Brenden Webb
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 24 | A+BAL | 420 | .230/.304/.390 | 11 | 8 | 37 | — | .173/.225/.286 |
| 2015 | 25 | A+Potomac Natio… | 372 | .240/.310/.365 | 8 | 15 | 38 | — | .182/.231/.280 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAWSH | 62 | .176/.323/.275 | 1 | 2 | 34 | — | .167/.274/.259 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 54 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 352 | 233 | 584 | 47 | 276 | 26 | 19 | 291 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK | Bluefield Orioles | — | 232 | 194 | 44 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 32 | 58 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 346 | 412 | 759 | 186 | 298 | 25 | 14 | 339 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 487 | 400 | 87 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 75 | 152 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 217 | 345 | 287 | 633 | 70 | 339 | 31 | 15 | 296 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 128 | 100 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 270 | 421 | 590 | 1.011 | 320 | 317 | 25 | 20 | 430 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 90 | 74 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 270 | 386 | 500 | 886 | 230 | 405 | 33 | 12 | 383 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 409 | 311 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 87 | 108 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 251 | 425 | 457 | 881 | 206 | 344 | 26 | 21 | 393 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 74 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 365 | 466 | 830 | 276 | 231 | 36 | 20 | 370 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 337 | 293 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 107 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 201 | 299 | 345 | 644 | 143 | 283 | 32 | 11 | 292 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 420 | 374 | 86 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 122 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 230 | 304 | 390 | 695 | 160 | 304 | 29 | 9 | 307 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 372 | 334 | 80 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 97 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 240 | 310 | 365 | 675 | 126 | 310 | 26 | 8 | 302 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 62 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 323 | 275 | 597 | 98 | 229 | 24 | 18 | 286 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 54 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 128 | 241 | 149 | 390 | 21 | 221 | 37 | 11 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Orioles | — | 232 | 208 | 33 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 159 | 242 | 288 | 531 | 130 | 238 | 35 | 8 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 487 | 426 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 201 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 181 | 270 | 237 | 507 | 56 | 315 | 41 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 90 | 78 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 205 | 295 | 372 | 667 | 167 | 358 | 47 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 409 | 342 | 66 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 56 | 140 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 193 | 319 | 360 | 678 | 167 | 273 | 34 | 14 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 337 | 307 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 158 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 137 | 207 | 212 | 418 | 75 | 256 | 47 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 420 | 388 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 173 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 173 | 225 | 286 | 511 | 113 | 268 | 41 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 372 | 346 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 137 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 182 | 231 | 280 | 511 | 98 | 266 | 37 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 62 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 274 | 259 | 533 | 93 | 209 | 31 | 13 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 54 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 128 | 241 | 149 | 390 | 21 | 222 | 37 | 11 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Orioles | — | 54 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 352 | 233 | 584 | 47 | 276 | 26 | 19 | 291 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Orioles | — | 232 | 208 | 33 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 159 | 242 | 288 | 531 | 130 | 238 | 35 | 8 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK RAW | Bluefield Orioles | — | 232 | 194 | 44 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 32 | 58 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 346 | 412 | 759 | 186 | 298 | 25 | 14 | 339 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 615 | 538 | 97 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 62 | 253 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 180 | 270 | 236 | 506 | 56 | 330 | 41 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 615 | 500 | 114 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 100 | 184 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 228 | 361 | 348 | 709 | 120 | 334 | 30 | 16 | 324 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 573 | 483 | 93 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 73 | 209 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 193 | 312 | 356 | 668 | 164 | 297 | 36 | 13 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 573 | 443 | 109 | 30 | 5 | 19 | 113 | 165 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 246 | 411 | 465 | 876 | 219 | 342 | 29 | 20 | 389 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 337 | 307 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 158 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 137 | 207 | 212 | 418 | 75 | 259 | 47 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | Frederick Keys | — | 337 | 293 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 107 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 201 | 299 | 345 | 644 | 143 | 283 | 32 | 11 | 292 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 420 | 388 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 173 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 173 | 225 | 286 | 511 | 113 | 277 | 41 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | Frederick Keys | — | 420 | 374 | 86 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 122 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 230 | 304 | 390 | 695 | 160 | 304 | 29 | 9 | 307 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 372 | 346 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 137 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 182 | 231 | 280 | 511 | 98 | 273 | 37 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 372 | 334 | 80 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 97 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 240 | 310 | 365 | 675 | 126 | 310 | 26 | 8 | 302 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 62 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 274 | 259 | 533 | 93 | 235 | 31 | 13 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 62 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 323 | 275 | 597 | 98 | 229 | 24 | 18 | 286 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 54 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 128 | 241 | 149 | 390 | 21 | 221 | 37 | 11 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Orioles | — | 232 | 207 | 33 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 159 | 242 | 290 | 532 | 130 | 238 | 35 | 8 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 615 | 544 | 97 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 62 | 253 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 178 | 270 | 233 | 503 | 55 | 315 | 41 | 10 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 573 | 484 | 93 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 73 | 209 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 192 | 312 | 355 | 668 | 163 | 288 | 36 | 13 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 337 | 307 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 158 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 137 | 207 | 212 | 418 | 75 | 256 | 47 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 420 | 391 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 173 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 171 | 225 | 284 | 509 | 113 | 268 | 41 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 372 | 347 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 137 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 182 | 231 | 280 | 511 | 98 | 266 | 37 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 62 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 274 | 259 | 533 | 93 | 209 | 31 | 13 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2665 | 2371 | 410 | 84 | 15 | 43 | 234 | 1051 | 29 | 80 | 28 | 173 | 256 | 275 | 531 | 102 | 284 | 39 | 9 | 236 | 46 | -171 | +5 | +0 | -29 | +58 | -14.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 99 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 57 | 256 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 171 | 254 | 272 | 526 | 100 | 282 | 39 | 9 | 236 | 46 | -42 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAHarrisburg Senators · 62 PAwOBA .280 → .218 (−62)K% 24.2% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.19% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.74% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 12.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 15.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.922 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.445 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.48% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 189, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .280 → .218; ISO .098 → .067; BABIP .229 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Potomac Nationals · 372 PAwOBA .297 → .224 (−73)K% 26.1% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.08% | ÷1.006 | ×1.420 | — | — | 36.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.022 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 5.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.78% | ÷1.030 | ×0.940 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 6.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .297 → .224; ISO .126 → .102; BABIP .310 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Frederick Keys · 420 PAwOBA .303 → .223 (−80)K% 29.0% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.05% | ÷0.999 | ×1.420 | — | — | 41.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.29% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 5.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.24% | ÷1.014 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 18.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 7.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.076 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 3.61% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .303 → .223; ISO .160 → .117; BABIP .304 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Frederick Keys · 337 PAwOBA .285 → .195 (−90)K% 31.8% → 46.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.75% | ÷0.964 | ×1.420 | — | — | 46.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.39% | ÷1.028 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.82% | ÷0.958 | ×0.940 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 18.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.30% | ÷1.324 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 165, 1B 92, 2B 110, 3B 84, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .285 → .195; ISO .143 → .087; BABIP .283 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 409 PAwOBA .387 → .298 (−89)K% 26.4% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.41% | ÷1.032 | ×1.340 | — | — | 34.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.27% | ÷1.023 | ×0.660 | — | — | 13.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.70% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | — | 16.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.33% | ÷1.160 | ×0.820 | ×0.960 | — | 7.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.97% | ÷0.931 | ×0.940 | ×0.960 | — | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.42% | ÷0.836 | ×0.820 | — | — | 5.32% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 109, 2B 132, 3B 86, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .387 → .298; ISO .206 → .183; BABIP .344 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Frederick Keys · 90 PAwOBA .378 → .273 (−104)K% 33.3% → 46.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.019 | ×1.420 | — | — | 46.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.22% | ÷0.980 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 2.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.019 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 21.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 11.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.408 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 4.41% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 182, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 104, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .378 → .273; ISO .230 → .152; BABIP .405 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 487 PAwOBA .290 → .228 (−62)K% 31.2% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.21% | ÷1.016 | ×1.340 | — | — | 41.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.40% | ÷1.034 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 9.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.42% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 25.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷0.850 | ×0.820 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 5.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.135 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.18% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 97, 2B 70, 3B 130, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .290 → .228; ISO .070 → .057; BABIP .339 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKBluefield Orioles · 232 PAwOBA .327 → .234 (−93)K% 25.0% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 16.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 2.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 4.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 2.93% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .327 → .234; ISO .186 → .133; BABIP .298 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .