Chris McGuiness
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 25 | AAATEX | 436 | .246/.371/.423 | 11 | 1 | 80 | — | .200/.300/.339 | |
| 2013 | 25 | MLBTEX | 34 | .176/.176/.206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | ||
| 2014 | 26 | AAAPIT | 489 | .264/.362/.412 | 9 | 0 | 93 | — | .241/.312/.380 | |
| 2015 | 27 | AAAPHI | 387 | .223/.339/.297 | 3 | 1 | 51 | — | .197/.276/.251 | |
| 2016 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 25 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 320 | 200 | 520 | 50 | 200 | 20 | 12 | 266 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 147 | 120 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 384 | 450 | 834 | 200 | 280 | 22 | 16 | 372 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 341 | 282 | 84 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 53 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 298 | 418 | 504 | 921 | 206 | 340 | 17 | 16 | 408 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 228 | 196 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 322 | 296 | 618 | 82 | 278 | 22 | 13 | 289 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 530 | 456 | 122 | 25 | 0 | 23 | 69 | 107 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 367 | 474 | 841 | 206 | 302 | 20 | 13 | 372 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 108 | 92 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 377 | 467 | 845 | 185 | 297 | 15 | 12 | 370 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 34 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 206 | 382 | 29 | 286 | 38 | 0 | 171 | 0 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 436 | 362 | 89 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 68 | 86 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 371 | 423 | 794 | 177 | 292 | 20 | 16 | 357 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 489 | 420 | 111 | 31 | 2 | 9 | 63 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 264 | 362 | 412 | 773 | 148 | 297 | 15 | 13 | 345 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 387 | 327 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 55 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 223 | 339 | 297 | 635 | 73 | 266 | 16 | 14 | 297 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 34 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 206 | 382 | 29 | 286 | 38 | 0 | 171 | 2 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +1 | -1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 280 | 190 | 470 | 48 | 180 | 28 | 8 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 147 | 128 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 203 | 301 | 359 | 661 | 156 | 263 | 31 | 11 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 341 | 301 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 78 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 229 | 318 | 339 | 657 | 110 | 291 | 23 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 228 | 209 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 229 | 211 | 440 | 48 | 241 | 32 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 530 | 482 | 109 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 43 | 133 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 294 | 369 | 663 | 143 | 277 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 34 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 206 | 382 | 29 | 286 | 38 | 0 | 168 | 0 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 436 | 380 | 76 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 50 | 113 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 300 | 339 | 639 | 139 | 254 | 26 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 489 | 439 | 106 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 89 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 241 | 312 | 380 | 692 | 139 | 276 | 18 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 387 | 346 | 68 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 197 | 276 | 251 | 527 | 55 | 237 | 19 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 280 | 190 | 470 | 48 | 214 | 28 | 8 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 25 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 320 | 200 | 520 | 50 | 200 | 20 | 12 | 266 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 429 | 97 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 124 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 226 | 317 | 359 | 676 | 133 | 288 | 25 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 402 | 114 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 77 | 91 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 284 | 407 | 488 | 895 | 204 | 323 | 19 | 16 | 397 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 228 | 209 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 229 | 211 | 440 | 48 | 243 | 32 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 228 | 196 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 322 | 296 | 618 | 82 | 278 | 22 | 13 | 289 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 638 | 578 | 132 | 25 | 0 | 20 | 52 | 160 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 297 | 375 | 672 | 147 | 279 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 638 | 548 | 148 | 30 | 0 | 27 | 82 | 123 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 270 | 369 | 473 | 842 | 203 | 301 | 19 | 13 | 372 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 414 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 50 | 126 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 291 | 329 | 619 | 130 | 260 | 27 | 11 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 470 | 396 | 95 | 30 | 1 | 11 | 68 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 357 | 404 | 761 | 164 | 292 | 21 | 14 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 489 | 439 | 106 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 89 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 241 | 312 | 380 | 692 | 139 | 280 | 18 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 489 | 420 | 111 | 31 | 2 | 9 | 63 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 264 | 362 | 412 | 773 | 148 | 297 | 15 | 13 | 345 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 387 | 346 | 68 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 197 | 276 | 251 | 527 | 55 | 240 | 19 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 387 | 327 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 55 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 223 | 339 | 297 | 635 | 73 | 266 | 16 | 14 | 297 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 280 | 190 | 470 | 48 | 180 | 28 | 8 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 428 | 97 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 124 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 227 | 317 | 360 | 677 | 133 | 283 | 25 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 228 | 208 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 229 | 212 | 441 | 48 | 241 | 32 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 638 | 577 | 132 | 25 | 0 | 20 | 52 | 160 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 297 | 376 | 673 | 147 | 277 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 413 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 50 | 126 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 291 | 329 | 620 | 131 | 256 | 27 | 11 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 489 | 441 | 106 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 89 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 240 | 312 | 379 | 691 | 138 | 276 | 18 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 387 | 346 | 68 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 73 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 197 | 276 | 251 | 527 | 55 | 237 | 19 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 206 | 382 | 29 | 286 | 38 | 0 | 171 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +1 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 650 | 115 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 177 | 206 | 383 | 29 | 287 | 38 | 0 | 171 | 75 | -76 | +0 | -6 | -160 | +14 | -23.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2725 | 2436 | 522 | 117 | 4 | 54 | 251 | 652 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 214 | 293 | 332 | 625 | 118 | 268 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +1 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 125 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 60 | 156 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 215 | 294 | 334 | 628 | 119 | 269 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -76 | +0 | -6 | -160 | +14 | -23.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 387 PAwOBA .289 → .243 (−46)K% 16.0% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.02% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.70% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.003 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.003 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.13% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.13% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .289 → .243; ISO .073 → .059; BABIP .266 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 489 PAwOBA .338 → .306 (−32)K% 14.7% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.72% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.27% | ÷0.944 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.83% | ÷1.068 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 18.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.91% | ÷0.932 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 8.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×1.018 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.59% | ÷0.854 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .338 → .306; ISO .148 → .145; BABIP .297 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARound Rock Express · 436 PAwOBA .349 → .286 (−63)K% 19.7% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.978 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.37% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 11.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.056 | ×0.900 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 15.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.51% | ÷1.009 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 8.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.99% | ÷0.915 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 3.51% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .349 → .286; ISO .177 → .149; BABIP .292 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 530 PAwOBA .361 → .295 (−66)K% 20.2% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.19% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.26% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.20% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.16% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 6.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.137 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .361 → .295; ISO .206 → .155; BABIP .302 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 228 PAwOBA .281 → .207 (−74)K% 22.4% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.37% | ÷0.992 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.72% | ÷1.062 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.030 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 18.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.099 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.203 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .281 → .207; ISO .082 → .058; BABIP .278 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AGreenville Drive · 341 PAwOBA .396 → .297 (−99)K% 17.3% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.30% | ÷1.012 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.66% | ÷0.971 | ×0.660 | — | — | 9.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.87% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | — | 20.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.030 | ×0.820 | ×1.011 | — | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.048 | ×0.940 | ×1.011 | — | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.826 | ×0.820 | — | — | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 265, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 110, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .396 → .297; ISO .206 → .122; BABIP .340 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 147 PAwOBA .366 → .301 (−65)K% 21.8% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.77% | ÷0.945 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.33% | ÷1.080 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 10.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 21.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.051 | ×0.820 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 2.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.95% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 7.49% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 89, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .366 → .301; ISO .200 → .177; BABIP .280 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AGreenville Drive · 25 PAwOBA .261 → .206 (−55)K% 20.0% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 6.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 12.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .206; ISO .050 → .041; BABIP .200 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .