Cody Decker

Pos1B

B/TR/R

Born1987-01-17

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	30	AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs	310	.243/.327/.467	16	1	52	—	.177/.234/.313
2018	31	AAA/INTL2 orgs	199	.260/.359/.491	9	0	67	—	.186/.264/.342
2019	32	AAAARI	115	.240/.354/.521	7	0	65	—	.168/.257/.356

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	22	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	24	18	2	1	0	0	6	5	0	0	0	111	333	167	500	56	154	21	25	266	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK	AZL Padres	—	228	198	70	21	3	15	19	42	7	0	0	354	429	717	1.146	364	379	18	8	480	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	582	507	137	35	2	28	60	135	8	2	0	270	357	513	869	243	311	23	10	377	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	190	177	42	10	1	13	11	59	2	0	1	237	289	525	815	288	276	31	6	352	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	ROK	AZL Padres	—	39	32	11	2	0	2	6	9	0	1	0	344	447	594	1.041	250	409	23	15	442	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	121	107	23	7	0	4	11	27	2	0	0	215	300	393	693	178	247	22	9	308	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	406	346	91	19	1	25	54	100	4	1	4	263	369	540	909	277	296	25	13	395	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	368	324	88	24	5	17	37	98	3	0	0	272	352	534	886	262	335	27	10	381	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	40	35	6	0	0	2	5	14	0	0	0	171	275	343	618	171	211	35	12	282	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	510	449	116	25	4	27	51	150	4	0	3	258	339	512	852	254	320	29	10	368	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	56	48	9	2	0	0	7	11	0	0	0	188	291	229	520	42	237	20	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	421	373	94	23	1	21	42	107	5	1	0	252	336	488	824	236	297	25	10	361	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	78	71	16	4	0	5	5	30	1	0	0	225	286	493	779	268	297	38	6	335	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	257	233	54	14	1	14	16	79	3	1	1	232	290	481	770	249	276	31	6	330	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	23	22	1	0	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	45	87	45	132		100	52	4	70	-67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	139	126	30	4	0	8	12	51	0	0	0	238	304	460	765	222	324	37	9	334	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	134	114	30	9	0	7	15	37	2	0	0	263	359	526	885	263	315	28	11	379	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	37	32	6	0	0	1	3	10	2	1	0	188	297	281	579	94	238	27	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA	Reno Aces	—	182	153	41	7	2	9	22	52	3	0	0	268	371	516	887	248	333	29	12	381	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	250	24	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	AAA	Reno Aces	—	115	96	23	6	0	7	17	28	0	0	1	240	354	521	875	281	254	24	15	375	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	22	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	24	20	2	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	100	250	150	400	50	135	29	17	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	228	206	51	14	2	11	11	60	7	0	0	248	308	495	803	248	281	26	5	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	582	527	117	27	2	29	40	183	8	2	0	222	287	446	733	224	267	31	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	190	181	33	7	1	11	7	76	2	0	1	182	221	414	635	232	234	40	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	39	34	7	1	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	206	289	324	613	118	304	33	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	121	110	18	5	0	3	8	36	2	0	0	164	233	291	524	127	214	30	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	406	367	79	16	1	22	33	121	4	1	4	215	287	444	731	229	249	30	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	368	335	67	18	3	14	26	135	3	0	0	200	264	397	661	197	274	37	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	40	37	5	0	0	2	3	17	0	0	0	135	200	297	497	162	193	42	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	510	463	86	17	2	20	37	193	4	0	3	186	252	361	613	175	252	38	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	421	385	72	17	1	16	30	141	5	1	0	187	255	361	616	174	239	33	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	78	73	10	2	0	3	3	41	1	0	0	137	182	288	469	151	231	53	4	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	257	239	38	10	1	7	10	98	3	1	1	159	202	297	499	138	218	38	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	139	130	20	3	0	4	8	69	0	0	0	154	203	269	472	115	269	50	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	134	120	24	7	0	4	9	43	2	0	0	200	267	358	626	158	254	32	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	182	161	30	5	1	6	14	68	3	0	0	186	264	342	606	155	257	37	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	115	101	17	4	0	5	12	37	0	0	1	168	257	356	613	188	196	32	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	252	226	53	15	2	11	15	67	7	0	0	235	302	465	767	230	276	27	6	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	252	216	72	22	3	15	25	47	7	0	0	333	419	671	1.091	338	361	19	10	460	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	582	527	117	27	2	29	40	183	8	2	0	222	287	446	733	224	273	31	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	582	507	137	35	2	28	60	135	8	2	0	270	357	513	869	243	311	23	10	377	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	229	216	41	9	1	12	10	89	2	1	1	190	232	407	640	218	250	39	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	229	209	53	12	1	15	17	68	2	1	1	254	316	536	852	282	299	30	7	368	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	477	98	22	1	25	41	157	6	1	4	205	277	413	690	208	245	30	8	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	527	453	114	26	1	29	65	127	6	1	4	252	353	506	859	254	283	24	12	375	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	408	372	72	18	3	15	29	153	3	0	0	194	257	379	636	185	275	38	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	408	359	94	24	5	19	42	112	3	0	0	262	344	515	859	253	325	27	10	371	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	514	96	18	3	23	41	215	4	0	3	187	252	368	620	181	258	38	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	566	497	125	27	4	27	58	161	4	0	3	252	335	485	819	233	310	28	10	356	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	421	385	72	17	1	16	30	141	5	1	0	187	255	361	616	174	245	33	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	421	373	94	23	1	21	42	107	5	1	0	252	336	488	824	236	297	25	10	361	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA MLE	3 teams	—	358	334	53	14	1	11	14	148	4	1	1	159	202	305	507	147	232	41	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA RAW	3 teams	—	358	326	71	18	1	19	22	121	4	1	1	218	276	454	730	236	271	34	6	314	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	310	282	50	11	0	9	20	128	4	1	0	177	242	312	554	135	275	41	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	310	272	66	13	0	16	30	98	4	1	0	243	327	467	794	224	309	32	10	346	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	199	177	33	5	1	7	15	74	3	0	0	186	262	345	606	158	260	37	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	199	169	44	8	2	9	23	56	3	0	0	260	359	491	850	231	324	28	12	367	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	115	101	17	4	0	5	12	37	0	0	1	168	257	356	613	188	197	32	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	115	96	23	6	0	7	17	28	0	0	1	240	354	521	875	281	254	24	15	375	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	252	228	53	15	2	11	15	67	7	0	0	232	302	461	763	228	267	27	6	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	582	529	117	27	2	29	40	183	8	2	0	221	287	444	731	223	267	31	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	229	215	41	9	1	12	10	89	2	1	1	191	232	409	642	219	246	39	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	475	98	22	1	25	41	157	6	1	4	206	277	415	691	208	241	30	8	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	408	373	72	18	3	15	29	153	3	0	0	193	257	378	635	185	266	38	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	516	96	18	3	23	41	215	4	0	3	186	252	366	619	180	252	38	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	421	383	72	17	1	16	30	141	5	1	0	188	255	363	618	175	239	33	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA MLE	3 teams	—	358	337	53	14	1	11	14	148	4	1	1	157	202	303	504	145	221	41	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	310	283	50	11	0	9	20	128	4	1	0	177	242	311	553	134	262	41	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	199	179	33	5	1	7	15	74	3	0	0	184	262	341	602	156	257	37	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	115	102	17	4	0	5	12	37	0	0	1	167	257	353	610	186	196	32	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3967	3611	702	160	15	163	267	1392	46	7	10	194	259	382	641	188	257	35	7	276	73	-129	-3	+1	-71	+86	-11.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	115	26	2	27	44	228	8	1	2	194	260	382	641	188	256	35	7	276	73	-21	-1	+0	-12	+14	-2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAReno Aces · 115 PAwOBA .372 → .265 (−107)K% 24.3% → 32.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.35%	÷0.970	×1.290	—	—	32.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.78%	÷0.986	×0.710	—	×0.952	10.14%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.71%	÷1.035	×0.900	×0.999	×0.952	12.16%
Doubles /BIP	8.82%	÷1.025	×0.810	×0.999	×0.952	6.63%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.999	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.29%	÷1.077	×0.780	—	×0.952	7.10%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .372 → .265; ISO .281 → .192; BABIP .254 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAReno Aces · 182 PAwOBA .379 → .271 (−108)K% 28.6% → 37.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷0.991	×1.290	—	—	37.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.09%	÷1.069	×0.710	—	×0.962	7.72%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	1.55%
Singles /BIP	22.77%	÷1.024	×0.900	×0.985	×0.962	18.97%
Doubles /BIP	6.93%	÷1.117	×0.810	×0.985	×0.962	4.76%
Triples /BIP	1.98%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.985	×0.962	1.32%
Home runs /BIP	8.91%	÷1.044	×0.780	—	×0.962	6.41%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 105, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .379 → .271; ISO .248 → .170; BABIP .333 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAALas Vegas 51s · 139 PAwOBA .327 → .208 (−120)K% 36.7% → 49.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.69%	÷0.948	×1.290	—	—	49.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.63%	÷1.015	×0.710	—	×0.972	5.87%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷0.994	×0.900	×1.009	×0.972	21.30%
Doubles /BIP	5.33%	÷0.998	×0.810	×1.009	×0.972	4.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.111	×0.810	×1.009	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.67%	÷1.209	×0.780	—	×0.972	6.69%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 122, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .327 → .208; ISO .222 → .119; BABIP .324 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 134 PAwOBA .374 → .275 (−100)K% 27.6% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.61%	÷1.046	×1.220	—	—	32.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.45%	÷0.986	×0.700	—	×0.948	7.03%
HBP% /PA	1.49%	—	×0.850	—	×0.948	1.20%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷0.971	×0.970	×0.958	×0.948	16.49%
Doubles /BIP	11.69%	÷1.056	×0.860	×0.958	×0.948	8.64%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.958	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷1.365	×0.780	—	×0.948	4.92%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .374 → .275; ISO .263 → .164; BABIP .315 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 257 PAwOBA .326 → .220 (−107)K% 30.7% → 38.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.74%	÷0.985	×1.220	—	—	38.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.23%	÷1.050	×0.700	—	×0.958	3.98%
HBP% /PA	1.17%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	0.95%
Singles /BIP	16.23%	÷1.040	×0.970	×0.950	×0.958	13.78%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.997	×0.860	×0.950	×0.958	7.14%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷1.031	×0.950	×0.950	×0.958	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷1.371	×0.780	—	×0.958	4.96%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 108, 2B 99, 3B 106, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .326 → .220; ISO .249 → .145; BABIP .276 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 78 PAwOBA .329 → .199 (−130)K% 38.5% → 52.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	38.46%	÷0.948	×1.290	—	—	52.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.41%	÷1.083	×0.710	—	×0.982	4.13%
HBP% /PA	1.28%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	1.23%
Singles /BIP	17.07%	÷1.032	×0.900	—	×0.982	14.62%
Doubles /BIP	9.76%	÷1.050	×0.810	—	×0.982	7.39%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.20%	÷1.202	×0.780	—	×0.982	7.77%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .329 → .199; ISO .268 → .143; BABIP .297 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 421 PAwOBA .352 → .266 (−86)K% 25.4% → 33.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.42%	÷0.980	×1.290	—	—	33.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.98%	÷0.972	×0.710	—	×0.992	7.23%
HBP% /PA	1.19%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	1.15%
Singles /BIP	18.42%	÷1.017	×0.900	×0.950	×0.992	15.36%
Doubles /BIP	8.65%	÷0.970	×0.810	×0.950	×0.992	6.80%
Triples /BIP	0.38%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.950	×0.992	0.25%
Home runs /BIP	7.89%	÷0.919	×0.780	—	×0.992	6.65%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .352 → .266; ISO .236 → .179; BABIP .297 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 510 PAwOBA .362 → .268 (−94)K% 29.4% → 37.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.41%	÷1.002	×1.290	—	—	37.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷0.970	×0.710	—	×1.003	7.34%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.77%
Singles /BIP	20.07%	÷1.018	×0.900	×0.950	×1.003	16.91%
Doubles /BIP	8.36%	÷1.068	×0.810	×0.950	×1.003	6.04%
Triples /BIP	1.34%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.950	×1.003	0.90%
Home runs /BIP	9.03%	÷0.958	×0.780	—	×1.003	7.37%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .362 → .268; ISO .254 → .184; BABIP .320 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .