Chris Owings

PosSS
B/TR/R
Born1991-08-12
Age (2027)35
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2024
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202230AAAScranton/Wilk…208.235/.306/.4128540—.170/.218/.284
202230MLBBAL68.107/.254/.1430123-0.6
202331AAAPIT371.241/.350/.44915451—.173/.247/.298
202331MLBPIT25.160/.160/.16000-150.2
202432AAAOklahoma City…307.262/.382/.41491172—.213/.301/.331
202533No MLB games played
202634No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 AAA
BB%83
Speed72
Chase%58
Whiff%48
Max EV42
K%38

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200917 ROKMissoula Osprey — 111108 33512 3250 30 306324426750 120383 233 333 42 — — — — — —
201018 ASouth Bend Silver Hawks — 271255 761925 9502 13 298327447774 149350 183 336 70 — — — — — —
201119 A+Visalia Rawhide — 555521 12829611 151307 104 246276388664 142305 233 288 43 — — — — — —
201220 AAMobile BayBears — 310297 781036 11691 43 263291377668 114324 224 297 50 — — — — — —
201220 A+Visalia Rawhide — 257241 7816211 13632 83 324363544907 220399 255 395 95 — — — — — —
201220 INTLSalt River Rafters — 9291 25911 0170 41 275275429703 154329 180 304 92 — — — — — —
201321 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 6155 16500 6100 20 291361382742 91356 1610 337 100 -0 +0 -0 +7 +1 0.8
201321 AAAReno Aces — 575546 18031812 22993 207 330359482841 152386 174 369 95 — — — — — —
201422 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 332310 811566 16672 81 261302406708 145314 205 310 88 -5 +1 +6 +4 +7 1.3
201422 AAAReno Aces — 4040 10100 090 30 250250275525 25323 220 236 11 — — — — — —
201523 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 552515 1172754 261441 164 227266322588 95305 265 260 53 -31 +2 -1 +2 +12 -1.6
201624 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 466437 12124115 20875 212 277316416732 140334 194 322 90 -5 +3 -4 +5 +10 0.9
201624 AAAReno Aces — 2118 11111 330 01 6116679441.611 333714 1414 682 250 — — — — — —
201725 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 386362 9725112 17871 122 268303442745 174318 234 323 98 -1 +2 -3 +4 +8 1.1
201826 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 309281 581504 24752 114 206274302576 96265 248 262 54 -17 +1 +1 -4 +7 -1.3
201826 AAAReno Aces — 9291 26421 1170 12 286293407700 121342 181 308 35 — — — — — —
201927 MLBBoston Red Sox — 196180 25613 14782 52 139209233443 94222 407 206 23 -18 +0 +1 +1 +4 -1.1
201927 AAAPawtucket Red Sox — 183163 5311011 15502 64 325389595984 270404 278 421 119 — — — — — —
202028 MLBColorado Rockies — 4441 11102 3110 10 268318439757 171321 257 336 103 +0 +0 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
202129 MLBColorado Rockies — 5043 14431 7150 21 3264206281.048 302481 3014 448 153 +3 +0 -1 +1 +1 0.4
202129 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes — 1918 3201 160 00 167211444655 278182 325 281 5 — — — — — —
202129 INTLTigres del Licey — 9379 19110 14250 31 241355278633 38352 2715 302 90 — — — — — —
202230 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 6856 6200 10241 10 107254143397 36188 3515 204 23 -6 +0 -2 +1 +1 -0.6
202230 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 208187 44718 18521 52 235306412718 176279 259 317 40 — — — — — —
202331 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 2525 4000 0120 00 160160160320 308 480 145 -15 -3 +0 +0 +4 +1 0.2
202331 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 371316 7615315 511062 45 241350449799 209311 2914 354 51 — — — — — —
202432 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club — 307256 67829 44796 114 262382414796 152343 2614 361 72 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 24892305 5501242737 14361014 7916 239287364651 125307 256 288 81 -56 +9 -5 +25 +54 2.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200917 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 111109 24311 2360 30 220234294528 73317 322 231 42 — — — — — —
201018 A MLESouth Bend Silver Hawks — 271258 631524 6712 13 244267364631 120310 262 272 70 — — — — — —
201119 A+ MLEVisalia Rawhide — 555525 1082349 111707 104 206232316548 110271 312 232 43 — — — — — —
201220 AA MLEMobile BayBears — 310300 67924 8821 43 223246307553 83292 263 242 50 — — — — — —
201220 A+ MLEVisalia Rawhide — 257244 631129 10832 83 258293430723 172349 324 308 95 — — — — — —
201321 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 6156 16500 5100 20 286344375719 89356 168 316 100 -0 +0 -0 +7 +1 0.8
201321 AAA MLEReno Aces — 575552 1592668 161283 207 288312400712 112360 223 308 95 — — — — — —
201422 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 332310 791456 16672 81 255296390686 135314 205 298 88 -5 +1 +6 +4 +7 1.3
201422 AAA MLEReno Aces — 4040 8100 0120 30 200200225425 25288 300 184 11 — — — — — —
201523 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 552518 1142544 231441 164 220255307562 87305 264 247 53 -31 +2 -1 +2 +12 -1.6
201624 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 466441 1172295 16875 212 265299390689 125334 193 302 90 -5 +3 -4 +5 +10 0.9
201624 AAA MLEReno Aces — 2119 10111 240 01 5265718421.414 316602 1910 537 250 — — — — — —
201725 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 386362 9523112 17871 122 262297431728 169318 234 314 98 -1 +2 -3 +4 +8 1.1
201826 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 309285 561304 20752 114 196254284538 88265 246 247 54 -17 +1 +1 -4 +7 -1.3
201826 AAA MLEReno Aces — 9291 20311 1220 12 220228308536 88274 241 220 35 — — — — — —
201927 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 196180 24513 14782 52 133204222426 89222 407 202 23 -18 +0 +1 +1 +4 -1.1
201927 AAA MLEPawtucket Red Sox — 183167 46909 11602 64 275328491819 216359 336 344 119 — — — — — —
202028 MLB MLEColorado Rockies — 4441 11102 3110 10 268318439757 171321 257 320 103 +0 +0 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
202129 MLB MLEColorado Rockies — 5044 13421 6150 21 295380545925 250481 3012 395 153 +3 +0 -1 +1 +1 0.4
202129 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 1918 2101 180 00 111158333491 222143 425 175 5 — — — — — —
202230 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 6856 6200 10241 10 107254143397 36188 3515 202 23 -6 +0 -2 +1 +1 -0.6
202230 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 208194 33515 11621 52 170218284502 113220 305 227 40 — — — — — —
202331 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 2525 4000 0120 00 160160160320 308 480 146 -15 -3 +0 +0 +4 +1 0.2
202331 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 371336 581129 311322 45 173247298544 125250 368 244 51 — — — — — —
202432 AAA MLEOklahoma City Baseball Club — 307272 58727 28966 114 213301331632 118290 319 274 72 — — — — — —
200917 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 111109 24311 2360 30 220234294528 73319 322 231 42 — — — — — —
200917 ROK RAWMissoula Osprey — 111108 33512 3250 30 306324426750 120383 233 333 42 — — — — — —
201018 A MLESouth Bend Silver Hawks — 271258 631524 6712 13 244267364631 120317 262 272 70 — — — — — —
201018 A RAWSouth Bend Silver Hawks — 271255 761925 9502 13 298327447774 149350 183 336 70 — — — — — —
201119 A+ MLEVisalia Rawhide — 555525 1082349 111707 104 206232316548 110283 312 232 43 — — — — — —
201119 A+ RAWVisalia Rawhide — 555521 12829611 151307 104 246276388664 142305 233 288 43 — — — — — —
201220 AA MLE3 teams — 659632 15123416 211913 167 239267364631 125317 293 272 70 — — — — — —
201220 AA RAW3 teams — 659629 18135618 241493 167 288317448765 161352 234 336 70 — — — — — —
201321 AAA MLE2 teams — 636608 1753168 211383 227 288315398713 110361 223 309 95 — — — — — —
201321 AAA RAW2 teams — 636601 19636812 281093 227 326359473832 146383 174 366 95 — — — — — —
201422 MLB MLE2 teams — 372350 861456 16792 111 246283366648 120300 214 286 80 -9 +2 +6 +4 +8 1.1
201422 MLB RAW2 teams — 372350 911666 16762 111 260296391688 131315 204 302 80 -9 +2 +6 +4 +8 1.1
201523 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 552518 1142544 231441 164 220255307562 87295 264 247 53 -31 +2 -1 +2 +12 -1.6
201523 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 552515 1172754 261441 164 227266322588 95305 265 260 53 -31 +2 -1 +2 +12 -1.6
201624 MLB MLE2 teams — 487460 12723106 18915 213 276311409719 133332 194 312 97 -2 +3 -4 +5 +11 1.3
201624 MLB RAW2 teams — 487455 13225126 23905 213 290331437769 147349 185 337 97 -2 +3 -4 +5 +11 1.3
201725 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 386362 9523112 17871 122 262297431728 169311 234 314 98 -1 +2 -3 +4 +8 1.1
201725 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 386362 9725112 17871 122 268303442745 174318 234 323 98 -1 +2 -3 +4 +8 1.1
201826 MLB MLE2 teams — 401376 761615 21972 126 202248290538 88257 245 241 49 -24 +0 +1 -4 +9 -1.9
201826 MLB RAW2 teams — 401372 841925 25922 126 226278328606 102285 236 273 49 -24 +0 +1 -4 +9 -1.9
201927 MLB MLE2 teams — 379347 7115112 251384 116 205266357623 153296 367 271 69 -14 -0 +1 +1 +8 -0.3
201927 MLB RAW2 teams — 379343 7817114 291284 116 227295405700 178315 348 310 69 -14 -0 +1 +1 +8 -0.3
202028 MLB MLEColorado Rockies — 4441 11102 3110 10 268318439757 171321 257 320 103 +0 +0 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
202028 MLB RAWColorado Rockies — 4441 11102 3110 10 268318439757 171321 257 336 103 +0 +0 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
202129 INTL MLE3 teams — 162146 351353 16530 52 240315459774 219356 3310 334 112 — — — — — —
202129 INTL RAW3 teams — 162140 36742 22460 52 257358407765 150370 2814 344 112 — — — — — —
202230 AAA MLE2 teams — 276250 39715 21862 62 156227252479 96211 318 221 36 — — — — — —
202230 AAA RAW2 teams — 276243 50918 28762 62 206293350643 144261 2810 289 36 — — — — — —
202331 AAA MLE2 teams — 396361 621129 311442 45 172241288529 116254 368 238 47 — — — — — —
202331 AAA RAW2 teams — 396341 8015315 511182 45 235338428766 194311 3013 341 47 — — — — — —
202432 AAA MLEOklahoma City Baseball Club — 307272 58727 28966 114 213301331632 118300 319 274 72 — — — — — —
202432 AAA RAWOklahoma City Baseball Club — 307256 67829 44796 114 262382414796 152343 2614 361 72 — — — — — —
200917 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 111108 24311 2360 30 222234296531 74317 322 231 42 — — — — — —
201018 A MLESouth Bend Silver Hawks — 271261 631524 6712 13 241267360627 119310 262 272 70 — — — — — —
201119 A+ MLEVisalia Rawhide — 555532 1082349 111707 104 203232312544 109271 312 232 43 — — — — — —
201220 AA MLE3 teams — 659630 15123416 211913 167 240267365632 125318 293 272 70 — — — — — —
201321 AAA MLE2 teams — 636607 1753168 211383 227 288315399714 110360 223 309 95 — — — — — —
201422 MLB MLE2 teams — 372351 861456 16792 111 245283365647 120311 214 286 80 — — — — — —
201523 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 552523 1142544 231441 164 218255304559 86305 264 247 53 — — — — — —
201624 MLB MLE2 teams — 487461 12723106 18915 213 275311408718 132346 194 312 97 — — — — — —
201725 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 386365 9523112 17871 122 260297427725 167318 234 314 98 — — — — — —
201826 MLB MLE2 teams — 401375 761615 21972 126 203248291539 88267 245 241 49 — — — — — —
201927 MLB MLE2 teams — 379347 7115112 251384 116 205266357623 153288 367 271 69 — — — — — —
202028 MLB MLEColorado Rockies — 4441 11102 3110 10 268318439757 171321 257 320 103 — — — — — —
202129 INTL MLE3 teams — 162145 351353 16530 52 241315462777 221388 3310 334 112 — — — — — —
202230 AAA MLE2 teams — 276251 39715 21862 62 155227251478 96212 318 221 36 — — — — — —
202331 AAA MLE2 teams — 396360 621129 311442 45 172241289530 117254 368 238 47 — — — — — —
202432 AAA MLEOklahoma City Baseball Club — 307270 58727 28966 114 215301333634 119290 319 274 72 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202432 AAA MLEOklahoma City Baseball Club — 307270 58727 28966 114 215301333634 119290 319 274 72 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 24892305 5501242737 14361014 7916 239287364651 125307 256 288 70 -56 +9 -5 +25 +54 2.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650602 14432710 371594 214 239288365653 126307 246 288 70 -15 +2 -1 +7 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 59945615 129525049109 280163240 16256 231272351623 120304 275 271 70 -56 +9 -5 +25 +54 2.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650609 14027512 301774 186 230270350620 120303 275 271 70 -15 +2 -1 +7 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club · 307 PAwOBA .353 → .274 (−79)K% 25.7% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.73%÷0.990×1.200——31.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.33%÷1.021×0.690—×0.9429.12%
HBP% /PA1.95%—×0.940—×0.9421.73%
Singles /BIP27.12%÷0.977×0.930×0.965×0.94223.48%
Doubles /BIP4.52%÷0.930×0.830×0.965×0.9423.67%
Triples /BIP1.13%÷1.126×0.970×0.965×0.9420.89%
Home runs /BIP5.08%÷0.896×0.700—×0.9423.74%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 125, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .353 → .274; ISO .152 → .116; BABIP .343 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 371 PAwOBA .345 → .244 (−101)K% 28.6% → 35.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷0.967×1.200——35.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.48%÷1.056×0.690—×0.9528.39%
HBP% /PA0.54%—×0.940—×0.9520.48%
Singles /BIP20.48%÷1.004×0.930×0.970×0.95217.52%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.013×0.830×0.970×0.9525.40%
Triples /BIP1.43%÷1.150×0.970×0.970×0.9521.11%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷1.095×0.700—×0.9524.35%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 93, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .345 → .244; ISO .209 → .135; BABIP .311 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 208 PAwOBA .311 → .227 (−84)K% 25.0% → 30.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.001×1.200——29.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.65%÷1.066×0.690—×0.9625.39%
HBP% /PA0.48%—×0.940—×0.9620.43%
Singles /BIP20.74%÷1.047×0.930×0.950×0.96216.83%
Doubles /BIP5.19%÷0.988×0.830×0.950×0.9623.98%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.970×0.950×0.9620.66%
Home runs /BIP5.93%÷1.006×0.700—×0.9623.97%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .311 → .227; ISO .176 → .123; BABIP .279 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 19 PAwOBA .273 → .175 (−97)K% 31.6% → 39.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.58%÷0.958×1.200——39.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷1.032×0.690—×0.9723.42%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9720.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷1.110×0.930—×0.9720.00%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷0.988×0.830—×0.97213.60%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920—×0.9720.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.172×0.700—×0.9724.84%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 122, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .273 → .175; ISO .278 → .169; BABIP .182 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 183 PAwOBA .413 → .344 (−69)K% 27.3% → 32.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.32%÷1.002×1.200——32.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.20%÷0.963×0.690—×0.9925.83%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.940—×0.9921.02%
Singles /BIP27.43%÷0.953×0.930×0.950×0.99225.23%
Doubles /BIP9.73%÷0.896×0.830×0.950×0.9928.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×0.9920.00%
Home runs /BIP9.73%÷1.038×0.840—×0.9927.82%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 91, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .413 → .344; ISO .270 → .217; BABIP .404 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAReno Aces · 92 PAwOBA .299 → .220 (−80)K% 18.5% → 24.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.48%÷0.991×1.290——24.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA1.09%÷1.069×0.710—×1.0030.72%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP25.68%÷1.024×0.900×0.953×1.00321.58%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷1.117×0.810×0.953×1.0033.75%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.150×0.810×0.953×1.0031.82%
Home runs /BIP1.35%÷1.044×0.780—×1.0031.01%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 105, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .299 → .220; ISO .121 → .079; BABIP .342 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAReno Aces · 21 PAwOBA .663 → .537 (−126)K% 14.3% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.29%÷0.991×1.290——18.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷0.979×0.710—×1.03310.70%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP53.33%÷1.052×0.900—×1.03347.14%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.060×0.810—×1.0335.26%
Triples /BIP6.67%÷1.150×0.810—×1.0334.85%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷1.092×0.780—×1.0334.92%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .663 → .537; ISO .333 → .245; BABIP .714 → .602. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAReno Aces · 40 PAwOBA .229 → .184 (−45)K% 22.5% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.50%÷0.965×1.290——30.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.049×0.710—×1.0500.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP29.03%÷1.047×0.900—×1.05026.21%
Doubles /BIP3.23%÷1.047×0.810—×1.0502.62%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.810—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.116×0.780—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .229 → .184; ISO .025 → .018; BABIP .323 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .