Ryan Schimpf
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 28 | AAASD | 190 | .355/.434/.729 | 15 | 0 | 122 | — | .260/.323/.509 | |
| 2016 | 28 | MLBSD | 330 | .217/.339/.533 | 20 | 1 | 137 | 2.5 | ||
| 2017 | 29 | AAASD | 284 | .202/.312/.475 | 19 | 0 | 41 | — | .134/.223/.304 | |
| 2017 | 29 | MLBSD | 197 | .158/.287/.424 | 14 | 0 | 97 | 0.2 | ||
| 2018 | 30 | AAALAA | 125 | .178/.290/.355 | 3 | 1 | 15 | — | .106/.185/.212 | |
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 74 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 221 | 274 | 382 | 656 | 162 | 333 | 36 | 5 | 288 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 395 | 337 | 81 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 39 | 96 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 240 | 337 | 421 | 758 | 181 | 312 | 24 | 10 | 331 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 228 | 196 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 338 | 459 | 797 | 219 | 270 | 23 | 10 | 349 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 137 | 112 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 277 | 404 | 589 | 994 | 312 | 314 | 24 | 16 | 427 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 419 | 361 | 96 | 29 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 89 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 266 | 358 | 479 | 838 | 213 | 311 | 21 | 11 | 365 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 529 | 442 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 23 | 79 | 138 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 210 | 339 | 428 | 767 | 217 | 248 | 26 | 15 | 343 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 246 | 212 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 292 | 358 | 651 | 170 | 212 | 24 | 10 | 293 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 219 | 185 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 270 | 375 | 616 | 991 | 346 | 299 | 26 | 13 | 419 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 117 | 99 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 336 | 374 | 710 | 131 | 296 | 23 | 11 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 122 | 110 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 200 | 273 | 336 | 609 | 136 | 224 | 19 | 9 | 274 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 307 | 258 | 70 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 42 | 54 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 271 | 382 | 581 | 963 | 310 | 267 | 18 | 14 | 413 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 330 | 276 | 60 | 17 | 5 | 20 | 42 | 105 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 339 | 533 | 872 | 315 | 260 | 32 | 13 | 375 | 137 | +15 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +7 | 2.5 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 190 | 166 | 59 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 21 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 355 | 434 | 729 | 1.163 | 373 | 370 | 17 | 11 | 493 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 197 | 165 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 27 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 287 | 424 | 711 | 267 | 145 | 36 | 14 | 314 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 284 | 242 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 36 | 105 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 312 | 475 | 787 | 273 | 250 | 37 | 13 | 343 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 125 | 107 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 290 | 355 | 645 | 178 | 286 | 39 | 13 | 291 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 527 | 441 | 86 | 19 | 5 | 34 | 69 | 175 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 320 | 492 | 812 | 297 | 219 | 33 | 13 | 352 | 124 | +15 | -0 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 2.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 74 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 159 | 205 | 261 | 466 | 101 | 307 | 51 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 395 | 350 | 63 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 130 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 180 | 256 | 314 | 571 | 134 | 250 | 33 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 228 | 201 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 267 | 343 | 610 | 164 | 232 | 33 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 137 | 119 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 235 | 331 | 471 | 801 | 235 | 275 | 28 | 11 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 419 | 375 | 75 | 22 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 126 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 200 | 274 | 365 | 639 | 165 | 255 | 30 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 529 | 467 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 54 | 174 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 167 | 263 | 325 | 589 | 158 | 216 | 33 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 246 | 221 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 75 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 158 | 235 | 290 | 524 | 131 | 189 | 30 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 219 | 197 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 70 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 213 | 282 | 467 | 749 | 254 | 253 | 32 | 7 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 122 | 114 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 175 | 223 | 298 | 521 | 123 | 207 | 22 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 307 | 273 | 57 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 27 | 69 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 289 | 418 | 707 | 209 | 218 | 22 | 9 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 330 | 279 | 61 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 39 | 105 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 333 | 534 | 867 | 315 | 260 | 32 | 12 | 371 | 137 | +15 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +7 | 2.5 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 190 | 173 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 323 | 509 | 831 | 249 | 286 | 24 | 7 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 197 | 165 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 27 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 287 | 424 | 711 | 267 | 145 | 36 | 14 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 284 | 253 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 135 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 223 | 304 | 528 | 170 | 190 | 48 | 9 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 125 | 113 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 106 | 185 | 212 | 398 | 106 | 213 | 50 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 419 | 74 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 169 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 177 | 248 | 313 | 561 | 136 | 270 | 36 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 469 | 405 | 96 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 123 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 237 | 327 | 415 | 742 | 178 | 315 | 26 | 9 | 324 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 228 | 201 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 267 | 343 | 610 | 164 | 231 | 33 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 228 | 196 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 338 | 459 | 797 | 219 | 270 | 23 | 10 | 349 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 494 | 103 | 29 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 165 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 209 | 288 | 391 | 678 | 182 | 266 | 30 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 556 | 473 | 127 | 37 | 3 | 23 | 70 | 122 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 268 | 370 | 505 | 875 | 237 | 311 | 22 | 13 | 380 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 529 | 467 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 54 | 174 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 167 | 263 | 325 | 589 | 158 | 217 | 33 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 529 | 442 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 23 | 79 | 138 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 210 | 339 | 428 | 767 | 217 | 248 | 26 | 15 | 343 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 582 | 521 | 95 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 40 | 182 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 182 | 255 | 370 | 626 | 188 | 223 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 582 | 496 | 114 | 28 | 2 | 27 | 65 | 142 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 332 | 458 | 790 | 228 | 260 | 24 | 11 | 344 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 387 | 77 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 34 | 96 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 199 | 271 | 377 | 648 | 178 | 219 | 22 | 8 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 429 | 368 | 92 | 26 | 0 | 23 | 53 | 77 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 250 | 351 | 508 | 859 | 258 | 254 | 18 | 12 | 373 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 520 | 452 | 105 | 31 | 5 | 29 | 53 | 150 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 232 | 328 | 515 | 843 | 283 | 274 | 29 | 10 | 363 | 132 | +20 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 3.4 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 520 | 442 | 119 | 34 | 5 | 35 | 63 | 138 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 269 | 374 | 606 | 980 | 337 | 308 | 27 | 12 | 418 | 132 | +20 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 3.4 |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 481 | 418 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 53 | 205 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 247 | 342 | 589 | 201 | 177 | 43 | 11 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 481 | 407 | 75 | 9 | 1 | 33 | 63 | 175 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 302 | 455 | 756 | 270 | 207 | 36 | 13 | 331 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 125 | 113 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 106 | 185 | 212 | 398 | 106 | 204 | 50 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 125 | 107 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 290 | 355 | 645 | 178 | 286 | 39 | 13 | 291 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 426 | 74 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 169 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 174 | 248 | 308 | 556 | 134 | 259 | 36 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 228 | 202 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 178 | 267 | 342 | 608 | 163 | 232 | 33 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 496 | 103 | 29 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 165 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 208 | 288 | 389 | 677 | 181 | 260 | 30 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 529 | 463 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 54 | 174 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 168 | 263 | 328 | 592 | 160 | 216 | 33 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 582 | 526 | 95 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 40 | 182 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 181 | 255 | 367 | 622 | 186 | 219 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 388 | 77 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 34 | 96 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 198 | 271 | 376 | 647 | 178 | 215 | 22 | 8 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 520 | 451 | 105 | 31 | 5 | 29 | 53 | 150 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 233 | 328 | 517 | 844 | 284 | 269 | 29 | 10 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 481 | 419 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 53 | 205 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 247 | 341 | 589 | 200 | 171 | 43 | 11 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 125 | 113 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 106 | 185 | 212 | 398 | 106 | 213 | 50 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 527 | 441 | 86 | 19 | 5 | 34 | 69 | 175 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 320 | 492 | 812 | 297 | 219 | 33 | 13 | 352 | 76 | +15 | -0 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 544 | 106 | 23 | 6 | 42 | 85 | 216 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 320 | 491 | 811 | 296 | 219 | 33 | 13 | 352 | 76 | +19 | -0 | -3 | +4 | +14 | 3.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3919 | 3472 | 639 | 158 | 23 | 147 | 339 | 1279 | 64 | 34 | 21 | 184 | 269 | 370 | 639 | 186 | 236 | 33 | 9 | 280 | 76 | +15 | -0 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 106 | 26 | 4 | 24 | 56 | 212 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 184 | 269 | 368 | 637 | 184 | 237 | 33 | 9 | 280 | 76 | +19 | -0 | -3 | +4 | +14 | 3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAASalt Lake Bees · 125 PAwOBA .286 → .190 (−96)K% 39.2% → 50.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.20% | ÷1.003 | ×1.290 | — | — | 50.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.80% | ÷1.068 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.79% | ÷1.064 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 10.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.969 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 2.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.17% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 113, 2B 109, 3B 94, K 101, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .286 → .190; ISO .178 → .118; BABIP .286 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 284 PAwOBA .335 → .229 (−106)K% 37.0% → 47.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.97% | ÷1.005 | ×1.290 | — | — | 47.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.32% | ÷0.921 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 9.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.06% | ÷1.040 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 12.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.11% | ÷0.983 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.87% | ÷1.087 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 9.77% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 110, K 101, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .229; ISO .273 → .170; BABIP .250 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 190 PAwOBA .480 → .349 (−131)K% 17.4% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.37% | ÷0.951 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.004 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.30% | ÷1.026 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 16.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.78% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 9.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.28% | ÷1.160 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 7.52% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 106, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .480 → .349; ISO .373 → .253; BABIP .370 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 307 PAwOBA .404 → .304 (−100)K% 17.6% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.59% | ÷0.960 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.36% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 8.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.71% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 13.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.80% | ÷1.064 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 7.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.80% | ÷1.130 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 6.62% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .404 → .304; ISO .310 → .219; BABIP .267 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 122 PAwOBA .265 → .229 (−36)K% 18.9% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.85% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.20% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.94% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 14.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.944 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .265 → .229; ISO .136 → .121; BABIP .224 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 246 PAwOBA .286 → .234 (−52)K% 24.0% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.98% | ÷0.942 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.35% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.03% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 13.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.58% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 5.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .286 → .234; ISO .170 → .139; BABIP .212 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 219 PAwOBA .409 → .320 (−89)K% 25.6% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.57% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.42% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.18% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 11.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.18% | ÷0.952 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 11.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.921 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.63% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 8.40% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .409 → .320; ISO .346 → .267; BABIP .299 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 529 PAwOBA .335 → .261 (−73)K% 26.1% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.74% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 10.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.13% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 14.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.91% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.068 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.57% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 6.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 114, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .261; ISO .217 → .168; BABIP .248 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .