Lane Adams

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1989-11-13

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	27	AAAGwinnett Brav…	194	.264/.321/.461	7	15	69	—	.219/.259/.383
2017	27	MLBATL	122	.275/.342/.468	5	10	124	0.4
2018	28	AAAATL	199	.166/.255/.229	0	12	4	—	.128/.199/.178
2018	28	MLBATL	29	.240/.345/.520	2	1	142	0.3
2019	29	AAA/AA2 orgs	350	.232/.320/.419	12	10	54	—	.175/.243/.331
2020	30	No MLB games played
2021	31	No MLB games played
2022	32	No MLB games played
2023	33	No MLB games played
2024	34	No MLB games played
2025	35	No MLB games played
2026	36	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2018

Barrel%90

Speed90

xwOBA89

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	19	ROK	AZL Royals	—	122	103	24	2	2	0	16	32	1	14	1	233	342	291	633	58	333	26	13	293	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	193	170	48	8	3	2	18	38	0	8	0	282	351	400	751	118	348	20	9	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	172	152	35	7	2	1	14	44	2	7	2	230	302	322	624	92	312	26	8	280	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	ROK	Burlington Royals	—	213	181	52	12	3	5	20	49	4	9	2	287	365	470	835	182	362	23	9	359	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	285	262	63	10	1	6	21	64	2	8	4	240	302	355	657	115	297	22	7	297	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A	Kane County Cougars	—	291	262	78	13	4	5	21	48	2	11	1	298	354	435	790	137	343	16	7	345	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	177	156	38	7	1	5	18	45	3	15	0	244	333	397	731	154	311	25	10	330	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	370	323	89	23	2	7	43	66	2	23	6	276	364	424	788	149	325	18	12	352	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	55	48	7	1	0	0	7	20	0	1	0	146	255	167	421	21	250	36	13	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	465	405	109	25	3	11	45	86	9	38	9	269	355	427	782	158	314	18	10	347	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	132	115	26	5	0	4	13	21	1	2	1	226	310	374	684	148	239	16	10	303	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	414	373	111	21	3	12	36	98	2	29	6	298	363	466	829	169	372	24	9	365	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	105	99	27	8	2	3	5	23	1	5	1	273	314	485	799	212	329	22	5	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	58	56	14	2	0	1	2	15	0	4	0	250	276	339	615	89	325	26	3	276	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	423	372	100	18	1	9	41	104	7	40	5	269	352	395	748	126	349	25	10	337	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	122	109	30	4	1	5	10	37	1	10	0	275	342	468	810	193	368	30	8	352	124	+4	+2	-0	-3	+3	0.4
2017	27	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	194	178	47	10	2	7	15	60	0	15	3	264	321	461	782	197	357	31	8	342	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	29	25	6	1	0	2	4	8	0	1	0	240	345	520	865	280	267	28	14	378	142	+1	+0	-1	+1	+1	0.3
2018	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	199	175	29	7	2	0	18	69	3	12	4	166	255	229	484	63	266	35	9	227	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	306	271	69	17	2	12	30	103	5	8	2	255	340	465	805	210	365	34	10	356	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	44	39	3	1	0	0	5	16	0	2	1	77	182	103	284	26	130	36	11	150	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	151	134	36	5	1	7	14	45	1	11	0	269	342	478	820	209	349	30	9	357	128	+5	+2	-1	-3	+3	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	19	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	122	109	18	1	1	0	10	46	1	14	1	165	242	193	434	28	279	38	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	193	178	38	6	2	1	10	55	0	8	0	213	255	287	542	73	284	28	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	172	158	30	5	2	1	9	60	2	7	2	190	243	266	508	76	287	35	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	—	213	191	39	8	2	4	13	70	4	9	2	204	269	330	599	126	280	33	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	285	270	52	8	1	6	13	93	2	8	4	193	235	296	531	104	266	33	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	291	269	68	11	3	4	14	65	2	11	1	253	295	361	655	108	303	22	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	177	162	33	6	1	4	12	56	3	15	0	204	271	327	598	123	281	32	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	370	341	77	17	1	7	25	92	2	23	6	226	283	343	626	117	287	25	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	465	421	93	21	2	7	29	106	9	38	9	221	285	330	616	109	271	23	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	132	120	22	4	0	3	8	27	1	2	1	183	240	292	532	108	202	20	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	414	386	94	16	3	11	23	117	2	29	6	244	290	386	676	142	313	28	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	58	57	12	2	0	1	1	19	0	4	0	211	224	298	522	88	290	33	2	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	423	385	85	17	1	6	28	128	7	40	5	221	286	317	603	96	304	30	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	122	109	30	4	1	5	10	37	1	10	0	275	342	468	810	193	368	30	8	352	124	+4	+2	-0	-3	+3	0.4
2017	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	194	183	40	8	2	6	10	73	0	15	3	219	259	383	642	164	316	38	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	29	25	6	1	0	2	4	8	0	1	0	240	345	520	865	280	267	28	14	378	142	+1	+0	-1	+1	+1	0.3
2018	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	199	180	23	5	2	0	13	87	3	12	4	128	199	178	377	50	232	44	7	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	306	280	54	12	2	11	21	124	5	8	2	193	261	368	629	175	293	41	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	44	41	2	1	0	0	3	20	0	2	1	49	114	73	187	24	112	45	7	106	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	122	109	18	1	1	0	10	46	1	14	1	165	242	193	434	28	281	38	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	—	122	103	24	2	2	0	16	32	1	14	1	233	342	291	633	58	333	26	13	293	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	193	178	38	6	2	1	10	55	0	8	0	213	255	287	542	73	298	28	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	193	170	48	8	3	2	18	38	0	8	0	282	351	400	751	118	348	20	9	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	385	349	71	14	4	5	22	129	6	16	4	203	263	309	572	106	300	34	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	385	333	87	19	5	6	34	93	6	16	4	261	337	402	739	141	339	24	9	324	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	576	540	120	19	4	10	26	158	4	19	5	222	263	328	591	106	293	27	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	576	524	141	23	5	11	42	112	4	19	5	269	328	395	723	126	321	19	7	321	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	602	554	121	25	3	12	41	164	5	39	6	218	278	339	618	121	287	27	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	602	527	134	31	3	12	68	131	5	39	6	254	345	393	738	139	316	22	11	333	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	465	421	93	21	2	7	29	106	9	38	9	221	285	330	616	109	276	23	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	465	405	109	25	3	11	45	86	9	38	9	269	355	427	782	158	314	18	10	347	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	651	603	137	24	3	16	38	171	4	36	8	227	278	357	634	129	287	26	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	651	587	164	34	5	19	54	142	4	36	8	279	344	451	796	172	336	22	8	350	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	481	442	96	18	1	7	29	147	7	44	5	217	276	310	586	93	307	31	6	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	481	428	114	20	1	10	43	119	7	44	5	266	343	388	731	121	346	25	9	329	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	316	292	70	12	3	11	20	110	1	25	3	240	291	414	705	175	341	35	6	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	316	287	77	14	3	12	25	97	1	25	3	268	329	463	792	195	361	31	8	346	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	228	205	29	6	2	2	17	95	3	13	4	141	218	220	437	78	243	42	7	200	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	228	200	35	8	2	2	22	77	3	13	4	175	267	265	532	90	266	34	10	246	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	321	57	13	2	11	24	144	5	10	3	178	246	333	579	156	277	41	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	350	310	72	18	2	12	35	119	5	10	3	232	320	419	739	187	335	34	10	330	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	122	110	18	1	1	0	10	46	1	14	1	164	242	191	433	27	279	38	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	193	181	38	6	2	1	10	55	0	8	0	210	255	282	537	72	284	28	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	385	354	71	14	4	5	22	129	6	16	4	201	263	305	568	105	283	34	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	576	541	120	19	4	10	26	158	4	19	5	222	263	327	590	105	285	27	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	602	551	121	25	3	12	41	164	5	39	6	220	278	341	620	122	285	27	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	465	424	93	21	2	7	29	106	9	38	9	219	285	328	613	108	271	23	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	651	604	137	24	3	16	38	171	4	36	8	227	278	356	633	129	286	26	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	481	442	96	18	1	7	29	147	7	44	5	217	276	310	586	93	302	31	6	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	316	292	70	12	3	11	20	110	1	25	3	240	291	414	705	175	336	35	6	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	228	206	29	6	2	2	17	95	3	13	4	141	218	218	436	78	236	42	7	200	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	318	57	13	2	11	24	144	5	10	3	179	246	336	582	157	270	41	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	151	134	36	5	1	7	14	45	1	11	0	269	342	478	820	209	349	30	9	357	62	+5	+2	-1	-3	+3	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	155	22	4	30	60	194	4	47	0	269	341	477	818	208	350	30	9	357	62	+21	+9	-4	-11	+14	3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4369	4014	850	159	27	82	266	1325	45	262	48	212	268	326	595	114	291	30	6	260	62	+5	+2	-1	-3	+3	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	127	24	4	12	40	197	7	39	7	213	270	327	597	114	293	30	6	260	62	+21	+9	-4	-11	+14	3.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 306 PAwOBA .347 → .268 (−79)K% 33.7% → 40.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.66%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	40.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.80%	÷0.948	×0.690	—	×0.972	6.94%
HBP% /PA	1.63%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.49%
Singles /BIP	22.62%	÷1.032	×0.930	×0.950	×0.972	18.82%
Doubles /BIP	10.12%	÷1.033	×0.830	×0.950	×0.972	7.50%
Triples /BIP	1.19%	÷1.061	×0.970	×0.950	×0.972	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.866	×0.840	—	×0.972	6.73%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 112, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .347 → .268; ISO .210 → .172; BABIP .365 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAMississippi Braves · 44 PAwOBA .147 → .106 (−41)K% 36.4% → 45.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.36%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	45.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.36%	÷0.967	×0.680	—	×0.948	7.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	8.70%	÷1.068	×0.920	—	×0.948	7.10%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷0.906	×0.910	—	×0.948	4.14%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.880	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.800	—	×0.948	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 114, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .147 → .106; ISO .026 → .022; BABIP .130 → .112. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 199 PAwOBA .225 → .174 (−51)K% 34.7% → 43.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.67%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	43.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.05%	÷0.947	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.47%
HBP% /PA	1.51%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.39%
Singles /BIP	18.87%	÷1.010	×0.930	×0.994	×0.982	16.96%
Doubles /BIP	6.60%	÷0.995	×0.830	×0.994	×0.982	5.37%
Triples /BIP	1.89%	÷1.116	×0.970	×0.994	×0.982	1.60%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.970	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 123, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .225 → .174; ISO .063 → .047; BABIP .266 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 194 PAwOBA .335 → .270 (−65)K% 30.9% → 37.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.93%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	37.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.73%	÷0.999	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.30%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.73%	÷1.005	×0.930	×0.981	×0.992	21.37%
Doubles /BIP	8.47%	÷0.936	×0.830	×0.981	×0.992	7.31%
Triples /BIP	1.69%	÷1.005	×0.970	×0.981	×0.992	1.59%
Home runs /BIP	5.93%	÷0.972	×0.840	—	×0.992	5.09%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .335 → .270; ISO .197 → .160; BABIP .357 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AATennessee Smokies · 423 PAwOBA .329 → .265 (−64)K% 24.6% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.59%	÷0.992	×1.220	—	—	30.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.69%	÷0.982	×0.680	—	×0.978	6.57%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	1.36%
Singles /BIP	26.87%	÷1.013	×0.920	×0.972	×0.978	23.20%
Doubles /BIP	6.72%	÷0.918	×0.910	×0.972	×0.978	6.33%
Triples /BIP	0.37%	÷0.900	×0.880	×0.972	×0.978	0.35%
Home runs /BIP	3.36%	÷1.059	×0.800	—	×0.978	2.48%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .329 → .265; ISO .126 → .102; BABIP .349 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAIowa Cubs · 58 PAwOBA .268 → .218 (−50)K% 25.9% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.86%	÷1.037	×1.290	—	—	32.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.45%	÷1.034	×0.710	—	×1.003	2.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.83%	÷1.006	×0.900	—	×1.003	24.07%
Doubles /BIP	4.88%	÷0.927	×0.810	—	×1.003	4.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.945	×0.810	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷0.890	×0.780	—	×1.003	2.14%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 101, 2B 85, 3B 89, K 107, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .268 → .218; ISO .089 → .073; BABIP .325 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 414 PAwOBA .358 → .290 (−68)K% 23.7% → 28.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.67%	÷1.024	×1.220	—	—	28.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.70%	÷1.072	×0.700	—	×0.988	5.61%
HBP% /PA	0.48%	—	×0.870	—	×0.988	0.42%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷1.027	×0.920	×0.971	×0.988	23.46%
Doubles /BIP	7.64%	÷1.024	×0.840	×0.971	×0.988	6.01%
Triples /BIP	1.09%	÷1.052	×0.940	×0.971	×0.988	0.94%
Home runs /BIP	4.36%	÷0.883	×0.800	—	×0.988	3.90%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 110, K 105, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .358 → .290; ISO .169 → .143; BABIP .372 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 132 PAwOBA .299 → .234 (−65)K% 15.9% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.91%	÷0.999	×1.290	—	—	20.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.85%	÷1.127	×0.710	—	×1.018	6.31%
HBP% /PA	0.76%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.76%
Singles /BIP	18.09%	÷1.008	×0.900	×0.953	×1.018	15.65%
Doubles /BIP	5.32%	÷0.961	×0.810	×0.953	×1.018	4.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.948	×0.810	×0.953	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.26%	÷1.157	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.92%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .299 → .234; ISO .148 → .109; BABIP .239 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).