Brandon Bantz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 211 | .219/.282/.307 | 3 | 1 | 36 | — | .200/.249/.287 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAWSH | 76 | .271/.320/.343 | 0 | 0 | 56 | — | .254/.293/.310 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 216 | .245/.319/.359 | 4 | 0 | 53 | — | .210/.263/.295 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 35 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 429 | 308 | 736 | 77 | 286 | 14 | 17 | 359 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | West Tenn Diamond Jaxx | — | 86 | 79 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 294 | 380 | 674 | 139 | 295 | 20 | 5 | 298 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 126 | 114 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 290 | 325 | 615 | 96 | 284 | 21 | 6 | 276 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | INTL | Adelaide Bite | — | 154 | 133 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 331 | 444 | 775 | 218 | 214 | 14 | 8 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 289 | 236 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 322 | 267 | 589 | 51 | 276 | 19 | 11 | 266 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 123 | 109 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 270 | 349 | 618 | 119 | 277 | 23 | 4 | 259 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 137 | 123 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 252 | 324 | 350 | 673 | 98 | 309 | 20 | 8 | 305 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 74 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 159 | 205 | 232 | 437 | 72 | 213 | 28 | 5 | 198 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 76 | 70 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 320 | 343 | 663 | 71 | 339 | 18 | 5 | 298 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 198 | 178 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 323 | 382 | 705 | 124 | 298 | 17 | 9 | 313 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 18 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 278 | 71 | 349 | 111 | 28 | 22 | 205 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 343 | 250 | 593 | 71 | 225 | 20 | 11 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | West Tenn Diamond Jaxx | — | 86 | 80 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 259 | 350 | 609 | 137 | 262 | 24 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 126 | 116 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 234 | 259 | 492 | 78 | 238 | 29 | 4 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 289 | 247 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 286 | 259 | 545 | 49 | 254 | 22 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 123 | 111 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 252 | 342 | 595 | 117 | 270 | 28 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 137 | 126 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 238 | 294 | 333 | 627 | 95 | 296 | 25 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 74 | 70 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 129 | 164 | 200 | 364 | 71 | 177 | 35 | 4 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 76 | 71 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 293 | 310 | 603 | 56 | 318 | 24 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 198 | 184 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 267 | 315 | 582 | 92 | 265 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 18 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 222 | 67 | 289 | 100 | 33 | 17 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 22 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 343 | 250 | 593 | 71 | 238 | 20 | 11 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Mariners | — | 35 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 429 | 308 | 736 | 77 | 286 | 14 | 17 | 359 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 337 | 63 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 100 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 245 | 276 | 521 | 89 | 254 | 27 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 366 | 326 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 309 | 387 | 695 | 156 | 258 | 18 | 7 | 311 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 289 | 247 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 286 | 259 | 545 | 49 | 280 | 22 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 289 | 236 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 322 | 267 | 589 | 51 | 276 | 19 | 11 | 266 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 123 | 111 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 252 | 342 | 595 | 117 | 295 | 28 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 123 | 109 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 270 | 349 | 618 | 119 | 277 | 23 | 4 | 259 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 211 | 197 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 188 | 234 | 254 | 488 | 66 | 259 | 28 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 211 | 192 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 219 | 282 | 307 | 590 | 89 | 277 | 23 | 7 | 267 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 76 | 71 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 293 | 310 | 603 | 56 | 340 | 24 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 76 | 70 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 320 | 343 | 663 | 71 | 339 | 18 | 5 | 298 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 199 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 258 | 291 | 550 | 85 | 259 | 23 | 6 | 246 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 216 | 192 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 319 | 359 | 679 | 115 | 287 | 18 | 10 | 304 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 343 | 250 | 593 | 71 | 225 | 20 | 11 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 337 | 63 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 100 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 245 | 276 | 521 | 89 | 248 | 27 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 289 | 261 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 199 | 286 | 245 | 531 | 46 | 254 | 22 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 123 | 118 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 252 | 322 | 574 | 110 | 270 | 28 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 211 | 197 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 188 | 234 | 254 | 488 | 66 | 254 | 28 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 76 | 72 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 293 | 306 | 599 | 56 | 318 | 24 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 200 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 258 | 290 | 548 | 85 | 251 | 23 | 6 | 246 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1316 | 1190 | 241 | 50 | 4 | 11 | 68 | 335 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 203 | 260 | 279 | 539 | 76 | 270 | 25 | 5 | 234 | 44 | -87 | -2 | -0 | +24 | +29 | -3.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 119 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 165 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 260 | 277 | 537 | 75 | 270 | 25 | 5 | 234 | 44 | -43 | -1 | -0 | +12 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 198 PAwOBA .304 → .255 (−49)K% 17.2% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.17% | ÷1.016 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.08% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.969 | ×0.900 | ×1.006 | ×0.992 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.992 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.21% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .304 → .255; ISO .124 → .098; BABIP .298 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAJacksonville Suns · 18 PAwOBA .202 → .144 (−59)K% 27.8% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 14.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 10.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .202 → .144; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .111 → .100. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAHarrisburg Senators · 76 PAwOBA .290 → .251 (−38)K% 18.4% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.42% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×0.978 | 24.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.93% | ÷1.109 | ×0.860 | ×1.036 | ×0.978 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.036 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 91, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .290 → .251; ISO .071 → .055; BABIP .339 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAATacoma Rainiers · 137 PAwOBA .297 → .262 (−35)K% 19.7% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.71% | ÷1.030 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.03% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.04% | ÷0.983 | ×0.900 | ×1.039 | ×1.018 | 25.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.957 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×1.018 | 1.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×1.018 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.938 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 106, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .297 → .262; ISO .098 → .085; BABIP .309 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAJackson Generals · 74 PAwOBA .193 → .146 (−48)K% 28.4% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.38% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 14.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.065 | ×0.910 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 3.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.144 | ×0.880 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.069 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.54% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 129, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .193 → .146; ISO .072 → .053; BABIP .213 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAATacoma Rainiers · 123 PAwOBA .260 → .248 (−12)K% 22.8% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.76% | ÷1.042 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.07% | ÷1.061 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 2.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.75% | ÷0.979 | ×0.900 | ×1.047 | ×1.033 | 19.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷0.936 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.033 | 8.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.07% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 108, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .260 → .248; ISO .119 → .110; BABIP .277 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAJackson Generals · 289 PAwOBA .260 → .231 (−29)K% 19.0% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.03% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.07% | ÷1.063 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.73% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.65% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 21.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.97% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.130 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.40% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 106, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .260 → .231; ISO .051 → .047; BABIP .276 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AClinton LumberKings · 126 PAwOBA .273 → .209 (−64)K% 21.4% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.988 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.990 | 18.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.037 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×0.990 | 5.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.961 | ×0.990 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .273 → .209; ISO .096 → .072; BABIP .284 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .