22.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷1.015 | ×0.960 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.810 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.89% | ÷0.972 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.80% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 93, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .330 → .273; ISO .090 → .079; BABIP .336 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 489 PAwOBA .350 → .305 (−45)K% 18.4% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.40% | ÷0.977 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.16% | ÷1.064 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 2.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 24.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷0.969 | ×0.960 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷0.930 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷0.795 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 86, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .350 → .305; ISO .142 → .136; BABIP .363 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 185 PAwOBA .346 → .309 (−37)K% 18.4% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.38% | ÷0.978 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.24% | ÷0.975 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 2.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.24% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 3.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.01% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 27.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷1.013 | ×0.960 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.05% | ÷0.914 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.98% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .346 → .309; ISO .139 → .127; BABIP .366 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 158 PAwOBA .312 → .258 (−53)K% 23.4% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.42% | ÷1.070 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.96% | ÷1.090 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.16% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | — | 22.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | — | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | — | 2.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.81% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 112, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 114, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .312 → .258; ISO .117 → .098; BABIP .347 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).