Jan Vázquez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 301 | .211/.339/.283 | 1 | 7 | 64 | — | .222/.301/.292 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 265 | .279/.382/.437 | 7 | 3 | 90 | — | .261/.336/.381 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 221 | .232/.341/.362 | 5 | 0 | 62 | — | .181/.278/.277 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 83 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 301 | 257 | 558 | 41 | 296 | 24 | 8 | 265 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 111 | 93 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 339 | 312 | 651 | 86 | 313 | 24 | 10 | 300 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 103 | 91 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 253 | 333 | 341 | 674 | 88 | 328 | 22 | 9 | 307 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 23 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 333 | 235 | 569 | 59 | 214 | 17 | 17 | 256 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 74 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 242 | 315 | 258 | 573 | 15 | 286 | 14 | 7 | 268 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 145 | 131 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 329 | 328 | 657 | 61 | 351 | 24 | 6 | 298 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 145 | 126 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 190 | 287 | 341 | 628 | 151 | 228 | 29 | 10 | 284 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 56 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 333 | 396 | 729 | 146 | 370 | 34 | 11 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 251 | 211 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 223 | 328 | 322 | 650 | 100 | 295 | 24 | 10 | 294 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 23 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 381 | 685 | 143 | 235 | 13 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 240 | 204 | 47 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 230 | 335 | 309 | 644 | 78 | 287 | 18 | 10 | 297 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 61 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 116 | 356 | 163 | 519 | 47 | 152 | 20 | 20 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 316 | 632 | 947 | 316 | 333 | 15 | 0 | 385 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 224 | 187 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 289 | 393 | 433 | 826 | 144 | 361 | 21 | 11 | 366 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 21 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 333 | 250 | 583 | 125 | 222 | 33 | 19 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 179 | 148 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 347 | 358 | 705 | 128 | 288 | 23 | 12 | 319 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 42 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 317 | 378 | 695 | 135 | 286 | 21 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 83 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 217 | 182 | 399 | 26 | 254 | 35 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 111 | 97 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 257 | 227 | 484 | 62 | 249 | 35 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 103 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 235 | 242 | 477 | 63 | 257 | 32 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 23 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 286 | 222 | 508 | 56 | 208 | 22 | 13 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 74 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 206 | 260 | 221 | 481 | 15 | 257 | 19 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 145 | 134 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 280 | 284 | 563 | 52 | 325 | 33 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 145 | 132 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 159 | 224 | 280 | 504 | 121 | 202 | 35 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 251 | 219 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 76 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 201 | 283 | 279 | 561 | 78 | 277 | 30 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 240 | 212 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 51 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 222 | 301 | 292 | 593 | 71 | 278 | 21 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 316 | 632 | 947 | 316 | 274 | 20 | 0 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 224 | 195 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 256 | 338 | 359 | 697 | 103 | 327 | 25 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 179 | 155 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 278 | 277 | 556 | 97 | 246 | 31 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 83 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 217 | 182 | 399 | 26 | 250 | 35 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 83 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 301 | 257 | 558 | 41 | 296 | 24 | 8 | 265 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 111 | 97 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 257 | 227 | 484 | 62 | 271 | 35 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 111 | 93 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 339 | 312 | 651 | 86 | 313 | 24 | 10 | 300 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 103 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 235 | 242 | 477 | 63 | 262 | 32 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 103 | 91 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 253 | 333 | 341 | 674 | 88 | 328 | 22 | 9 | 307 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 242 | 220 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 66 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 223 | 278 | 264 | 542 | 41 | 308 | 27 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 242 | 214 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 252 | 325 | 299 | 624 | 47 | 317 | 20 | 7 | 285 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 201 | 183 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 71 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 158 | 218 | 279 | 497 | 120 | 208 | 35 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 201 | 174 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 61 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 207 | 299 | 356 | 656 | 149 | 264 | 30 | 10 | 293 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 240 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 196 | 277 | 267 | 544 | 71 | 287 | 30 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 274 | 232 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 224 | 326 | 328 | 653 | 103 | 289 | 23 | 10 | 295 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 263 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 64 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 221 | 305 | 285 | 590 | 65 | 285 | 21 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 301 | 247 | 52 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 55 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 211 | 339 | 283 | 622 | 73 | 264 | 18 | 12 | 292 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 265 | 233 | 60 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 65 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 258 | 332 | 373 | 705 | 116 | 337 | 25 | 7 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 265 | 222 | 62 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 58 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 279 | 382 | 437 | 819 | 158 | 350 | 22 | 11 | 361 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 221 | 192 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 69 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 177 | 272 | 260 | 532 | 83 | 252 | 31 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 221 | 185 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 341 | 362 | 703 | 130 | 288 | 23 | 11 | 317 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 83 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 217 | 182 | 399 | 26 | 254 | 35 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 111 | 98 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 257 | 224 | 481 | 61 | 249 | 35 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 103 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 235 | 242 | 477 | 63 | 257 | 32 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 242 | 223 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 66 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 220 | 278 | 260 | 539 | 40 | 293 | 27 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 201 | 185 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 71 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 157 | 218 | 276 | 494 | 119 | 202 | 35 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 245 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 192 | 277 | 261 | 538 | 69 | 277 | 30 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 266 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 64 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 218 | 305 | 282 | 587 | 64 | 278 | 21 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 265 | 237 | 60 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 65 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 253 | 332 | 367 | 699 | 114 | 323 | 25 | 7 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 221 | 194 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 69 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 175 | 272 | 258 | 530 | 82 | 246 | 31 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1801 | 1600 | 322 | 52 | 5 | 20 | 113 | 519 | 53 | 21 | 18 | 201 | 276 | 278 | 554 | 76 | 281 | 29 | 6 | 246 | 53 | -101 | -3 | +0 | +32 | +39 | -3.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 116 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 187 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 201 | 276 | 277 | 553 | 76 | 282 | 29 | 6 | 246 | 53 | -36 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 179 PAwOBA .315 → .248 (−67)K% 23.5% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.46% | ÷0.978 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.73% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.35% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 3.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.70% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 18.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.60% | ÷0.960 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.162 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.54% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .315 → .248; ISO .128 → .092; BABIP .288 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAHartford Yard Goats · 224 PAwOBA .356 → .303 (−54)K% 21.4% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.051 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.16% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.78% | ÷1.026 | ×0.970 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 26.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.04% | ÷1.014 | ×0.860 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.32% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.81% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 110, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .356 → .303; ISO .144 → .110; BABIP .361 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 20 PAwOBA .373 → .289 (−84)K% 15.0% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷0.956 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.019 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 16.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 4.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.202 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.13% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .373 → .289; ISO .316 → .221; BABIP .333 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAHartford Yard Goats · 240 PAwOBA .288 → .260 (−29)K% 17.9% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.92% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.75% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 3.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.50% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.07% | ÷1.021 | ×0.860 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.094 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.44% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .288 → .260; ISO .078 → .067; BABIP .287 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 251 PAwOBA .286 → .250 (−36)K% 24.3% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.30% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.56% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.67% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 21.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.016 | ×0.860 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 4.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | ×1.012 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.133 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.39% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .286 → .250; ISO .100 → .083; BABIP .295 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 145 PAwOBA .275 → .223 (−52)K% 29.0% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.97% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷1.118 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.24% | ÷1.053 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.042 | 18.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.080 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×1.042 | 1.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.135 | ×0.880 | ×0.988 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.001 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 5.95% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 127, K 101, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .275 → .223; ISO .151 → .125; BABIP .228 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AGreat Lakes Loons · 145 PAwOBA .292 → .241 (−51)K% 24.1% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.14% | ÷0.999 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.83% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.76% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.21% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 28.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷1.074 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.034 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.82% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 98, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .292 → .241; ISO .061 → .045; BABIP .351 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 74 PAwOBA .261 → .222 (−40)K% 13.5% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.51% | ÷0.985 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.76% | ÷1.038 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 2.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.79% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 24.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.941 | ×0.820 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 1.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.760 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.086 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 99, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .261 → .222; ISO .015 → .013; BABIP .286 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .