Telvin Nash
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | AA/A+CWS | 171 | .205/.318/.390 | 6 | 0 | 20 | — | .135/.212/.252 |
| 2018 | 27 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 83 | .171/.293/.243 | 0 | 0 | 59 | — | |
| 2019 | 28 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 39 | .108/.154/.135 | 0 | 0 | -20 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 157 | 142 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 284 | 324 | 608 | 106 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 273 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 227 | 200 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 350 | 515 | 865 | 250 | 328 | 28 | 11 | 377 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 316 | 268 | 72 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 103 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 376 | 485 | 861 | 216 | 379 | 33 | 13 | 380 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 16 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 385 | 500 | 538 | 1.038 | 154 | 455 | 12 | 19 | 461 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 449 | 393 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 29 | 47 | 198 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 318 | 494 | 811 | 270 | 351 | 44 | 10 | 354 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 269 | 228 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 37 | 93 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 358 | 500 | 858 | 254 | 333 | 35 | 14 | 377 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 321 | 273 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 34 | 112 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 332 | 484 | 816 | 256 | 284 | 35 | 11 | 355 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 130 | 114 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 318 | 456 | 774 | 228 | 328 | 38 | 10 | 340 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 188 | 145 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 419 | 559 | 978 | 303 | 333 | 31 | 21 | 421 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 36 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 294 | 516 | 118 | 333 | 50 | 6 | 233 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 135 | 112 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 343 | 420 | 763 | 205 | 297 | 33 | 14 | 341 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 83 | 70 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 293 | 243 | 536 | 71 | 273 | 33 | 12 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 39 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 154 | 135 | 289 | 27 | 211 | 46 | 5 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 157 | 146 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 151 | 200 | 226 | 426 | 75 | 245 | 41 | 5 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 227 | 209 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 243 | 344 | 588 | 163 | 265 | 40 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 316 | 283 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 138 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 290 | 375 | 664 | 163 | 350 | 44 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 357 | 732 | 71 | 353 | 19 | 12 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 449 | 409 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 272 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 137 | 210 | 301 | 511 | 164 | 300 | 61 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 269 | 239 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 134 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 246 | 305 | 552 | 151 | 274 | 50 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 321 | 283 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 138 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 266 | 382 | 647 | 201 | 245 | 43 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 130 | 118 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 240 | 331 | 571 | 161 | 288 | 48 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 188 | 161 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 88 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 285 | 373 | 658 | 199 | 286 | 47 | 13 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 36 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 167 | 257 | 424 | 114 | 297 | 61 | 3 | 154 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 135 | 120 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 65 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 224 | 250 | 474 | 117 | 231 | 48 | 8 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 157 | 146 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 151 | 200 | 226 | 426 | 75 | 256 | 41 | 5 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Astros | — | 157 | 142 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 284 | 324 | 608 | 106 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 273 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 227 | 209 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 243 | 344 | 588 | 163 | 270 | 40 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 227 | 200 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 350 | 515 | 865 | 250 | 328 | 28 | 11 | 377 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 297 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 141 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 291 | 370 | 661 | 158 | 354 | 42 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 332 | 281 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 105 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 382 | 488 | 869 | 214 | 384 | 32 | 13 | 384 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 449 | 409 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 272 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 137 | 210 | 301 | 511 | 164 | 308 | 61 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 449 | 393 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 29 | 47 | 198 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 318 | 494 | 811 | 270 | 351 | 44 | 10 | 354 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 269 | 239 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 134 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 246 | 305 | 552 | 151 | 281 | 50 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 269 | 228 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 37 | 93 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 358 | 500 | 858 | 254 | 333 | 35 | 14 | 377 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 321 | 283 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 138 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 266 | 382 | 647 | 201 | 256 | 43 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 321 | 273 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 34 | 112 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 332 | 484 | 816 | 256 | 284 | 35 | 11 | 355 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 130 | 118 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 240 | 331 | 571 | 161 | 294 | 48 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 130 | 114 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 318 | 456 | 774 | 228 | 328 | 38 | 10 | 340 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 188 | 161 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 88 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 285 | 373 | 658 | 199 | 299 | 47 | 13 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 188 | 145 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 419 | 559 | 978 | 303 | 333 | 31 | 21 | 421 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 171 | 155 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 87 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 206 | 239 | 445 | 110 | 246 | 51 | 7 | 197 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 171 | 146 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 318 | 390 | 708 | 185 | 304 | 36 | 12 | 319 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 83 | 70 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 293 | 243 | 536 | 71 | 273 | 33 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 83 | 70 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 293 | 243 | 536 | 71 | 273 | 33 | 12 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 39 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 154 | 135 | 289 | 27 | 211 | 46 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 39 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 154 | 135 | 289 | 27 | 211 | 46 | 5 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 157 | 147 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 150 | 200 | 224 | 424 | 75 | 245 | 41 | 5 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 227 | 208 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 243 | 346 | 590 | 163 | 265 | 40 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 296 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 141 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 291 | 372 | 663 | 159 | 350 | 42 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 449 | 408 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 272 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 137 | 210 | 301 | 512 | 164 | 300 | 61 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 269 | 238 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 134 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 246 | 307 | 553 | 151 | 274 | 50 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 321 | 285 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 138 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 266 | 379 | 645 | 200 | 245 | 43 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 130 | 118 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 240 | 331 | 571 | 161 | 288 | 48 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 188 | 161 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 88 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 285 | 373 | 658 | 199 | 286 | 47 | 13 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 171 | 154 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 87 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 206 | 240 | 446 | 110 | 245 | 51 | 7 | 197 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2366 | 2124 | 351 | 70 | 2 | 84 | 189 | 1123 | 35 | 6 | 6 | 165 | 245 | 319 | 564 | 153 | 287 | 47 | 8 | 236 | 46 | -153 | -1 | +0 | -42 | +51 | -14.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 97 | 19 | 1 | 23 | 52 | 309 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 166 | 247 | 320 | 567 | 154 | 289 | 48 | 8 | 236 | 46 | -42 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 135 PAwOBA .333 → .209 (−124)K% 32.6% → 47.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.59% | ÷0.966 | ×1.420 | — | — | 47.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 7.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.18% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 14.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 8.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.35% | ÷1.275 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 5.02% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .333 → .209; ISO .205 → .120; BABIP .297 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABirmingham Barons · 36 PAwOBA .226 → .154 (−72)K% 50.0% → 62.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 50.00% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 62.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 22.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.086 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.52% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 117, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .226 → .154; ISO .118 → .079; BABIP .333 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 188 PAwOBA .414 → .286 (−128)K% 30.9% → 46.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.85% | ÷0.938 | ×1.420 | — | — | 46.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.74% | ÷0.996 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 12.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷0.994 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 15.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.64% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 10.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.64% | ÷1.098 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 10.14% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 103, K 88, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .414 → .286; ISO .303 → .213; BABIP .333 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 130 PAwOBA .331 → .244 (−87)K% 37.7% → 47.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.69% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.54% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 19.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.963 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.77% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 8.23% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .331 → .244; ISO .228 → .158; BABIP .328 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 321 PAwOBA .346 → .277 (−69)K% 34.9% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.89% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.28% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.80% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 2.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.36% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 19.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.48% | ÷0.890 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 2.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.66% | ÷0.956 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 11.74% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .346 → .277; ISO .256 → .207; BABIP .284 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 269 PAwOBA .368 → .245 (−123)K% 34.6% → 49.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.57% | ÷0.929 | ×1.340 | — | — | 49.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.75% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 9.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.037 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 19.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.090 | ×0.820 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.85% | ÷1.147 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 9.62% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 107, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 86, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .368 → .245; ISO .254 → .161; BABIP .333 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 449 PAwOBA .346 → .224 (−122)K% 44.1% → 60.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.10% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 60.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.47% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 19.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.74% | ÷1.138 | ×0.820 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 7.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.87% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 13.64% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 95, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .346 → .224; ISO .270 → .172; BABIP .351 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ALexington Legends · 316 PAwOBA .369 → .288 (−81)K% 32.6% → 43.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.59% | ÷0.998 | ×1.340 | — | — | 43.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.71% | ÷0.996 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.90% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.45% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 24.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.70% | ÷0.939 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 8.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.48% | ÷1.002 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 7.15% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 107, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .369 → .288; ISO .216 → .167; BABIP .379 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .