Jason Hagerty
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26 | AASD | 409 | .269/.370/.420 | 10 | 4 | 80 | — | .229/.299/.345 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 385 | .253/.339/.391 | 8 | 3 | 73 | — | .213/.276/.328 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAASD | 145 | .271/.352/.457 | 4 | 0 | 72 | — | .212/.283/.333 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | AAA | Portland Beavers | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 200 | 435 | 67 | 182 | 24 | 12 | 211 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 534 | 431 | 130 | 35 | 3 | 14 | 88 | 104 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 302 | 429 | 494 | 923 | 193 | 362 | 19 | 16 | 406 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 150 | 130 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 320 | 315 | 635 | 85 | 322 | 27 | 9 | 289 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 293 | 257 | 80 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 62 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 311 | 390 | 518 | 907 | 206 | 379 | 21 | 9 | 396 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 59 | 56 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 288 | 304 | 592 | 54 | 333 | 24 | 5 | 269 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 286 | 246 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 349 | 382 | 731 | 134 | 284 | 18 | 12 | 331 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 31 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 323 | 160 | 483 | 182 | 10 | 16 | 253 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 409 | 350 | 94 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 72 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 269 | 370 | 420 | 790 | 151 | 312 | 18 | 12 | 356 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 176 | 154 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 292 | 381 | 442 | 822 | 149 | 357 | 20 | 10 | 370 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 147 | 132 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 288 | 341 | 629 | 129 | 253 | 21 | 10 | 283 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 62 | 54 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 339 | 370 | 709 | 130 | 300 | 21 | 8 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 145 | 129 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 352 | 457 | 809 | 186 | 320 | 19 | 8 | 360 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Portland Beavers | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 188 | 364 | 62 | 163 | 29 | 6 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 534 | 461 | 115 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 58 | 148 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 343 | 401 | 745 | 152 | 324 | 28 | 11 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 150 | 135 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 193 | 259 | 267 | 525 | 74 | 293 | 34 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 293 | 266 | 67 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 90 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 252 | 314 | 425 | 739 | 173 | 340 | 31 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 286 | 259 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 285 | 328 | 613 | 112 | 256 | 22 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 31 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 258 | 148 | 406 | 163 | 13 | 10 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 409 | 371 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 93 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 299 | 345 | 644 | 116 | 282 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 176 | 159 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 312 | 352 | 665 | 113 | 322 | 26 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 147 | 137 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 233 | 299 | 532 | 117 | 227 | 27 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 145 | 132 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 283 | 333 | 616 | 121 | 278 | 26 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Portland Beavers | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 188 | 364 | 62 | 182 | 29 | 6 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA RAW | Portland Beavers | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 200 | 435 | 67 | 182 | 24 | 12 | 211 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 534 | 461 | 115 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 58 | 148 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 343 | 401 | 745 | 152 | 334 | 28 | 11 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 534 | 431 | 130 | 35 | 3 | 14 | 88 | 104 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 302 | 429 | 494 | 923 | 193 | 362 | 19 | 16 | 406 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 502 | 457 | 107 | 29 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 160 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 234 | 294 | 376 | 671 | 142 | 333 | 32 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 502 | 443 | 124 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 116 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 280 | 357 | 431 | 788 | 151 | 357 | 23 | 9 | 349 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 286 | 259 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 285 | 328 | 613 | 112 | 259 | 22 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 286 | 246 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 349 | 382 | 731 | 134 | 284 | 18 | 12 | 331 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 31 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 258 | 148 | 406 | 174 | 13 | 10 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | Tucson Padres | — | 31 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 323 | 160 | 483 | 182 | 10 | 16 | 253 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 409 | 371 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 93 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 299 | 345 | 644 | 116 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 409 | 350 | 94 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 72 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 269 | 370 | 420 | 790 | 151 | 312 | 18 | 12 | 356 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 385 | 350 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 102 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 286 | 331 | 618 | 114 | 285 | 26 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 385 | 340 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 79 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 253 | 339 | 391 | 730 | 138 | 307 | 21 | 9 | 329 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 145 | 132 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 283 | 333 | 616 | 121 | 283 | 26 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 145 | 129 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 352 | 457 | 809 | 186 | 320 | 19 | 8 | 360 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Portland Beavers | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 188 | 364 | 62 | 163 | 29 | 6 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 534 | 463 | 115 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 58 | 148 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 343 | 400 | 743 | 151 | 324 | 28 | 11 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 502 | 458 | 107 | 29 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 160 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 234 | 294 | 376 | 670 | 142 | 324 | 32 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 286 | 259 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 285 | 328 | 613 | 112 | 256 | 22 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 31 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 258 | 148 | 406 | 163 | 13 | 10 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 409 | 369 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 93 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 299 | 347 | 646 | 117 | 282 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 385 | 348 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 102 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 333 | 620 | 115 | 279 | 26 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 145 | 131 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 283 | 336 | 619 | 122 | 278 | 26 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2309 | 2073 | 473 | 111 | 9 | 45 | 178 | 612 | 41 | 13 | 7 | 228 | 302 | 356 | 657 | 127 | 299 | 27 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -51 | -0 | +0 | +41 | +50 | 4.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 134 | 31 | 3 | 13 | 50 | 172 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 304 | 360 | 663 | 130 | 300 | 26 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 145 PAwOBA .351 → .274 (−77)K% 19.3% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.31% | ÷0.951 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.004 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 3.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.80% | ÷1.026 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 17.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.90% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.028 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.96% | ÷1.160 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 2.62% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 106, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .351 → .274; ISO .186 → .131; BABIP .320 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 176 PAwOBA .361 → .300 (−61)K% 19.9% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.89% | ÷0.980 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.66% | ÷0.972 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 7.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.84% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 2.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.21% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 23.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.24% | ÷0.970 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.36% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.83% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .361 → .300; ISO .149 → .121; BABIP .357 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AASan Antonio Missions · 147 PAwOBA .278 → .228 (−50)K% 21.1% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.09% | ÷0.963 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.82% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 16.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.94% | ÷0.989 | ×0.840 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 125, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .278 → .228; ISO .129 → .108; BABIP .253 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AASan Antonio Missions · 409 PAwOBA .346 → .286 (−60)K% 17.6% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.60% | ÷0.942 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.98% | ÷1.083 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.30% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.978 | 21.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷1.020 | ×0.840 | ×0.998 | ×0.978 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.065 | ×0.940 | ×0.998 | ×0.978 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.960 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.93% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 90, 2B 104, 3B 113, K 88, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .346 → .286; ISO .151 → .124; BABIP .312 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAATucson Padres · 31 PAwOBA .248 → .204 (−44)K% 9.7% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.933 | ×1.290 | — | — | 13.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.13% | ÷1.045 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 11.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 3.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.023 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 16.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 87, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .248 → .204; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AASan Antonio Missions · 286 PAwOBA .322 → .275 (−48)K% 17.8% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.83% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.54% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 19.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.946 | ×0.840 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.940 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.59% | ÷0.919 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.12% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 94, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .322 → .275; ISO .134 → .121; BABIP .284 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 293 PAwOBA .388 → .318 (−70)K% 21.2% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.16% | ÷0.923 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.53% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.026 | ×0.910 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 21.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.82% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 11.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.016 | ×0.760 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷0.874 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 4.27% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 103, K 85, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .388 → .318; ISO .206 → .180; BABIP .379 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AASan Antonio Missions · 150 PAwOBA .283 → .234 (−50)K% 26.7% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.950 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.33% | ÷1.128 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 22.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.037 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.889 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 114, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 90, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .283 → .234; ISO .085 → .075; BABIP .322 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .