Jeremy Hazelbaker

PosLF

B/TL/R

Born1987-08-14

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	29	AAAARI	211	.279/.344/.495	6	11	56	—	.198/.244/.335
2017	29	MLBARI	61	.346/.443/.577	2	1	161	0.7
2018	30	AAAWSH	356	.204/.298/.385	11	14	42	—	.156/.225/.297
2019	31	INTLAdelaide Gian…	54	.171/.346/.220	0	3	73	—
2020	32	No MLB games played
2021	33	No MLB games played
2022	34	No MLB games played
2023	35	No MLB games played
2024	36	No MLB games played
2025	37	No MLB games played
2026	38	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2016-2017

Speed81

Barrel%47

xwOBA35

Avg EV33

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	21	A	Greenville Drive	—	176	150	25	5	1	1	23	58	1	11	2	167	282	233	515	67	261	33	13	245	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A	Greenville Drive	—	508	442	118	29	9	12	59	135	6	63	17	267	361	455	816	188	358	27	12	362	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	405	354	94	18	3	12	42	105	4	35	8	266	350	435	785	169	346	26	10	347	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	144	122	34	9	0	5	20	34	2	12	6	279	389	475	864	197	349	24	14	385	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	32	30	8	3	0	0	0	8	1	3	0	267	290	367	657	100	348	25	0	285	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	488	436	119	21	6	19	35	114	9	33	11	273	340	479	819	206	328	23	7	355	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	27	23	6	1	0	2	2	5	1	3	1	261	346	565	911	304	250	19	7	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	480	428	110	13	2	11	36	131	1	37	7	257	316	374	690	117	340	27	8	301	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	37	34	5	1	0	2	2	4	0	1	0	147	194	353	547	206	103	11	5	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	92	90	20	3	2	4	2	27	0	6	2	222	239	433	672	211	271	29	2	291	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	307	271	68	9	8	4	30	70	0	15	7	251	326	387	713	137	325	23	10	314	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	233	207	69	10	7	10	23	60	2	8	2	333	405	594	999	261	428	26	10	431	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	226	196	57	15	5	3	21	44	3	16	0	291	368	464	832	173	360	19	9	359	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	178	162	52	11	5	3	15	35	1	11	1	321	382	506	888	185	395	20	8	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	224	200	47	7	3	12	18	64	0	5	2	235	298	480	778	245	278	29	8	330	111	+3	+0	-0	-3	+5	0.5
2016	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	50	40	13	3	0	1	6	12	2	2	1	325	438	475	912	150	444	24	12	395	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	61	52	18	2	2	2	9	20	0	1	0	346	443	577	1.020	231	533	33	15	444	161	+4	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.7
2017	29	AAA	Reno Aces	—	211	190	53	13	5	6	19	57	0	11	0	279	344	495	839	216	364	27	9	364	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	356	314	64	20	2	11	38	122	4	14	1	204	298	385	683	182	293	34	11	307	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	54	41	7	2	0	0	8	11	3	3	1	171	346	220	566	49	233	20	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	285	252	65	9	5	14	27	84	0	6	2	258	330	500	830	242	327	29	9	355	126	+9	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	21	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	176	158	22	4	1	1	15	78	1	11	2	139	218	196	415	57	246	44	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	508	463	89	21	7	5	38	179	6	63	17	192	262	300	563	108	301	35	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	405	366	84	15	3	9	30	130	4	35	8	230	295	361	656	131	320	32	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	144	130	27	6	0	4	12	51	2	12	6	208	285	346	631	138	303	35	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	32	30	7	2	0	0	0	10	1	3	0	233	258	300	558	67	322	31	0	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	488	448	102	16	5	13	23	145	9	33	11	228	279	373	652	145	297	30	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	480	442	109	11	2	9	22	155	1	37	7	247	284	342	625	95	335	32	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	92	91	14	2	1	2	1	36	0	6	2	154	163	264	427	110	239	39	1	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	307	283	60	8	6	3	18	88	0	15	7	212	259	314	574	102	285	29	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	233	214	54	8	6	6	16	80	2	8	2	252	310	430	740	178	366	34	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	226	203	53	13	5	2	14	55	3	16	0	261	318	404	722	143	327	24	6	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	224	202	48	7	3	13	16	64	0	5	2	238	294	495	789	257	278	29	7	332	111	+3	+0	-0	-3	+5	0.5
2016	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	50	42	12	3	0	1	4	16	2	2	1	286	375	429	804	143	389	32	8	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	61	54	18	2	2	2	7	20	0	1	0	333	410	556	965	222	533	33	11	406	161	+4	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.7
2017	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	211	197	39	9	3	4	12	80	0	11	0	198	244	335	579	137	298	38	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	356	327	51	15	2	9	25	150	4	14	1	156	225	297	521	141	249	42	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	176	158	22	4	1	1	15	78	1	11	2	139	218	196	415	57	263	44	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A RAW	Greenville Drive	—	176	150	25	5	1	1	23	58	1	11	2	167	282	233	515	67	261	33	13	245	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	508	463	89	21	7	5	38	179	6	63	17	192	262	300	563	108	300	35	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A RAW	Greenville Drive	—	508	442	118	29	9	12	59	135	6	63	17	267	361	455	816	188	358	27	12	362	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	549	496	111	21	3	13	42	181	6	47	14	224	292	357	649	133	325	33	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	549	476	128	27	3	17	62	139	6	47	14	269	360	445	806	176	347	25	11	357	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	547	502	115	19	5	14	24	163	11	39	12	229	279	371	650	141	308	30	4	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	547	489	133	25	6	21	37	127	11	39	12	272	337	476	814	204	326	23	7	352	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	517	477	118	12	2	10	23	166	1	38	7	247	283	344	627	96	352	32	4	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	517	462	115	14	2	13	38	135	1	38	7	249	307	372	680	123	319	26	7	297	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	374	74	10	7	6	19	124	0	21	9	198	237	310	547	112	279	31	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	399	361	88	12	10	8	32	97	0	21	9	244	305	399	704	155	312	24	8	308	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	637	583	147	29	15	11	41	187	6	35	3	252	308	410	718	158	351	29	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	637	565	178	36	17	16	59	139	6	35	3	315	386	524	910	209	393	22	9	394	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	274	244	59	9	3	14	20	80	2	7	3	242	305	475	780	234	296	29	7	331	110	+3	+0	-0	-3	+6	0.6
2016	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	274	240	60	10	3	13	24	76	2	7	3	250	323	479	802	229	307	28	9	342	110	+3	+0	-0	-3	+6	0.6
2017	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	272	251	56	10	5	6	19	100	0	12	0	223	278	375	652	151	340	37	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	272	242	71	15	7	8	28	77	0	12	0	293	367	512	879	219	396	28	10	382	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	356	327	51	15	2	9	25	150	4	14	1	156	225	297	521	141	250	42	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	356	314	64	20	2	11	38	122	4	14	1	204	298	385	683	182	293	34	11	307	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	INTL MLE	Adelaide Giants	—	54	41	7	2	0	0	8	11	3	3	1	171	346	220	566	49	233	20	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	INTL RAW	Adelaide Giants	—	54	41	7	2	0	0	8	11	3	3	1	171	346	220	566	49	233	20	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	176	158	22	4	1	1	15	78	1	11	2	139	218	196	415	57	246	44	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	508	459	89	21	7	5	38	179	6	63	17	194	262	303	565	109	301	35	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	549	496	111	21	3	13	42	181	6	47	14	224	292	357	649	133	316	33	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	547	507	115	19	5	14	24	163	11	39	12	227	279	367	646	140	299	30	4	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	517	488	118	12	2	10	23	166	1	38	7	242	283	336	619	94	335	32	4	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	377	74	10	7	6	19	124	0	21	9	196	237	308	544	111	274	31	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	637	585	147	29	15	11	41	187	6	35	3	251	308	409	716	157	347	29	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	274	250	59	9	3	14	20	80	2	7	3	236	305	464	769	228	298	29	7	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	272	251	56	10	5	6	19	100	0	12	0	223	278	375	652	151	351	37	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	356	324	51	15	2	9	25	150	4	14	1	157	225	299	524	142	249	42	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	285	252	65	9	5	14	27	84	0	6	2	258	330	500	830	242	327	29	9	355	67	+9	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	148	21	11	32	62	192	0	14	5	257	330	499	829	242	326	30	10	355	67	+20	+1	+0	-4	+14	3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4289	3916	849	152	50	89	274	1419	40	290	69	217	275	349	624	133	313	33	6	267	67	+9	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	129	23	8	13	42	215	6	44	10	218	276	349	625	132	315	33	6	267	67	+20	+1	+0	-4	+14	3.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAARochester Red Wings · 356 PAwOBA .299 → .230 (−69)K% 34.3% → 42.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.27%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	42.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.67%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.03%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.02%
Singles /BIP	16.15%	÷1.023	×0.930	×1.016	×0.962	14.35%
Doubles /BIP	10.42%	÷1.009	×0.830	×1.016	×0.962	8.38%
Triples /BIP	1.04%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.016	×0.962	0.86%
Home runs /BIP	5.73%	÷0.879	×0.840	—	×0.962	5.27%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .299 → .230; ISO .182 → .146; BABIP .293 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAReno Aces · 211 PAwOBA .356 → .251 (−105)K% 27.0% → 37.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.01%	÷0.919	×1.290	—	—	37.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.53%	÷1.007	×0.710	—	×0.972	5.84%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.80%	÷0.992	×0.900	×1.015	×0.972	19.53%
Doubles /BIP	9.77%	÷1.089	×0.810	×1.015	×0.972	7.17%
Triples /BIP	3.76%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.015	×0.972	2.61%
Home runs /BIP	4.51%	÷1.044	×0.780	—	×0.972	3.27%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 84, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .356 → .251; ISO .216 → .139; BABIP .364 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 50 PAwOBA .385 → .325 (−59)K% 24.0% → 31.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.00%	÷0.988	×1.290	—	—	31.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.00%	÷0.983	×0.710	—	×0.982	8.51%
HBP% /PA	4.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	3.85%
Singles /BIP	32.14%	÷0.989	×0.900	—	×0.982	28.72%
Doubles /BIP	10.71%	÷0.941	×0.810	—	×0.982	9.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.951	×0.810	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷0.931	×0.780	—	×0.982	2.94%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 90, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .385 → .325; ISO .150 → .126; BABIP .444 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 233 PAwOBA .421 → .314 (−107)K% 25.8% → 34.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.75%	÷0.967	×1.290	—	—	34.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.87%	÷1.013	×0.710	—	×0.992	6.86%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.83%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.030	×0.900	×1.013	×0.992	25.09%
Doubles /BIP	6.80%	÷0.946	×0.810	×1.013	×0.992	5.86%
Triples /BIP	4.76%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.013	×0.992	4.31%
Home runs /BIP	6.80%	÷1.224	×0.780	—	×0.992	4.30%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .421 → .314; ISO .261 → .179; BABIP .428 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AASpringfield Cardinals · 226 PAwOBA .350 → .302 (−48)K% 19.5% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.47%	÷0.978	×1.220	—	—	24.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.85%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.968	5.99%
HBP% /PA	1.33%	—	×0.870	—	×0.968	1.12%
Singles /BIP	22.37%	÷0.982	×0.920	×1.039	×0.968	21.07%
Doubles /BIP	9.87%	÷1.003	×0.840	×1.039	×0.968	8.31%
Triples /BIP	3.29%	÷1.003	×0.940	×1.039	×0.968	3.10%
Home runs /BIP	1.97%	÷1.140	×0.800	—	×0.968	1.34%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .350 → .302; ISO .173 → .147; BABIP .360 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 307 PAwOBA .303 → .246 (−57)K% 22.8% → 28.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.80%	÷0.972	×1.220	—	—	28.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.12%	÷1.036	×0.680	—	×0.978	5.86%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.38%	÷1.014	×0.920	×1.019	×0.978	21.14%
Doubles /BIP	4.48%	÷1.053	×0.910	×1.019	×0.978	3.86%
Triples /BIP	3.98%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.019	×0.978	3.04%
Home runs /BIP	1.99%	÷1.026	×0.800	—	×0.978	1.52%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .303 → .246; ISO .137 → .107; BABIP .325 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 92 PAwOBA .282 → .201 (−81)K% 29.3% → 39.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.35%	÷0.955	×1.290	—	—	39.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.17%	÷1.049	×0.710	—	×1.003	1.48%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.46%	÷1.008	×0.900	×1.045	×1.003	16.34%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.982	×0.810	×1.045	×1.003	4.12%
Triples /BIP	3.17%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.045	×1.003	2.34%
Home runs /BIP	6.35%	÷1.078	×0.780	—	×1.003	4.61%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 91, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .282 → .201; ISO .211 → .136; BABIP .271 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 480 PAwOBA .294 → .269 (−25)K% 27.3% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.29%	÷1.018	×1.200	—	—	32.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.88%	÷1.069	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.52%
HBP% /PA	0.21%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.20%
Singles /BIP	28.28%	÷0.964	×0.930	×1.036	×1.018	28.77%
Doubles /BIP	4.38%	÷1.083	×0.830	×1.036	×1.018	3.54%
Triples /BIP	0.67%	÷0.957	×0.970	×1.036	×1.018	0.72%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.068	×0.840	—	×1.018	2.96%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 93, 2B 117, 3B 91, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .294 → .269; ISO .117 → .098; BABIP .340 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .