Jeremy Lucas
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 308 | .237/.306/.303 | 2 | 1 | 59 | — | .234/.286/.295 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/AACLE | 414 | .252/.349/.420 | 12 | 1 | 80 | — | .225/.302/.363 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAACLE | 50 | .140/.260/.140 | 0 | 0 | 9 | — | .136/.240/.136 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Akron Aeros | — | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 400 | 200 | 600 | 300 | 25 | 25 | 310 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 312 | 263 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 44 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 384 | 433 | 817 | 160 | 317 | 16 | 14 | 366 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 439 | 378 | 101 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 69 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 365 | 442 | 806 | 175 | 298 | 16 | 12 | 359 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 269 | 238 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 309 | 311 | 620 | 71 | 278 | 15 | 9 | 278 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 39 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 282 | 250 | 532 | 28 | 258 | 13 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 16 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 312 | 562 | 62 | 364 | 31 | 0 | 250 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 398 | 341 | 86 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 74 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 252 | 353 | 425 | 778 | 173 | 287 | 19 | 11 | 346 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 50 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 260 | 140 | 400 | 200 | 26 | 6 | 209 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 350 | 188 | 537 | 292 | 30 | 20 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 312 | 275 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 68 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 316 | 360 | 676 | 131 | 282 | 22 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 439 | 397 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 102 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 287 | 365 | 652 | 149 | 256 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 269 | 244 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 286 | 295 | 581 | 61 | 272 | 18 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 16 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 312 | 562 | 62 | 332 | 38 | 0 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 398 | 353 | 79 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 90 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 224 | 305 | 365 | 670 | 142 | 263 | 23 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 50 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 136 | 240 | 136 | 376 | 200 | 32 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 291 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 318 | 351 | 669 | 124 | 286 | 22 | 11 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 332 | 278 | 75 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 49 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 385 | 421 | 806 | 151 | 317 | 17 | 15 | 362 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 439 | 397 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 102 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 287 | 365 | 652 | 149 | 260 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 439 | 378 | 101 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 69 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 365 | 442 | 806 | 175 | 298 | 16 | 12 | 359 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 281 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 286 | 295 | 581 | 60 | 283 | 18 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 308 | 274 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 306 | 303 | 609 | 66 | 275 | 15 | 8 | 275 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 369 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 97 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 222 | 300 | 360 | 660 | 138 | 272 | 23 | 8 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 414 | 357 | 90 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 79 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 252 | 349 | 420 | 769 | 168 | 290 | 19 | 11 | 343 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 50 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 136 | 240 | 136 | 376 | 214 | 32 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 50 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 260 | 140 | 400 | 200 | 26 | 6 | 209 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 290 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 318 | 352 | 670 | 124 | 283 | 22 | 11 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 439 | 397 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 102 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 287 | 365 | 652 | 149 | 256 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 285 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 286 | 291 | 577 | 60 | 272 | 18 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 370 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 97 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 222 | 300 | 359 | 659 | 138 | 266 | 23 | 8 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 50 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 136 | 240 | 136 | 376 | 200 | 32 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1543 | 1382 | 306 | 64 | 6 | 29 | 123 | 345 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 221 | 295 | 339 | 635 | 118 | 272 | 22 | 8 | 278 | 75 | -47 | -2 | +0 | +28 | +33 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 129 | 27 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 145 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 222 | 295 | 340 | 636 | 119 | 273 | 22 | 8 | 278 | 75 | -20 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 50 PAwOBA .205 → .182 (−22)K% 26.0% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.00% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.00% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 7.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 20.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.231 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .205 → .182; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 398 PAwOBA .340 → .291 (−49)K% 18.6% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.59% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.31% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.48% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 18.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.49% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.69% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .340 → .291; ISO .173 → .144; BABIP .287 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 16 PAwOBA .243 → .195 (−47)K% 31.2% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 25.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.043 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 7.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .243 → .195; ISO .062 → .046; BABIP .364 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAkron RubberDucks · 269 PAwOBA .273 → .257 (−16)K% 15.2% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.24% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.18% | ÷0.934 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 22.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.58% | ÷1.053 | ×0.860 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.842 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 104, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .273 → .257; ISO .071 → .064; BABIP .278 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Carolina Mudcats · 439 PAwOBA .350 → .284 (−66)K% 15.7% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.72% | ÷0.961 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.62% | ÷0.966 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.06% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 17.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.77% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.88% | ÷0.869 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 4.01% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .350 → .284; ISO .175 → .155; BABIP .298 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ALake County Captains · 312 PAwOBA .358 → .297 (−60)K% 16.0% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.03% | ÷1.001 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.10% | ÷0.936 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.13% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | — | 18.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.45% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | — | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.925 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | — | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.956 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.36% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 100, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .358 → .297; ISO .160 → .137; BABIP .317 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAkron Aeros · 20 PAwOBA .304 → .254 (−50)K% 25.0% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 17.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.042 | 29.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.879 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 110, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .304 → .254; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .300 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .