Slade Heathcott
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/ROKCWS | 247 | .254/.365/.380 | 4 | 4 | 75 | — | .218/.299/.315 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/AASF | 478 | .267/.351/.435 | 14 | 11 | 78 | — | .228/.294/.365 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAAMIL | 120 | .266/.333/.376 | 1 | 4 | 49 | — | .205/.258/.295 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 351 | 298 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 101 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 258 | 361 | 352 | 714 | 94 | 381 | 29 | 12 | 325 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 237 | 210 | 57 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 57 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 271 | 343 | 419 | 762 | 148 | 353 | 24 | 8 | 335 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 243 | 215 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 66 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 307 | 379 | 470 | 849 | 163 | 421 | 27 | 8 | 373 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees | — | 22 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 409 | 353 | 762 | 118 | 308 | 18 | 23 | 358 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 83 | 67 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 388 | 494 | 612 | 1.106 | 224 | 481 | 17 | 14 | 469 | 204 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 399 | 104 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 107 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 261 | 328 | 411 | 739 | 150 | 336 | 24 | 8 | 326 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 37 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 243 | 242 | 486 | 61 | 300 | 35 | 8 | 224 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 30 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 400 | 414 | 720 | 1.134 | 320 | 421 | 17 | 7 | 452 | 187 | +3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 271 | 251 | 67 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 61 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 267 | 316 | 343 | 659 | 76 | 344 | 23 | 7 | 296 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 216 | 180 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 61 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 244 | 352 | 339 | 691 | 94 | 347 | 28 | 12 | 312 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 31 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 320 | 452 | 680 | 1.132 | 360 | 400 | 26 | 13 | 484 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 84 | 69 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 290 | 402 | 435 | 837 | 145 | 400 | 26 | 13 | 370 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 394 | 347 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 88 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 262 | 340 | 435 | 775 | 173 | 319 | 22 | 9 | 341 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 120 | 109 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 266 | 333 | 376 | 709 | 110 | 394 | 31 | 8 | 321 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 30 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 400 | 414 | 720 | 1.134 | 320 | 421 | 17 | 7 | 452 | 192 | +3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 351 | 311 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 129 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 215 | 295 | 289 | 584 | 74 | 345 | 37 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 237 | 218 | 50 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 77 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 229 | 279 | 339 | 618 | 110 | 330 | 32 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 243 | 222 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 95 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 239 | 296 | 369 | 665 | 131 | 377 | 39 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 22 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 158 | 273 | 211 | 483 | 53 | 231 | 27 | 14 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 411 | 95 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 130 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 231 | 280 | 343 | 623 | 112 | 317 | 29 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 216 | 229 | 445 | 57 | 286 | 43 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 30 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 370 | 414 | 667 | 1.080 | 296 | 421 | 17 | 7 | 444 | 187 | +3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 271 | 258 | 65 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 74 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 252 | 283 | 326 | 608 | 74 | 336 | 27 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 216 | 189 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 70 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 300 | 307 | 607 | 85 | 317 | 32 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 31 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 290 | 370 | 661 | 185 | 280 | 39 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 84 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 341 | 389 | 730 | 139 | 348 | 35 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 394 | 358 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 113 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 223 | 284 | 360 | 644 | 137 | 290 | 29 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 120 | 112 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 205 | 258 | 295 | 553 | 89 | 333 | 38 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 351 | 311 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 129 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 215 | 295 | 289 | 584 | 74 | 357 | 37 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 351 | 298 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 101 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 258 | 361 | 352 | 714 | 94 | 381 | 29 | 12 | 325 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 237 | 218 | 50 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 77 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 229 | 279 | 339 | 618 | 110 | 338 | 32 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 237 | 210 | 57 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 57 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 271 | 343 | 419 | 762 | 148 | 353 | 24 | 8 | 335 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 348 | 315 | 71 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 133 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 225 | 289 | 343 | 631 | 117 | 371 | 38 | 6 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 348 | 299 | 96 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 84 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 321 | 408 | 495 | 903 | 174 | 429 | 24 | 11 | 395 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 411 | 95 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 130 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 231 | 280 | 343 | 623 | 112 | 321 | 29 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 399 | 104 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 107 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 261 | 328 | 411 | 739 | 150 | 336 | 24 | 8 | 326 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 216 | 229 | 445 | 57 | 316 | 43 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 37 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 243 | 242 | 486 | 61 | 300 | 35 | 8 | 224 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 285 | 75 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 79 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 263 | 295 | 358 | 653 | 95 | 348 | 26 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 301 | 276 | 77 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 66 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 279 | 326 | 377 | 702 | 98 | 351 | 22 | 7 | 312 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 216 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 81 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 218 | 299 | 315 | 614 | 97 | 324 | 33 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 247 | 205 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 69 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 254 | 365 | 380 | 746 | 127 | 353 | 28 | 13 | 333 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 430 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 142 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 228 | 294 | 365 | 659 | 137 | 310 | 30 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 478 | 416 | 111 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 110 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 267 | 351 | 435 | 786 | 168 | 331 | 23 | 10 | 346 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 120 | 112 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 205 | 258 | 295 | 553 | 89 | 333 | 38 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 120 | 109 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 266 | 333 | 376 | 709 | 110 | 394 | 31 | 8 | 321 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 351 | 313 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 129 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 214 | 295 | 288 | 582 | 73 | 345 | 37 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 237 | 220 | 50 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 77 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 227 | 279 | 336 | 615 | 109 | 330 | 32 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 348 | 317 | 71 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 133 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 224 | 289 | 341 | 629 | 117 | 365 | 38 | 6 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 413 | 95 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 130 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 230 | 280 | 341 | 622 | 111 | 317 | 29 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 216 | 229 | 445 | 57 | 286 | 43 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 285 | 75 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 79 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 263 | 295 | 358 | 653 | 95 | 344 | 26 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 220 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 81 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 299 | 309 | 608 | 95 | 312 | 33 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 435 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 142 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 225 | 294 | 361 | 655 | 136 | 300 | 30 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 120 | 111 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 207 | 258 | 297 | 556 | 90 | 333 | 38 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 30 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 400 | 414 | 720 | 1.134 | 320 | 421 | 17 | 7 | 452 | 70 | +3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 542 | 216 | 43 | 0 | 43 | 43 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 399 | 412 | 716 | 1.128 | 317 | 419 | 17 | 7 | 452 | 70 | +71 | -9 | +6 | +23 | +14 | 10.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2563 | 2333 | 532 | 99 | 21 | 36 | 161 | 832 | 33 | 85 | 48 | 228 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 107 | 336 | 32 | 6 | 272 | 70 | +3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 134 | 25 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 211 | 8 | 22 | 12 | 226 | 285 | 331 | 617 | 105 | 333 | 32 | 6 | 272 | 70 | +71 | -9 | +6 | +23 | +14 | 10.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAANashville Sounds · 120 PAwOBA .313 → .241 (−72)K% 30.8% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.83% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.966 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷0.986 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 22.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.937 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 10.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.988 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.09% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 111, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .313 → .241; ISO .110 → .082; BABIP .394 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 394 PAwOBA .332 → .280 (−53)K% 22.3% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.34% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.39% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.01% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 21.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.72% | ÷1.096 | ×0.860 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.63% | ÷0.848 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 4.17% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .332 → .280; ISO .173 → .146; BABIP .319 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASacramento River Cats · 84 PAwOBA .361 → .297 (−64)K% 26.2% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.19% | ÷0.989 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷0.952 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 9.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.91% | ÷1.027 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 28.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 3.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.920 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 1.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.889 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .361 → .297; ISO .145 → .121; BABIP .400 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 216 PAwOBA .306 → .275 (−31)K% 28.2% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.24% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.57% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.73% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×1.018 | 25.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.018 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.68% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.018 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.68% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .306 → .275; ISO .094 → .092; BABIP .347 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKACL White Sox · 31 PAwOBA .471 → .308 (−162)K% 25.8% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 37.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 7.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 4.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 13.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 11.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 8.63% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .471 → .308; ISO .360 → .239; BABIP .400 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 271 PAwOBA .290 → .261 (−28)K% 22.5% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.51% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.64% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.95% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 28.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.68% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 3.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.878 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.04% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .290 → .261; ISO .076 → .071; BABIP .344 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATrenton Thunder · 37 PAwOBA .218 → .186 (−33)K% 35.1% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.14% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 8.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .218 → .186; ISO .061 → .051; BABIP .300 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AATrenton Thunder · 444 PAwOBA .318 → .274 (−45)K% 24.1% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.10% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.88% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.95% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 23.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.204 | ×0.860 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.40% | ÷1.140 | ×0.950 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 2.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷0.979 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 141, 3B 128, K 101, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .318 → .274; ISO .150 → .119; BABIP .336 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).