Aaron Loup
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 38
LHP
5'11" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98107vR 117
ERA4.41
FIP4.38
K%21.5%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p1820.8%
K%
p3219.5%
xwOBA vs
p420.321
SL-0.5
CT-3.5
FB-5.0
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 48 | 216 | 51 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 0.7 | 24.7% | 3.8% | 21.0% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 3.26 | +0.7 |
| 2015 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 48 | 216 | 51 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 0.7 | 23.6% | 5.1% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 3.29 | +0.7 |
| 2016 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 36 | 156 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 26.5% | 5.0% | 21.5% | 1.4% | 4.00 | 2.26 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 36 | 156 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 27.6% | 7.1% | 20.5% | 1.3% | 4.00 | 2.35 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 70 | 0 | 58 | 265 | 64 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 24.2% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 1.5% | 3.75 | 3.04 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 70 | 0 | 58 | 265 | 64 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 24.2% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 1.5% | 3.75 | 3.03 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 59 | 0 | 40 | 183 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 0.7 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 2.1% | 4.54 | 3.20 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 59 | 0 | 40 | 183 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 0.7 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 2.2% | 4.54 | 3.25 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 35.7% | 7.1% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.99 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 35.7% | 7.1% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.00 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 0 | 25 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 4.2% | 18.8% | 3.3% | 2.52 | 3.51 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 0 | 25 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 4.2% | 18.8% | 3.1% | 2.52 | 3.38 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | New York Mets | 65 | 2 | 57 | 218 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 3% | 0.9 | 26.1% | 7.3% | 18.8% | 0.5% | 0.95 | 2.07 | +1.6 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | New York Mets | 65 | 2 | 57 | 218 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 3% | 0.9 | 26.1% | 7.3% | 18.8% | 0.5% | 0.95 | 2.16 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 65 | 0 | 59 | 260 | 52 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.0% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 1.6% | 3.84 | 3.21 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 65 | 0 | 59 | 260 | 52 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.0% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 1.5% | 3.84 | 3.19 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 35 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 55 | 0 | 49 | 231 | 45 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.5% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 6.10 | 3.81 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 35 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 55 | 0 | 49 | 231 | 45 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.5% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 6.10 | 3.84 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | LAA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 5.00 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 34 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 5.00 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 487 | 2 | 413 | 1797 | 406 | 132 | 40 | 0% | 0.8 | 22.6% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 2.2% | 3.91 | 3.35 | +9.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 236 | 1 | 200 | 870 | 197 | 64 | 19 | 0% | 0.8 | 22.6% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 2.2% | 3.91 | 3.35 | +4.8 | ||
| Career | — | 451 | 2 | 374 | 1639 | 384 | 110 | 32 | 0% | 0.8 | 23.4% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 1.9% | 3.73 | 3.03 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 241 | 1 | 200 | 876 | 205 | 59 | 17 | 0% | 0.8 | 23.4% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 1.9% | 3.73 | 3.03 | +5.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aaron Loup (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.01 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 84 | +0.63 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 405 | 88 |
| Neal Cotts L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.24 | 25.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 156 | 83 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 70 |
| Craig Breslow L 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.02 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 159 | 63 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 41 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.61 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .211 | 4.77 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 28 | +1.16 | 3.10 | 174 | 40 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 39 |
| Ryan Madson R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 240 | 39 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 225 | 37 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 37 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.38 | 18.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 720 | 36 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.59 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 174 | 36 |
| Joe Blanton R 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.94 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 240 | 35 |
| Zack Segovia R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 35 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2024 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 34 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2025 · 5.30 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.30 | 18.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.81 | 226 | 33 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2024 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 33 |
| Hector Navarro R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.41 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 32 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.88 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 31 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.08 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 0.9% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 219 | 31 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 45 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 1.29 | 4.66 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |