Tommy Joseph
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 27 | AAA/AATEX | 388 | .284/.355/.533 | 21 | 0 | 92 | — | .229/.287/.415 |
| 2019 | 28 | AABOS | 55 | .260/.315/.320 | 0 | 0 | 40 | — | .216/.259/.255 |
| 2020 | 29 | INTLLeones del Es… | 19 | .053/.053/.053 | 0 | 0 | -82 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 473 | 436 | 103 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 116 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 291 | 401 | 693 | 165 | 283 | 25 | 5 | 307 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 560 | 514 | 139 | 33 | 2 | 22 | 29 | 102 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 321 | 471 | 791 | 200 | 295 | 18 | 5 | 344 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA | Reading Phillies | — | 449 | 404 | 104 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 96 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 257 | 321 | 399 | 720 | 141 | 307 | 21 | 8 | 318 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 55 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 291 | 224 | 515 | 20 | 244 | 15 | 11 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 72 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 264 | 358 | 622 | 149 | 224 | 21 | 6 | 279 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 42 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 95 | 143 | 238 | 48 | 138 | 31 | 0 | 104 | -60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 27 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 192 | 222 | 269 | 491 | 77 | 312 | 37 | 0 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 87 | 78 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 349 | 551 | 900 | 269 | 279 | 15 | 6 | 387 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 23 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 348 | 300 | 648 | 50 | 333 | 22 | 4 | 307 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 175 | 166 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 221 | 301 | 522 | 108 | 221 | 19 | 2 | 230 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 41 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 485 | 585 | 848 | 1.434 | 364 | 433 | 0 | 17 | 604 | 193 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 347 | 315 | 81 | 15 | 0 | 21 | 22 | 75 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 257 | 314 | 505 | 819 | 248 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 352 | 119 | +8 | -0 | -8 | -8 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 100 | 95 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 347 | 374 | 611 | 984 | 263 | 346 | 12 | 4 | 424 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 200 | 427 | 50 | 200 | 23 | 5 | 206 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 533 | 495 | 119 | 27 | 1 | 22 | 33 | 129 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 291 | 432 | 723 | 192 | 280 | 24 | 6 | 317 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -8 | -10 | +12 | -0.8 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 357 | 317 | 90 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 28 | 77 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 357 | 549 | 906 | 265 | 309 | 22 | 8 | 391 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 31 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 357 | 690 | 71 | 333 | 16 | 6 | 303 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 50 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 315 | 320 | 635 | 60 | 382 | 31 | 4 | 287 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 105 | 91 | 42 | 0 | 48 | -82 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 880 | 810 | 200 | 42 | 1 | 43 | 55 | 204 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 300 | 460 | 760 | 214 | 274 | 23 | 6 | 331 | 110 | +10 | +0 | -15 | -18 | +19 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 473 | 446 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 16 | 144 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 243 | 348 | 590 | 146 | 254 | 30 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 560 | 520 | 124 | 28 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 139 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 283 | 421 | 704 | 183 | 273 | 25 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 449 | 412 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 122 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 233 | 285 | 330 | 615 | 97 | 300 | 27 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 72 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 250 | 353 | 603 | 147 | 223 | 25 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 42 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 95 | 143 | 238 | 48 | 133 | 45 | 0 | 79 | -60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 87 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 302 | 438 | 740 | 188 | 275 | 18 | 3 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 23 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 304 | 250 | 554 | 50 | 257 | 30 | 4 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 175 | 167 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 198 | 263 | 461 | 90 | 201 | 22 | 1 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 41 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 361 | 439 | 583 | 1.022 | 222 | 322 | 0 | 10 | 454 | 193 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 347 | 315 | 80 | 15 | 0 | 20 | 22 | 75 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 254 | 311 | 492 | 803 | 238 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 344 | 119 | +8 | -0 | -8 | -8 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 100 | 96 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 343 | 573 | 916 | 250 | 320 | 14 | 3 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 533 | 496 | 119 | 28 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 129 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 289 | 427 | 716 | 188 | 280 | 24 | 6 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -8 | -10 | +12 | -0.8 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 357 | 325 | 74 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 20 | 94 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 289 | 425 | 714 | 197 | 258 | 26 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 31 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 267 | 310 | 577 | 69 | 297 | 23 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 259 | 255 | 514 | 39 | 335 | 38 | 2 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 473 | 446 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 16 | 144 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 243 | 348 | 590 | 146 | 259 | 30 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 473 | 436 | 103 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 116 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 291 | 401 | 693 | 165 | 283 | 25 | 5 | 307 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 560 | 520 | 124 | 28 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 139 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 283 | 421 | 704 | 183 | 281 | 25 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 560 | 514 | 139 | 33 | 2 | 22 | 29 | 102 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 321 | 471 | 791 | 200 | 295 | 18 | 5 | 344 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 504 | 463 | 108 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 137 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 233 | 286 | 330 | 616 | 97 | 309 | 27 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 504 | 453 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 104 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 252 | 318 | 380 | 698 | 128 | 299 | 21 | 8 | 310 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 141 | 135 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 156 | 191 | 267 | 458 | 111 | 200 | 33 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 141 | 135 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 206 | 274 | 480 | 104 | 213 | 27 | 3 | 216 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 110 | 100 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 294 | 380 | 674 | 150 | 267 | 21 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 110 | 98 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 349 | 500 | 849 | 224 | 289 | 16 | 5 | 371 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 203 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 244 | 335 | 579 | 128 | 226 | 18 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 216 | 199 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 291 | 392 | 683 | 151 | 261 | 15 | 5 | 301 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 469 | 431 | 115 | 22 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 93 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 267 | 316 | 499 | 815 | 232 | 279 | 20 | 6 | 351 | 124 | +13 | -1 | -8 | -8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 469 | 430 | 117 | 23 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 92 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 272 | 323 | 514 | 836 | 242 | 283 | 20 | 6 | 360 | 124 | +13 | -1 | -8 | -8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 533 | 496 | 119 | 28 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 129 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 289 | 427 | 716 | 188 | 281 | 24 | 6 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -8 | -10 | +12 | -0.8 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 533 | 495 | 119 | 27 | 1 | 22 | 33 | 129 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 291 | 432 | 723 | 192 | 280 | 24 | 6 | 317 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -8 | -10 | +12 | -0.8 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 354 | 80 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 21 | 101 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 285 | 410 | 694 | 184 | 264 | 26 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 388 | 345 | 98 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 30 | 82 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 355 | 533 | 888 | 249 | 312 | 21 | 8 | 384 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 259 | 255 | 514 | 39 | 355 | 38 | 2 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 50 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 315 | 320 | 635 | 60 | 382 | 31 | 4 | 287 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 105 | 91 | 42 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 105 | 91 | 42 | 0 | 48 | -82 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 473 | 446 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 16 | 144 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 243 | 348 | 590 | 146 | 254 | 30 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 560 | 523 | 124 | 28 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 139 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 283 | 419 | 701 | 182 | 273 | 25 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 504 | 465 | 108 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 137 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 232 | 286 | 329 | 615 | 97 | 300 | 27 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 141 | 134 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 157 | 191 | 269 | 460 | 112 | 190 | 33 | 3 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 110 | 100 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 294 | 380 | 674 | 150 | 271 | 21 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 204 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 244 | 333 | 577 | 127 | 224 | 18 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 469 | 435 | 115 | 22 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 93 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 264 | 316 | 494 | 810 | 230 | 279 | 20 | 6 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 533 | 494 | 119 | 28 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 129 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 289 | 429 | 718 | 188 | 280 | 24 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 356 | 80 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 21 | 101 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 285 | 407 | 692 | 183 | 261 | 26 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 55 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 259 | 250 | 509 | 38 | 335 | 38 | 2 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 880 | 810 | 200 | 42 | 1 | 43 | 55 | 204 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 300 | 460 | 760 | 214 | 274 | 23 | 6 | 331 | 80 | +10 | +0 | -15 | -18 | +19 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 148 | 31 | 1 | 32 | 41 | 151 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 300 | 463 | 763 | 216 | 275 | 23 | 6 | 331 | 80 | +8 | +0 | -11 | -13 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3468 | 3218 | 734 | 151 | 5 | 120 | 163 | 880 | 49 | 4 | 8 | 228 | 276 | 390 | 666 | 162 | 273 | 25 | 5 | 287 | 80 | +10 | +0 | -15 | -18 | +19 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 137 | 28 | 1 | 22 | 31 | 165 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 275 | 386 | 662 | 159 | 273 | 25 | 5 | 287 | 80 | +8 | +0 | -11 | -13 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 55 PAwOBA .284 → .228 (−57)K% 30.9% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.91% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.64% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 2.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.64% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.968 | 28.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.158 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 132, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .284 → .228; ISO .060 → .041; BABIP .382 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAARound Rock Express · 357 PAwOBA .383 → .308 (−75)K% 21.6% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.57% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.56% | ÷0.978 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 2.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 17.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.75% | ÷1.019 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.75% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 7.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 92, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 111, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .383 → .308; ISO .265 → .205; BABIP .309 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 31 PAwOBA .305 → .260 (−45)K% 16.1% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.922 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷1.021 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 23.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 7.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .305 → .260; ISO .071 → .059; BABIP .333 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 100 PAwOBA .415 → .377 (−38)K% 12.0% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.10% | ÷1.028 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 22.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.107 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.23% | ÷0.942 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 6.66% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 104, 3B 121, K 104, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .415 → .377; ISO .263 → .238; BABIP .346 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 175 PAwOBA .224 → .200 (−25)K% 18.9% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.86% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.71% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 1.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.04% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×1.048 | 15.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.77% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.048 | 4.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.26% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 2.35% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .224 → .200; ISO .108 → .092; BABIP .221 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKGCL Phillies · 41 PAwOBA .588 → .454 (−133)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 10.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 6.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .588 → .454; ISO .364 → .291; BABIP .433 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAReading Fightin Phils · 87 PAwOBA .381 → .320 (−61)K% 14.9% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.94% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.75% | ÷1.064 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 3.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.46% | ÷0.974 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 19.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.984 | ×0.860 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.923 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 1.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.317 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.68% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 85, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .381 → .320; ISO .269 → .191; BABIP .279 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Phillies · 23 PAwOBA .300 → .208 (−92)K% 21.7% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 2.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.70% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 6.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 21.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .300 → .208; ISO .050 → .032; BABIP .333 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .