Gregory Lorenzo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 22 | ABAL | 526 | .241/.282/.323 | 2 | 40 | 34 | — | .205/.234/.277 |
| 2014 | 23 | A/INTL2 orgs | 533 | .261/.313/.329 | 1 | 43 | 42 | — | .218/.259/.274 |
| 2015 | 24 | A+BAL | 187 | .174/.224/.186 | 0 | 4 | -9 | — | .144/.186/.149 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles/Brewers | — | 84 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 174 | 296 | 232 | 528 | 58 | 222 | 20 | 13 | 246 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 271 | 226 | 57 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 49 | 4 | 27 | 6 | 252 | 360 | 314 | 674 | 62 | 322 | 18 | 13 | 307 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 185 | 164 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 232 | 300 | 354 | 654 | 122 | 319 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 77 | 72 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 333 | 368 | 458 | 827 | 125 | 469 | 29 | 1 | 363 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 84 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 316 | 381 | 526 | 907 | 211 | 373 | 18 | 4 | 399 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 526 | 489 | 118 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 152 | 6 | 40 | 8 | 241 | 282 | 323 | 606 | 82 | 344 | 29 | 4 | 269 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 515 | 472 | 124 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 127 | 7 | 42 | 11 | 263 | 316 | 333 | 649 | 70 | 358 | 25 | 6 | 292 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 18 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 222 | 222 | 444 | 333 | 33 | 0 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 187 | 172 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 174 | 224 | 186 | 410 | 12 | 238 | 25 | 3 | 191 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles/Brewers | — | 84 | 72 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 125 | 222 | 153 | 375 | 28 | 157 | 25 | 10 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 271 | 236 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 60 | 4 | 27 | 6 | 178 | 265 | 216 | 481 | 38 | 225 | 22 | 9 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 185 | 169 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 66 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 172 | 222 | 254 | 477 | 83 | 261 | 36 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 77 | 72 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 264 | 303 | 375 | 678 | 111 | 418 | 38 | 1 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 84 | 77 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 234 | 298 | 364 | 661 | 130 | 293 | 26 | 2 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 526 | 498 | 102 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 201 | 6 | 40 | 8 | 205 | 234 | 277 | 511 | 72 | 325 | 38 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 515 | 482 | 105 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 174 | 7 | 42 | 11 | 218 | 259 | 274 | 533 | 56 | 331 | 34 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 187 | 174 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 68 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 144 | 186 | 149 | 335 | 6 | 230 | 36 | 2 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles/Brewers | — | 84 | 72 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 125 | 222 | 153 | 375 | 28 | 170 | 25 | 10 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles/Brewers | — | 84 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 174 | 296 | 232 | 528 | 58 | 222 | 20 | 13 | 246 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 271 | 236 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 60 | 4 | 27 | 6 | 178 | 265 | 216 | 481 | 38 | 239 | 22 | 9 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 271 | 226 | 57 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 49 | 4 | 27 | 6 | 252 | 360 | 314 | 674 | 62 | 322 | 18 | 13 | 307 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 185 | 169 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 66 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 172 | 222 | 254 | 477 | 83 | 279 | 36 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Orioles | — | 185 | 164 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 232 | 300 | 354 | 654 | 122 | 319 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 149 | 37 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 248 | 300 | 369 | 669 | 121 | 361 | 31 | 2 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 161 | 148 | 48 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 324 | 375 | 493 | 868 | 169 | 417 | 23 | 2 | 382 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 526 | 498 | 102 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 201 | 6 | 40 | 8 | 205 | 234 | 277 | 511 | 72 | 337 | 38 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 526 | 489 | 118 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 152 | 6 | 40 | 8 | 241 | 282 | 323 | 606 | 82 | 344 | 29 | 4 | 269 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 500 | 108 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 180 | 7 | 43 | 12 | 216 | 256 | 270 | 526 | 54 | 335 | 34 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 533 | 490 | 128 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 133 | 7 | 43 | 12 | 261 | 313 | 329 | 642 | 67 | 357 | 25 | 6 | 289 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 187 | 174 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 68 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 144 | 186 | 149 | 335 | 6 | 234 | 36 | 2 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ RAW | Frederick Keys | — | 187 | 172 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 174 | 224 | 186 | 410 | 12 | 238 | 25 | 3 | 191 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles/Brewers | — | 84 | 75 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 120 | 222 | 147 | 369 | 27 | 157 | 25 | 10 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 271 | 241 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 60 | 4 | 27 | 6 | 174 | 265 | 212 | 477 | 37 | 225 | 22 | 9 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 185 | 172 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 66 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 169 | 222 | 250 | 472 | 81 | 261 | 36 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 149 | 37 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 248 | 300 | 369 | 669 | 121 | 353 | 31 | 2 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 526 | 502 | 102 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 201 | 6 | 40 | 8 | 203 | 234 | 275 | 509 | 72 | 325 | 38 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 501 | 108 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 180 | 7 | 43 | 12 | 216 | 256 | 269 | 526 | 54 | 331 | 34 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 187 | 176 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 68 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 142 | 186 | 148 | 334 | 6 | 230 | 36 | 2 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1947 | 1798 | 352 | 40 | 26 | 5 | 81 | 646 | 33 | 137 | 45 | 196 | 244 | 255 | 499 | 60 | 301 | 33 | 4 | 217 | 33 | -155 | +9 | +0 | +7 | +42 | -9.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 118 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 27 | 216 | 11 | 46 | 15 | 197 | 245 | 258 | 503 | 62 | 302 | 33 | 4 | 217 | 33 | -52 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Frederick Keys · 187 PAwOBA .188 → .155 (−32)K% 25.1% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.13% | ÷0.985 | ×1.420 | — | — | 36.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.21% | ÷0.999 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 2.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 2.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷1.001 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 21.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.021 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 1.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.184 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 87, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .188 → .155; ISO .012 → .009; BABIP .238 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 515 PAwOBA .285 → .232 (−53)K% 24.7% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.66% | ÷0.980 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.83% | ÷0.990 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.28% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 27.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.06% | ÷0.927 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 1.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.24% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 105, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .285 → .232; ISO .070 → .056; BABIP .358 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 526 PAwOBA .263 → .218 (−45)K% 28.9% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.90% | ÷1.010 | ×1.340 | — | — | 38.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.18% | ÷1.116 | ×0.660 | — | — | 2.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.71% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 25.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷0.994 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | — | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.37% | ÷0.929 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | — | 2.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.59% | ÷0.872 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.56% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 86, K 102, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .263 → .218; ISO .082 → .071; BABIP .344 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKGCL Orioles · 84 PAwOBA .388 → .279 (−109)K% 17.9% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 2.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.95% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.020 | ×0.985 | 20.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.020 | ×0.985 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.020 | ×0.985 | 3.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 2.52% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .388 → .279; ISO .211 → .146; BABIP .373 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 77 PAwOBA .353 → .287 (−67)K% 28.6% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.032 | ×1.340 | — | — | 37.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.30% | ÷1.023 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 0.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.90% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 3.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 33.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.160 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 2.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.015 | 4.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.836 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.99% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 109, 2B 132, 3B 86, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .353 → .287; ISO .125 → .108; BABIP .469 → .418. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKGCL Orioles · 185 PAwOBA .280 → .202 (−79)K% 24.9% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 17.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 5.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .280 → .202; ISO .122 → .084; BABIP .319 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 DSLDSL Orioles 1 · 271 PAwOBA .300 → .214 (−86)K% 18.1% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 19.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 1.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .300 → .214; ISO .062 → .041; BABIP .322 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 DSLDSL Orioles/Brewers · 84 PAwOBA .247 → .178 (−69)K% 20.2% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 13.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 2.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .247 → .178; ISO .058 → .039; BABIP .222 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .