Joe Mantiply

P Toronto Blue Jays

Age 36 LHP 6'4" / 219 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBRP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	33	MLBARI	75	2	60	3.92	2.09	21.8%	4.5%	1.8
2025	34	MIX3 levels	35	1	38	7.17	5.01	21.5%	3.4%	-0.2	K 19.5% · BB 2.7% · FIP 5.53
2026	35	MIX3 levels	32	0	35	4.08	3.04	20.7%	4.7%	0.6	K 19.8% · BB 4.5% · FIP 3.48
2027PROJ	36	MLBTOR	52	0	55	4.29	4.32	18.3%	4.5%	0.1
2028PROJ91% MLB	37	MLBTOR	42	0	44	4.55	4.72	17.2%	5.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ77% MLB	38	MLBTOR	30	0	32	4.91	5.15	16.1%	5.8%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%34

xwOBA vs16

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

CompsBrian Shouse (age 36) · Heriberto Ruelas (age 35) · Raul Valdes (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.29

FIP4.32

K%18.3%

BB%4.5%

K-BB%13.8%

Proj IP55

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1088.2

Whiff%

p1016.8%

p3419.8%

xwOBA vs

p160.352

CH+1.4 (25%)

SI (49%)

CU (27%)

SL (27%)

FB-1.7 (48%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	63	256	51	12	4	0%	1.6	16.1%	5.5%	10.7%	2.0%	2.27	3.52	—
2015	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	63	256	51	12	4	0%	1.6	19.9%	4.7%	15.2%	1.6%	2.27	2.88	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	61	1	62	257	71	13	3	2%	1.0	24.5%	5.9%	18.6%	0.5%	3.34	2.07	+1.8
2016	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	61	1	62	257	71	13	3	2%	1.0	27.6%	5.1%	22.6%	1.2%	3.34	2.07	+1.9
2017	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	35	6	70	295	62	17	3	17%	2.0	18.5%	6.1%	12.4%	0.9%	2.83	2.80	—
2017	26	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	35	6	70	295	62	17	3	17%	2.0	21.0%	5.8%	15.3%	1.0%	2.83	2.61	—
2019	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	0	43	178	35	8	6	0%	1.6	18.7%	2.7%	16.0%	3.3%	4.64	3.65	+0.5
2019	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	0	43	178	35	8	6	0%	1.6	19.7%	4.5%	15.2%	3.4%	4.64	3.85	+0.4
2020	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	4	0	2	15	2	4	0	0%	0.6	13.3%	26.7%	-13.3%	0.0%	15.43	5.35	-0.0
2020	29	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	4	0	2	15	2	4	0	0%	0.6	13.3%	26.7%	-13.3%	0.0%	15.43	6.53	-0.1
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	44	196	48	14	2	0%	0.7	21.5%	7.9%	13.6%	0.6%	3.25	2.62	+1.0
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	44	196	48	14	2	0%	0.7	24.5%	7.1%	17.3%	1.0%	3.25	2.47	+1.1
2022	31	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	69	0	60	243	61	6	6	0%	0.9	25.1%	2.5%	22.6%	2.6%	2.85	2.73	+1.3
2022	31	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	69	0	60	243	61	6	6	0%	0.9	25.1%	2.5%	22.6%	2.5%	2.85	2.67	+1.4
2023	32	MIX MLE	4 levels	49	4	56	232	45	13	6	8%	1.1	17.4%	5.4%	12.0%	3.0%	4.79	3.95	+0.4
2023	32	MIX RAW	4 levels	49	4	56	232	45	13	6	8%	1.1	19.4%	5.6%	13.8%	2.6%	4.79	3.58	+0.6
2024	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	75	2	60	243	53	11	1	3%	0.8	21.8%	4.5%	17.3%	0.4%	3.92	2.07	+1.8
2024	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	75	2	60	243	53	11	1	3%	0.8	21.8%	4.5%	17.3%	0.4%	3.92	2.07	+1.8
2024	33	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	75	2	60	243	53	11	1	3%	0.8	21.8%	4.5%	17.3%	0.4%	3.92	2.09	+1.8
2025	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	1	38	177	38	6	10	3%	1.1	19.5%	2.7%	16.8%	6.8%	7.17	5.53	-0.4
2025	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	1	38	177	38	6	10	3%	1.1	19.5%	2.7%	16.8%	6.8%	7.17	5.53	-0.4
2025	34	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	1	38	177	38	6	10	3%	1.1	21.5%	3.4%	18.1%	5.6%	7.17	5.01	-0.2
2026	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	35	150	31	7	3	0%	1.1	19.8%	4.5%	15.3%	2.7%	4.08	3.48	+0.4
2026	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	35	150	31	7	3	0%	1.1	19.8%	4.5%	15.3%	2.7%	4.08	3.48	+0.4
2026	35	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	0	35	150	31	7	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	4.7%	16.0%	2.0%	4.08	3.04	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			281	5	243	1034	216	53	22	2%	0.9	20.9%	5.1%	15.8%	2.1%	4.37	3.15	+4.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	36	MLB	TOR	52	0	55	232	42	10	8	0%	1.1	18.3%	4.5%	13.8%	3.3%	4.29	4.32	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	37	MLB MLE	TOR	46	0	48	204	35	10	8	0%	1.0	17.2%	5.1%	12.1%	3.7%	4.55	4.72	-0.1
2029	38	MLB MLE	TOR	40	0	42	175	28	10	7	0%	1.0	16.1%	5.8%	10.2%	4.2%	4.91	5.15	-0.3
2028	37	MLB CTX	TOR	42	0	44	186	32	10	7	0%	1.0	17.2%	5.1%	12.1%	3.7%	4.55	4.72	-0.1
2029	38	MLB CTX	TOR	30	0	32	135	22	8	6	0%	1.1	16.1%	5.8%	10.2%	4.2%	4.91	5.15	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		353	5	319	1354	270	70	35	1%	0.9	19.9%	5.2%	14.7%	2.6%	4.45	3.48	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		222	3	200	849	169	44	22	1%	0.9	19.9%	5.2%	14.7%	2.6%	4.45	3.48	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		487	14	534	2242	455	112	46	3%	1.1	20.3%	5.0%	15.3%	2.1%	3.78	3.16	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		183	5	200	840	171	42	17	3%	1.1	20.3%	5.0%	15.3%	2.1%	3.78	3.16	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe Mantiply (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	18.3%	4.5%	3.3%	—	4.92	16.7%	11.2%	90	+0.60	—	—	—
Brian Shouse L 2005 · 4.24 FIP	36	SU	4.24	15.0%	6.0%	3.0%	.271	3.35	15.0%	9.6%	137	-0.89	2.32	339	71
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	69
Raul Valdes L 2013 · 4.07 FIP	35	SU	4.07	24.3%	5.3%	4.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	160	67
Hisanori Takahashi L 2011 · 3.64 FIP	36	SU	3.64	18.5%	6.0%	2.4%	.249	4.04	24.5%	18.4%	50	+0.40	3.50	240	65
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	52
Tim Byrdak L 2010 · 4.48 FIP	36	SU	4.48	17.1%	11.8%	2.4%	.308	2.92	27.6%	18.1%	68	-1.56	2.85	320	51
Juan Pablo Perez L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	36	SU	3.68	26.5%	15.3%	1.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	45
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	38
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	38
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	34
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	34
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	33
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	31
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2003 · 3.30 FIP	35	SU	3.30	19.3%	8.7%	1.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	223	31
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	31
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	35	SU	5.13	13.1%	7.8%	3.9%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	173	30
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	29
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	29
Jay Jackson R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	36	SU	5.31	25.4%	7.9%	6.1%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	261	27
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	26

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	48	19.5%	5.9%	1.05	4.44
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Mike Morin ('20)	1.1	46	20.3%	6.3%	0.83	4.57
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*
Tony Castillo ('88-'98, 4 WAR*)	2.6	59	18.5%*	7.3%*	0.98*	3.76*
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*