Kevin Nolan

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1987-12-13

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	25	AATOR	504	.262/.331/.388	9	5	73	—	.241/.291/.342
2014	26	AAA/AATOR	463	.254/.311/.353	5	9	58	—	.232/.272/.317
2015	27	AAA/AATOR	479	.249/.304/.355	6	10	53	—	.223/.259/.298

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	326	285	84	25	2	0	31	34	5	11	10	295	374	396	770	102	332	10	10	344	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	280	242	68	20	0	4	36	47	1	2	3	281	376	413	790	132	333	17	13	356	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	106	91	29	6	0	3	12	15	1	2	1	319	404	484	887	165	347	14	11	388	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	349	310	98	23	5	5	34	43	2	12	4	316	387	471	858	155	351	12	10	378	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	504	451	118	24	3	9	44	65	3	5	4	262	331	388	719	126	286	13	9	320	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	77	71	17	1	1	0	5	10	1	0	0	239	299	282	580	42	279	13	6	269	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	386	354	91	22	1	5	26	47	3	9	4	257	313	367	681	110	282	12	7	305	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	33	30	9	2	0	1	2	4	1	0	1	300	364	467	830	167	320	12	6	370	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	446	407	100	20	3	5	28	47	3	10	5	246	299	346	646	101	262	11	6	287	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	326	295	72	19	2	0	21	46	5	11	10	244	305	322	627	78	276	14	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	280	252	56	17	0	3	26	67	1	2	3	222	297	325	623	103	289	24	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	106	95	24	4	0	3	8	21	1	2	1	253	317	389	707	137	283	20	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	349	320	83	19	4	4	24	61	2	12	4	259	315	381	696	122	303	17	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	504	465	112	20	3	7	30	82	3	5	4	241	291	342	633	101	270	16	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	77	73	16	1	1	0	3	13	1	0	0	219	260	260	520	41	264	17	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	386	363	85	20	1	4	17	59	3	9	4	234	274	328	602	94	262	15	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	33	31	9	2	0	1	1	5	1	0	1	290	333	452	785	161	294	15	3	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	446	418	91	16	2	3	17	60	3	10	5	218	253	287	541	69	238	13	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	326	295	72	19	2	0	21	46	5	11	10	244	305	322	627	78	287	14	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	326	285	84	25	2	0	31	34	5	11	10	295	374	396	770	102	332	10	10	344	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	386	347	80	21	0	6	34	89	2	4	4	231	303	343	646	112	290	23	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	386	333	97	26	0	7	48	62	2	4	4	291	384	432	816	141	337	16	12	365	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	349	320	83	19	4	4	24	61	2	12	4	259	315	381	696	122	306	17	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	349	310	98	23	5	5	34	43	2	12	4	316	387	471	858	155	351	12	10	378	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	504	465	112	20	3	7	30	82	3	5	4	241	291	342	633	101	276	16	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	504	451	118	24	3	9	44	65	3	5	4	262	331	388	719	126	286	13	9	320	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	463	436	100	20	2	4	20	71	4	9	4	229	270	312	581	83	264	15	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	463	425	108	23	2	5	31	57	4	9	4	254	311	353	664	99	281	12	7	299	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	479	449	99	18	2	4	18	65	4	10	6	220	257	296	553	76	245	14	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	479	437	109	22	3	6	30	51	4	10	6	249	304	355	658	105	266	11	6	292	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	326	297	72	19	2	0	21	46	5	11	10	242	305	320	625	77	276	14	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	386	347	80	21	0	6	34	89	2	4	4	231	303	343	646	112	287	23	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	349	320	83	19	4	4	24	61	2	12	4	259	315	381	696	122	303	17	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	504	466	112	20	3	7	30	82	3	5	4	240	291	341	632	101	270	16	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	463	436	100	20	2	4	20	71	4	9	4	229	270	312	581	83	262	15	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	479	454	99	18	2	4	18	65	4	10	6	218	257	293	550	75	242	14	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2507	2312	546	117	13	25	147	414	20	51	32	236	288	330	618	94	275	17	6	272	70	-89	-3	+0	+27	+54	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	140	30	3	6	38	107	5	13	8	234	285	324	609	90	272	16	6	272	70	-23	-1	+0	+7	+14	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 446 PAwOBA .282 → .242 (−40)K% 10.5% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.54%	÷0.960	×1.220	—	—	13.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.83%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×0.968	3.85%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.850	—	×0.968	0.55%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.996	×0.970	×1.008	×0.968	19.00%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.064	×0.860	×1.008	×0.968	4.38%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.008	×0.968	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	1.39%	÷1.130	×0.780	—	×0.968	0.93%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .282 → .242; ISO .101 → .077; BABIP .262 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 33 PAwOBA .360 → .316 (−43)K% 12.1% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.12%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	14.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.06%	÷1.040	×0.690	—	×0.992	3.99%
HBP% /PA	3.03%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	2.83%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷0.981	×0.930	—	×0.992	21.70%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.944	×0.830	—	×0.992	6.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.85%	÷0.966	×0.840	—	×0.992	3.32%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .360 → .316; ISO .167 → .144; BABIP .320 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 386 PAwOBA .299 → .259 (−40)K% 12.2% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.18%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	15.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.74%	÷1.062	×0.700	—	×0.978	4.34%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	0.65%
Singles /BIP	20.52%	÷1.012	×0.970	×1.009	×0.978	19.41%
Doubles /BIP	7.17%	÷0.952	×0.860	×1.009	×0.978	6.38%
Triples /BIP	0.33%	÷0.921	×0.950	×1.009	×0.978	0.33%
Home runs /BIP	1.63%	÷1.066	×0.780	—	×0.978	1.17%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .299 → .259; ISO .110 → .092; BABIP .282 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 77 PAwOBA .262 → .231 (−31)K% 13.0% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.99%	÷0.942	×1.200	—	—	16.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.49%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.32%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.22%
Singles /BIP	24.59%	÷0.968	×0.930	×0.999	×1.003	23.68%
Doubles /BIP	1.64%	÷0.985	×0.830	×0.999	×1.003	1.38%
Triples /BIP	1.64%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.999	×1.003	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.006	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .262 → .231; ISO .042 → .035; BABIP .279 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 504 PAwOBA .315 → .276 (−38)K% 12.9% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.90%	÷0.969	×1.220	—	—	16.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.73%	÷1.007	×0.700	—	×0.988	6.00%
HBP% /PA	0.60%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.50%
Singles /BIP	21.24%	÷0.986	×0.970	×1.016	×0.988	20.98%
Doubles /BIP	6.22%	÷1.042	×0.860	×1.016	×0.988	5.15%
Triples /BIP	0.78%	÷1.068	×0.950	×1.016	×0.988	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷0.975	×0.780	—	×0.988	1.84%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 114, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .315 → .276; ISO .126 → .104; BABIP .286 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 349 PAwOBA .372 → .307 (−65)K% 12.3% → 17.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.32%	÷1.001	×1.420	—	—	17.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.74%	÷1.020	×0.750	—	×0.978	7.01%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.930	—	×0.978	0.52%
Singles /BIP	24.34%	÷1.034	×0.920	×1.006	×0.978	21.31%
Doubles /BIP	8.61%	÷1.111	×0.960	×1.006	×0.978	7.33%
Triples /BIP	1.87%	÷1.014	×0.810	×1.006	×0.978	1.47%
Home runs /BIP	1.87%	÷0.944	×0.880	—	×0.978	1.71%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 103, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .372 → .307; ISO .155 → .130; BABIP .351 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 280 PAwOBA .347 → .281 (−66)K% 16.8% → 24.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.79%	÷0.989	×1.420	—	—	24.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷0.993	×0.750	—	×0.988	9.33%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	0.33%
Singles /BIP	22.56%	÷1.010	×0.920	×0.950	×0.988	19.30%
Doubles /BIP	10.26%	÷1.004	×0.960	×0.950	×0.988	9.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.969	×0.810	×0.950	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.05%	÷1.008	×0.880	—	×0.988	1.77%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 101, 3B 94, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .347 → .281; ISO .132 → .111; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 ALansing Lugnuts · 106 PAwOBA .385 → .303 (−82)K% 14.2% → 20.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.15%	÷0.963	×1.360	—	—	19.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.32%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×0.980	7.60%
HBP% /PA	0.94%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	0.72%
Singles /BIP	26.32%	÷1.001	×0.920	×0.950	×0.980	22.53%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷1.103	×0.830	×0.950	×0.980	5.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.982	×0.910	×0.950	×0.980	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.95%	÷0.921	×0.800	—	×0.980	3.36%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 121, 3B 96, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .385 → .303; ISO .165 → .130; BABIP .347 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).