Michael Choice
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 589 | .308/.384/.569 | 32 | 7 | 116 | — | .264/.310/.436 |
| 2020 | 30 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 206 | .193/.327/.351 | 8 | 6 | 98 | — | |
| 2021 | 31 | INTLYaquis de Obr… | 99 | .221/.323/.349 | 2 | 0 | 95 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 542 | 467 | 133 | 28 | 1 | 30 | 61 | 134 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 285 | 379 | 542 | 921 | 257 | 336 | 25 | 11 | 400 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 79 | 66 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 318 | 423 | 667 | 1.090 | 348 | 312 | 15 | 11 | 461 | 198 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 402 | 359 | 103 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 88 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 287 | 358 | 423 | 782 | 136 | 352 | 22 | 8 | 349 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 19 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 316 | 333 | 649 | 56 | 417 | 32 | 5 | 295 | 85 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +0 | -0.7 |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 600 | 510 | 154 | 29 | 1 | 14 | 69 | 115 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 302 | 397 | 445 | 842 | 143 | 358 | 19 | 12 | 373 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 280 | 253 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 253 | 320 | 573 | 138 | 208 | 25 | 8 | 257 | 54 | -15 | +0 | -10 | -5 | +6 | -2.4 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 182 | 150 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 385 | 460 | 845 | 193 | 333 | 26 | 13 | 373 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 509 | 460 | 110 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 137 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 310 | 393 | 703 | 154 | 311 | 27 | 7 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 276 | 252 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 81 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 307 | 456 | 763 | 210 | 302 | 29 | 5 | 335 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 109 | 94 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 318 | 362 | 679 | 138 | 305 | 31 | 10 | 305 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 32 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 219 | 77 | 296 | 38 | 59 | 28 | 16 | 172 | -26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 195 | 173 | 47 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 351 | 503 | 853 | 231 | 328 | 25 | 9 | 373 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 356 | 317 | 111 | 26 | 0 | 20 | 28 | 85 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 350 | 415 | 621 | 1.036 | 271 | 421 | 24 | 8 | 445 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 233 | 203 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 241 | 336 | 488 | 824 | 246 | 274 | 24 | 8 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 206 | 171 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 44 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 193 | 327 | 351 | 678 | 158 | 208 | 21 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 99 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 221 | 323 | 349 | 672 | 128 | 266 | 20 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 299 | 271 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 75 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 257 | 321 | 578 | 133 | 221 | 25 | 7 | 260 | 62 | -14 | +0 | -10 | -12 | +6 | -2.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 542 | 488 | 110 | 24 | 1 | 21 | 40 | 176 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 225 | 297 | 408 | 705 | 182 | 298 | 32 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 402 | 371 | 90 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 112 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 296 | 358 | 654 | 116 | 316 | 28 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 19 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 316 | 333 | 649 | 56 | 417 | 32 | 5 | 294 | 85 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +0 | -0.7 |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 600 | 528 | 140 | 23 | 1 | 12 | 51 | 146 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 265 | 342 | 381 | 723 | 116 | 328 | 24 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 280 | 253 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 253 | 320 | 573 | 138 | 208 | 25 | 8 | 248 | 54 | -15 | +0 | -10 | -5 | +6 | -2.4 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 182 | 157 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 60 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 313 | 350 | 663 | 134 | 298 | 33 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 509 | 473 | 93 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 163 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 250 | 309 | 559 | 112 | 275 | 32 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 276 | 257 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 101 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 245 | 342 | 587 | 148 | 265 | 37 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 32 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 188 | 74 | 262 | 37 | 48 | 34 | 12 | 130 | -26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 195 | 180 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 263 | 350 | 613 | 144 | 281 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Algodoneros Union Laguna | — | 356 | 330 | 87 | 18 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 107 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 264 | 310 | 436 | 746 | 173 | 338 | 30 | 4 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 621 | 557 | 127 | 28 | 1 | 24 | 46 | 201 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 228 | 302 | 411 | 713 | 183 | 307 | 32 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 621 | 533 | 154 | 33 | 1 | 36 | 70 | 146 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 289 | 385 | 557 | 942 | 268 | 332 | 24 | 11 | 408 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 402 | 371 | 90 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 112 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 296 | 358 | 654 | 116 | 320 | 28 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 402 | 359 | 103 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 88 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 287 | 358 | 423 | 782 | 136 | 352 | 22 | 8 | 349 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 619 | 546 | 145 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 52 | 152 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 342 | 379 | 721 | 114 | 339 | 25 | 8 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 619 | 528 | 159 | 30 | 1 | 14 | 70 | 121 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 301 | 394 | 441 | 835 | 140 | 360 | 20 | 11 | 371 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 410 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 129 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 195 | 276 | 332 | 608 | 137 | 242 | 28 | 8 | 270 | 69 | -17 | +0 | -10 | -5 | +10 | -2.2 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 462 | 403 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 116 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 305 | 372 | 677 | 159 | 253 | 25 | 10 | 303 | 69 | -17 | +0 | -10 | -5 | +10 | -2.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 509 | 473 | 93 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 163 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 250 | 309 | 559 | 112 | 277 | 32 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 509 | 460 | 110 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 137 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 310 | 393 | 703 | 154 | 311 | 27 | 7 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 358 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 141 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 193 | 241 | 341 | 582 | 148 | 266 | 37 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 385 | 346 | 83 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 25 | 115 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 240 | 310 | 431 | 740 | 191 | 303 | 30 | 6 | 326 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 227 | 208 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 73 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 248 | 312 | 560 | 130 | 252 | 32 | 6 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 227 | 199 | 48 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 58 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 332 | 447 | 779 | 206 | 293 | 26 | 10 | 345 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 589 | 541 | 143 | 30 | 0 | 21 | 25 | 177 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 264 | 318 | 436 | 755 | 172 | 351 | 30 | 4 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 589 | 520 | 160 | 38 | 1 | 32 | 46 | 142 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 308 | 384 | 569 | 953 | 262 | 365 | 24 | 8 | 412 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 206 | 171 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 44 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 193 | 327 | 351 | 678 | 158 | 208 | 21 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 206 | 171 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 44 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 193 | 327 | 351 | 678 | 158 | 208 | 21 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL MLE | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 99 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 221 | 323 | 349 | 672 | 128 | 266 | 20 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | INTL RAW | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 99 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 221 | 323 | 349 | 672 | 128 | 266 | 20 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 621 | 557 | 127 | 28 | 1 | 24 | 46 | 201 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 228 | 302 | 411 | 713 | 183 | 298 | 32 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 402 | 371 | 90 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 112 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 296 | 358 | 654 | 116 | 316 | 28 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 619 | 551 | 145 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 52 | 152 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 342 | 376 | 717 | 113 | 331 | 25 | 8 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 413 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 129 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 194 | 276 | 329 | 606 | 136 | 243 | 28 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 509 | 470 | 93 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 163 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 198 | 250 | 311 | 561 | 113 | 275 | 32 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 359 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 141 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 192 | 241 | 340 | 581 | 148 | 265 | 37 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 227 | 207 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 73 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 184 | 248 | 314 | 562 | 130 | 248 | 32 | 6 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 589 | 541 | 143 | 30 | 0 | 21 | 25 | 177 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 264 | 318 | 436 | 755 | 172 | 338 | 30 | 4 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 299 | 271 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 75 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 257 | 321 | 578 | 133 | 221 | 25 | 7 | 260 | 67 | -14 | +0 | -10 | -12 | +6 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 111 | 15 | 2 | 20 | 48 | 163 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 258 | 323 | 581 | 134 | 220 | 25 | 7 | 260 | 67 | -29 | +0 | -21 | -25 | +14 | -6.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4119 | 3721 | 837 | 159 | 7 | 118 | 268 | 1212 | 93 | 35 | 19 | 225 | 293 | 367 | 660 | 142 | 296 | 29 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -14 | +0 | -10 | -12 | +6 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 132 | 25 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 191 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 225 | 293 | 368 | 661 | 143 | 295 | 29 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -29 | +0 | -21 | -25 | +14 | -6.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAAlgodoneros Union Laguna · 356 PAwOBA .434 → .326 (−108)K% 23.9% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.88% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.46% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.02% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 24.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.21% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 7.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.116 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.62% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 5.70% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 123, K 91, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .434 → .326; ISO .271 → .180; BABIP .421 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABiloxi Shuckers · 195 PAwOBA .363 → .268 (−96)K% 25.1% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.13% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.72% | ÷1.035 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.16% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 17.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.48% | ÷0.946 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 9.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.880 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.393 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 4.03% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 179, 1B 97, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .363 → .268; ISO .231 → .149; BABIP .328 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAANorfolk Tides · 32 PAwOBA .169 → .130 (−39)K% 28.1% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.12% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.62% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 11.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.001 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.866 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .169 → .130; ISO .038 → .031; BABIP .059 → .048. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 276 PAwOBA .328 → .254 (−74)K% 29.3% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.35% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.07% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.64% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.009 | ×1.003 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.43% | ÷1.043 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.003 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.19% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 6.20% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .328 → .254; ISO .210 → .150; BABIP .302 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAColumbus Clippers · 509 PAwOBA .307 → .246 (−62)K% 26.9% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.92% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.27% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.43% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 18.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.29% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 7.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.02% | ÷1.217 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.83% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .307 → .246; ISO .154 → .114; BABIP .311 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAARound Rock Express · 182 PAwOBA .368 → .303 (−65)K% 25.8% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.82% | ÷1.015 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.09% | ÷1.033 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 8.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.30% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 3.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.27% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 22.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.77% | ÷1.055 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 6.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.80% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 5.33% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 91, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .368 → .303; ISO .193 → .148; BABIP .333 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASacramento River Cats · 600 PAwOBA .370 → .319 (−51)K% 19.2% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.17% | ÷1.016 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.50% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 8.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.85% | ÷0.981 | ×0.900 | ×0.988 | ×1.048 | 26.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.34% | ÷1.037 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×1.048 | 5.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.25% | ÷0.906 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×1.048 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.54% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 81, K 103, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .370 → .319; ISO .143 → .117; BABIP .358 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAMidland RockHounds · 402 PAwOBA .339 → .288 (−51)K% 21.9% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.89% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷0.983 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.04% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 25.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.54% | ÷1.029 | ×0.840 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.69% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 110, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 91, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .339 → .288; ISO .136 → .118; BABIP .352 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .