Chris O'Dowd
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AAMississippi B… | 99 | .304/.429/.468 | 2 | 3 | 127 | — | .279/.367/.430 |
| 2016 | 25 | AA/A+CWS | 193 | .252/.353/.313 | 1 | 4 | 54 | — | .214/.284/.266 |
| 2017 | 26 | AACWS | 42 | .176/.282/.206 | 0 | 0 | 15 | — | .171/.256/.200 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 30 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 310 | 333 | 345 | 678 | 34 | 429 | 27 | 3 | 307 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 38 | 36 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 306 | 324 | 389 | 713 | 83 | 407 | 24 | 3 | 310 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 155 | 134 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 269 | 355 | 321 | 676 | 52 | 346 | 19 | 10 | 309 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 317 | 287 | 78 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 67 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 272 | 327 | 415 | 742 | 143 | 335 | 21 | 7 | 325 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 29 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 310 | 423 | 733 | 192 | 417 | 45 | 7 | 327 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 99 | 79 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 304 | 429 | 468 | 897 | 165 | 373 | 19 | 18 | 396 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 97 | 82 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 316 | 256 | 572 | 37 | 305 | 24 | 11 | 266 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 96 | 81 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 284 | 389 | 370 | 760 | 86 | 344 | 18 | 11 | 348 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 42 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 282 | 206 | 488 | 29 | 250 | 26 | 10 | 222 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 30 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 300 | 310 | 610 | 34 | 399 | 37 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 38 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 270 | 306 | 576 | 56 | 341 | 34 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 155 | 139 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 245 | 309 | 288 | 597 | 43 | 323 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 317 | 294 | 62 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 92 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 211 | 256 | 313 | 569 | 102 | 281 | 29 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 99 | 86 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 279 | 367 | 430 | 798 | 151 | 345 | 22 | 12 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 97 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 263 | 230 | 493 | 34 | 274 | 29 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 96 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 233 | 305 | 302 | 608 | 70 | 314 | 27 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 42 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 256 | 200 | 456 | 29 | 223 | 33 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 30 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 300 | 310 | 610 | 34 | 444 | 37 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 30 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 310 | 333 | 345 | 678 | 34 | 429 | 27 | 3 | 307 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 38 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 270 | 306 | 576 | 56 | 391 | 34 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 38 | 36 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 306 | 324 | 389 | 713 | 83 | 407 | 24 | 3 | 310 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 501 | 459 | 101 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 137 | 6 | 23 | 6 | 220 | 274 | 301 | 574 | 81 | 302 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 501 | 447 | 120 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 110 | 6 | 23 | 6 | 268 | 335 | 387 | 722 | 119 | 341 | 22 | 8 | 320 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 99 | 86 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 279 | 367 | 430 | 798 | 151 | 349 | 22 | 12 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 99 | 79 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 304 | 429 | 468 | 897 | 165 | 373 | 19 | 18 | 396 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 193 | 172 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 215 | 289 | 267 | 557 | 52 | 305 | 28 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 193 | 163 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 252 | 353 | 313 | 666 | 61 | 325 | 21 | 11 | 307 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 42 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 256 | 200 | 456 | 29 | 273 | 33 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 42 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 282 | 206 | 488 | 29 | 250 | 26 | 10 | 222 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 30 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 300 | 310 | 610 | 34 | 399 | 37 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 38 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 243 | 270 | 297 | 568 | 54 | 341 | 34 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 501 | 462 | 101 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 137 | 6 | 23 | 6 | 219 | 274 | 299 | 573 | 80 | 295 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 99 | 87 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 367 | 425 | 793 | 149 | 345 | 22 | 12 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 193 | 173 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 214 | 289 | 266 | 555 | 52 | 294 | 28 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 42 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 256 | 184 | 441 | 26 | 223 | 33 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 903 | 817 | 185 | 36 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 251 | 11 | 35 | 9 | 226 | 287 | 304 | 591 | 77 | 315 | 28 | 7 | 259 | 62 | -41 | +3 | +0 | +16 | +20 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 133 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 181 | 8 | 25 | 6 | 226 | 286 | 303 | 589 | 77 | 315 | 28 | 6 | 259 | 62 | -30 | +3 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AABirmingham Barons · 42 PAwOBA .223 → .191 (−32)K% 26.2% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.19% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 6.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 19.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 3.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.086 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 117, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .223 → .191; ISO .029 → .028; BABIP .250 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABirmingham Barons · 97 PAwOBA .260 → .221 (−39)K% 23.7% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.71% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.34% | ÷0.990 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 7.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.42% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 22.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.897 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 4.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 79, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .260 → .221; ISO .037 → .037; BABIP .305 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 96 PAwOBA .339 → .275 (−64)K% 17.7% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.71% | ÷0.938 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷0.996 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 6.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷0.994 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×0.968 | 26.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×0.968 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | ×1.020 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.098 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 1.24% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 103, K 88, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .339 → .275; ISO .086 → .068; BABIP .344 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMississippi Braves · 99 PAwOBA .388 → .356 (−32)K% 19.2% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.19% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.17% | ÷0.965 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 12.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 24.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.927 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 8.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.005 | ×0.880 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.784 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.40% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 104, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .388 → .356; ISO .165 → .174; BABIP .373 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Modesto Nuts · 317 PAwOBA .319 → .249 (−70)K% 21.1% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.14% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.94% | ÷0.947 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.047 | ×0.820 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 2.03% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .319 → .249; ISO .143 → .107; BABIP .335 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATulsa Drillers · 155 PAwOBA .302 → .265 (−37)K% 19.4% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.038 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.88% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 26.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.73% | ÷1.087 | ×0.840 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.940 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .302 → .265; ISO .052 → .043; BABIP .346 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAsheville Tourists · 38 PAwOBA .302 → .222 (−80)K% 23.7% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.940 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.63% | ÷1.043 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 1.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.63% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 27.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.305 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.331 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 98, 2B 161, 3B 80, K 88, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .302 → .222; ISO .083 → .047; BABIP .407 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 30 PAwOBA .299 → .241 (−58)K% 26.7% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.993 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 2.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.10% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 36.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 95, 2B 107, 3B 99, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .299 → .241; ISO .034 → .024; BABIP .429 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .