Jonathan Rodríguez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 544 | .303/.413/.518 | 22 | 2 | 109 | — | .253/.335/.421 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 411 | .232/.354/.412 | 15 | 2 | 73 | — | .195/.283/.344 |
| 2019 | 29 | INTLAtenienses de… | 19 | .222/.263/.333 | 0 | 0 | 67 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 197 | 165 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 309 | 421 | 436 | 858 | 127 | 374 | 16 | 15 | 389 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 488 | 394 | 99 | 27 | 0 | 20 | 77 | 109 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 251 | 392 | 472 | 864 | 221 | 295 | 22 | 16 | 384 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 248 | 222 | 56 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 68 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 252 | 328 | 405 | 733 | 153 | 336 | 27 | 9 | 328 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 42 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 381 | 382 | 763 | 147 | 368 | 33 | 17 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 523 | 455 | 129 | 34 | 1 | 18 | 60 | 101 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 284 | 374 | 481 | 856 | 198 | 328 | 19 | 11 | 378 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 104 | 93 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 194 | 265 | 333 | 598 | 140 | 235 | 23 | 8 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 469 | 406 | 108 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 56 | 96 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 266 | 361 | 404 | 764 | 138 | 321 | 20 | 12 | 344 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 116 | 97 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 155 | 287 | 227 | 514 | 72 | 246 | 32 | 15 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 513 | 454 | 125 | 24 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 100 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 275 | 356 | 414 | 770 | 139 | 327 | 19 | 11 | 346 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 106 | 87 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 358 | 310 | 669 | 92 | 352 | 31 | 16 | 317 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 145 | 135 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 310 | 459 | 770 | 200 | 341 | 32 | 7 | 339 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 347 | 302 | 77 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 86 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 255 | 348 | 387 | 735 | 132 | 329 | 25 | 12 | 332 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 116 | 105 | 26 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 248 | 313 | 390 | 704 | 143 | 325 | 22 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 167 | 167 | 25 | 5 | 266 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 524 | 434 | 134 | 31 | 0 | 21 | 80 | 113 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 309 | 420 | 525 | 945 | 217 | 368 | 22 | 15 | 412 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 344 | 286 | 71 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50 | 94 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 248 | 366 | 444 | 810 | 196 | 313 | 27 | 15 | 358 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 67 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 292 | 241 | 533 | 93 | 184 | 24 | 16 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL | Atenienses de Manati | — | 19 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 263 | 333 | 596 | 111 | 308 | 26 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 197 | 175 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 330 | 349 | 679 | 103 | 311 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 488 | 425 | 85 | 22 | 0 | 17 | 46 | 139 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 200 | 299 | 372 | 671 | 172 | 244 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 248 | 229 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 99 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 255 | 332 | 587 | 135 | 309 | 40 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 523 | 473 | 107 | 29 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 147 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 226 | 298 | 387 | 684 | 161 | 295 | 28 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 469 | 425 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 121 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 224 | 292 | 320 | 612 | 96 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 513 | 473 | 110 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 125 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 233 | 290 | 332 | 622 | 99 | 292 | 24 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 145 | 138 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 203 | 241 | 348 | 589 | 145 | 313 | 41 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 347 | 315 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 103 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 219 | 287 | 311 | 598 | 92 | 302 | 30 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 167 | 149 | 30 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 524 | 460 | 118 | 26 | 0 | 17 | 54 | 137 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 257 | 338 | 424 | 762 | 167 | 314 | 26 | 10 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 344 | 302 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 283 | 344 | 628 | 149 | 260 | 33 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 197 | 175 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 330 | 349 | 679 | 103 | 323 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 197 | 165 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 309 | 421 | 436 | 858 | 127 | 374 | 16 | 15 | 389 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 488 | 425 | 85 | 22 | 0 | 17 | 46 | 139 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 200 | 299 | 372 | 671 | 172 | 250 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 488 | 394 | 99 | 27 | 0 | 20 | 77 | 109 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 251 | 392 | 472 | 864 | 221 | 295 | 22 | 16 | 384 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 267 | 52 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 116 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 195 | 256 | 330 | 586 | 135 | 310 | 40 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 290 | 256 | 64 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 82 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 250 | 336 | 402 | 738 | 152 | 339 | 28 | 10 | 332 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 627 | 565 | 129 | 35 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 177 | 7 | 22 | 6 | 228 | 300 | 389 | 690 | 161 | 298 | 28 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 627 | 548 | 147 | 41 | 1 | 20 | 68 | 125 | 7 | 22 | 6 | 268 | 356 | 456 | 813 | 188 | 313 | 20 | 11 | 359 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 530 | 119 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 150 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 225 | 293 | 321 | 613 | 96 | 293 | 26 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 585 | 503 | 123 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 73 | 133 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 245 | 346 | 370 | 716 | 125 | 309 | 23 | 12 | 325 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 619 | 569 | 132 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 150 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 232 | 292 | 332 | 624 | 100 | 295 | 24 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 619 | 541 | 144 | 32 | 0 | 13 | 73 | 133 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 266 | 357 | 397 | 754 | 131 | 330 | 21 | 12 | 341 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 608 | 559 | 119 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 202 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 213 | 273 | 322 | 595 | 109 | 305 | 33 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 608 | 542 | 138 | 33 | 2 | 15 | 59 | 158 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 255 | 332 | 406 | 738 | 151 | 331 | 26 | 10 | 330 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 478 | 120 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 55 | 143 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 251 | 333 | 418 | 752 | 167 | 315 | 26 | 10 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 544 | 452 | 137 | 31 | 0 | 22 | 81 | 118 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 303 | 413 | 518 | 931 | 215 | 361 | 22 | 15 | 406 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 361 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 137 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 197 | 282 | 346 | 628 | 150 | 269 | 33 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 411 | 340 | 79 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 110 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 354 | 412 | 766 | 179 | 291 | 27 | 15 | 341 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL MLE | Atenienses de Manati | — | 19 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 263 | 333 | 596 | 111 | 308 | 26 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL RAW | Atenienses de Manati | — | 19 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 263 | 333 | 596 | 111 | 308 | 26 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 197 | 173 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 249 | 330 | 353 | 683 | 104 | 311 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 488 | 425 | 85 | 22 | 0 | 17 | 46 | 139 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 200 | 299 | 372 | 671 | 172 | 244 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 266 | 52 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 116 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 195 | 256 | 331 | 587 | 135 | 309 | 40 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 627 | 564 | 129 | 35 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 177 | 7 | 22 | 6 | 229 | 300 | 390 | 690 | 161 | 295 | 28 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 529 | 119 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 150 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 225 | 293 | 321 | 614 | 96 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 619 | 566 | 132 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 150 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 233 | 292 | 334 | 626 | 101 | 292 | 24 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 608 | 557 | 119 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 202 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 214 | 273 | 323 | 596 | 110 | 305 | 33 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 480 | 120 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 55 | 143 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 417 | 750 | 167 | 308 | 26 | 10 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 411 | 365 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 137 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 282 | 342 | 625 | 148 | 260 | 33 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4388 | 3947 | 874 | 189 | 5 | 108 | 363 | 1265 | 47 | 58 | 31 | 221 | 295 | 354 | 649 | 133 | 294 | 29 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -113 | -1 | +0 | -78 | +95 | -9.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 130 | 28 | 1 | 16 | 54 | 187 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 222 | 296 | 356 | 651 | 133 | 295 | 29 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -17 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 344 PAwOBA .351 → .280 (−71)K% 27.3% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.33% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.95% | ÷0.990 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 9.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷1.054 | ×0.900 | ×0.992 | ×0.982 | 18.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.29% | ÷0.906 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.982 | 6.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.29% | ÷0.952 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 5.87% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 81, 3B 106, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .351 → .280; ISO .196 → .161; BABIP .313 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 524 PAwOBA .405 → .333 (−72)K% 21.6% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.56% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 10.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.55% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.66% | ÷1.084 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 7.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.880 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.54% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 5.20% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 104, K 102, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .405 → .333; ISO .217 → .178; BABIP .368 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARochester Red Wings · 20 PAwOBA .259 → .215 (−44)K% 25.0% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.997 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 4.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 13.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.085 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 6.71% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 117, 3B 117, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .259 → .215; ISO .167 → .139; BABIP .167 → .149. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AASpringfield Cardinals · 347 PAwOBA .324 → .268 (−56)K% 24.8% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.78% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.24% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.978 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.48% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | ×1.019 | ×0.978 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.019 | ×0.978 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.155 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.51% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 93, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .324 → .268; ISO .132 → .100; BABIP .329 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 145 PAwOBA .329 → .255 (−74)K% 31.7% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.72% | ÷0.988 | ×1.290 | — | — | 41.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.72% | ÷0.989 | ×0.900 | ×1.032 | ×1.003 | 23.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×1.003 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.87% | ÷0.931 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 6.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 90, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .329 → .255; ISO .200 → .149; BABIP .341 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AASpringfield Cardinals · 513 PAwOBA .337 → .274 (−62)K% 19.5% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.49% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.86% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 23.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.67% | ÷1.140 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.55% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .337 → .274; ISO .139 → .102; BABIP .327 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AASpringfield Cardinals · 469 PAwOBA .336 → .273 (−63)K% 20.5% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.47% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.51% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.52% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 22.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷0.982 | ×0.840 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.55% | ÷1.221 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 98, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .336 → .273; ISO .138 → .101; BABIP .321 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 523 PAwOBA .369 → .300 (−69)K% 19.3% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.31% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.28% | ÷1.026 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 8.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.47% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 19.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.60% | ÷1.015 | ×0.960 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 8.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.964 | ×0.810 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.972 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 4.55% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 93, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .369 → .300; ISO .198 → .166; BABIP .328 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .