Zach Vincej
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | AAACIN | 420 | .270/.327/.370 | 3 | 4 | 59 | — | .235/.276/.322 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAASEA | 430 | .247/.316/.345 | 6 | 7 | 53 | — | .215/.267/.301 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAABAL | 399 | .270/.321/.396 | 8 | 0 | 59 | — | .223/.257/.332 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 163 | 143 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 336 | 403 | 434 | 836 | 98 | 382 | 14 | 6 | 369 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 425 | 377 | 99 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 72 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 263 | 337 | 358 | 695 | 95 | 314 | 17 | 8 | 312 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 481 | 428 | 116 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 73 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 271 | 343 | 336 | 680 | 65 | 323 | 15 | 9 | 309 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 339 | 286 | 69 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 48 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 241 | 350 | 329 | 679 | 87 | 271 | 14 | 13 | 312 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 438 | 399 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 85 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 281 | 333 | 378 | 711 | 98 | 346 | 19 | 6 | 315 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 80 | 71 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 352 | 425 | 676 | 1.101 | 324 | 396 | 18 | 11 | 471 | 205 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 420 | 378 | 102 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 49 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 270 | 327 | 370 | 697 | 101 | 302 | 12 | 7 | 307 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 430 | 385 | 95 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 64 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 247 | 316 | 345 | 661 | 99 | 281 | 15 | 8 | 297 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 399 | 366 | 99 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 270 | 321 | 396 | 717 | 126 | 305 | 16 | 6 | 317 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 163 | 147 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 265 | 321 | 340 | 661 | 75 | 308 | 20 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 425 | 388 | 83 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 96 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 214 | 272 | 291 | 563 | 77 | 267 | 23 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 481 | 439 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 102 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 230 | 288 | 285 | 573 | 55 | 290 | 21 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 339 | 303 | 69 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 60 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 299 | 300 | 600 | 73 | 261 | 18 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 438 | 408 | 102 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 99 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 250 | 288 | 336 | 624 | 86 | 308 | 23 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 420 | 388 | 91 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 235 | 276 | 322 | 598 | 88 | 260 | 14 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 430 | 396 | 85 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 80 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 215 | 267 | 301 | 567 | 86 | 248 | 19 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 399 | 376 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 223 | 257 | 332 | 589 | 109 | 254 | 20 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 163 | 147 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 265 | 321 | 340 | 661 | 75 | 325 | 20 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK RAW | Billings Mustangs | — | 163 | 143 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 336 | 403 | 434 | 836 | 98 | 382 | 14 | 6 | 369 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 425 | 388 | 83 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 96 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 214 | 272 | 291 | 563 | 77 | 276 | 23 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 425 | 377 | 99 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 72 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 263 | 337 | 358 | 695 | 95 | 314 | 17 | 8 | 312 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 481 | 439 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 102 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 230 | 288 | 285 | 573 | 55 | 296 | 21 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 481 | 428 | 116 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 73 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 271 | 343 | 336 | 680 | 65 | 323 | 15 | 9 | 309 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 339 | 303 | 69 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 60 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 299 | 300 | 600 | 73 | 269 | 18 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 339 | 286 | 69 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 48 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 241 | 350 | 329 | 679 | 87 | 271 | 14 | 13 | 312 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 485 | 119 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 118 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 245 | 282 | 326 | 608 | 80 | 315 | 23 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 518 | 470 | 137 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 99 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 291 | 347 | 423 | 770 | 132 | 353 | 19 | 7 | 339 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 420 | 388 | 91 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 235 | 276 | 322 | 598 | 88 | 269 | 14 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 420 | 378 | 102 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 49 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 270 | 327 | 370 | 697 | 101 | 302 | 12 | 7 | 307 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 430 | 396 | 85 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 80 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 215 | 267 | 301 | 567 | 86 | 256 | 19 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 430 | 385 | 95 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 64 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 247 | 316 | 345 | 661 | 99 | 281 | 15 | 8 | 297 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 399 | 376 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 223 | 257 | 332 | 589 | 109 | 259 | 20 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 399 | 366 | 99 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 270 | 321 | 396 | 717 | 126 | 305 | 16 | 6 | 317 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 163 | 150 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 260 | 321 | 333 | 654 | 73 | 308 | 20 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 425 | 391 | 83 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 96 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 212 | 272 | 289 | 561 | 77 | 267 | 23 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 481 | 442 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 102 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 229 | 288 | 283 | 571 | 54 | 290 | 21 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 339 | 305 | 69 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 60 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 226 | 299 | 298 | 598 | 72 | 261 | 18 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 488 | 119 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 118 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 244 | 282 | 324 | 606 | 80 | 308 | 23 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 420 | 395 | 91 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 230 | 276 | 316 | 592 | 86 | 260 | 14 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 430 | 399 | 85 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 80 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 213 | 267 | 298 | 565 | 85 | 248 | 19 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 399 | 379 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 222 | 257 | 330 | 587 | 108 | 254 | 20 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3175 | 2922 | 671 | 122 | 16 | 27 | 163 | 628 | 39 | 54 | 44 | 230 | 279 | 310 | 590 | 80 | 281 | 20 | 5 | 257 | 60 | -151 | -7 | -1 | +31 | +69 | -6.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 138 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 129 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 231 | 280 | 313 | 592 | 82 | 282 | 20 | 5 | 257 | 60 | -31 | -1 | -0 | +6 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAANorfolk Tides · 399 PAwOBA .310 → .255 (−55)K% 16.0% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.04% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.76% | ÷1.103 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.85% | ÷1.033 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 19.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.28% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 5.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.954 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.65% | ÷0.889 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 95, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .310 → .255; ISO .126 → .109; BABIP .305 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAATacoma Rainiers · 430 PAwOBA .291 → .247 (−45)K% 14.9% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.88% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.67% | ÷1.103 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.43% | ÷1.006 | ×0.900 | ×0.984 | ×1.003 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.36% | ÷0.885 | ×0.810 | ×0.984 | ×1.003 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.984 | ×1.003 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.59% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 77, 3B 80, K 106, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .291 → .247; ISO .099 → .087; BABIP .281 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALouisville Bats · 420 PAwOBA .300 → .255 (−45)K% 11.7% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.67% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.43% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.49% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | 19.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | 4.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.113 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.042 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.75% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 108, 2B 110, 3B 123, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .300 → .255; ISO .101 → .083; BABIP .302 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 438 PAwOBA .310 → .266 (−43)K% 19.4% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.41% | ÷1.042 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.075 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 3.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.11% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 23.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.64% | ÷1.081 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.981 | ×0.880 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.924 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.83% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 96, K 108, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .310 → .266; ISO .098 → .083; BABIP .346 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 339 PAwOBA .306 → .268 (−38)K% 14.2% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.16% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.68% | ÷1.087 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 8.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.69% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 22.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.20% | ÷0.979 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.880 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.10% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 81, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .306 → .268; ISO .087 → .077; BABIP .271 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 481 PAwOBA .302 → .253 (−49)K% 15.2% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.18% | ÷0.961 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.15% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.63% | ÷1.031 | ×0.910 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 23.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.48% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.421 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.18% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 92, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .302 → .253; ISO .065 → .052; BABIP .323 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ADayton Dragons · 425 PAwOBA .307 → .246 (−61)K% 16.9% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.94% | ÷1.025 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.26% | ÷1.057 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | — | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.57% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | — | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.982 | — | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.164 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.68% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 111, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .307 → .246; ISO .095 → .078; BABIP .314 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKBillings Mustangs · 163 PAwOBA .369 → .283 (−86)K% 14.1% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 3.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.29% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.031 | ×0.985 | 24.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.031 | ×0.985 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.031 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 0.62% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .369 → .283; ISO .098 → .071; BABIP .382 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .