Joey Rickard
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 27 | AAABAL | 185 | .275/.390/.412 | 2 | 3 | 86 | — | .233/.313/.344 | |
| 2018 | 27 | MLBBAL | 230 | .244/.300/.413 | 8 | 4 | 96 | 0.2 | ||
| 2019 | 28 | AAASF | 272 | .326/.409/.555 | 10 | 1 | 105 | — | .250/.320/.406 | |
| 2019 | 28 | MLBSF | 189 | .226/.312/.357 | 3 | 4 | 93 | -0.4 | ||
| 2021 | 30 | INTLLeones del Es… | 65 | .241/.323/.310 | 0 | 1 | 85 | — | ||
| 2022 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 559 | 452 | 122 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 78 | 98 | 16 | 30 | 10 | 270 | 396 | 409 | 805 | 139 | 322 | 18 | 14 | 359 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Brisbane Bandits | — | 203 | 178 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 287 | 355 | 421 | 777 | 135 | 329 | 16 | 8 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 247 | 206 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 40 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 243 | 345 | 296 | 641 | 53 | 288 | 16 | 11 | 291 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 104 | 89 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 360 | 441 | 472 | 913 | 112 | 457 | 19 | 10 | 402 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 282 | 236 | 76 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 42 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 322 | 424 | 479 | 903 | 157 | 379 | 15 | 14 | 397 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 94 | 71 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 268 | 441 | 310 | 751 | 42 | 322 | 14 | 21 | 359 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 217 | 191 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 277 | 349 | 450 | 799 | 173 | 309 | 17 | 7 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 282 | 257 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 268 | 321 | 377 | 699 | 109 | 320 | 19 | 6 | 310 | 93 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 277 | 261 | 63 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 241 | 277 | 345 | 622 | 103 | 303 | 23 | 3 | 277 | 71 | -9 | +1 | +4 | -4 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 58 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 345 | 277 | 621 | 85 | 216 | 16 | 19 | 300 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 230 | 213 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 244 | 300 | 413 | 713 | 169 | 293 | 24 | 7 | 317 | 96 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 185 | 153 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 275 | 390 | 412 | 802 | 137 | 317 | 15 | 14 | 359 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 189 | 168 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 50 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 312 | 357 | 669 | 131 | 304 | 26 | 10 | 304 | 93 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 272 | 236 | 77 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 326 | 409 | 555 | 964 | 229 | 360 | 16 | 11 | 418 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 65 | 58 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 323 | 310 | 633 | 69 | 298 | 17 | 11 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 978 | 899 | 222 | 47 | 3 | 20 | 60 | 222 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 247 | 302 | 373 | 675 | 126 | 306 | 23 | 6 | 301 | 90 | -12 | +2 | +4 | -16 | +21 | -0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 559 | 481 | 106 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 139 | 16 | 30 | 10 | 220 | 313 | 326 | 640 | 106 | 277 | 25 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 247 | 213 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 225 | 307 | 272 | 579 | 47 | 265 | 19 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 104 | 93 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 392 | 430 | 822 | 97 | 441 | 22 | 6 | 370 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 282 | 248 | 71 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 52 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 286 | 363 | 423 | 787 | 137 | 341 | 18 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 94 | 76 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 376 | 276 | 653 | 39 | 302 | 20 | 16 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 282 | 257 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 265 | 318 | 374 | 691 | 109 | 320 | 19 | 6 | 305 | 93 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 277 | 261 | 63 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 241 | 277 | 345 | 622 | 103 | 303 | 23 | 3 | 274 | 71 | -9 | +1 | +4 | -4 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 58 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 293 | 260 | 553 | 80 | 204 | 19 | 14 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 230 | 213 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 239 | 296 | 394 | 690 | 155 | 293 | 24 | 7 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 185 | 163 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 233 | 313 | 344 | 657 | 110 | 269 | 18 | 9 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 189 | 169 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 50 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 225 | 307 | 355 | 662 | 130 | 304 | 26 | 9 | 305 | 93 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 272 | 244 | 61 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 57 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 320 | 406 | 725 | 156 | 297 | 21 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 762 | 657 | 144 | 31 | 6 | 8 | 67 | 190 | 19 | 44 | 12 | 219 | 310 | 321 | 631 | 102 | 291 | 25 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 762 | 630 | 173 | 39 | 6 | 12 | 94 | 130 | 19 | 44 | 12 | 275 | 385 | 413 | 798 | 138 | 324 | 17 | 12 | 353 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 247 | 213 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 225 | 307 | 272 | 579 | 47 | 276 | 19 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 247 | 206 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 40 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 243 | 345 | 296 | 641 | 53 | 288 | 16 | 11 | 291 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 697 | 602 | 174 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 70 | 137 | 13 | 26 | 7 | 289 | 375 | 397 | 772 | 108 | 365 | 20 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 697 | 587 | 180 | 41 | 9 | 8 | 85 | 111 | 13 | 26 | 7 | 307 | 406 | 448 | 854 | 141 | 361 | 16 | 12 | 377 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 282 | 257 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 265 | 318 | 374 | 691 | 109 | 315 | 19 | 6 | 305 | 93 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 282 | 257 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 268 | 321 | 377 | 699 | 109 | 320 | 19 | 6 | 310 | 93 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 335 | 311 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 74 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 228 | 277 | 328 | 605 | 100 | 283 | 22 | 5 | 270 | 69 | -12 | +1 | +4 | -4 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 335 | 308 | 72 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 72 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 234 | 289 | 334 | 624 | 101 | 289 | 21 | 6 | 281 | 69 | -12 | +1 | +4 | -4 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 415 | 376 | 89 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 88 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 237 | 303 | 372 | 676 | 136 | 284 | 21 | 7 | 303 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 415 | 366 | 94 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 83 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 257 | 340 | 413 | 752 | 156 | 304 | 20 | 10 | 336 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 413 | 102 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 107 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 247 | 321 | 404 | 725 | 157 | 305 | 23 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 461 | 404 | 115 | 29 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 93 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 285 | 369 | 473 | 842 | 188 | 339 | 20 | 10 | 371 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 65 | 58 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 323 | 310 | 633 | 69 | 298 | 17 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 65 | 58 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 323 | 310 | 633 | 69 | 298 | 17 | 11 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 762 | 670 | 144 | 31 | 6 | 8 | 67 | 190 | 19 | 44 | 12 | 215 | 310 | 315 | 624 | 100 | 277 | 25 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 247 | 220 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 218 | 307 | 264 | 570 | 45 | 265 | 19 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 697 | 609 | 174 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 70 | 137 | 13 | 26 | 7 | 286 | 375 | 392 | 768 | 107 | 355 | 20 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 282 | 260 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 262 | 318 | 369 | 687 | 108 | 320 | 19 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 335 | 311 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 74 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 228 | 277 | 328 | 605 | 100 | 285 | 22 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 415 | 376 | 89 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 88 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 237 | 303 | 372 | 676 | 136 | 282 | 21 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 413 | 102 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 107 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 247 | 321 | 404 | 725 | 157 | 300 | 23 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 978 | 899 | 222 | 47 | 3 | 20 | 60 | 222 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 247 | 302 | 373 | 675 | 126 | 306 | 23 | 6 | 301 | 86 | -12 | +2 | +4 | -16 | +21 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 147 | 31 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 148 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 246 | 301 | 370 | 671 | 124 | 306 | 23 | 6 | 301 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +3 | -11 | +14 | -0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3264 | 2887 | 710 | 154 | 22 | 41 | 269 | 708 | 54 | 104 | 31 | 246 | 322 | 357 | 679 | 111 | 308 | 22 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -12 | +2 | +4 | -16 | +21 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 141 | 31 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 141 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 245 | 322 | 355 | 677 | 110 | 308 | 22 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +3 | -11 | +14 | -0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAASacramento River Cats · 272 PAwOBA .411 → .324 (−87)K% 15.8% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.81% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.66% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 7.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.32% | ÷0.982 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 20.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.36% | ÷0.981 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 8.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.008 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.18% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .411 → .324; ISO .229 → .172; BABIP .360 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANorfolk Tides · 185 PAwOBA .350 → .295 (−55)K% 15.1% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.14% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.43% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.80% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 18.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.40% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.60% | ÷0.964 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.40% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .350 → .295; ISO .137 → .115; BABIP .317 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAANorfolk Tides · 58 PAwOBA .293 → .255 (−38)K% 15.5% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.52% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.97% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 14.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 17.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.001 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 2.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.866 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .293 → .255; ISO .085 → .083; BABIP .216 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 282 PAwOBA .392 → .339 (−53)K% 14.9% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.83% | ÷0.987 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 9.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.26% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×1.012 | 22.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.79% | ÷0.953 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×1.012 | 9.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.973 | ×1.012 | 2.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.983 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .392 → .339; ISO .157 → .139; BABIP .379 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADurham Bulls · 104 PAwOBA .396 → .370 (−26)K% 19.2% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.62% | ÷1.148 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.78% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×1.048 | 33.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.048 | 7.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×1.048 | 3.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 105, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .396 → .370; ISO .112 → .113; BABIP .457 → .441. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 94 PAwOBA .355 → .306 (−50)K% 13.8% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.83% | ÷0.979 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.28% | ÷0.994 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 15.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.59% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 25.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷0.978 | ×0.960 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.822 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .355 → .306; ISO .042 → .041; BABIP .322 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 247 PAwOBA .290 → .260 (−30)K% 16.2% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.19% | ÷1.036 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.34% | ÷0.945 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 8.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.70% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.954 | ×1.027 | 23.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.057 | ×0.910 | ×0.954 | ×1.027 | 4.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.954 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.48% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .290 → .260; ISO .053 → .047; BABIP .288 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 559 PAwOBA .355 → .281 (−74)K% 17.5% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.53% | ÷0.958 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.098 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | — | 20.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.19% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×0.975 | — | 6.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.974 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | — | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.044 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.73% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 95, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .355 → .281; ISO .139 → .112; BABIP .322 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .