Kent Matthes
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 470 | .281/.335/.503 | 20 | 17 | 70 | — | .220/.264/.386 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 430 | .233/.294/.425 | 16 | 7 | 47 | — | .180/.226/.321 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAAMIL | 239 | .233/.298/.358 | 2 | 4 | 44 | — | .195/.243/.294 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 92 | 81 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 148 | 280 | 35 | 5 | 267 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 400 | 371 | 124 | 39 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 80 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 334 | 379 | 642 | 1.021 | 307 | 375 | 20 | 6 | 438 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 368 | 336 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 80 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 214 | 275 | 432 | 706 | 217 | 228 | 22 | 6 | 307 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 97 | 85 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 330 | 471 | 800 | 235 | 246 | 20 | 11 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 188 | 175 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 297 | 335 | 531 | 867 | 234 | 328 | 21 | 5 | 372 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 282 | 256 | 69 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 66 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 270 | 335 | 484 | 819 | 215 | 331 | 23 | 7 | 359 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 111 | 101 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 279 | 287 | 566 | 79 | 290 | 28 | 8 | 262 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 319 | 294 | 71 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 21 | 84 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 241 | 299 | 473 | 772 | 231 | 286 | 26 | 7 | 337 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 239 | 215 | 50 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 358 | 656 | 126 | 279 | 18 | 7 | 291 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 92 | 83 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 189 | 229 | 418 | 108 | 219 | 49 | 3 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 400 | 379 | 103 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 110 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 272 | 307 | 549 | 855 | 277 | 314 | 28 | 4 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 368 | 344 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 104 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 174 | 220 | 349 | 569 | 174 | 197 | 28 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 188 | 178 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 55 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 230 | 259 | 404 | 664 | 174 | 269 | 29 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 282 | 262 | 56 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 214 | 267 | 374 | 641 | 160 | 280 | 29 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 111 | 103 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 165 | 225 | 233 | 458 | 68 | 262 | 36 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 319 | 302 | 56 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 107 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 185 | 226 | 351 | 577 | 166 | 240 | 34 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 239 | 221 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 195 | 243 | 294 | 537 | 100 | 237 | 23 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 92 | 83 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 189 | 229 | 418 | 108 | 231 | 49 | 3 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 92 | 81 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 148 | 280 | 35 | 5 | 267 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 400 | 379 | 103 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 110 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 272 | 307 | 549 | 855 | 277 | 321 | 28 | 4 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 400 | 371 | 124 | 39 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 80 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 334 | 379 | 642 | 1.021 | 307 | 375 | 20 | 6 | 438 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 436 | 76 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 132 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 174 | 219 | 349 | 568 | 174 | 201 | 28 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 465 | 421 | 92 | 23 | 2 | 22 | 33 | 99 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 219 | 286 | 439 | 726 | 221 | 232 | 21 | 7 | 317 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 439 | 94 | 25 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 136 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 214 | 260 | 369 | 629 | 155 | 278 | 29 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 470 | 431 | 121 | 30 | 3 | 20 | 30 | 106 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 281 | 335 | 503 | 838 | 223 | 330 | 23 | 6 | 364 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 405 | 73 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 147 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 180 | 226 | 321 | 547 | 141 | 247 | 34 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 430 | 395 | 92 | 26 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 115 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 233 | 294 | 425 | 719 | 192 | 287 | 27 | 7 | 317 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 239 | 221 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 195 | 243 | 294 | 537 | 100 | 246 | 23 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 239 | 215 | 50 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 358 | 656 | 126 | 279 | 18 | 7 | 291 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 92 | 85 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 189 | 224 | 412 | 106 | 219 | 49 | 3 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 400 | 378 | 103 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 110 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 272 | 307 | 550 | 857 | 278 | 314 | 28 | 4 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 437 | 76 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 132 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 174 | 219 | 348 | 567 | 174 | 197 | 28 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 440 | 94 | 25 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 136 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 214 | 260 | 368 | 628 | 155 | 276 | 29 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 403 | 73 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 147 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 181 | 226 | 323 | 549 | 141 | 246 | 34 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 239 | 223 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 193 | 243 | 291 | 534 | 99 | 237 | 23 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2096 | 1963 | 399 | 109 | 9 | 70 | 88 | 625 | 28 | 43 | 11 | 203 | 248 | 375 | 623 | 172 | 257 | 30 | 4 | 265 | 66 | -85 | +4 | +0 | -22 | +45 | -5.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 609 | 124 | 34 | 3 | 22 | 27 | 194 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 204 | 248 | 378 | 626 | 174 | 258 | 30 | 4 | 265 | 66 | -26 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAANashville Sounds · 239 PAwOBA .285 → .233 (−52)K% 18.4% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.41% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.37% | ÷0.953 | ×0.900 | ×0.983 | ×0.992 | 15.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.063 | ×0.810 | ×0.983 | ×0.992 | 8.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.952 | ×0.810 | ×0.983 | ×0.992 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.17% | ÷0.843 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 91, 2B 113, 3B 90, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .285 → .233; ISO .126 → .099; BABIP .279 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMidland RockHounds · 319 PAwOBA .327 → .249 (−78)K% 26.3% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.33% | ÷0.957 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.27% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.19% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.978 | 14.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.840 | ×0.983 | ×0.978 | 7.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.012 | ×0.940 | ×0.983 | ×0.978 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.961 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 5.82% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 91, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .327 → .249; ISO .231 → .174; BABIP .286 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASacramento River Cats · 111 PAwOBA .256 → .203 (−53)K% 27.9% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.93% | ÷0.998 | ×1.290 | — | — | 36.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.975 | ×0.900 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 19.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.072 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.02% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 114, K 100, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .256 → .203; ISO .079 → .058; BABIP .290 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AATulsa Drillers · 282 PAwOBA .349 → .270 (−79)K% 23.4% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.40% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.09% | ÷0.967 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.89% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 15.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.63% | ÷0.911 | ×0.840 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 11.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷1.239 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.02% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 110, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .349 → .270; ISO .215 → .156; BABIP .331 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 188 PAwOBA .363 → .274 (−89)K% 21.3% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.28% | ÷0.941 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.19% | ÷1.031 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 21.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.967 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.071 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.15% | ÷1.022 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 6.33% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 88, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .363 → .274; ISO .234 → .170; BABIP .328 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AATulsa Drillers · 368 PAwOBA .298 → .242 (−56)K% 21.7% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷0.939 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.43% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.67% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 12.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.03% | ÷1.018 | ×0.840 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.953 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.64% | ÷0.929 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.71% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 91, K 88, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .298 → .242; ISO .217 → .178; BABIP .228 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Modesto Nuts · 400 PAwOBA .426 → .356 (−69)K% 20.0% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.25% | ÷1.063 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.27% | ÷1.033 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.40% | ÷1.020 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 10.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.90% | ÷0.800 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 8.98% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .426 → .356; ISO .307 → .285; BABIP .375 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAsheville Tourists · 92 PAwOBA .266 → .175 (−90)K% 34.8% → 48.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.78% | ÷0.959 | ×1.340 | — | — | 48.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.43% | ÷1.179 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 3.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.24% | ÷1.044 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 10.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.054 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 10.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 2.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.089 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 92, BB 136 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .266 → .175; ISO .148 → .097; BABIP .280 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .