Jack Murphy
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 29 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 187 | .141/.239/.184 | 0 | 0 | -9 | — | .112/.179/.141 |
| 2018 | 30 | INTLSydney Blue S… | 165 | .187/.302/.281 | 3 | 0 | 69 | — | |
| 2019 | 31 | INTLSydney Blue S… | 138 | .158/.263/.250 | 2 | 0 | 49 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 99 | 88 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 343 | 386 | 730 | 125 | 314 | 17 | 11 | 330 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 185 | 162 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 222 | 315 | 346 | 661 | 123 | 282 | 23 | 11 | 301 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 28 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 407 | 625 | 1.032 | 292 | 375 | 25 | 11 | 431 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 323 | 278 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 316 | 385 | 701 | 162 | 252 | 21 | 11 | 310 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 167 | 148 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 372 | 480 | 852 | 176 | 323 | 13 | 8 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 214 | 197 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 270 | 330 | 600 | 112 | 253 | 17 | 7 | 267 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 180 | 160 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 306 | 369 | 400 | 769 | 94 | 333 | 12 | 8 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 39 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 308 | 294 | 602 | 88 | 259 | 18 | 13 | 281 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 146 | 129 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 310 | 395 | 706 | 171 | 247 | 21 | 10 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 172 | 153 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 418 | 542 | 960 | 190 | 378 | 13 | 10 | 418 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 328 | 286 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 312 | 315 | 626 | 94 | 263 | 18 | 11 | 286 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 182 | 149 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 215 | 339 | 396 | 735 | 181 | 223 | 19 | 15 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 250 | 208 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 361 | 327 | 688 | 77 | 322 | 22 | 14 | 313 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 21 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 421 | 754 | 158 | 308 | 24 | 10 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 160 | 139 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 137 | 236 | 187 | 423 | 50 | 184 | 24 | 11 | 203 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 27 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 259 | 167 | 426 | 222 | 22 | 11 | 212 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 30 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 165 | 139 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 302 | 281 | 583 | 94 | 211 | 18 | 13 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 138 | 120 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 263 | 250 | 513 | 92 | 191 | 22 | 12 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 99 | 93 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 232 | 269 | 501 | 86 | 237 | 24 | 6 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 185 | 169 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 172 | 239 | 254 | 494 | 83 | 243 | 33 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 28 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 370 | 600 | 970 | 280 | 354 | 29 | 7 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 323 | 289 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 253 | 322 | 575 | 138 | 218 | 29 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 214 | 201 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 232 | 279 | 511 | 85 | 237 | 22 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 39 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 256 | 278 | 534 | 83 | 240 | 23 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 146 | 134 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 255 | 313 | 569 | 119 | 227 | 26 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 328 | 298 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 253 | 258 | 511 | 70 | 232 | 23 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 250 | 220 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 287 | 264 | 551 | 55 | 289 | 29 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 160 | 145 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 110 | 178 | 145 | 323 | 34 | 157 | 31 | 7 | 154 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 27 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 185 | 120 | 305 | 195 | 30 | 7 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 99 | 93 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 232 | 269 | 501 | 86 | 235 | 24 | 6 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 99 | 88 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 343 | 386 | 730 | 125 | 314 | 17 | 11 | 330 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 185 | 169 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 172 | 239 | 254 | 494 | 83 | 252 | 33 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 185 | 162 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 222 | 315 | 346 | 661 | 123 | 282 | 23 | 11 | 301 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 518 | 463 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 152 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 258 | 326 | 585 | 138 | 236 | 29 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 518 | 450 | 115 | 25 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 96 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 339 | 429 | 768 | 173 | 283 | 19 | 10 | 336 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 367 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 86 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 240 | 289 | 529 | 90 | 245 | 22 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 394 | 357 | 92 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 315 | 361 | 677 | 104 | 291 | 15 | 7 | 301 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 357 | 328 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 249 | 299 | 547 | 110 | 233 | 25 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 357 | 316 | 90 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 37 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 285 | 362 | 456 | 817 | 171 | 316 | 17 | 10 | 361 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 461 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 115 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 187 | 251 | 252 | 503 | 65 | 237 | 23 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 510 | 435 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 64 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 321 | 343 | 664 | 124 | 250 | 18 | 13 | 300 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 239 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 287 | 272 | 559 | 63 | 296 | 29 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 271 | 227 | 57 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 358 | 335 | 693 | 84 | 321 | 22 | 14 | 315 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 187 | 170 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 112 | 179 | 141 | 321 | 29 | 165 | 30 | 7 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 187 | 163 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 141 | 239 | 184 | 423 | 43 | 190 | 24 | 11 | 204 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | INTL MLE | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 165 | 139 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 302 | 281 | 583 | 94 | 211 | 18 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | INTL RAW | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 165 | 139 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 302 | 281 | 583 | 94 | 211 | 18 | 13 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL MLE | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 138 | 120 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 263 | 250 | 513 | 92 | 191 | 22 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL RAW | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 138 | 120 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 263 | 250 | 513 | 92 | 191 | 22 | 12 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 99 | 93 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 232 | 269 | 501 | 86 | 237 | 24 | 6 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 185 | 168 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 173 | 239 | 256 | 495 | 83 | 243 | 33 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 518 | 469 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 152 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 258 | 322 | 580 | 136 | 229 | 29 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 371 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 86 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 240 | 286 | 526 | 89 | 237 | 22 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 357 | 328 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 249 | 299 | 547 | 110 | 230 | 25 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 465 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 115 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 185 | 251 | 249 | 501 | 65 | 232 | 23 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 243 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 287 | 267 | 554 | 62 | 289 | 29 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 187 | 171 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 179 | 140 | 320 | 29 | 162 | 30 | 7 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2824 | 2549 | 468 | 96 | 5 | 41 | 218 | 723 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 184 | 251 | 273 | 525 | 90 | 235 | 26 | 8 | 207 | 26 | -247 | -2 | +0 | +50 | +61 | -14.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 107 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 50 | 166 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 250 | 269 | 519 | 87 | 234 | 26 | 8 | 207 | 26 | -57 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 160 PAwOBA .198 → .154 (−44)K% 23.8% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.88% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×0.997 | ×0.982 | 10.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×0.982 | 5.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.997 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .198 → .154; ISO .050 → .038; BABIP .184 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATulsa Drillers · 27 PAwOBA .207 → .159 (−48)K% 22.2% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.058 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 7.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 19.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.295 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 91, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .207 → .159; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .222 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 250 PAwOBA .309 → .252 (−57)K% 22.0% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.00% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.40% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 9.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.45% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×1.034 | ×0.992 | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.58% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×0.992 | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.60% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .309 → .252; ISO .077 → .064; BABIP .322 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 328 PAwOBA .282 → .227 (−55)K% 17.7% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.68% | ÷0.960 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.28% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.30% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 17.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.14% | ÷1.064 | ×0.860 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.130 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.89% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .282 → .227; ISO .094 → .070; BABIP .263 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 146 PAwOBA .307 → .246 (−60)K% 20.5% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.27% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.19% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 18.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.04% | ÷0.952 | ×0.860 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.950 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.38% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .307 → .246; ISO .171 → .127; BABIP .247 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 39 PAwOBA .274 → .228 (−46)K% 17.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.95% | ÷0.942 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.81% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 14.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 9.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .228; ISO .088 → .075; BABIP .259 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 214 PAwOBA .261 → .225 (−36)K% 17.3% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.29% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.54% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.50% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 17.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.068 | ×0.950 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.88% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 114, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .261 → .225; ISO .112 → .090; BABIP .253 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 323 PAwOBA .304 → .248 (−56)K% 20.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.74% | ÷1.001 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.22% | ÷1.020 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 7.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.01% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 15.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.111 | ×0.960 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷0.944 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 4.37% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 103, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .304 → .248; ISO .162 → .138; BABIP .252 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .