Juan Silva
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 289 | .206/.325/.332 | 6 | 6 | 74 | — | .216/.285/.288 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 122 | .266/.425/.372 | 1 | 4 | 116 | — | .231/.324/.338 |
| 2018 | 27 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 66 | .175/.288/.263 | 0 | 0 | 62 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | GCL Reds | — | 166 | 143 | 40 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 280 | 372 | 462 | 833 | 182 | 402 | 27 | 13 | 364 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | AZL Reds | — | 204 | 178 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 322 | 371 | 693 | 140 | 299 | 24 | 11 | 310 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 182 | 150 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 293 | 408 | 413 | 821 | 120 | 388 | 24 | 15 | 368 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 465 | 380 | 103 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 69 | 109 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 271 | 387 | 413 | 800 | 142 | 351 | 23 | 15 | 353 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 18 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 500 | 714 | 1.214 | 357 | 500 | 28 | 22 | 511 | 232 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 404 | 336 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 61 | 76 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 271 | 388 | 414 | 801 | 143 | 327 | 19 | 15 | 360 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 123 | 101 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 228 | 361 | 347 | 707 | 119 | 270 | 20 | 16 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 307 | 252 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 49 | 2 | 34 | 9 | 310 | 424 | 437 | 860 | 127 | 368 | 16 | 16 | 383 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 123 | 103 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 282 | 398 | 350 | 748 | 68 | 359 | 20 | 15 | 349 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 161 | 135 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 354 | 341 | 695 | 96 | 292 | 17 | 14 | 316 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 146 | 125 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 176 | 285 | 264 | 549 | 88 | 224 | 18 | 12 | 255 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 99 | 73 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 247 | 433 | 356 | 789 | 110 | 309 | 17 | 24 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 140 | 118 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 220 | 328 | 297 | 625 | 76 | 281 | 21 | 13 | 288 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 149 | 120 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 322 | 367 | 688 | 175 | 188 | 15 | 15 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 76 | 58 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 241 | 405 | 362 | 767 | 121 | 277 | 13 | 18 | 350 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 46 | 36 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 306 | 457 | 389 | 845 | 83 | 393 | 17 | 22 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 66 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 288 | 263 | 551 | 88 | 213 | 15 | 14 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Reds | — | 166 | 151 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 65 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 199 | 262 | 325 | 587 | 126 | 328 | 39 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 204 | 187 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 160 | 223 | 246 | 469 | 86 | 244 | 34 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 182 | 162 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 62 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 210 | 285 | 284 | 569 | 74 | 311 | 34 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 465 | 404 | 92 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 142 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 228 | 310 | 342 | 651 | 114 | 309 | 31 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 404 | 358 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 104 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 226 | 307 | 338 | 645 | 112 | 292 | 26 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 307 | 264 | 70 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 68 | 2 | 34 | 9 | 265 | 358 | 367 | 725 | 102 | 330 | 22 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 161 | 142 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 323 | 338 | 661 | 92 | 293 | 20 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 146 | 132 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 167 | 236 | 250 | 486 | 83 | 227 | 23 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 140 | 125 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 216 | 285 | 288 | 573 | 72 | 272 | 26 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 76 | 65 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 324 | 338 | 663 | 108 | 269 | 16 | 9 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Reds | — | 166 | 151 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 65 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 199 | 262 | 325 | 587 | 126 | 341 | 39 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Reds | — | 166 | 143 | 40 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 280 | 372 | 462 | 833 | 182 | 402 | 27 | 13 | 364 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 204 | 187 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 160 | 223 | 246 | 469 | 86 | 241 | 34 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Reds | — | 204 | 178 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 322 | 371 | 693 | 140 | 299 | 24 | 11 | 310 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 182 | 162 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 62 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 210 | 285 | 284 | 569 | 74 | 320 | 34 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | Billings Mustangs | — | 182 | 150 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 293 | 408 | 413 | 821 | 120 | 388 | 24 | 15 | 368 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 420 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 148 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 229 | 311 | 340 | 651 | 112 | 326 | 31 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 394 | 108 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 73 | 114 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 274 | 391 | 424 | 815 | 150 | 355 | 24 | 15 | 359 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 467 | 106 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 51 | 136 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 227 | 308 | 338 | 647 | 111 | 299 | 26 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 527 | 437 | 114 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 81 | 100 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 261 | 381 | 398 | 779 | 137 | 314 | 19 | 15 | 352 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 371 | 97 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 96 | 4 | 39 | 14 | 261 | 355 | 358 | 714 | 97 | 341 | 22 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 430 | 355 | 107 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 66 | 73 | 4 | 39 | 14 | 301 | 416 | 411 | 828 | 110 | 366 | 17 | 15 | 374 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 406 | 361 | 75 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 88 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 208 | 283 | 291 | 574 | 83 | 269 | 22 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 406 | 333 | 73 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 65 | 71 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 219 | 348 | 315 | 664 | 96 | 270 | 17 | 16 | 306 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 289 | 256 | 54 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 76 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 211 | 279 | 281 | 560 | 70 | 283 | 26 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 289 | 238 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 53 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 206 | 325 | 332 | 657 | 126 | 232 | 18 | 14 | 295 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 122 | 106 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 325 | 330 | 655 | 94 | 279 | 16 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 122 | 94 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 266 | 425 | 372 | 797 | 106 | 320 | 15 | 20 | 366 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 66 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 288 | 263 | 551 | 88 | 213 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 66 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 288 | 263 | 551 | 88 | 213 | 15 | 14 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Reds | — | 166 | 152 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 65 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 197 | 262 | 322 | 585 | 125 | 328 | 39 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 204 | 187 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 160 | 223 | 246 | 469 | 86 | 244 | 34 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 182 | 163 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 62 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 209 | 285 | 282 | 567 | 74 | 311 | 34 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 430 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 148 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 223 | 311 | 333 | 643 | 109 | 309 | 31 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 467 | 106 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 51 | 136 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 227 | 308 | 338 | 647 | 111 | 292 | 26 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 373 | 97 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 96 | 4 | 39 | 14 | 260 | 355 | 357 | 712 | 97 | 330 | 22 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 406 | 365 | 75 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 88 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 205 | 283 | 288 | 571 | 82 | 262 | 22 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 289 | 263 | 54 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 76 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 205 | 279 | 274 | 552 | 68 | 272 | 26 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 122 | 107 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 325 | 327 | 652 | 93 | 269 | 16 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2875 | 2538 | 557 | 102 | 25 | 31 | 272 | 769 | 17 | 139 | 63 | 219 | 299 | 316 | 615 | 97 | 300 | 27 | 9 | 267 | 67 | -112 | +3 | +0 | -31 | +62 | -8.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 126 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 174 | 4 | 31 | 14 | 220 | 299 | 317 | 616 | 98 | 300 | 27 | 9 | 267 | 67 | -25 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 76 PAwOBA .328 → .308 (−20)K% 13.2% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.16% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.47% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.975 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 7.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.898 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.65% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 98, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .328 → .308; ISO .121 → .118; BABIP .277 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATrenton Thunder · 140 PAwOBA .282 → .249 (−33)K% 21.4% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.14% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.59% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 21.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷0.962 | ×0.860 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 6.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.950 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.87% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 92, 3B 108, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .282 → .249; ISO .076 → .067; BABIP .281 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALouisville Bats · 161 PAwOBA .309 → .284 (−25)K% 16.8% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.77% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 22.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.48% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.62% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .309 → .284; ISO .096 → .091; BABIP .292 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 146 PAwOBA .249 → .223 (−27)K% 18.5% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.49% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.33% | ÷1.087 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 14.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷0.979 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.06% | ÷0.903 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 3.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 81, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .249 → .223; ISO .088 → .091; BABIP .224 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 307 PAwOBA .377 → .313 (−63)K% 16.0% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.96% | ÷0.961 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.64% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 11.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.08% | ÷1.031 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 25.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 5.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.421 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 92, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .377 → .313; ISO .127 → .098; BABIP .368 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 404 PAwOBA .352 → .285 (−68)K% 18.8% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.81% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.85% | ÷1.101 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 9.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.23% | ÷0.991 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 22.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.964 | ×0.760 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.107 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 93, K 95, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .352 → .285; ISO .143 → .116; BABIP .327 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ADayton Dragons · 465 PAwOBA .348 → .288 (−60)K% 23.4% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.44% | ÷1.043 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.19% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.09% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 23.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.86% | ÷1.083 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.003 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.95% | ÷0.943 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 106, 2B 117, 3B 101, K 109, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .348 → .288; ISO .142 → .121; BABIP .351 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKBillings Mustangs · 182 PAwOBA .355 → .257 (−99)K% 23.6% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 8.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.004 | ×0.995 | 27.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.004 | ×0.995 | 1.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.004 | ×0.995 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .355 → .257; ISO .120 → .086; BABIP .388 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .