Jose Rosario
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 373 | .248/.277/.328 | 2 | 12 | 49 | — | .237/.260/.302 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 269 | .275/.297/.380 | 4 | 4 | 66 | — | .254/.271/.339 |
| 2017 | 25 | AABOS | 55 | .140/.189/.160 | 0 | 0 | -20 | — | .137/.170/.157 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 90 | 75 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 253 | 371 | 307 | 677 | 53 | 365 | 26 | 16 | 316 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees | — | 125 | 110 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 245 | 325 | 355 | 680 | 109 | 284 | 18 | 6 | 306 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 23 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 217 | 190 | 408 | 48 | 176 | 17 | 4 | 197 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | GCL Yankees | — | 185 | 172 | 57 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 331 | 372 | 529 | 901 | 198 | 370 | 15 | 3 | 391 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 139 | 114 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 184 | 279 | 307 | 586 | 123 | 202 | 17 | 8 | 252 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 216 | 197 | 63 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 320 | 377 | 396 | 773 | 76 | 366 | 12 | 7 | 348 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 97 | 86 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 291 | 365 | 430 | 795 | 140 | 319 | 12 | 5 | 355 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK | GCL Yankees1 | — | 22 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 364 | 650 | 1.014 | 350 | 294 | 9 | 5 | 430 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 31 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 355 | 333 | 688 | 74 | 280 | 6 | 13 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 353 | 631 | 118 | 308 | 22 | 6 | 279 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 355 | 334 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 63 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 249 | 277 | 326 | 603 | 78 | 300 | 18 | 2 | 265 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 99 | 93 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 301 | 323 | 430 | 753 | 129 | 351 | 19 | 3 | 323 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 170 | 165 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 261 | 282 | 352 | 634 | 91 | 315 | 19 | 1 | 284 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 189 | 160 | 349 | 20 | 189 | 24 | 4 | 161 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 90 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 152 | 247 | 177 | 424 | 25 | 248 | 31 | 11 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 125 | 113 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 195 | 260 | 292 | 552 | 97 | 233 | 26 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 23 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 217 | 190 | 408 | 48 | 164 | 22 | 4 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 185 | 174 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 241 | 279 | 368 | 647 | 126 | 290 | 22 | 2 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 139 | 117 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 264 | 308 | 571 | 120 | 193 | 22 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 216 | 201 | 52 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 259 | 307 | 318 | 625 | 60 | 321 | 17 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 97 | 88 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 261 | 323 | 386 | 709 | 125 | 294 | 16 | 3 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees1 | — | 22 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 450 | 723 | 250 | 218 | 14 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 353 | 631 | 118 | 290 | 28 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 355 | 337 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 81 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 237 | 259 | 300 | 559 | 62 | 299 | 23 | 1 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 99 | 94 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 277 | 292 | 394 | 685 | 117 | 334 | 23 | 2 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 170 | 166 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 241 | 259 | 307 | 566 | 66 | 310 | 24 | 1 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 137 | 170 | 157 | 327 | 20 | 182 | 29 | 2 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 90 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 152 | 247 | 177 | 424 | 25 | 235 | 31 | 11 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 90 | 75 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 253 | 371 | 307 | 677 | 53 | 365 | 26 | 16 | 316 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 125 | 113 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 195 | 260 | 292 | 552 | 97 | 247 | 26 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees | — | 125 | 110 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 245 | 325 | 355 | 680 | 109 | 284 | 18 | 6 | 306 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 196 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 230 | 267 | 347 | 614 | 117 | 281 | 22 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 208 | 193 | 60 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 311 | 354 | 492 | 847 | 181 | 348 | 15 | 3 | 369 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 139 | 117 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 264 | 308 | 571 | 120 | 224 | 22 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 139 | 114 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 184 | 279 | 307 | 586 | 123 | 202 | 17 | 8 | 252 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 366 | 338 | 88 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 260 | 313 | 352 | 665 | 92 | 311 | 17 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 366 | 330 | 101 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 306 | 371 | 415 | 786 | 109 | 343 | 11 | 7 | 352 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 354 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 86 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 237 | 260 | 302 | 563 | 65 | 310 | 23 | 2 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 373 | 351 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 67 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 248 | 277 | 328 | 604 | 80 | 300 | 18 | 2 | 266 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 269 | 259 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 63 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 255 | 274 | 340 | 614 | 85 | 323 | 23 | 1 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 269 | 258 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 275 | 297 | 380 | 677 | 105 | 328 | 19 | 2 | 298 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 137 | 170 | 157 | 327 | 20 | 200 | 29 | 2 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 189 | 160 | 349 | 20 | 189 | 24 | 4 | 161 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 90 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 150 | 247 | 175 | 422 | 25 | 248 | 31 | 11 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 125 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 193 | 260 | 289 | 550 | 96 | 233 | 26 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 196 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 230 | 267 | 347 | 614 | 117 | 276 | 22 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 139 | 126 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 175 | 264 | 286 | 549 | 111 | 193 | 22 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 366 | 337 | 88 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 261 | 313 | 353 | 666 | 92 | 306 | 17 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 359 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 86 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 234 | 260 | 298 | 558 | 64 | 299 | 23 | 2 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 269 | 260 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 63 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 254 | 274 | 338 | 613 | 85 | 319 | 23 | 1 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 132 | 170 | 151 | 321 | 19 | 182 | 29 | 2 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1625 | 1507 | 346 | 51 | 14 | 16 | 55 | 363 | 33 | 49 | 24 | 230 | 272 | 314 | 586 | 84 | 291 | 22 | 3 | 252 | 56 | -84 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +35 | -4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 138 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 145 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 229 | 271 | 312 | 583 | 83 | 291 | 22 | 3 | 252 | 56 | -34 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 55 PAwOBA .157 → .139 (−18)K% 23.6% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.64% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.64% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 2.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.22% | ÷0.984 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 16.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.085 | ×0.860 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 2.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.950 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 102, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .157 → .139; ISO .020 → .016; BABIP .189 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATrenton Thunder · 170 PAwOBA .276 → .250 (−26)K% 19.4% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.41% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.18% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 0.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 25.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.30% | ÷0.962 | ×0.860 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.039 | ×0.950 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.16% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 92, 3B 108, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .276 → .250; ISO .091 → .074; BABIP .315 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 99 PAwOBA .321 → .296 (−24)K% 19.2% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.19% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.03% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.38% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 27.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.996 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.35% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .321 → .296; ISO .129 → .115; BABIP .351 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATrenton Thunder · 355 PAwOBA .259 → .241 (−18)K% 17.7% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.75% | ÷0.950 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.25% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 1.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.25% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 23.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.90% | ÷0.978 | ×0.860 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.153 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 90, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .259 → .241; ISO .078 → .065; BABIP .300 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 18 PAwOBA .272 → .235 (−37)K% 22.2% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 22.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 6.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.878 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .272 → .235; ISO .118 → .100; BABIP .308 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Tampa Yankees · 216 PAwOBA .339 → .282 (−57)K% 11.6% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.57% | ÷0.950 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.94% | ÷0.978 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.23% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.998 | 26.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.07% | ÷1.003 | ×0.960 | ×0.967 | ×0.998 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×0.998 | 2.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.882 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 90, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .339 → .282; ISO .076 → .065; BABIP .366 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ACharleston RiverDogs · 97 PAwOBA .345 → .297 (−49)K% 12.4% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.37% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.15% | ÷1.050 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.15% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 3.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.990 | 22.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷1.073 | ×0.820 | ×1.019 | ×0.990 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×1.019 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.883 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 91, 2B 115, 3B 98, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .345 → .297; ISO .140 → .117; BABIP .319 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Yankees1 · 22 PAwOBA .418 → .302 (−116)K% 9.1% → 13.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 2.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 13.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 7.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 4.18% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .418 → .302; ISO .350 → .249; BABIP .294 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .