Alex Hassan
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26 | AAAPawtucket Red… | 474 | .287/.381/.426 | 8 | 2 | 84 | — | .247/.311/.356 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/A+TOR | 408 | .288/.348/.380 | 2 | 0 | 82 | — | .266/.309/.350 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAAOklahoma City… | 301 | .232/.343/.272 | 1 | 2 | 43 | — | .195/.276/.228 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 34 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 562 | 915 | 250 | 375 | 21 | 6 | 396 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 411 | 342 | 98 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 57 | 69 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 287 | 400 | 456 | 857 | 170 | 335 | 17 | 14 | 381 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 545 | 454 | 132 | 34 | 1 | 13 | 76 | 79 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 291 | 406 | 456 | 862 | 165 | 326 | 14 | 14 | 386 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 102 | 83 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 386 | 373 | 760 | 120 | 288 | 16 | 15 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 380 | 312 | 80 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 55 | 70 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 380 | 365 | 746 | 109 | 305 | 18 | 14 | 342 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 225 | 187 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 321 | 433 | 460 | 893 | 139 | 418 | 22 | 16 | 401 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 33 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 478 | 636 | 565 | 1.202 | 87 | 524 | 6 | 30 | 536 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 62 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 290 | 286 | 576 | 71 | 289 | 27 | 10 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 474 | 408 | 117 | 31 | 1 | 8 | 60 | 109 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 287 | 381 | 426 | 807 | 140 | 369 | 23 | 13 | 361 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 387 | 351 | 104 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 352 | 393 | 745 | 97 | 348 | 16 | 7 | 331 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 21 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 286 | 118 | 403 | 125 | 5 | 14 | 221 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 301 | 254 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 343 | 272 | 615 | 39 | 296 | 20 | 13 | 290 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 34 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 265 | 455 | 719 | 212 | 336 | 26 | 3 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 411 | 362 | 86 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 108 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 238 | 322 | 370 | 692 | 133 | 309 | 26 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 545 | 477 | 123 | 29 | 1 | 10 | 53 | 98 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 258 | 347 | 386 | 733 | 128 | 302 | 18 | 10 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 380 | 327 | 77 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 85 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 335 | 315 | 650 | 80 | 293 | 22 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 225 | 200 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 305 | 379 | 410 | 789 | 105 | 413 | 26 | 10 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 33 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 423 | 545 | 500 | 1.045 | 77 | 452 | 9 | 21 | 441 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 474 | 430 | 106 | 27 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 133 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 247 | 311 | 356 | 666 | 109 | 334 | 28 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 387 | 361 | 99 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 312 | 363 | 675 | 89 | 326 | 19 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 21 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 238 | 111 | 349 | 106 | 5 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 301 | 267 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 79 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 276 | 228 | 505 | 34 | 263 | 26 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 34 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 265 | 455 | 719 | 212 | 304 | 26 | 3 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 34 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 562 | 915 | 250 | 375 | 21 | 6 | 396 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 411 | 362 | 86 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 108 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 238 | 322 | 370 | 692 | 133 | 315 | 26 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 411 | 342 | 98 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 57 | 69 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 287 | 400 | 456 | 857 | 170 | 335 | 17 | 14 | 381 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 647 | 565 | 147 | 35 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 116 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 260 | 350 | 389 | 739 | 129 | 306 | 18 | 10 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 647 | 537 | 153 | 38 | 1 | 15 | 91 | 95 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 285 | 403 | 443 | 846 | 158 | 320 | 15 | 14 | 380 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 380 | 327 | 77 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 85 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 335 | 315 | 650 | 80 | 299 | 22 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 380 | 312 | 80 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 55 | 70 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 380 | 365 | 746 | 109 | 305 | 18 | 14 | 342 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 320 | 282 | 89 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 395 | 418 | 813 | 103 | 419 | 24 | 11 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 320 | 266 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 52 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 312 | 426 | 432 | 859 | 120 | 404 | 22 | 16 | 389 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 474 | 430 | 106 | 27 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 133 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 247 | 311 | 356 | 666 | 109 | 339 | 28 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 474 | 408 | 117 | 31 | 1 | 8 | 60 | 109 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 287 | 381 | 426 | 807 | 140 | 369 | 23 | 13 | 361 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 379 | 101 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 308 | 351 | 659 | 84 | 321 | 18 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 408 | 368 | 106 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 348 | 380 | 729 | 92 | 337 | 15 | 8 | 325 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 301 | 267 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 79 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 276 | 228 | 505 | 34 | 268 | 26 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 301 | 254 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 343 | 272 | 615 | 39 | 296 | 20 | 13 | 290 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 34 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 265 | 455 | 719 | 212 | 336 | 26 | 3 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 411 | 363 | 86 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 108 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 237 | 322 | 369 | 691 | 132 | 309 | 26 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 647 | 564 | 147 | 35 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 116 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 261 | 350 | 390 | 740 | 129 | 302 | 18 | 10 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 380 | 328 | 77 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 85 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 335 | 314 | 649 | 79 | 293 | 22 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 320 | 280 | 89 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 318 | 395 | 421 | 816 | 104 | 418 | 24 | 11 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 474 | 431 | 106 | 27 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 133 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 311 | 355 | 666 | 109 | 334 | 28 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 382 | 101 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 308 | 348 | 657 | 84 | 315 | 18 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 301 | 268 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 79 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 194 | 276 | 228 | 504 | 34 | 263 | 26 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2975 | 2645 | 666 | 143 | 7 | 38 | 263 | 681 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 252 | 329 | 354 | 683 | 102 | 322 | 23 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -31 | +1 | -0 | -32 | +64 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 145 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 57 | 149 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 251 | 328 | 353 | 681 | 102 | 321 | 23 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -7 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 301 PAwOBA .287 → .232 (−54)K% 19.9% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.93% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.96% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 8.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.29% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×1.020 | ×0.992 | 23.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×0.992 | 3.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.52% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.42% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .287 → .232; ISO .039 → .032; BABIP .296 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 387 PAwOBA .326 → .295 (−32)K% 16.0% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.02% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.24% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.30% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×1.000 | ×1.003 | 25.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.30% | ÷0.944 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×1.003 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.000 | ×1.003 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.69% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .326 → .295; ISO .097 → .089; BABIP .348 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 21 PAwOBA .217 → .176 (−41)K% 4.8% → 7.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.953 | ×1.420 | — | — | 7.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.974 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.958 | 10.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.958 | 4.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 10.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 98, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .217 → .176; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .106. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 474 PAwOBA .354 → .292 (−62)K% 23.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.00% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.45% | ÷1.084 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.75% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×0.959 | ×1.018 | 23.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.37% | ÷0.937 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×1.018 | 8.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.104 | ×0.970 | ×0.959 | ×1.018 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.240 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.84% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 95, 2B 87, 3B 121, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .354 → .292; ISO .140 → .111; BABIP .369 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 225 PAwOBA .390 → .353 (−37)K% 22.2% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.11% | ÷1.069 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 10.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.66% | ÷0.964 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 32.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.22% | ÷1.083 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 8.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.068 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 93, 2B 117, 3B 91, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .390 → .353; ISO .139 → .119; BABIP .418 → .413. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AGreenville Drive · 33 PAwOBA .525 → .441 (−84)K% 6.1% → 8.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.06% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 8.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 30.30% | ÷0.986 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 19.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 42.86% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 38.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.124 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .525 → .441; ISO .087 → .070; BABIP .524 → .452. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 380 PAwOBA .337 → .295 (−42)K% 18.4% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.42% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.47% | ÷0.974 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷0.975 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 24.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.37% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.89% | ÷1.280 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.99% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .337 → .295; ISO .109 → .083; BABIP .305 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 545 PAwOBA .376 → .326 (−49)K% 14.5% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.50% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.21% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 21.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.07% | ÷1.034 | ×0.860 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 7.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.47% | ÷1.055 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .376 → .326; ISO .165 → .136; BABIP .326 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .