David Washington
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 622 | .243/.342/.509 | 38 | 5 | 82 | — | .191/.272/.384 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAABAL | 397 | .264/.316/.478 | 18 | 7 | 79 | — | .224/.265/.405 |
| 2021 | 30 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 29 | .222/.276/.370 | 1 | 0 | 82 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 92 | 85 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 228 | 165 | 393 | 250 | 32 | 7 | 191 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 108 | 95 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 370 | 432 | 802 | 147 | 379 | 25 | 11 | 360 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 228 | 202 | 50 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 64 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 330 | 470 | 801 | 223 | 315 | 28 | 10 | 351 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 600 | 556 | 1.156 | 222 | 429 | 13 | 40 | 511 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 360 | 319 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 312 | 436 | 748 | 204 | 292 | 29 | 9 | 328 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 379 | 340 | 93 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 34 | 121 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 274 | 341 | 471 | 812 | 197 | 372 | 32 | 9 | 355 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 92 | 78 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 247 | 231 | 478 | 90 | 212 | 32 | 11 | 220 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 401 | 345 | 88 | 17 | 1 | 25 | 51 | 142 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 255 | 353 | 528 | 880 | 272 | 346 | 35 | 13 | 380 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 92 | 76 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 402 | 553 | 955 | 276 | 364 | 29 | 17 | 416 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 129 | 115 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 266 | 426 | 692 | 243 | 220 | 38 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 397 | 368 | 97 | 23 | 1 | 18 | 27 | 137 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 264 | 316 | 478 | 794 | 215 | 369 | 35 | 7 | 347 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 276 | 370 | 646 | 148 | 357 | 41 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 92 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 115 | 163 | 115 | 278 | 213 | 46 | 4 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 108 | 100 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 241 | 260 | 501 | 80 | 294 | 36 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 228 | 210 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 91 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 157 | 220 | 295 | 516 | 138 | 239 | 40 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 400 | 417 | 817 | 167 | 325 | 20 | 20 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 360 | 329 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 151 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 182 | 244 | 365 | 609 | 182 | 264 | 42 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 379 | 351 | 74 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 151 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 211 | 261 | 339 | 600 | 128 | 323 | 40 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 92 | 80 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 191 | 163 | 354 | 62 | 173 | 46 | 9 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 401 | 359 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 19 | 37 | 185 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 187 | 264 | 384 | 649 | 198 | 293 | 46 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 92 | 81 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 210 | 304 | 383 | 687 | 173 | 324 | 35 | 12 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 397 | 375 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 165 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 224 | 265 | 405 | 670 | 181 | 344 | 42 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 92 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 115 | 163 | 115 | 278 | 222 | 46 | 4 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 92 | 85 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 228 | 165 | 393 | 250 | 32 | 7 | 191 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 108 | 100 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 241 | 260 | 501 | 80 | 283 | 36 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 108 | 95 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 370 | 432 | 802 | 147 | 379 | 25 | 11 | 360 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 228 | 210 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 91 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 157 | 220 | 295 | 516 | 138 | 237 | 40 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 228 | 202 | 50 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 64 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 330 | 470 | 801 | 223 | 315 | 28 | 10 | 351 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 400 | 417 | 817 | 167 | 333 | 20 | 20 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 600 | 556 | 1.156 | 222 | 429 | 13 | 40 | 511 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 360 | 329 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 151 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 182 | 244 | 365 | 609 | 182 | 274 | 42 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 360 | 319 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 312 | 436 | 748 | 204 | 292 | 29 | 9 | 328 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 431 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 193 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 188 | 246 | 299 | 545 | 111 | 302 | 41 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 471 | 418 | 104 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 150 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 249 | 323 | 426 | 749 | 177 | 340 | 32 | 9 | 329 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 622 | 554 | 107 | 20 | 2 | 28 | 60 | 274 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 193 | 276 | 388 | 664 | 195 | 307 | 44 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 622 | 536 | 130 | 25 | 2 | 38 | 78 | 218 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 243 | 342 | 509 | 851 | 267 | 323 | 35 | 13 | 370 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 397 | 375 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 165 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 224 | 265 | 405 | 670 | 181 | 349 | 42 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 397 | 368 | 97 | 23 | 1 | 18 | 27 | 137 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 264 | 316 | 478 | 794 | 215 | 369 | 35 | 7 | 347 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 276 | 370 | 646 | 148 | 357 | 41 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 276 | 370 | 646 | 148 | 357 | 41 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 92 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 115 | 163 | 115 | 278 | 213 | 46 | 4 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 108 | 99 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 241 | 263 | 503 | 81 | 294 | 36 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 228 | 209 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 91 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 158 | 220 | 297 | 517 | 139 | 239 | 40 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 400 | 417 | 817 | 167 | 325 | 20 | 20 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 360 | 330 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 151 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 182 | 244 | 364 | 608 | 182 | 264 | 42 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 435 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 193 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 186 | 246 | 297 | 542 | 110 | 294 | 41 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 622 | 554 | 107 | 20 | 2 | 28 | 60 | 274 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 193 | 276 | 388 | 664 | 195 | 299 | 44 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 397 | 373 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 165 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 225 | 265 | 408 | 673 | 182 | 344 | 42 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2322 | 2125 | 402 | 83 | 8 | 76 | 166 | 970 | 13 | 24 | 18 | 189 | 252 | 343 | 595 | 154 | 297 | 42 | 7 | 257 | 60 | -111 | -2 | -0 | -39 | +50 | -10.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 272 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 188 | 251 | 339 | 591 | 151 | 296 | 42 | 7 | 257 | 60 | -31 | -1 | -0 | -11 | +14 | -2.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAANorfolk Tides · 397 PAwOBA .338 → .285 (−54)K% 34.5% → 41.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.51% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.80% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 23.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.96% | ÷1.001 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 8.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.79% | ÷0.866 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 7.58% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .338 → .285; ISO .215 → .184; BABIP .369 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 401 PAwOBA .373 → .279 (−93)K% 35.4% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.41% | ÷0.988 | ×1.290 | — | — | 46.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.47% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 9.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.17% | ÷0.989 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 19.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.37% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.951 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.32% | ÷0.931 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 10.50% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 90, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .373 → .279; ISO .272 → .203; BABIP .346 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AASpringfield Cardinals · 92 PAwOBA .405 → .318 (−87)K% 29.3% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.35% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 12.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.45% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 21.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.16% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.20% | ÷1.155 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.98% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 93, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .405 → .318; ISO .276 → .205; BABIP .364 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AASpringfield Cardinals · 379 PAwOBA .348 → .265 (−84)K% 31.9% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.93% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.94% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 24.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.76% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.003 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.31% | ÷1.140 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.12% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .348 → .265; ISO .197 → .135; BABIP .372 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 92 PAwOBA .223 → .164 (−59)K% 31.5% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.52% | ÷0.976 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.87% | ÷0.907 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 8.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.20% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×0.978 | 8.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.20% | ÷1.102 | ×0.960 | ×0.972 | ×0.978 | 8.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.122 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×0.978 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 105, 2B 120, 3B 124, K 95, BB 81 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .223 → .164; ISO .090 → .059; BABIP .212 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 360 PAwOBA .320 → .262 (−59)K% 29.4% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.44% | ÷0.998 | ×1.420 | — | — | 41.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.89% | ÷0.971 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.25% | ÷1.073 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 16.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.51% | ÷0.933 | ×0.960 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 7.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.809 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 7.57% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 115, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .320 → .262; ISO .204 → .183; BABIP .292 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 APeoria Chiefs · 15 PAwOBA .487 → .388 (−99)K% 13.3% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.980 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 21.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 12.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.203 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 19.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.867 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 100, 2B 141, 3B 88, K 96, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .487 → .388; ISO .222 → .196; BABIP .429 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKJohnson City Cardinals · 228 PAwOBA .343 → .229 (−114)K% 28.1% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 39.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.985 | 6.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.985 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.973 | ×0.985 | 15.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.973 | ×0.985 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.973 | ×0.985 | 1.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.985 | 5.14% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .343 → .229; ISO .223 → .148; BABIP .315 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .